NASA TROPICS Satellites Destroyed as Astra Rocket Fails To Reach Orbit

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Scott Manley

Scott Manley

День тому

I watched this launch and failure today and wanted to talk about what I see happening, and what causes we can consider or exclude in the investigation.
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КОМЕНТАРІ: 1 900
@ComradePhoenix
@ComradePhoenix Рік тому
Rocketry failure achievements Astra has earned so far: Failure to Launch, Separation Anxiety, and now Engine Rich Exhaust
@joegoddard9661
@joegoddard9661 Рік тому
Think you’re missing a couple😂
@nanotyrannus5435
@nanotyrannus5435 Рік тому
Don't forget the Crab Walk rocket incident
@derrekvanee4567
@derrekvanee4567 Рік тому
ERE is extra delta Vroooom, RUD yet come on you rich kerbens!
@alfredmaier5696
@alfredmaier5696 Рік тому
yeah they seem to be going for 100% in rocket science hopefully they get some non-failure achievements soon
@T0asty-
@T0asty- Рік тому
@@joegoddard9661 missing a coupling 🤣
@spacebeetle
@spacebeetle Рік тому
It's just sad that they lost yet another rocket & payload. ULA, Arianespace, and especially SpaceX have really spoiled us, making it look like it should be easy to successfully send rockets into orbit. But failures like these keep reminding us of how difficult rocketry really is. Best of luck to Astra in their future launches, I really hope they can make it.
@swagmaster6922
@swagmaster6922 Рік тому
Why would you wish astra luck? Clearly they are not fit for it, they keep losing precious payloads. I'll be quite happy when they go under. They don't have anything unique going for them: their boosters are not reusable like spacex nor 3d printed like relativity space.
@swagmaster6922
@swagmaster6922 Рік тому
Also all the dead ukranians would like to talk to you about wishing roscosmos anything but explosions.
@bazoo513
@bazoo513 Рік тому
@@swagmaster6922 Remind me, how many Falcon 1s did SpaceX lose before the first attempt? How many payloads lost on launch pad? During the launch? How many crew-rated capsules lost to explosion on the launch pad? (I am not counting unsuccessful first stage landing, as it was intentionally pushing the envelope, and no payload was endangered.) Space is hard, and _everyone_ had teething problems. As for uniqueness, Astra size is just right for this particular mission. Yes, there might soon be more, and probably not all will survive. In the meantime, remove those candles from St. Elon shrine.
@S1L3NTIGamer
@S1L3NTIGamer Рік тому
@@swagmaster6922 their unique product is the fact that their rockets can be loaded into a standard semi trailer as stated in the video. That makes them rapidly deployable and more cost effective to transport to a wider variety of launch locations. That is their niche and what makes them competitive over other rocket manufacturers. I’m a big fanboy of SpaceX and relativity, but I would never hope for a rocket manufacturer to fail just because it’s niche doesn’t seem cool or unique enough at first glance. Please either pay closer attention to the video that your commenting on or put some more thought into your weird hot takes.
@work90
@work90 Рік тому
@@swagmaster6922You sir need to gain some basic compassion. Go read the story of Jesus
@petera6984
@petera6984 Рік тому
I've been watching launches since Armstrong in 1961. Astra simply has the most unique and entertaining failures.
@sproctor1958
@sproctor1958 Рік тому
Was that when Armstrong got his astronaut wings in the X-15? (Just curious. I've been watching from central Florida since the beginning also.) Well said... "unique and entertaining failures."
@petera6984
@petera6984 Рік тому
@@sproctor1958 Yep, I'm 68 years old. Sorry, I meant Shepherd. (CRS) 😎 Although some of those Jupiter and early Atlas launches were spectacular launch pad failures.
@sproctor1958
@sproctor1958 Рік тому
@@petera6984 I'm playing catch-up by about 4 years. 😀 Actually, I think (IMHO) Armstrong beat Shepherd into space with his X-15 flight, but at least they both got to walk on the Moon. An "RUD" is one thing, but Astra's "Slide" launch from Alaska was epic! I think Scott did a video on it... worth watching! (If my memory serves correctly... CRS, yep, ditto...)
@petera6984
@petera6984 Рік тому
@@sproctor1958 Chuck Yeager also flew the X-15 as did someone else whose name escapes me, but niether a Mercury Astro. The single funniest moment of the "horizonal flight" was the voice-over announcing "maxQ" with rocket about 50 feet off the ground. Dang, just look up! They will get their act together. 😎
@sproctor1958
@sproctor1958 Рік тому
@@petera6984 There were 3 or 4 as I recall, who got their wings in the X-15... Scott Cross comes to mind also, but I would have to dig in my library, so... "Max Q"... ROFL... I will admit I was impressed!
@andrewg3238
@andrewg3238 Рік тому
"No one is going to charge NASA for littering" nice little reference to Skylab and Australia there Scott. Love the channel. 🙂
@jonahfastre
@jonahfastre Рік тому
And that’s why I always put a parachute on my satellite in Kerbal
@allanchurm
@allanchurm Рік тому
lol
@vitaminprotein6549
@vitaminprotein6549 Рік тому
That's a great idea to be honest.
@LazyLifeIFreak
@LazyLifeIFreak Рік тому
At these velocities wouldn't have mattered, the thing would be glowing fiery red by the time the parachutes opened.
@middletnpyro
@middletnpyro Рік тому
💯 just might need a heat shield or inflatable heat shield
@willyamcarkey717
@willyamcarkey717 Рік тому
At veloctity 6500 m/s when you hit atmosphere, the satelite without heat shield will burn up instantly before you use parachutes.
@snappycattimesten
@snappycattimesten Рік тому
Felt sorry for that launch engineer with his mask on. His eyes gave away his panic when he saw that unplanned puff of smoke from the engine.
@bewArcher
@bewArcher Рік тому
My question was...why was that idiot wearing a mask?!
@hrissan
@hrissan Рік тому
With his mask😾? This tells about company leadership more than technical details. Stupidity squared.
@spacegoldfish40
@spacegoldfish40 Рік тому
@@sluggo3slug Why do you even care? Is this the personal responsibility you guys got so hard on?
@Hirosjimma
@Hirosjimma Рік тому
@@sluggo3slug his body his choice STFU
@johnlau8461
@johnlau8461 Рік тому
@@sluggo3slug im sure you are a free thinker, we get it
@jamesmihalcik1310
@jamesmihalcik1310 Рік тому
In a "Think Tank" near you, "Well, what was Scott Manley's take on it". Well deserved! (Spread sheets, mission comparisons, color enhancements, payload explanations, back stories and some needed humor.) Perfect!
@truthsRsung
@truthsRsung Рік тому
James Mihalcik...I see Four "Intelligent" Humans gathered in approximately 44 cubic meters of atmosphere, wearing Tshirts, headphones, and Cloth Masks. I am just a Lowly HVAC Technician. Does my perspective matter? Unless the KamaSutra has been edited to add dickinth'ear, I'm not reaching any higher state.
