I Misunderstood the Greenhouse Effect. Here's How It Works.

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Sabine Hossenfelder

Sabine Hossenfelder

День тому

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Correction to what I say at 7 mins 13: The major reason air pressure decreases is that the gravitational pressure from the air above it decreases. The gravitational force itself also decreases but that's a rather minor contribution. Sorry about that, a rather stupid brain-fart.
How does the greenhouse effect work? Greenhouse gases, such as carbon dioxide and methane, prevent infrared radiation from escaping to outer space. This warms the surface of earth. More greenhouse gas means more warming. Simple enough! Alas, if you look at the numbers, it turns out that most infrared radiation is absorbed almost immediately above the ground already at pre-industrial greenhouse gas levels. So how does it really work? In this video, I try to sort it out.
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00:00 Intro
00:40 The Greenhouse Effect: Middle School Version
03:17 The Greenhouse Effect: High School Version
10:33 The Greenhouse Effect: PhD Version
14:30 Stratospheric Cooling
16:24 Summary
18:14 Protect Your Privacy With NordVPN
#science #climate

КОМЕНТАРІ: 19 000
@SabineHossenfelder
@SabineHossenfelder Рік тому
We have an infographic to go with the video that you can download here: www.dropbox.com/s/mhlu3b8f53pjz9t/Infographic%20Greenhouse%20Gases.jpg?dl=0
@arnswine
@arnswine Рік тому
Shouldn't middle depiction (#2) indicate red band of hotness near surface (where it matters most to plants and aminals)?
@Bob-of-Zoid
@Bob-of-Zoid Рік тому
I'm just happy to have great greenhouse tomatoes in winter! 😋YUM! Vielen dank Sabine!
@SabineHossenfelder
@SabineHossenfelder Рік тому
@@arnswine It would have been too difficult to depict the difference to the final picture, so we dropped that.
@ThePowerLover
@ThePowerLover Рік тому
TOO "dumbed down" if you want "rational" people to believe you!
@albertvanlingen7590
@albertvanlingen7590 Рік тому
Past climate has seen CO2 levels at 6000ppm so did humans cause those levels?? Plants die below 120ppm....think about that. But don't worry I don't want you to wiggle about losing your monetisation.
@Biga101011
@Biga101011 Рік тому
When I first went to college I wanted to educate myself on climate change. I took a course on environmental science hoping to get a better understanding. Unfortunately I didn't realize the course was a sociology course, so we didn't actually learn anything about climate change or the environment. Instead it was about people's perception of the topics. An environmental economics course I took a couple years later was actually very good and useful, but still never really got a good understanding of the principles behind climate change. It is amazing how for such an important topic most of the conversation about it seems to not actually revolve around what it is.
@PhysicsLaure
@PhysicsLaure Рік тому
I had a similar issue, but my course was 100% energy management (dams, solar, etc vs needs over time and in different places). 😂
@danielhutchinson6604
@danielhutchinson6604 Рік тому
In the Montana College in Missoula, the effects of Greenhouse Gas emissions are taught by a pretty good Common Sense Educator. Steve Running has received recognition for his efforts to understand one of the most prominent polluters in the Western US, at a small town called Coalstrip. We may be fortunate to discuss local effects of economic demands on facts that are presented by internet websites, but facts do matter, and we all need to look at all of the effects that money can buy?
@ericvulgate
@ericvulgate Рік тому
Similar to the dialogue around corona..
@illustriouschin
@illustriouschin Рік тому
Yeah you could have saved yourself a lot of time and money by watching a 20 minute video that just agreed with your prejudices.
@philipm3173
@philipm3173 Рік тому
If your school's environmental economics was anything like mine, you can completely disregard it. Carbon credits, cap and trade, all these things are utterly ineffective. There's only one solution, seizing all private petroleum assets and shutting them down.
@sentinel2199
@sentinel2199 Рік тому
