How many Quarterbacks get drafted in the first round?

Annual thinking football having the best qb takes and breakdowns year in an year out

As a M fan, I’ve been seeing these issues and wondering why no one points it out. Unfortunately, his pre-draft rise could easily be the reason he doesn’t pan out. Having to start immediately for a bad team could be a death blow to his career

I mean he has potential but if a team drafts him to start year 1 it will be a disaster

My dad had a great line about Bret Favre and I think it applies to Mcarthy “ he has the unique ability to keep both teams in the game”.

Looks like my JJ McCarthy opinion just dropped

I'm glad that you aren't scared to say it. he may develop into something, dependent on the team, but I don't see a lot right now.

JJ has ~70% completion rate and doesn't throw a bunch of bubble screens and RPOs and homeslice makes it seem like he can't hit the side of a barn with a shotgun. 😅😅😅😅

Great production but at the end of the day anyone can draw conclusions from a cut up of lowlights. His completion percentage was high, and many of these passes while not perfect were definitely catchable. He's 19 and 20 in these clips and his leap from his first year starting to his second was huge. NFL teams are all drafting with the expectation that they can polish players further at the next level.

There’s absolutely no way you can have some of these criticisms for JJ McCarthy yet think Drake Maye is going to be at surefire franchise QB

The only thing that matters is he doesn't care about the rush. It's unteachable. Everything else, since he has the physical tools can be taught

This will be fun to watch in 3 years, either way.

This sums things up pretty well. I think one aspect that people forget about McCarthy is the fact that he just turned 21 this year. He will have to develop, but that's expected for anybody at his age. I think the tools and age combo is what gets the NFL excited and willing to take the chance. He does have to go to the right spot though. Minnesota has a great offense so that would be a good spot. I think Sean Payton would be a good pairing for him, although he's probably not day one ready in his offense. A team like the Patriots or Raiders would probably be a disaster, but I don't think he'll go at 3, but probably be gone by 13. I'm interested to see his development for sure.

Low reps is his only problem you are over analyzing

It’s honestly so refreshing to see videos that don’t just senselessly hype prospects. I haven’t seen many videos like this. Props.

i've seen tom brady miss reads also but that doesnt mean he wasnt a franchise quarterback, missed throws it happens to even the best. the key is 3rd downs and playing well under pressure which mccarthy excels at.

you guys are the most reliable and trustworthy source for analyzing tape and players. keep up the amazing work

I swear like 90% of people say he's terrible and going to be over drafted, how is that over hyped 😂

Kevin O’Connell can probably coach him up pretty well but moving up to no.5 to select him would be insane

Im so gald someone else is seeing this. Iv been beating this drum as loudly as i could. Im just glad he went to 'the best possible situation' so there are no excuses when he fails miserably. The comparison that keeps coming to my mind is kenny pickett. JJ is the next pickett. Write it down

His original draft projection of mid to lower half of the first round is probably fair, saying he’s not a first rounder is excessive. The accuracy issues you highlighted I think are somewhat nit-picking when the other top prospects share some of these traits too. I personally don’t think any of the QBs besides Williams are truly top 5 players in the draft. As a Michigan fan I don’t want him to go top 10 and get destroyed beyond a bad line. Somewhere between pick 12 and 20 depending on need feels right.

Weirdly this video convince me he WILL be a franchise guy. everyone misses reads and throws. But he is young with room for improvement and the high leven throws and runs you showed are very impressive

JJ completed 72% of his passes last year (240 completions). He only gave up an INT in 2 out of 15 games. His yards per attempt was hugher than Drake Maye, as an example. He is very consistent. A highlight reel has value to show upside potential. However the "needs work" reel can be produced for any QB because passes go incomplete 30-40% of the time. It needs to be coupled with the players stats, which in the case of JJ, are very strong.

My prediction is that he doesn’t go top-5 like most people think. QBs get pushed up a little bit but NFL teams are more disciplined than we give them credit for. 2022 Pickett at 20 and then not another until Ridder in the 3rd, people thought Willis was a top-5 pick that draft. 2023 Levis falls out of the 1st when he was favored to go 2nd overall by betting odds a week before the draft. This could age poorly but 🤷‍♂️

As a JJ truther, this was an excellent breakdown because he is a project. Have you done Jayden Daniels break down and if so, does he also get criticized for tucking and running too soon? I am not talking shit just curious on your process.

Past performance is not indicative of future returns.