@stile8686
@stile8686 Рік тому
"Digging around behind the couch on SLS". That made me laugh. You are a funny man.
@ThatOpalGuy
@ThatOpalGuy Рік тому
It probably costs them more than that to roll the thing out to the pad.
@angelarch5352
@angelarch5352 Рік тому
...Maybe NASA can find ML-2 behind the couch pillows while they are digging around in there,
@angelarch5352
@angelarch5352 Рік тому
I really hope Astra figures out the problems -- their "launch anywhere" from trucks system looks like such a great idea.
@RFC-3514
@RFC-3514 Рік тому
Because you never know when you might feel like launching a satellite while you're out shopping in your truck.
@seantaggart7382
@seantaggart7382 Рік тому
I mean its cool but its better for missile systems anyways since its WAY HARDER
@crewsgiles9499
@crewsgiles9499 Рік тому
@@RFC-3514 Something to do at the truck-stop when there is no WiFi. I like it.
@timewa851
@timewa851 Рік тому
@@RFC-3514 I don't know. It just feels cozy knowing I can achieve orbit failure from damn near anywhere.
@jeromethiel4323
@jeromethiel4323 Рік тому
WW2 Germany certainly thought so! ^-^ And I, for one, think they were correct. Launching a small payload rocket from anywhere has some really nice features.
@Chriss120
@Chriss120 Рік тому
as a bonus to producing more satelites, you have some cold-spares in case you need more satelite capacity or some fail a couple years into the program
@erictheepic5019
@erictheepic5019 Рік тому
Another quasi-bonus is that the cost per satellite almost certainly goes down, even if you are spending more money to get the extra satellites.
@draco84oz
@draco84oz Рік тому
I think there was a line from the movie Arrival - "Why build one when you can build two for twice the price?"
@ensom
@ensom Рік тому
@@draco84oz you're thinking of "contact"
@Chriss120
@Chriss120 Рік тому
@@erictheepic5019 yep
@draco84oz
@draco84oz Рік тому
@@ensom Whoops....
@daviddowling9830
@daviddowling9830 Рік тому
Considering their failures they have accomplished more than Blue Origin. That is all.
@lowwastehighmelanin
@lowwastehighmelanin Рік тому
Oop 😂
@profwaldone
@profwaldone Рік тому
They have missed more shots than blueper has taken
@carljohan9265
@carljohan9265 Рік тому
Does Astra have even 1 successful launch? Every single one I've seen have been failures.
@fabrb26
@fabrb26 Рік тому
BO is a billionaire joke the poor just don't get.
@my3dviews
@my3dviews Рік тому
Have they ever got William Shatner off the ground? 😂
@lowwastehighmelanin
@lowwastehighmelanin Рік тому
These repeat failures make me so sad. It's something different every time too. The engineers must be so frustrated by this too 😭
@dwavenminer
@dwavenminer Рік тому
Well at least its something different each time...the worst mistakes are the ones you make multiple times...
@jeremygalloway1348
@jeremygalloway1348 Рік тому
Yes, learning from mistakes
@my3dviews
@my3dviews Рік тому
@@jeremygalloway1348 You can only learn from your mistakes if you know what was done wrong. Hopefully they will have enough data to determine the exact cause.
@FrancisE.Dec.Esquire
@FrancisE.Dec.Esquire Рік тому
High school Grads aren’t prepared for higher education “We’ve been giving kids worksheets with simplistic answers for years and then get upset when they can’t write a five-paragraph essay or recognize subject-verb agreement, that’s dumb ass kids. That’s the U.S.A.”
@ianstobie
@ianstobie Рік тому
It could be worse. You could also support Ferrari in F1!
@jaydonbooth4042
@jaydonbooth4042 Рік тому
As soon as they showed the first rocket cam views and the rocket looked like it was wobbling a lot and like overcorrecting I was like "uh oh, not again..." but hoped it would still make it. Hoping Astra gets all the kinks worked out and stops having issues like this, and I'm interested to hear what they determine the issue was this time.
@jamie2469
@jamie2469 Рік тому
same, it calmed down slightly and I got hopeful. I think they've proved they can get the job done, they just need to iron out some of their current issues
@leonkernan
@leonkernan Рік тому
There were a few ohh’s on stream at that moment as well
@recoilrob324
@recoilrob324 Рік тому
Yep...those sudden corrections were concerning being that could be a symptom of the engine nozzle experiencing separation or other form of combustion anomaly which will cause side thrust that has to be corrected by the flight computer. Then the big puff when it let go.....'shut down early' is rocket talk for 'blew up'.
@sssbob
@sssbob Рік тому
It ran out of gas.
@dmurray2978
@dmurray2978 Рік тому
The covid masks didn't work for the rocket
@sproctor1958
@sproctor1958 Рік тому
"... Digging around behind the couch on SLS ..." BRUTAL FINALE' ! And so appropriate. Well done! 👏👏👏
@cyborghumanity9945
@cyborghumanity9945 Рік тому
Astra should make a deal with spinlaunch allowing them to share the company name.
@ChemEDan
@ChemEDan Рік тому
damn lol xD
@johnsmith-ky5qg
@johnsmith-ky5qg Рік тому
Savage
@eirinym
@eirinym Рік тому
As much as people want to see Astra succeed, and it'd be nice, sure, but at this point it's clear they need some more testing. Until they can actually demonstrate some reliability, probably best to avoid using them for launches. I certainly wouldn't choose them. Might sound harsh, but, there are other options.
@ligmasack9038
@ligmasack9038 Рік тому
Astra is still better than anything China has, and at least Astra isn't run by that tool, Elon Musk.
@kleinerprinz99
@kleinerprinz99 Рік тому
@@ligmasack9038 China's and SpaceX' rockets work and are reliable. The opposite of crash-a-lot Astra.
@FrancisE.Dec.Esquire
@FrancisE.Dec.Esquire Рік тому
American Schools do graduate people with illiterate levels of reading, math and common sense. 75% of High School grads are literally Illiterate and aren’t prepared for higher education “If we’ve been giving kids worksheets with simplistic answers for years and then get upset when they can’t write a five-paragraph essay or recognize subject-verb agreement, that’s not the kids. That’s us.” The rates are “so high that there’s no question students are getting out of high school without the skills they need to succeed in college,” said Alex Mayer, a senior research associate at MRDC, an education and social policy research organization. “The other side of it is these students are not getting out of college, for the most part.” Indeed, research has shown that students who enroll in these remedial courses often never even make it into the classes that will count toward a degree. A similarly wide-ranging 2012 report by Complete College America determined that nearly half of entering students at two-year schools and a fifth at four-year schools were placed in remedial classes in the fall of 2006. Nearly 40 percent of students at two-year schools and a quarter of those at four-year schools failed to complete their remedial classes, that report found.
@BrianJT
@BrianJT Рік тому
@@FrancisE.Dec.Esquire your definition of illiteracy seems a little bit higher than most people's definition...
