Maybe this is what mattia binnoto meant when he said that their goal for this year is NOT to win the championship. And now we know that he is a man of his word.

Matt is clearly strugging to accept that leclerc has lost

2022 is literally the opposite of 2012 for Ferrari. In 2012, they had the 3rd fastest car and damn nearly won the championship. In 2022, they have the fastest car and they're damn nearly finishing 3rd.

These numbers are actually understated if you’re talking about the total points lost in the championship because you have to factor in that retiring from 1st, for example, also means that the person who would have finished 2nd now gets 7 more points. So Charles retiring from the lead of a race is a 32 point swing in the constructors/drivers

It amazing that Charles at one point had lead of close to 50 points and lost it all in half a season

Verstappen’s mechanical DNFs cost him 2nd place at Bahrain and Australia and the damage at Silverstone cost the win. So he’s lost 55 points

now this is literally ''points lost'' but imagine the ''points lost compared to redbull'' where redbull gained more points over ferrari's mistakes (and incidents/ reliability) they would honestly be in P1 currently in constructors.

In 2018 people put the blame solely on Vettel for both championships' loss. This is a refreshingly honest analysis.

Since, as you said, Red Bull have had their own woes, it would be interesting to see this same video but for Red Bull, with the comparison to Ferrari at the end. It would show each teams maximum potential from the season without errors.

Too many, far too many

This year Ferrari just reminds me of McLaren back in 2010-2012. Had one of the fastest cars on the grid (probably the fastest in 2012), but the car being unreliable, worse strategies and slower pit stops literally cost them the both WCs. I think it was one of the main reasons for Hamilton to leave McLaren to join Mercedes.

They didn't throw it away, they never had it. You need to be a complete team, they have not. Having the fastest car (in qualifying) doesn't make a championship.

Matty putting salt in his wounds rather than letting them heal 🙂

Simple answer: Enough to loose the championship

Just remember where merc was at when the season started and how they are charging hard for that 2nd place finish. Things can change rapidly in F1

Would be interesting to see an "average points lost per season" for teams over the last few seasons. It's the sort of thing that happens to everybody at some point, and it'd be interesting to see Ferrari's struggles in perspective.

Matt I know how painful this video was for you to make. So I just want to let you know that I appreciate you for making this video

I think at this point so many things have to happen for Ferrari to even get a shot at winning: > Red Bull's strategy and reliability would have to completely spaz out and quit (which I doubt will happen) > Ferrari would have to improve both strategy calls and reliability (which Binotto already said does not need changing) > Both drivers somewhat reduce mistakes (which I honestly think may go up once the pressure starts setting in) > And ultimately Ferrari have to finish ahead of Red Bull at every race in the last 9 races by a substantial margin in terms of points (which given the issues above will likely not happen) Best case scenario is it turns into another Abu Dhabi title decider (hopefully less controversial this time). Worst case scenario is Red Bull wraps up both championships early and Mercedes overtakes Ferrari in the Constructors' Championship. Hopefully they actually improve next year or this season won't be seen as a learning curve but instead the beginning of another Ferrari decline.

Ferrari thought if they copied theirselves from vettel era they could have a championship chance, history copied theirselves

In Hungary It would have been close between Max and Charles. When Lewis went onto the softs, he was only eating away a few tenths which should have been more on since he was on the softs. No matter how fast Charles is I just think that he would have a bit of work to do to overtake Max

You should have credited FP1 for the idea - please give these channels some respect

It's an even bigger points swing when you consider how many fewer point Red Bull would have received, given Ferrari now occupy those higher positions.

A Great Man once said "If we are losing we are losing together and if we are winning we are winning together

Ferrari could have lost 1 extra point in Australlia after Leclerc's Engineer told him not to push for a faster lap but he did anyway on the last lap. If Charles didn't push, Fernando Alonso would have gotten the fastest lap beating Charles's previous FL.

You know it's bad when they managed to make a 10 min+ video on their mistakes 😭😭

Leclerc lost six races while leading and Verstappen won four of those

Do the same for all other teams, that would be a cool video series.

Love the content keep on it

Leclerc was in Spain without the S, Sainz was in Spain without the A

However, this also goes for RedBull. They have 5 retirements, and Silverstone with Verstappen's damaged car, and have been the fastest or second fastest car at every race.

