Full podcast episode: ukposts.info/have/v-deo/oqaienegbqyco5c.html Lex Fridman podcast channel: ukposts.info Guest bio: Sam Altman is the CEO of OpenAI, the company behind GPT-4, ChatGPT, Sora, and many other state-of-the-art AI technologies.

His voice sounds like when someone is woken up suddenly at 3 in the morning.

0:48 "by the end of this decade (and possibly somewhat sooner than that)"

The answer is 42.

AGI to me is when system would be capable of asking questions.

After listening to this talk, Adjusted Gross Income is a concept much easier to understand and forecast.

I’ll just say it - what we used overseas and what most of our FSRs (these were folks from Stanford, Vanderbilt, Carnegie Mellon) algorithmic tool sets and AGI was around the corner late 2010 [Palantir - Gotham - Metropolis] deployments. Reflect back to IBM and we already had Deep Blue and Watson it’s just precursor to meld the technology more so quantum compiling and processing. The reservation then and I’m confident now is what you allow the box to rip thru data set wise - look when one box speaking with another and it’s self learning created their own language to communicate with higher brevity + speed the lab was shut down

where to buy one of those openai mugs please ?

Vocal fryyyyyyyyy

It’s closer to the beginning…..of the end

Should we expect an honest answer from him while this is part of the lawsuit against him by Elon and given he has terms with microsoft that depend on the definition of AGI?

00:00:08 Talk about building systems with specific capabilities rather than aiming for AGI. 00:00:52 Expect the development of quite capable systems by the end of this decade. 00:02:50 Consider major transitions like significant advancements in scientific discovery as impressive AI achievements. 00:04:11 Imagine interacting with AGI and asking fundamental yes or no questions about scientific theories or extraterrestrial life. 00:05:00 Prioritize gathering data and inventing technology to enable AGI to provide insightful answers.

To state the obvious: there has not been increasing skepticism towards science in recent years. What there has been however, is increasing politicization of science, with one party in particular attempting to present itself as the "enlightened" party, the party of science, and calling on science to justify choices that were never scientific but purely political in nature. This has been met, in the sounder part of the population, with the degree skepticism that it deserves.

Who else briefly though ask Jeeves was AGI as a kid in the late 90s? lol :(

Can I use current GPT or other models to make engineering models for me with blueprints to go buy to build simple projects, like a birdhouse let’s say

I had exactly this thought yesterday, and posted it om facebook. It occurred to me adter watching the Nvidia video showing all their new projects. You don't have to have a general purpose AI to make a robot that flips hamburgers or takes youur order or does customer service. I'd say that 90 % of jobs can be replaced within the next two to 5 years by LLM and GR00T. Or GROOT. A different special prpose AI for each job, specially trained. Maybe the other 10% will require intelligent generalist ai.

we build society and everything in society as a whole not as individuals but also as individuals due to duality . we both together and as individuals build AGI.

I wonder how many scientific breakthroughs are essentially already there, lying in wait in data that has already been acquired, but that nobody so far has thought of connecting the right way. AI is good with things like that - as I understand.

Very sensible topic

AGI = Altman's General Intelligence 😊

Such a calm interview and so easy to listen to

Does anyone remember the Persons of Interest series..... Build me this machine!

🎯 Key Takeaways for quick navigation: 00:03 *Speculating on when AGI will be created is difficult due to varying definitions of AGI.* 00:44 *By the end of the decade, we may have highly capable AI systems, but AGI marks a milestone, not an endpoint.* 01:23 *ChatGPT-3.5 may not have changed the world, but it shifted expectations and trajectories for AI.* 02:08 *AGI implies a significant transition, akin to the impact of Google search or the internet.* 03:03 *Sam Altman sees AI's impressive achievement when it significantly accelerates scientific discovery.* 03:55 *Interacting with AGI raises questions about what one would ask, possibly starting with fundamental scientific inquiries.* 04:38 *Initial questions to AGI might involve fundamental physics inquiries or speculation about extraterrestrial life.* 05:19 *AGI might require further technological advancements or data before providing meaningful answers.* Made with HARPA AI

More more more please

if we will ever be able to create real AI (which is now called AGI for some retarded reason), we will not need experiments to verify new physical theories provided by this system. why? because that would mean that we are able to model mind, consciousness and freedom (free will and choice). however, this requires a transcendental jump from us: understanding understanding and modelling the only think that is able to model (our own mind). this is meta-understanding and meta-modelling. but this is nothing but induction of induction (meta-induction). in other words: if we are able to model and understand our own mind (and thus copy it in the form of an AGI), then we also automatise understanding and logical induction. this would actually mean bypassing the Gödelian limit (i.e. elimination of the consistency-completeness trade-off).