@mikehipperson
@mikehipperson Рік тому
@@ligmasack9038 Salty! At least SpaceX have done due diligence and pretested their rockets! When you think about it SpaceX could have launched all 6 of these satellites in one go alongside a Starlink launch! Do you have shares in Astra? Seems like you just lost your money pal!
@Forest_Fifer
@Forest_Fifer Рік тому
Morning. Alameda Naval Base? Isn't that where the nuclear wessels were?
@tactileslut
@tactileslut Рік тому
Yes, and the Monterey Bay aquarium was in Sausalito.
@BMrider75
@BMrider75 Рік тому
Thanks Scott. Good assessment. And great nerding with the telemetry data !
@Rob2
@Rob2 Рік тому
In such a "$20M cubesat project" the actual cost of the hardware is only a small fraction. It should be easy to build 6 more, and probably they have already done that. (and it would cost less than a single cable in the new SLS launch tower)
@josh3771
@josh3771 Рік тому
20M is just for the zip ties for said SLS cable
@my3dviews
@my3dviews Рік тому
@@josh3771 Actually, the bag that holds the zip ties. 😂
@ThatOpalGuy
@ThatOpalGuy Рік тому
Not much free money after wasting so much on JWST and the sls boondoggle.
@ThatOpalGuy
@ThatOpalGuy Рік тому
@@my3dviews the yatch that holds the bag that holds the zip ties...
@oskimac
@oskimac Рік тому
At 3:54 is that an arduino nano? Are the cube sat using that hardware?
@SVanDykTX
@SVanDykTX Рік тому
I always appreciate your analysis after a failure like this. Thank you.
@MistSoalar
@MistSoalar Рік тому
This is one of the channels I can comfortably turning on notification🔔. Always high quality contents and fun streams that I never want to miss. Also Scott doesn't remind us for subs & nots.
@markoconnell804
@markoconnell804 Рік тому
My guess is one of the two fuels needed ran out prematurely. I will say it was a leak that predicated the early shutdown also causing the The bobbling in the video while thrusting.
@charlesstepp129
@charlesstepp129 Рік тому
I remember a theory from one of our rare submarine losses. It was thought that the highly compressed air used to blow the ballast tanks had too much moisture in that air and clogged the air tank vents with ice. This would probably not be anything like what happened with this rocket, but my mind always goes there when I think of compressed gasses being released
@ADHDTeenager
@ADHDTeenager Рік тому
My friend asked me what went wrong with the rocket and I told him to check your channel this morning for your video on it. Thanks Scott
@DB-cc5vg
@DB-cc5vg Рік тому
I have always loved Astra's concept of loading everything in to a few shipping containers and being able to launch from any suitable location on Earth. Sad to have watched another failure yesterday, but space is hard and the margin between success and failure is razor thin. SpaceX was iffy during the early days, though they have made routine booster recovery a reality. I still hold my breath from landing legs deployed to touchdown however. I likely will not live long enough to ever see Starship turnaround times of 1 hour. The TPS will be a major factor in that for quite some time to come, although I hope they have better success than the space shuttle did. Other companies have had their failures too, it's a fact of rocketry that can not be totally avoided. Cube sats are relatively inexpensive. If you need 6, build 8 or 10 so that in the event of a launch failure or subsequent failure of a satellite in orbit the constellation can be quickly restored to full capability. SLS pocket change....more like the money in the couch cushions would be enough to help subsidize more than a few small launch providers and cube sats.
@aluisious
@aluisious Рік тому
No one is going to live long enough to see Starship turnaround times of 1 hour.
@HeadshotDisorder
@HeadshotDisorder Рік тому
@@aluisious People around today will be around for another 60-80 years. I'm almost entirely certain you will see it in your lifetime. They landed their first Falcon 9 in 2016 and launched their first reused rocket in 2017. Now, 5 years later its entirely normal and extremely common to launch and land the rocket. Give it probably 25-30 years and there will come a time where we are getting close to 1 hour turnarounds.
@trvman1
@trvman1 Рік тому
Ask yourself this. If you had a company that wanted to put a satellite into orbit. Would you choose SpaceX or Astra? If your company would or would not still be in business after the launch. Who would you choose?
@tylisirn
@tylisirn Рік тому
@@trvman1 Depends on how much insurance I can get for the Astra launch. Also, how much money I have. Astra gets you a whole mission pretty cheap, with SpaceX you have to settle on piggybacking on another mission for similar prices. That may or may not be good enough, because you get not say at all on the orbital parameters (it's determined by the main launch). Will I still be in business if I don't fly? So, your choices are: no mission - a risky mission, but you have a mission - or safeish mission, but have no say on it, take what you get - or many many times more expensive safeish mission (but you also get much more size and payload capacity).
@redwalsh87
@redwalsh87 Рік тому
I burst out laughing at work with the "digging behind the couch on SLS" comment, good one Scott!!
@favesongslist
@favesongslist Рік тому
Love the way you just drop the values into a spread sheet and come out with great conclusions :)
@Lucius_Chiaraviglio
@Lucius_Chiaraviglio Рік тому
I can see a way that fuel sloshing due to repeated attitude correction could indirectly lead to fuel or oxidizer starvation, especially if a resonant sloshing occurred in one of the tanks: As the fuel or oxidizer gets low, permitting the drain hole in the tank to become momentarily uncovered, in a pressure-fed system, this will result in the pressurization gas escaping very quickly, because its viscosity is less than that of the liquid fuel or oxidizer. Then, even when the drain hole gets covered back up, the tank pressure will have dropped too low to keep the engine going.
@RaimoKangasniemi
@RaimoKangasniemi Рік тому
Considering the high failure rate with Astra, as cheap as launching with them was and as limited as the alternatives were, this doesn't feel like having been the right decision. When Astra gets through these troubles, sure, but now using them is sadly just Russian roulette.
@astrofpv3631
@astrofpv3631 Рік тому
At least with Russian roulette is that you more likely to survive. Astra is now at 2 for 7 launches. Surprising they are still able to raise money at this rate
@sujalshetty5986
@sujalshetty5986 Рік тому
they have 5 bullets and one gap.
@bravodefeated9193
@bravodefeated9193 Рік тому
still costs less than say one failure of a falcon 9 launch
@slipknottin
@slipknottin Рік тому
That’s what insurance is for.
@remigaillard4802
@remigaillard4802 Рік тому
@@bravodefeated9193 When was the last failure of a falcon 9 ?
@SilverSergeant
@SilverSergeant Рік тому
I don't see how ASTRA can survive. Poor engineering, poor business decisions, focus on politics??????