I think the majority of this QB class is greatly overhyped.

Great Analysis My Favorite football UKpostsr breakdowner(if that’s a word) great work keep it up and who’s better to you Caleb Williams or Jaden Daniels who would you draft first for your team

JJ going to the Vikings is just about the best possible scenario for him - a great coach and excellent supporting cast and a bridge qb in Darnold letting him hopefully sit and learn for a while. I do worry about him being able to pick up on KOC's scheme which is so heavily based on timing and anticipation, and the way KOC desperately switched between qb's last season doesn't give me confidence that he will be patient enough to give JJ time to sit and learn before being thrown to the fire.

Excelent content my friend . It would be awesome to see this same breakdown in the next tear of QB , maybe 3-4 minutes each . From Penix , nix , rattler , etc . I asume that Jayden will have his own video as Williams or maye . But see the other tear and how the VOD dissect there game would be fun .

The biggest problem is he can't throw well to his left. It looks like Michigan recognized it and rarely required him to do it. But watch the combine and his games and highlights and his throws are off to the left if its not a short pass.

Joe Montana and Tom Brady were both game managers and won a combined 11 Superbowls. A QB better be a game manager or they ain't worth the spot on the depth chart.

He’s like 2 years old and has had one spring to get better. The tools are there and flashes are there, I don’t think anyone can credibly say they know either way.

I'm not looking for him to lead us to the promise land right away. However, I trust O'Connell to make him his #1 priority to develop, so that McCarthy will one day be our franchise QB for years to come.

I think the problems you brought up as far as his accuracy are mainly timing issues which are correctable. But great video nonetheless

Don’t think this was a fair video to him. U showed a lot of highlights from his first season as a starter and made it out like that version of him was the Michigan finished product. He definitely has a lot to work on but he took care of the ball, he has shown he can throw in the face of pressure, and he is athletic. I think the biggest thing he needs is more reps which is weird to say about a guy who started 29 games but it’s true. He needs more game reps throwing the ball in game. What is interesting about him, is that usually guys who threw the ball as little as he did don’t have much tape to show of them making NFL plays. He doesn’t have a lot of throws but he makes a lot of NFL plays. The volume of them just isn’t as high as Michael Penix and Caleb since they threw a lot more. He is a unique prospect but that makes sense because Michigan was a unique National Championship team. First team I can remember since Auburn that will have so few 1st round picks. JJ may be their only one. But UM had a lot of quality guys which is why they will break the NFL draft pick record. Not to mention their coach in Harbaugh was unique at the very least 😂

It's so funny listening to new engladn pats fans talk about him. For some reason someone told them that Mccarthy is the most pro-ready and has the highest floor. They think he's a safe pick. I've said the exact opposite. He's one of youngest guys in draft, he's still growing into his body and will improve his arm strength. His footwork sucks. All those misses you show are because he felt pressure and would throw off balance or rush his drop back and just mess up a regular 3 step drop. That is alarming, but that is also something you can fix. That's why I think JJ has a really high ceiling. If he can get his mechanics and footwork consistent, he will be a good NFL QB. And mark my words, his arm isn't done growing. When a coach fixes his mechanics it will look like a diffferent qb. Why I really like him in a few years is the athletiscm, the natural arm talent, and obsession with football. I think he's one of the guys who will work as hard as he needs to to get the job done. It may take a few years but he's going to be a good NFL level starting QB by year 3 or 4.

You said Denzel Mims would be a star, so you’re hardly the oracle

It's a shame you couldn't show that play against Bama, because it was very possibly the greatest individual play that anyone made during the past college football season

To be fair to the inconsistent accuracy and anticipation and not well polished processing, he is the youngest and most inexperienced of all the QBs. Many of these clips are from the TCU game where he was 19 years old. Part of the hope with him is those aspects of his game did get better this year as opposed to last year. A lot of it is also tied to his footwork. As you can see when he’s late his stance is super wide and he overstrides. I think with his natural football instinct and playmaking ability on top of the athleticism he can develop those shortcomings. Even Maye and Caleb were both 21 last year during their final college seasons. JJ didn’t turn 21 until a couple weeks after the national championship. But because of some of those timing and processing things situation will matter a lot for him. I don’t think he has an elite ceiling but if fostered well he could be close to like a Dak Prescott.