Really interesting thought exercise. Although seasons are rarely perfect, it's the ones where they make the wrong call - GB, Hungary, Monaco that hurt the most.

Nice analysis Matt!

One thing nobody talks about. That's bad Karma for how Charles and Ferrari treated Seb, for no good reason. Where would Ferrari be sitting if Seb had that car? Charles doesn't give input to the team like Carlos does. No championship leadership in their garage would be a huge difference maker. Bad Karma finds everyone at some point. Hopefully they get their sh*t together quick. They let Mercedes into the fight. Big mistake. They do know how to win championships!

Part 2 at end of season, just maybe?

6:14 Nice background of Canada in Baku 😂😂😂

10:06 would have loved to see it on those 3 categories how it is for each driver. Like how many points each for strategy/reliability/driver error.

You’re forgetting they lost even more points than this. For example when leclerc crashes out of the lead and verstappen inherits the lead, leclerc loses the points for P1, but verstappen gains the points that make the difference between P1 and P2. So for example in France, leclerc lost the points for P1 (25) + the points gained by VER between 2nd and 1st (7). This isn’t taking into account the extra point for fastest lap which could make up two points if you assume leclerc would’ve taken the fastest lap and verstappen got it instead. Meaning leclerc lost 32 points to verstappen in France and possible 33 for fastest lap (as sainz got fastest lap). So when you include the points gained by verstappen, red bull and Mercedes onto Ferrari and leclerc. The points lost are actually quite a bit higher. Hope Matt sees this to really crush him😅

Simple answer: too many

When Mat analyses hungary you cam hear the frustration in his voice breaking through xD

Would be cool to see one of these for each team and what the table would look like

They're going to end up losing a whole lot more since Binotto claims that strategy has not been a problem for them, and they've made no wrong decisions so far this season...at this rate I'm almost willing to bet that Leclerc will leave Ferrari before his contract is up, and make a jump to any team he feels he can at least trust to not actively screw him over.

With Mercedes finally finding some pace and Red Bull being pretty consistent as of late, I predict Ferrari comes 3rd in the constructors at this point.

im impressed some of you can even keep track. i forget what happened in a race by the next race weekend

Man when you put it this way it's even more heartbreaking

Do we get to do that with every other team, too? Even RB?

Doesn't this mean Ferrari's strategists aren't to get so much of the blame? Afterall the drivers have lost more points than the strategists.

In another universe, they won these points and Matt is screaming with joy instead of pain 🤪 Really good video again!

I think reliability related loss of points were to be expected, since the team made a deliberate choice to make a fast PU and then sort out reliability as they are allowed to do under the rules. That goes for both teams, but it's still a massive point swing related to team and driver errors

i do wish seb comes in as a helper like michael did, and who knows maybe they can win something again.. only to not win for the next 15 years again:p

"How many more do you think they'll lose in the second half?" No regard for human life with the savagery there

I was walking at night alone and that thunder effect from monaco made me jump.

Knew this video was coming. Can't wait for PT 2 at the end of the year

In contrast, EL Plan looses no points

Let's not forgot Charles has had 3 DNFs and Max has basically had 2. The disparity in points is mostly down to mistakes and poor strategy, all Ferrari and or Charles fault.

I half expected a mid-video ad break for "this video is brought to you by PAIN".

"How many more you think they'll lose in the second half?" is such a hilarious way to end the video.

How many points will Ferrari lose in the second part of the season? Yes. 🏁

Fp1 did this video already a week ago.

In a parallel universe this video would be 2 minutes long

Watching Red Bull win is a really good thing to watch happen to me this season. But watching Ferrari being Ferrari kinda balances it out cause god it's so heartwrenching hearing and seeing Leclerc in pain.

I'm sorry Matt, but Ferrari's losses here are even worse than you laid out. Points aren't awarded in isolation, when Leclerc DNFs from the lead and Verstappen wins, Leclerc doesn't just lose 25 points, he also gifts that additional 7 points to Verstappen who would have finished 2nd otherwise, for a total loss of 32 points.

every video is just superb!