@ComputerHistoryArchivesProject
@ComputerHistoryArchivesProject Рік тому
Excellent video, great explanation and clarity. Very educational material. Thank you! ~
@philipgiacalone5605
@philipgiacalone5605 Рік тому
Another major influence on the magnitude of propellant sloshing is the frequency of vehicle oscillations. If oscillations are near the resonant frequency of sloshing motions, then slosh magnitudes can obviously grow rapidly. Since the tanks were roughly 20% full at the time of the shutdown, sloshing and resultant gas ingestion could have caused a mixture problem and engine shutdown. The video does seem to show some small upper stage movements that are less than smooth during the earlier phase of the upper stage flight. Those vehicle movements would produce some sloshing motions. Also, propellant motions and resultant forces could feedback into the control system and cause it to become unstable. The vehicle may have already been losing attitude control when the engine shutdown. Telemetry should be able to quickly identify a control problem, if that occurred.
@awall98
@awall98 Рік тому
I noticed right away that the engine bell wasn’t glowing at all as compared to previous successes. It could have just been the lighting, but I actually thought that it had failed to light. Maybe just burning too rich and went through the fuel faster than anticipated?
@realdizzle87
@realdizzle87 Рік тому
If you go back and watch stage-sep, it, again, didn't go well. They had to blow off a ton of high-pressure ullage gas to correct and then null out their trajectory. After that - the fate of the rocket was sealed.
@realdizzle87
@realdizzle87 Рік тому
Orbital velocity needed for low-earth orbit is about 7,500 m/s. If you go back and watch the broadcast - by their own telemetry data - they were not on pace to get anywhere near orbital speed by the end of the second stage burn. Especially when you consider - as you burn more and more propellant, you lose more and more pressure in the propellant tanks, which means you're dropping pressure in the entire engine system - meaning: you're constantly losing thrust as the burn continues. When I was watching the launch live, I was running the math in my head and when I heard the commentators say the burn was scheduled to end in 2 minutes - that's when I had my calculations finished and I knew for sure they weren't going to make it to orbit. They were just way too low on speed. From that point on, I was watching knowing what I was going to see - they were going to keep the engine burning as long as they could, until they ran out of enough pressure in the tanks to drive the pumps and the engine was going to flame-out. That engine stopped because they literally "ran out of gas."
@DaveInPA2010
@DaveInPA2010 Рік тому
Savage, bro’! And well deserved! NASA’s new funding source: “…digging around behind the couch on SLS.”
@rayoflight62
@rayoflight62 Рік тому
I thought the upper stage had a turbopump. A pressure fed engine failure, the most likely parts to fail are the various sensors and the control electronics. Thank you for the prompt update Mr Manley...
@firefly4f4
@firefly4f4 Рік тому
No, it's always been pressure fed. This rocket makes Electron look large, so a turbopump would already be impractical just due to that small size, and similarly using electric pumps like their first stage would reduce their mass to orbit too much even if they could figure out a hot swap solution. At least that's my read on it.
@carlwest859
@carlwest859 Рік тому
> Should have used 4680 batteries, seriously for everything to shut down they lost electrical power perhaps.
@swedenfrommycam
@swedenfrommycam Рік тому
As always super Good work! Thanks Scott🇸🇪👍
@zrebbesh
@zrebbesh Рік тому
In the Upward-Ho boardgame you'd draw a launch card and it would either say "Congratulations on a successful launch!" or "Congratulations! You learned ...." and it would name a cause for launch failure. If you already had one of those "learning" cards on the table with the same cause, your launch would succeed. Otherwise you had to eat the cost of the launch with no income but you got to put down the card in front of you as 'expertise.' There were two other cards that said, "Disaster! Your rocket fell in the ocean (or 'exploded in flight') and you have NO IDEA WHY!" Those were a dead loss. No launch income, no expertise gained.
@gastonbell108
@gastonbell108 Рік тому
What about "Congratulations! You learned your manufacturing & assembly operation produces random mission-ending flaws 90% of the time!"
@daniellewis1789
@daniellewis1789 Рік тому
I'm not finding that game in my searches - can you confirm the name, maybe how old it is, is it a fun game worth adding to my collection?
@FrikInCasualMode
@FrikInCasualMode Рік тому
It was frustrating to watch live. First two holds, then they managed to finally launch - and then rocket failed anyway. Poor Astra.
@user-wy8ki2ef1m
@user-wy8ki2ef1m Рік тому
Jeb?
@FrikInCasualMode
@FrikInCasualMode Рік тому
@@user-wy8ki2ef1m I wish I could be so cool! Unfortunately I lack BadS trait.
@kleinerprinz99
@kleinerprinz99 Рік тому
Poor payload. Screw Astra. How about make them take responsibility?
@dmurray2978
@dmurray2978 Рік тому
Shame, I thought their masks and rainbow flag would protect the rocket
@FrikInCasualMode
@FrikInCasualMode Рік тому
@@dmurray2978 And your tolerant and accepting attitude is exactly the reason why we need masks and rainbow flags everywhere. Ever heard "Live, and let others live."? Why the frick do you care if someone wants to wear a mask? Or what they are doing with another consenting adult in their own bed? Mind your own business.
@24HoLTeam93
@24HoLTeam93 Рік тому
If there's pumps or rotating elements in the 2nd stage, the sudden change in attitude when the engine stops could also be engine components spinning down gradually or RUD-ily and donating their angular momentum to the rocket body.
@boobtube1212
@boobtube1212 Рік тому
It's pressure fed, so as simple as it gets, no pumps or anything.
@24HoLTeam93
@24HoLTeam93 Рік тому
@@boobtube1212 Ah k. Then my idea is wrong! I guess if a fuel/oxidizer pipe made a loop and then things suddenly stopped somehow it could happen, but seems unlikely.
@algomaone121
@algomaone121 Рік тому
An excellent analysis, thanks Scott!
@rcpmac
@rcpmac Рік тому
Everyone knows you need at least 10 people in the control room for a successful launch 🚀
@keco185
@keco185 Рік тому
Poor Astra. I’m a fan of them but they’ve been plagued by the space kraken since their first attempted launch. I hope they succeed but these launches are expensive failures
@DanielRichards644
@DanielRichards644 Рік тому
maybe they should hire based on SKILL and not based on Diversity and Inclusion that gets you things like the p3do lover rainbow flag at the launch site.
@Tk3997
@Tk3997 Рік тому
@@DanielRichards644 So all qualified engineers are white men I presume, because colored people and women folk are just too stupid for the job? That's effectively you're actually saying with this garbage, since apparently you believe that no one qualified exists for these jobs in under(not UN)represented groups. Really this kind of thinking is such a wonderfully moronic circular logic "We don't hire them because they don't have the skill/expereicne, which they can never gain cause we wont hire them, hence why we never hire them."
@incognitoburrito6020
@incognitoburrito6020 Рік тому
​@@DanielRichards644 yeah man, it's so sad that the engineers were so busy hanging up a single flag that they ran out of time to work on their rocket. hate it when that happens
@DanielRichards644
@DanielRichards644 Рік тому
@@incognitoburrito6020 you missed my whole point with your sarcastic comment groomer
@ditzygypsy
@ditzygypsy Рік тому
I don’t really care about the rocket as much as I thought I might when I clicked on this. But I could listen to you talk for days 😊. I love that accent!