Michigan's run game and excellent o-line made JJ's job easier than it otherwise would have been. But he was a good player and improved year over year. I think he's coachable and went to a good spot in Minnesota. I'd give him a 65% chance of growing into a franchise guy. Worth a first round pick. Stated as a die-hard OSU fan and alum.

Yeah a quarterback who was top five in completion percentage and avg yds per play last year isn’t accurate. I’m sorry none of that computes to make a coherent take.

Stock overhyped because he played for Michigan and they won the national championship

As a Jets fan, after seeing your analysis of Zach Wilson and seeing how he panned out, I trust your opinion a lot man

I noticed you focused a lot on 2022 tape and early in games versus his adjustments that show you that he gets in a rythym and shows ability to shred defenses. Interesting point of view.

Is there chance you can be wrong with him? and he turn out to be a franchise qb?

Thank you thank you thank you! I watched a lot of McCarthy this season, and this is exactly what I saw. He's not a first round talent in this class, much less top three. And all the other experts including Brett Kollman and JT O'Sullivan are buying into the hype train. Even statistically, he doesnt even surpass Stetson Bennett from last season(including rushing yards), who is an NFL 2nd/3rd string. Obviously I hope he succeeds once he gets drafted too high, but I seriously don't understand how this media campaign is being so successful.

This video is obviously click bait. This is alot of video from his Junior season. Show his senior season where he is much more improved. McCarthy can definitely be a franchise qb if the coaches have patience and let him completely develop. The Vikings have to have patience with JJ. If they do that he can be a heck of a franchise qb. Qbs careers are ruined by putting them in the wrong situations. If Mahomes went to the Bears there is no way he is a franchise qb at this point in his career. Plus, there is no way the Bears would be paying him a $400 million dollar contract. If Justin Fields was drafted into a better situation he would be way better. In Chicago he was running for his life. Then the next season they try and turn him into a pocket passer. Thats teaching the totally wrong things. If he went to a team with a good offensive line he could have been taught to go through his progressions. But he was running for his life. It will be interesting to see if the Steelers are able to turn his career around. Which i believe they definitely can. He's an extremely hard worker and he wants to be successful.

As a Vikings fan of course I'm hoping for the best outcome. But you never know obviously.... But the potential in JJ is there... And he's very hard working.... His attitude reminds me a lot of Tom Bradys which he is actually really close with... Not saying he's gonna be the next Tom Brady... But it seems like he's headed in the right direction

As a CheeseHead hearing the rumors...I hope and pray Minnesota doesn't see this vid till after the draft or sumn🧀🧀🧀

Another thing is sometimes he squares his feet and hops at the snap. At the next level that’s a extra split second to get put on your tail

Looking forward to the apology video in 3 years.

It's always interesting how different people see quarterbacks. Love your channel but I disagree on the conclusion. I do think the things he excels at are the building blocks required to grow and develop into a top-tier QB. Every player comes with weaknesses, but do the strengths provide enough in the zero-sum game of football to give him a winning advantage? I think yes, but I certainly respect the other side.

Fair, objective breakdown.

PLEASE DONT TAKE THESE VIDEOS DOWN I LOVE EM

looking at past drafts its more about the team they land with and the infrastructure to nurture development. lots of highly drafted guys went to a bad spot and flamed out.

Please let Jj Mccarthy be drafted by the Vikings 🙏🏽💀

THANK YOU Been wondering what certain reporters were smoking projecting this guy as high as 2nd overall

Makes me wonder if this is why Harbaugh didn't really unleash McCarthy. I mean, Michigan didn't really need a QB to carry the team given the strength of its offensive line and running game and as noted during the first several minutes of this video, McCarthy did do some good things. Love watching your videos. Keep up the great work!

Why is nobody talking about the Mccarthyism joke lol

Matt Ryan made a career out of throwing behind his receivers. They were always getting hurt because of it, but hey, no one complained.

Mccarthyism is fire😭

As a Viking fan thank you for putting my hopes down

Can you rank the top 6 QBs taken in the first round based on how good they look on film?

Do you think he can develop into a stronger player under KOC now that he's with the Vikings?

What was tom brady?

As a Commanders fan, I’m waiting for your video on Jayden Daniels.

How does one get game tape ?

I just found out bro from la grange park a illinois native so i fw him

How do you get these teams tapes?

I've been trying to get people to see that he has serious issues, even if his upside is good, but everyone ain't believing me. Glad to know I wasn't just crazy.

The narrator is actually a football god who is not human. That's why it is not possible to show his face.