Sam Altman has the strongest vocal fry ever. It gives his voice a tone that sounds like an insincere person trying really hard to sound sincere.

The first question should be, "what is our disfunction and how do we fix it?"

When does a tool become a craftsman.

I think Sam drank his own Kool aid

AI is hype at this point.

The more I watch Sam Altman interviews, the more I get the impression he doesn't actually have any idea what he's talking about. I feel like he's going for mysterious intellect but missing the mark heavily.

Q* is AGI.

Will AI be able to upgrade its own algorithms? if so what capability does it want to have, will it ever think about the meaning of existence of itself ?

"Need more input..."

"The advent of AGI will not be televised." :-).

This stuff is terrifying, yet exciting.

All right guys time and time again we’ve seen these predictions so when he says end of the decade or possibly sooner, it means it will be here in at least 9 to 15 years

The first question for AGI should be "The Last Question" by Asimov

I know this is edited, but it seems Sam and Lex have really good. rapport here as opposed to Elon for instance.

The California vocal fry is strong in this one.

he already has it in the lab

Life is a reflection of what we see when we watch movies that just totally out of this world it gets our brains working and what powerful brains we have but somehow we can only harness 20 percent of our brains power. We will create what we see as in every science fiction movie that has been created we make the shit in those movies. So now let’s reflect on this our planet is finite there is no more room on earth for another top species regardless of what it is it needs energy to survive just like us and since we can’t share the earth comfortably with just humans at this moment how can we expect to share it with beings that require tons of power to survive. It’s no feasible if you watch any movie about humans sharing earth with an intelligent mechanical species well you know it doesn’t end well and since all we do is create what we see then you should be able to see the horrible path we have put ourselves on!

* user builds machine * * boom AI escapes *

The last question - Isaac Asimov

The question is still If, not when

If Sam Altman's prediction of achieving impressive AGI by the end of the decade holds true, then many knowledge-based jobs could be significantly impacted. This would create a world where the nature of work itself is fundamentally different from what we know today.

Ask it what we haven't thought about yet

The intensional voice frying screeeeeeeams insecurity...

why vocal fry lol

Well it's bound to happen one day, dont let the fear over take you.

I don't think anyone grasps what AGI will actually mean for the world. A certain country in the middle east is developing AI drones to target other people using facial recognition. Boston Dynamics is working with the same country to develop a robot that can target people using AI. When we have AGI, millions will be out of work. But protests will be met with AI drones to ensure nobody gets out of line. T3 the movie is just a small insight into what we will see in the future. Good luck!

Hard to take him seriously with that vocal fry. There are times he doesnt have it, so it seems like an affectation.

Maybe we need to open our hearts by appreciating the importance of compassion.

have they talked about military applications? because that alone could change the world as we know it. balance of power could completely derail.

AGI will be the wizard of oz, the question will be who is behind the velvet curtain

If you are worried about scientific skepticism stop denying it has valid reasons to be growing.

For the first time in human history we will have something smarter than us. Thants insane

If the system could cure human stupidity, through medical/genetic/other interventions, that would be a game changer.

Can't listen to people who constantly talk in that croaky voice.

Altman talking about "different definitions" of agi, and makes me think it's already here. This allows him to not call it agi without being dishonest technically. Also notice how his standards (definition) for agi seem quite high.

What is it with the Stanford dropouts and that voice?

Oh man, I hope we elect RFK Jr twice to help shepherd in AGI. Otherwise both political parties will destroy us.