@menotyou1234
@menotyou1234 Рік тому
Thank you Scott.
@williamscoggin1509
@williamscoggin1509 Рік тому
When you have a different problem every time you launch and fail there are some serious problems throughout your design.
@FireStriker_
@FireStriker_ Рік тому
I’m not sure why NASA gave this contract to ASTRA with a success rate of 1 to 5 at the time when Rocketlabs electron could of done this and would of had a higher chance of getting into orbit.
@totalermist
@totalermist Рік тому
The same could've been said 14 years ago with SpaceX. Similar story there and look where they are now.
@richardmarshall9372
@richardmarshall9372 Рік тому
Astra is American, Rocketlab is not. NASA will probably ditch Rocketlab as soon as they have an American owned small rocket company to replace Rocketlab.
@naidanac1
@naidanac1 Рік тому
NASA will throw money at companies that want to give it an honest shot. I commend them for this!
@josh3771
@josh3771 Рік тому
@@richardmarshall9372Rocketlabs is actually American owned with a 2nd launch facility being built it Wallops Island, Virginia 🙂
@_Andrew2002
@_Andrew2002 Рік тому
@@totalermist Difference is SpaceX had their 3 failures and then went on to have 20 consecutive successful launches. Astra had their 3 failures then had a 50% success rate afterwards.
@joedeshon
@joedeshon Рік тому
"Plotted it on a spreadsheet like a nerd." You're my favorite nerd, Scott!
@zacharys41
@zacharys41 Рік тому
Astra recently said the preliminary cause for the failure was "a higher-than-normal fuel consumption rate", causing the Aether engine to shut down early. I believe the "fuel" in the cause listed referred to the RP-1 kerosene running out early with some liquid oxygen left over. It didn't say "higher-than-normal oxidizer consumption rate".
@tlielthuddab9693
@tlielthuddab9693 Рік тому
Didn't know there was an SLS couch! 😱😱😱 Always keeping the best secrets for the last, eh Scott? 🤣🤣🤣
@loadmastergod1961
@loadmastergod1961 Рік тому
Combustion chamber melted thru in s spot. Loss of pressure caused shutdown. My initial thoughts watching it live
@aldenconsolver3428
@aldenconsolver3428 Рік тому
Astra seems to be a fine idea and they will get it all together soon. Now having Falcon 9 launching like a Consolidated Freightways truck on its regular route there is a tendency to forget that rocketry still demands its sacrifice before things will work. We also need to remember this when SpaceX starts launching Starship, even with their experience we can bet that at least one will have a RUD (Rapid Unscheduled Disassembly). NASA needs to keep working on the small stuff and not just multi-billion dollar 20-year projects. And Scott, you are right, there should be enough change behind SLS's couch to keep Astra working on it long enough that they will get it all straight. Ideally, in a few years, we can be doing small space science all the time. A day is even coming where we can send out little exploration satellites till we find a rare earth asteroid and/or all the other things a future-oriented society needs.
@theobserver9131
@theobserver9131 Рік тому
The thing about SpaceX, is they got most of their failures out of the way before they started taking payloads.
@winsurfer123
@winsurfer123 Рік тому
When they are digging around the couch why does there hand always end up in our pockets? Good video. Thanks Scott
@1247.cccccc
@1247.cccccc Рік тому
Excellent and genuine content that we can trust.
@demacherius1
@demacherius1 Рік тому
How is shipping insurance handeled in space? Is it carrier risk or is the customer the one who foots the bill? If NASA could rebuild the sats would Astra be required to launch them for free? Alm those things would be a interresting video.
@paulhaynes8045
@paulhaynes8045 Рік тому
I think there's a fair chance these weren't insured. I used to work for Lloyd's of London and if there's one thing that taught me it's that underwriters don't take risks! If something is likely to go wrong, they charge an arm and a leg, and in this case, the premium would almost certainly be more than the replacement cost. I imagine that they just factor in the risk of losings their sats. Astra want to put something into orbit to prove/test their rocket and the sat owners can't afford a full price launch, so a deal is done - a free or cheap flight, but no guarantee it will get into orbit.
@demacherius1
@demacherius1 Рік тому
@@paulhaynes8045 Its not just about a actual insurance. There has to be some agreement what happens if it goes wrong. That is the part I ment with shipping insurance. Even If you dont have insurance usually there are T&C for all the cases that could happen.
@SMHman666
@SMHman666 Рік тому
Miky S Yes, that would be interesting. Failures like this cost big and it makes you wonder what types of insurance they have, if any, and where the buck stops. As a customer, you'd be pretty pissed.
@AppleGameification
@AppleGameification Рік тому
If they're insured, they will be underwritten by a lot of different insurers to spread out the risk
@TheFirebird123456
@TheFirebird123456 Рік тому
most large rocket launches are insured and the cost of insurance is part of the launch price. I don't know how it works for small rockets because the field is so new. furthermore, I don't know if the government actually bothers to get insurance on its launches (some of these satellites like the James Webb or the spy satellites would cause insurers to blow a gasket from the eye-watering cost of the satellite). I've never heard of it even when the satellites failed to reach orbit. given the experimental nature of the launch vehicle, i would side with no.
@DougsMessyGarage
@DougsMessyGarage Рік тому
'Digging around the couch on SLS' Gotta love it. Thanks Scott.
@daverohrich8518
@daverohrich8518 Рік тому
Real bummer. Rooting for all of the startups to have success to help drive competition, so it sucks when these failures happen with payload on board
@chrismoule7242
@chrismoule7242 Рік тому
7:00 - I'm going to take issue with this statement: this *only* applies if the forces applying to the stage when the engine stops are not in line with the flight trajectory, *and* the ability to correct its attitude is lost: all successful orbital stages stop their engines at some point, but they fly on regardless.
@raxneff
@raxneff Рік тому
3:55 is that an Arduino? Will there be such Arduinos in space or just test equipment?
@tomgeorge3726
@tomgeorge3726 Рік тому
Nano in space.. Hope its not an eBay special...
@trs4u
@trs4u Рік тому
good eye - the "USA 2811" makes it easier to find online. I wonder how often prototypes (surely no IC sockets in space intentionally?) are flown.
@stupidgenius42
@stupidgenius42 Рік тому
My guess is that, because the launch with a bad fairing had a under aggressive control system, now they had an over aggressive control system, which was wasting fuel and delta-V, and led to a hard, lack of fuel related shutdown. (This also makes sense because it could have run out of oxygen, making a red exhaust.)
@brucebennett4274
@brucebennett4274 Рік тому
"...digging around the couch on SLS." Sting! I hope for the best for Astra - this was a blow...
@Papershields001
@Papershields001 Рік тому
I love these small launch providers. Particularly astra’s philosophy of the keeping the whole second stage inside the fairing and also launching with such slimmed down infrastructure. Really innovative and interesting. Failures early on are the birthing pains of any rocket company. I hope they come into their stride soon.