Understand these QB’s are at different levels of development. While these first round draft picks show promise, what is difficult to assess is what their ceiling is. The better ones may have a lower ceiling while one that’s that’s not too far behind may have a much higher ceiling. Generally, these guys reach their full potential if they are allowed to set a yr or two, learn the system and benefit from NFL level coaching. But let’s remember that discipline of the field is a big part of the equation. Remember Johnny Football? He had all the talent, all the ability but a big NFL Payday ruined him. Had he had the discipline? He would not only still be in the league but a top tier QB in this league but we have seen this before at other positions and the end result is pretty much the same. Long story short-short the draft is an educated crap shoot. We have seen many number ones go bust and guys like Brady come along and you seriously question the abilities of the scouts.

That's why I never bought into Minnesota offering three number ones to get their hands on McCarthy, he'll be a backup through his career with occasional starts. He's a huge overreach if taken in the top 10 he is a mid 3rd early 4th at best

You gonna do a video on Jayden Daniel’s out of lsu?

While we are on Michigan, can you do a video on Blake Corum?

msu fan and i saw this guy ream my absolutely washed team for almost 50 points last year. I think Mccarthy is getting pushed to the top 5 by a lot of media talk who want as many qbs to talk abt early as possible for their draft coverage. I don't think he'll be there, but he's the perfect late first early second round guy. Hope he does well and doesn't go to some garbage organization

I mean, the guy looks like an attempted clone of Zach Wilson, but with far goofier hair. That alone is probably enough to kick him off some draft boards 😂

Wow, this channel knows more than NFL scouts and GM's. I can't believe you're stuck here on UKposts and not in the front office of an NFL team right now.

When is the Malik Nabers video gonna drop!? 🎉🎉

Love this channel

I believe he could be great, but it comes down to where he ends up and if he's willing to do hes homework.

I hope all these guys are good. It will make the games so much more enjoyable when there's more than 4 or 5 elite QBs out of 32 teams

I'm just so scared the Pats have fallen in love with him and am seriously hoping it's just smoke.

Mannnnnnn, don't do this to my boy. The Wolverines haven't been popular in years, let us have this one! lol

Its odd all the drake maye detractors missed the same issues with mccarthy

IDK we'll see, the actual NFL scouts and GMs seem to think highly of him.

A year of development as a backup would really be good for him.

Me doing the Leo pointing meme for 15 minutes

THANK YOU FOR THIS

I'm calling it now, thrust him as a day 1 starter, and you have the makings of Trubisky, their games are crazy similar, which is not a good thing at all, especially when you take in account he's being propped up by a fringe legendary coach.

Do a video on Penix 🙌

Michigan's line looks pretty good in these highlights. I am skeptical about what McCarthy looks like when he has a sub-par NFL line letting monster defensive ends hunt. I think the game manager label guys are picking up on what you are identifying, but they can't articulate why they don't like him so they throw the label. This draft it's crazy how teams are going to draft QB prospects and let sure bet receivers drop. I just hope the receivers don't slide down to where teams like KC and San Fran can further stack their rosters. McCarthy's upside potential is probably Josh Allen, but I don't expect to see it. Additional note: it's nice to see your channel growing - you put out some of the absolute best analysis out there. Keep up the good work!

People get far too caught up watching tiktok splash highlights instead of fundamental game play. I hope he works out as a OSU fan, but he’s just not the first round talent people make him out to be.

I do not understand the hype around him at all. It was clear that his coaches didn’t trust him at Michigan

He absolutely isn't. He was over hyped off the natty that his college cheated to get. Vikings over drafted him badly.

Okay, finally someone who sees what I do. I don't even think JJ will be bad. I just think because of all this undue hype he's going to get drafted really high and then be a disappointment and it's no fault of his own. If People were just honest with what they're seeing He would get drafted at a much more appropriate spot

I really hope the Commanders, Pats, or Cardinals all draft some mid QBs so the Chargers can snatch up Harrison Jr. Perfect come up after whiffing on Flowers last year.

I agree he's a project but he does have a lot of upside. I feel like he's going to be one of those players where it's going to depend on where he gets drafted. If he goes to a terrible team, he's probably going to bust. But if he gets with a good coach who can insulate him in his first few seasons, I think he'll turn out all right. He reminds me a lot of RG3. Goodwills good harm but if he goes to a bad team like that, he's going to end up sucking

Yeah I think your wrong on this. I think JJ will be great, and a FRANCHISE quarterback.