Interesting video and I agree 95% with your calculation

At 7:27 you can see crease lines on their faces, presumably from the protective layer they wear under their helmets

I would love to see the adjusted standings with all these changes

It feels like Matt is doing some kind of self therapy with the last videos 🤣

Whoever got that picture of Sainz in the gravel in Australia did a beautiful job.

This is so dreadful that you would almost think that there's some Italian mafia betting scheme involved here. At least that would make for a good movie.

at the end the driver error comparrison got me like :o leclerc made kinda many mistakes

you should have calculated the driver and contructor standings with these assumptions, I would have loved that!

Correct me if I'm wrong but if u want calculate the hypothetical points Leclerc lost due to reliability and strategy then u must also take into account Max finishing P2 (18 pts) with Charles P1 (25 pts) so that would be a net gain of 7 points give or take which isn't = 125

Can't believe this!! Speechless!!

a pretty logical perspective view of thing well done (i'm an alfa fan)

if someone told me leclerc would be 80 points behind max at the summer break after 3 races i would not believe it at all

in Spain Leclerc was in P1 when he dropped out and lost 25 points. but they also gave verstappen 7 points by promoting him from P2 to P1. so the total is 32. it's not hard to calculate that right.

At this point it’s not even frustrating, it’s just plain funny 😂

You need to do one for redbull as theyve also dropped some points and so it would be a good way to compare this what if even more

0:00 “Here’s a video I made to answer my own questions every time I go to sleep at night.”

Do the same for Red Bull please, maybe all the teams, race by race, that was totally awesome and fair enough. Cheers 👍

i suggest to do a counter video like "how many points have redbull actually lost" just to be clear to every scenario

Can you make a video showing all the hypothetical point scenarios that Leclerc would need to have a title battle at the end of the season

The key thing is You not gaining points means Your direct rivals gain more which... Yeah, makes the real numbers probably much higher, even if we give ourselfs some margin of error, in that some races could go slightly worse that predicted here, but I think it's all very fair. Oh, and that applies to the fastest laps as well.

The balance between coping and self loathing is a delicate but well tread line

Nice! Now do Red Bull next!

Please make one about Red Bull for a comparison!

matt, i really feel you

i thought the thunder in minute 4 was real even it was sunny at my place :)

Experts in gripping defeat from the clutches of victory.

In sainz's defense, he had a bad start in australia due to a new steering not setup properly and he did no collide with danny ric in imola, he was clearly punted off by the money badger, but his badgering of equal opportunity is costing the team because leclerc is clearly the faster of the two

I’m not even half way through this video and I’m categorically furious ! I’ve never wanted to scream and cry so much at the same time.

You forgot about Sainz in Canada, he was faster then Verstappen but his own errors and hesitance lost him the race

I look back to last year when they were not contenders. This year has had a rush with the "Give me - Take away" that has been Ferrari. They can not take away the speed of car or team and once you are a contender the game changes and that's what I am thankful for. I raced Dirt Track motorcycles for a number of years and it was a couple before I won one, after that racing was never the same. Just being there is more fun when you are in it to win it .

Realistically, only strategy errors should be counted. A car failure is a car failure and it is a part of the package. Driver errors are on drivers. So, realistically, due to Ferrari strategy, Leclerc lost about 50 points to Max,including the points swing.

2022 is all about Matt’s rage

If Perez and Russel overtakes Leclerc in WDC and Merc overtakes Ferrari in WCC, I think Matt will implode.

I would be nice to know how many point on average a team is “allowed” to lose and yet walk way with the title

This must have been brutal to put together for Matty. This is the first season I can remember watching where I am almost completely neutral at almost every race. I'm not sure why, but I think the sort of resurgence of ferrari has been the reason.

I watched every race highlight yesterday for same reason and discovered this video today 😐

i mean if u take into account every small error in each of the weekends u could say the same about redbull having reliability issues with both checo and max also max having drs issues in spain and max having so many issues in quali etc and also sainz and leclerc wouldnt have been fighting for lead in the first place if verstappen didnt hit debris on the road i can go on about this but u get the point ps: what im trying to prove with this is that both the championships would be close and the gap wouldnt have been a lot in both constructor and driver championships

Next do how many vids have you done on this topic