@SmotritelMayaka29
@SmotritelMayaka29 Рік тому
Innovative??? Dude, launching rockets from mobile platforms has been around since the 70s. Both the US and Russia have had these technologies for a long time. I do not understand why the US does not use its developments, while Russia successfully uses them.
@Papershields001
@Papershields001 Рік тому
@@SmotritelMayaka29 if only your tanks worked so well…
@KoeddkHD
@KoeddkHD Рік тому
2nd stage is so unstable, it seems like it always fights the center of mass making constant corrections.
@flechette3782
@flechette3782 Рік тому
Poor attitude control programming.
@LongTran-em6hc
@LongTran-em6hc Рік тому
They need to work out the PID.
@KoeddkHD
@KoeddkHD Рік тому
@@flechette3782 I hope for Astra that is the issue. If it's mass related it is going to require redesigning. I am still amazed, it didn't break up or loose control due to violent corrections. Around t +1 min 20 seconds
@markevan1
@markevan1 Рік тому
@@KoeddkHD *lose
@jamescollier3
@jamescollier3 Рік тому
maybe they ran out of gas
@EinSwitzer
@EinSwitzer Рік тому
pre-launch cooling water jets caused an issue with the rocket thrust cones.. I would turn the water off hold for a second or 2 then launch
@whisper7637
@whisper7637 Рік тому
Was that trim jet burst at 7:17 on the left side of the bell?
@watcherzero5256
@watcherzero5256 Рік тому
Fascinating, do they have a counter-rotating counterweight to the radar reflectors to prevent the whole craft rotating from torque?
@DanielDornekDorda
@DanielDornekDorda Рік тому
it's probably very smooth there isn't really any force other than friction to stop it from rotating
@jocramkrispy305
@jocramkrispy305 Рік тому
as the device also needs to rotate end-over-end once per orbit it almost has a reaction wheel system, the friction losses will easily be soaked up by that.
@sigmasquadleader
@sigmasquadleader Рік тому
You don't need counter-mass if you spin up slowly.
@jocramkrispy305
@jocramkrispy305 Рік тому
@@sigmasquadleader Yes you do. Newton's third law.
@dancingdog2790
@dancingdog2790 Рік тому
The back cube *wasn't* spinning so probably thrusters.
@garyb8528
@garyb8528 Рік тому
Good morning Scott. Thanks for a good discussion on the mishap. Do you think is was prudent for NASA to award Astra these missions given that they are not really flight proven yet? Seems too soon to give them payloads give no track record. Love to hear your opinion sir.
@GrandMoffOfMars
@GrandMoffOfMars Рік тому
astra checks their social issues boxes so nasa will give them money to die slowly rather than abruptly like they deserve
@myownboss1
@myownboss1 Рік тому
Why should NASA care? They are playing with other people’s money (our money)…. I hear what Scott is saying about why they chose Astra, but by now, any prudent real business would be trying to figure out something with Space-X!!!!
@phillyphakename1255
@phillyphakename1255 Рік тому
I think it is prudent. Corporations are people, my friend, and we give free public education to all people in hopes that one day this lottery ticket pays off and we get a doctor or an engineer or a SpaceX. It is an investment, a way to fund the learning which can ultimately create a more productive individual, and a more productive economy, and a more productive nation. The downside is low, 20 million dollars, the upside is high, more competition in launch services. Having team Red White and Blue win the race to cost effective small sat launchers is in NASA's best interests, they are willing to lose a few lottery tickets early on but keep playing.
@christopherpardell4418
@christopherpardell4418 Рік тому
Looked to me like they either didn’t load enough oxidizer, or there was a small leak, and they lost a little during the burn. Ran out of oxidizer, the flame went out and just the fuel continued to spray out. Just the last little bit.
@chadcrotts870
@chadcrotts870 Рік тому
Digging around behind the couch…lol good one!
@glennpearson9348
@glennpearson9348 Рік тому
The dig on SLS costs to launch was spot on. That said, I'm quite certain Astra would be thrilled to have NASA continue to fund their launch failures. Even rocket builders need some accountability, as Musk learned in the early days of Falcon development.
@DrMJT
@DrMJT Рік тому
daft question: Your animation shows the satellites RADAR continuously on as it rotates. It records the atmospheric and ground data. Would it not also be recording 360 degrees around the satellite? In the mm range, how effective would these sort of satellites be in obtaining data on 'space junk' and other satellites within the range of the beam? Or are they build Only with receivers on the Earthside? If this is the case - would it not be more logical to have 360 receiver on the units? These 360 degree images would potentially be superior to ground based 'space fence' radar for the LEO range of object mapping?
@ThatOpalGuy
@ThatOpalGuy Рік тому
Interesting idea.
@QuasiRandomViewer
@QuasiRandomViewer Рік тому
TOPICS satellites don't carry active RADARs, but instead passive microwave radiometers -- so they are receiver-only. Your question is still valid, though. Would they, or more likely something similar, be able to scan for reflections from orbital debris smaller than can be tracked via ground-based space-surveillance active radars, such as the Space Fence?
@DrMJT
@DrMJT Рік тому
@@QuasiRandomViewer And IF they are not able to receive data... only have receivers pointed towards the Earth, then it should be considered as an addition to all Future Earth Monitoring Sats. I think the Space Fence can detect object of 10cm. Having the existing (if have the equipment) and make all future Sats have the capacity to view in 360 degrees. Space Fence etc only see a slice of space. Having dozens to hundreds or more satellites in orbit would be able to potentially detect objects in the millimetres size range. That is how I view the Earth Monitoring Sats, they are wasting at least 180 degrees of the 360 degrees.
@awall98
@awall98 Рік тому
Brilliant
@Utopianwinds
@Utopianwinds Рік тому
I think they use the *not earth* view to correct the temperature based on the steep gradient between space temperature and the earth temperature, since the mission has to detect the atmospheric temperature with a very high accuracy requirement. I don't know the details of how that is done, but I'm aware that is a common practice for many EO satellite sensors, but that information is definitely not being wasted.
@pirminborer625
@pirminborer625 Рік тому
I was 100% sure we will get your coverage of this today.
@Patchuchan
@Patchuchan Рік тому
I hope Astra can get their rocket sorted out as the launch anywhere concept is potentially very useful.
@scottymoondogjakubin4766
@scottymoondogjakubin4766 Рік тому
So close yet so far ! better luck next launch astra !
@DaedricFaZe
@DaedricFaZe Рік тому
Luck isnt a thing in rocket science
@Ryusennin
@Ryusennin Рік тому
Yes astronautics is hard, but Astra is just not ready for commercial exploitation and I feel very sorry for the payload engineers who lost years of hard work in a matter of seconds.
@RFC-3514
@RFC-3514 Рік тому
This isn't exactly JWST. It's a bunch of identical 3U satellites. They have spares, and they don't take years to build anyway.
@rosswarren436
@rosswarren436 Рік тому
@@RFC-3514 yes, but someone, American taxpayers, are footing the bill for them. It is pretty bad when the Iranians are close to having a better track record of success....