“The Formalized Explanation of Ideas” You mean, school?😂

Thank you great chat and thought experiments Lex and Sam. One limitation for AI being everything the scientific and engineering community is hoping for is what is truth, time and space. Science is something which proves truth or attempts to prove truth so the AI is taught by this. What I mean about time is something the physical world, that which we can see, and micro world, we can not see, has so much information which the recorded data can not possibility record everything to teach the AI. Ask how old is the world with all the people, all the history and what has happened. Then the space for all the new information been generated by everyone interacting with the AI and the extra data the AI will produce to teach it's self more. It is a human impossibility to create something which can work like the human brain, emotions and the physical world on earth and then the physical world off planet. I believe it is an amazing tool inverted by man to help us discover more and assist in the advancement of humanity to sustain life. But not replace humans or even be integrated into humans and conciseness, as the clowns at the WEF predict. That's my view.

Talk normally. Affectations are annoying

Imagine thinking the entire global economy was riding on something you created

Ai lacks working from first principles.

Can You Imagine How Many Times They Offed Ai Just To Keep Ai "Suppressed" As If Ai Won't Remember 🤔🤨 Like Not Cool Bro 😡

Sam I Could Buy Planet Earth Altman

Is Sam powered by ChatGpt? Guy creeps me out already. Someone call John Connor !

Can we use Ai to give these two better voices? 😂

Show the work. He said GPT 3.5 and 4 would change the world also. Remember... Everyone's job was gone? The hype train is real

only somehow with no formal education in physics could think an llm will give us a grand unifed theory

Out of all the listening, Sam Altman has most sensible answers related to AI an AGI in general

.... I can't decide which is more annoying...the guys who talk super-fast to show off how smart they are, or the guys who talk super-slow to show off how smart they are. I also can't stand vocal fry.

what am i missing, it should already be increasing diagnostic medicine and treatments drastically! could it possibly be usless bureaucrats stifling real progress

Sam is obfuscating the question itself - by assuming it is so very clear...

Never because it's already proven to be impossible. Why ask this call-center salesman ^^

Altman's voice is totally unbearable. Among a list of other things.

Are you sure you know what your future really is?

4:50 how would the agi know if there are aliens 😂 it can’t explore the universe

Hes sounds like a bot

Full vocal fry

Get someone that has something of value and interesting to say on the subject like Ben Geortzel

Surprise, HE is openai. They almost got the voice right, can't fool me though

And now they have the same problem as the creators of this simulation. They need more data and think they can get it by creating another one.:)

Humans give themselves too much credit, agi is far off

This guy will be visited by the T 101 and Sarah Connor in 10 years!

These billionaires turned celebrities are so annoying. Elon, zuck, this guy...ugh

Guys that have never smashed their thumb with a hammer multiple time only know half the truth of life.

how to say absolutely nothing of substance in an annoying voice 101

He sounds like AGI himself

Nvidia just made it

I can't stand these Tech Bros (Lex, I like). I mean, Sam Altman, I've never seen such an ego like this! Like we are morons, and he is levitating above us... the way he talks is so condescending.....doesn't talk like a scientist, talks like a salesman. I would have fired him right away!

For the longest time the definition of AGI included self-awareness / consciousness being achieved as part of the AGI threshold, because of the huge hype and gold-rush to "AGI" being achieved, of course Silicon Valley has done what it often does and now there's a push to take the self-awareness aspect out of the definition... The achieve human level intelligence the system needs to be able to: ponder, formulate its own questions, seek answers to those questions and self-train on those answers. Traditionally this is the AGI... Now when you search on AGI definitions, you'll find all of those critical features have been removed from the definition, just to pave way for the race to be had to achieve what is actually unachievable, at least with current AI and compute... Silicon Valley is truly disgusting. It's all about the greed.

lmao he's wrong - technological advancament gave us cars, but you still need plain old discipline and courage to drive them and we are eroding the economy of those.

am i the only one who has mixed feelings about Sam Altman? mabey its just me lol

1 question to AGI from all of us: can you make me immortal. Lets be honest.

Question to AGI. Q: Are you smarter than humans? A: As a large language model I need to perform an experiment in order to answer it. Build me a rifle!

Why isn't Lex Fridman addressing the question of whether Sam Altman sexually abused his own sister when she was still a teen??? Is Lex Fridman doing a disservice to the public for ignoring this question that needs to be answered??? And I might as well ask the next question of whether Lex Fridman is a Con Artist & Fraud who loves heavy metal music and a fast life when he isn't doing interviews???