@richdobbs6595
@richdobbs6595 Рік тому
@@rosswarren436 At $20,000,000 for the entire TROPICS program this is one of our least costly investments. If the economics of this launch vehicle makes sense, this isn't all that many failures.
@rosswarren436
@rosswarren436 Рік тому
@@richdobbs6595 as the old adage goes, the most costly launch vehicle you can use is the one that fails. With so many others out there waiting and wanting to launch small sats, from Virgin to RocketLabUSA and others who have proven track records, it seems dumb to put anything, even two shoebox sized satellites costing a few million on this thing. It would be different if they had flipped the numbers and "only" lost two missions out of seven...but this is pretty sad. Either they don't know what they are doing, or can't control manufacturing quality well enough, even if the failures turn up no major design faults. I wish them well, but maybe they need to go back to the drawing board or get enough venture capital to fly a few development missions on their own. Once they can demonstrate a pattern of success, THEN customers should give them a longer look. It is too obvious that they are still in the development phase with Rocket 3.3. and are not operational.
@skylarking12
@skylarking12 Рік тому
Pogo/ullage might have led to some kind of resonant feedback in the oxidizer plumbing?
@deanstevenson6527
@deanstevenson6527 Рік тому
The Quality Price tradeoff improvement only occurs....if you can get the Volume Up. Mr Manley, Doctor Chopral at General Motors in a 1982 teleconference with Australia, was asked if, at 1 million vehicles at 3 dollars per pound, it might be better for the team to stop making cars and build aeronautical vehicles. He replied, partly in jest..." that would be a good, if we could get the Volume of production up". I wonder what the total cost is per pound in space...I'm pretty sure the USA is still doing pretty good....
@martylawson1638
@martylawson1638 Рік тому
That "nominal" shutdown you showed had a ton of sparks. I'd put my bet on something in the engine burning through followed by a controlled shutdown.
@Rig0r_M0rtis
@Rig0r_M0rtis Рік тому
I think NASA could save on half of their budged if they fired all those people in charge of the naming acronyms and instead opted for naming the satellites after the lead designers' dogs.
@unitrader403
@unitrader403 Рік тому
but there can be only 37 Dogs in the Universe with the same name....
@catfish552
@catfish552 Рік тому
@@unitrader403 Fortunately, the rest of us are not bound by the narrow-minded limitations of the American Kennel Club!
@theOrionsarms
@theOrionsarms Рік тому
Didn't center of mass for that upper stage is at the jonction of the two tanks? So in the lower part of fuel tank and upper part of oxigen?
@davidstuart4489
@davidstuart4489 Рік тому
The last "hold" was due to LOX conditioning, not the weather. I believe there was a problem with the temp and pressure in the LOX tank, and I believe they chose to launch anyway after some analysis and conversation that may have concluded with a statement of the form "we will have just enough, so let's launch". In other words, they were not conservative enough. But, I'm just speculating, I have no inside info, but I watched the entire broadcast and my curiousity was definitely piqued by the LOX conditioning issue that caused the hold.
@petermc_grann4192
@petermc_grann4192 Рік тому
Laughed at last little sly poke at the SLS program 🤣. To be honest, as you learn more about SLS, you just become staggered at the money wasted
@kleinerprinz99
@kleinerprinz99 Рік тому
Considering the failure rates Astra is becoming more expensive by the minute.
@FrantisekPicifuk
@FrantisekPicifuk Рік тому
Imagine pouring years of your life to build, test, retest, re-re-re-retest a satelite , only for it to be destroyed and everything be in vain. Why didn't they launch with more realiable launch provider? Why risk payload like this until people at Astra actually prove, that they can get cargo to space safely and reliably. This is ridiculous.
@sirmonkey1985
@sirmonkey1985 Рік тому
1. there's currently no slots open with any US launch providers. 2. these satellites are relatively easy to build once you figure out the first one. 3. NASA had already put the contingency in place knowing this was a possibility with launching 6 satellites even though the constellation will work fine with 4.
@dotnet97
@dotnet97 Рік тому
Congrats on being exactly the reason why NASA is stuck wasting billions on testing individual projects and why they'll never be able to adopt a SpaceX style "if you aren't failing you aren't learning" approach. If it were up to people like you, we'd still be getting 5-6 Atlas/Delta launches per year for twice the cost.
@cmdraftbrn
@cmdraftbrn Рік тому
1. space is hard 2. the race to the bottom mentality is the reason everything sucks. 3. you aint gonna build a thing at wal-mart prices and have craftsmenship quality 4. skilled labor isnt cheap, and cheap labor isnt skilled.
@youtubeisapublisher6407
@youtubeisapublisher6407 Рік тому
@@cmdraftbrn The whole point of cubesats, even relatively tough ones, is to be extremely cheap and light. I’d be thinking of deploying a few dozen, since it would require that many to add up to the cost of a single normal satellite, not six with two of them in reserve.
@MaxCaud
@MaxCaud Рік тому
Your comment is a little dramatic, this is not a JWST scale project. Maybe you have a short memory, when SpaceX was starting out they too had losses or partial failures. The space community has become more toxic recently with you fanboys rejecting everything that doesn't have the SpaceX logo slapped on it.
@voidstarq
@voidstarq Рік тому
"Shut down in a big puff of, uh, vapor" strikes me as an Unusual Euphemism for "Exploded". (Didn't I also hear them use the word "anomaly"?) Of course, from a customer point of view, "success" is all-or-nothing. But from a technology point of view, this was VERY close to success, and I'm still very excited to see Astra perfect this. Good luck to them!
@neiljopling4693
@neiljopling4693 Рік тому
Looks like a miscalculation of the ullage for the oxidizer. Given the number of failures to date I question whether the problems management work is addressing systems and cultural issues or are Astra stuck in incident management mode.
@GeoffreyVonbargen
@GeoffreyVonbargen Рік тому
As someone who owns a lot of astra shares. This hurts
@BKD70
@BKD70 Рік тому
SELL!
@NominalJoe
@NominalJoe Рік тому
If Astra is able to pull out of this, they're going to be some of the most experienced small launchers ever.
@TwazkemUSAbi
@TwazkemUSAbi Рік тому
Story of my life
@willierants5880
@willierants5880 Рік тому
I think that about seals the casket on Astra. Tim will tell and I hope I'm wrong, but it's not looking good.
@crazygamer56
@crazygamer56 Рік тому
Rofl. Digging behind the SLS couch for spare cube sat change 🤣
@geekswithfeet9137
@geekswithfeet9137 Рік тому
Even with a bunch of propellant left the chamber unburnt I don’t believe it would make that much plume. I think that’s a cloud of metal oxide, probably the injector plate igniting.
@antonystringfellow5152
@antonystringfellow5152 Рік тому
Could that have contributed to the wobble by creating asymmetric thrust which then had to be corrected?
@MichaelClark-uw7ex
@MichaelClark-uw7ex Рік тому
Looked like a cryo gas, most likely LOX, because burning metal smoke wouldn't dissipate that quickly and without oxygen the plate would melt and make sparks.
@lukezhang3017
@lukezhang3017 Рік тому
Well, it's not much but it was hard work.
@chadpm11
@chadpm11 Рік тому
looks like a small plume of gas above the eng bell from the 2nd stage kinda like a fuel line or o2 line ruptured in some way after the pitch down.
@darylattaway1028
@darylattaway1028 Рік тому
Hey Scott. If you get a chance, look at the replay and notice the contrail before and after MaxQ. It sure looks uneven to me compared to SpaceX. Is there a chance there was an issue well before the failure?
@gregmchurch
@gregmchurch Рік тому
Here's hoping Astra can improve their success rate. More successful launch providers will reduce the costs, somewhat.
@keylime2998
@keylime2998 Рік тому
This just shows how difficult it is to be successful. Commercial companies who are successful should be applauded. Space X who takes humans to the space station is mind blowing!
@TheEvilmooseofdoom
@TheEvilmooseofdoom Рік тому
Lots of people seem to also forget spacex failed 3 times in a row and was 1 flight away from going under.
@smassky
@smassky Рік тому
Hahah digging behind the couch on SLS. Niiiice! 😎
@i-hate-handle-names
@i-hate-handle-names Рік тому
Premature shutdown implies the engine shut down normally but it did so early. This appears to have been an abnormal shutdown considering the blast of fuel.
@adamkerman475
@adamkerman475 Рік тому
I thought it was successful? That’s awfully unfortunate for the buyer.
@JarppaGuru
@JarppaGuru Рік тому
what buyer its all funds that you pay as taxes
@adamkerman475
@adamkerman475 Рік тому
@@JarppaGuru I didn’t realize that it was a nasa payload at the time of writing.
@onipanda5
@onipanda5 Рік тому
Good news: obviously they still have all the designs so they can get new satellites built without any significant NRE Bad news: Because of the type of mission this is (class D), it's extremely unlikely they have more than 1 flight spare of payload and avionics, and spare structure is even more unlikely. They're unlikely to have many spare components needed to build the avionics up, especially for anything more than $10, which are not the parts you need to really have spares of. Supply chain is fucked, so gettin most parts is extremely long lead. Stuff that used to have a lead time of 8-12 weeks now has a lead time of 32-44 weeks, and competition for buying parts has increased. Back to good news: Upside to the class of mission, it's way cheaper than higher class missions and has a much faster development and integration timeline, which is why there's more satellites. The mission will still work with 4 satellites, just slightly degraded data. But they'll still be able to complete the mission with those 4 satellites. They might be able to get 2 new satellites built by the time the other 4 have launched. Back to bad news: It's unlikely NASA will spring for more satellites. They'll more likely declare the mission can be completed with 4, so that's it. While again this class of mission is cheaper, NASA isn't generally willing to increase budget over what was originally slated for them. The biggest driver on an up or down on more satellites imo is solar arrays and payload. Solar arrays are usually one of the largest chunk of the bus budget, especially since these are fold out deployables which means more complicated mechanisms and therefore testing. Payloads usually have more sensitive electronics and are therefore not as easy to find easy drop in replacements for when the parts you had originally specced are now backordered until literally this time next year. And to end on good news: You're right that building more satellites is cheaper, which is partly why constellations have become the new hot trend. They might have enough parts and enough cash reserve that the RE is cheap enough to build 2 more satellites. Especially for PCBs, like 90% of the cost is set up and tooling, so it's usually more cost effective to buy 20 PCBs as it is to buy 5. Buying components in bulk also leads to cost savings (not as much as PCBs, but savings nonetheless).
@N.I.R.A.T.I.A.S.
@N.I.R.A.T.I.A.S. Рік тому
"Supply chain is fucked" *Understatement*
@foxesandsuch
@foxesandsuch Рік тому
You're the only person here that seems to understand what these small programs are like. On a small project like this, schedule and funding is extremely tight. It looks like TROPICS was built by a university consortium, probably as a grant (as opposed to a contract). That generally means NASA says "here's the money you asked for in your proposal, make it work." It's possible to request additional funding but it takes a while and you don't get much. Unless the mission was designed from the very beginning to have flight spares, it would still take a long time (6-12 months) and a lot of money to get even an engineering unit ready for launch. Unless this time and money was in the initial budget, there's no way this could happen. It's not about the cost of PCBs or the supply chain for this kind of stuff. It's how long it takes to do environmental testing and other flight qualification. The engineers who do all this work already moved on to other projects in the pipeline, so finding the labor to support all that testing would be challenging. Also, you'd have to get back into the queue with the launch services provider and find the money to pay for another launch. I'm guessing Astra can't afford to offer a freebie ride because the previous one failed, even if they wanted to. The bottom line is, building spares to anticipate launch failures is a good idea, but that has to be first embraced by NASA as the default approach and included in the budget and project plan from the very beginning. Also, I think people are underestimating how much the hardware actually costs (I bet it's ~30% of TROPICS budget) and how poorly custom parts scale in cost, in general, especially mechanical stuff and some electronics.
@onipanda5
@onipanda5 Рік тому
@@foxesandsuch Environmental test is time consuming and personnel taxing, but it's not the longest timeline item today. Supply chain is affecting everything, so if you didn't already have enough parts laying around, you're not getting them this year. While going fully through environmental test is indeed time consuming, a class D cubesat it's not as stringent and a 3U doesn't need near as much fixturing and set up as a larger satellite. Also, one of the parts that takes the most time is figuring everything out test setup wise and logistics. Having already done it twice, doing it again won't take near as much time. I doubt they're doing two weeks for TVAC cycles, probably more like a week, vibe and acoustic can be done in a day, highly doubt they're doing EMI/EMC but if they are that's another week. For flight qualification at the component level, well you can't do that until you have the units built. Doing a full qual campaign will take months, however after you do the qual, subsequent units are much faster to process because you're not doing full qual, just acceptance. But, again, cubesat projects aren't exactly known for going through a full qual on everything so they'll need to do a bit more. But like above, a lot of the problems that cause delays should already have been figured out. I would say people moving on wouldn't really affect the project but......no one likes to do documentation so yeah there'll definitely be a hit there in having to reverse engineer or redo stuff that someone didn't document. You're on the money for just about everything else though. Cubesats done by universities are funded through both grants and university funds, and staffed largely by undergrads unless it's a very special project. They don't generally have a lot of spares layin around because that's money that could be spent on something else, especially if like you said, it wasn't planned from the beginning. Honestly though, hardware itself is a drop in the bucket compared to labor ordinarily....undergrads are mostly free so that offsets that xD
@haulngrassracing
@haulngrassracing Рік тому
We were there. After a delay with boats they had to detank, rechill, and then refuel. Could they have had an issue while refueling?
@kenhelmers2603
@kenhelmers2603 Рік тому
LOL digging around behind the couch on SLS. Thanks Scott!
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