Sadly it's even more complicated than that. The greenhouse effect causes less than 50% of the warming effect predicted from increasing CO2, with the remainder being caused by climate feedback effects: There are a huge number of climate feedbacks, but a simple example of a "positive feedback" is that white snow reflects sunlight, but once it's melted by a warming environment, then more sunlight will be absorbed by the ground, and so the temperature will increase further (so causing even more snow to be melted, etc). An example of a "negative feedback" is that as temperature increases, there is more evaporation from the ocean, which causes more clouds to form in the lower atmosphere, reflecting more sunlight into outer space, so reducing temperature. Unfortunately these feedback effects are often not understood very well (as they are often hard to measure), hence the large variation in predictions made by different climate models (and so why the IPCC prefers to average over a large number of models). In the distant past there was probably a period known as the Snowball Earth where most(*) of the surface was covered in ice (reflecting sunlight into space) from a massive ice age, and without volcanism producing CO2 the Earth might still have been like that today. (* I have simplified to avoid writing too much.)
@bluebristolian
@bluebristolian Рік тому
The feedbacks are clearly negative. Systems with positive feedbacks are unstable, so if it could it would have already, and we’d have been in runaway global warming for billions of years. Unfortunately Sabine is missing the big picture.
@sentinel2199
@sentinel2199 Рік тому
@@bluebristolian Climate scientists use "positive feedback" in a slightly different sense to how electronics engineers (and possibly others) use it. When they say "positive feedback" they mean that the loop gain is > 0 but < 1, and so is still basically stable (but may have oscillations that will die out). You can think of a CO2-induced temperature gain of (say) 0.8C, producing 0.4C further increase from positive feedback, which then produces 0.2C of further increase from positive feedback (on itself!), which then produces 0.1C of further increase, etc. In this simple case the overall gain would be end-up as 1.6C, thus doubling the original CO2-induced temperature change. The real climate is of course rather more complicated, with different feedbacks operating on vastly different time scales.
@sentinel2199
@sentinel2199 Рік тому
It seems my follow-up post has been auto-blocked by UKposts, possibly due to me including links for reference. What I basically said is that the sum of positive+negative feedbacks is known as "climate sensitivity". The IPCC's best estimate of climate sensitivity is that a doubling of CO2 will cause a temperature increase of 2.5C to 4C. But without ANY feedbacks (i.e. just the physics mentioned in this video) CO2 would only increase temperature by about 1C (this is a non-controversial statement!). Thus CO2's physically direct contribution is only 1/2.5 to 1/4 of the total warming effect (i.e. 40% to 25%).
@sentinel2199
@sentinel2199 Рік тому
Sorry, I don't use either of those apps, but anyway I'm just a science nerd with a passing interest in climate science 🙂
@richardatkinson4710
@richardatkinson4710 8 місяців тому
Well, I’m no scientist either, but I can read; so with trepidation… There’s still a missing feature, which is the fact that evapotranspiration + convection is responsible for carrying away a large fraction of surface heat as the latent heat of evaporation. At the cold trap, water condenses (OK, I know that this is complicated by the need for condensation nuclei) and the heat is radiated away into space. It’s the reason we are not, and will never be, at rusk of runaway global warming. The big question, which I can’t see clearly covered in the IPCC science sections, is how this is affected by changes in surface temperature. You’d naively expect a strong negative feedback. But (witness Sabine’s presentation and your own reply) nobody seems to be talking about it one way or the other.
@KruczLorand
@KruczLorand 7 місяців тому
the pressure of the atmosphere doesn't decrease with height due to the inverse square law of gravity being weaker. The difference in gravitational acceleration is negligable from the surface to 100km high which is where space begins. The pressure decreases because is given by the weight of the column of air above and as you move towards space that columns is less and less massive.
@SimonFrack
@SimonFrack 3 місяці тому
Same reason pressure increases with water depth, yes?
@albripi
@albripi 3 місяці тому
I noticed that error, too
@miked5106
@miked5106 3 місяці тому
Isn't energy moving thru the atmosphere via convection vs radiation at least until it reaches the higher elevation where the air is scarce?
@brianmacker1288
@brianmacker1288 2 місяці тому
​@@miked5106It is both radiation and convection yes. But another major effect is atmospheric heat piping by water vapor. Look up a heat pipe and how it functions. Now realize that water has a high heat of vaporization and condensation. Note the fact water vapor is lighter than air and convects upward, plus is a infrared absorbtive and radiative gas. These properties cause the water cycle to act as a natural heat pipe. Water evaporates at the surface, capturing the heat of vaporation at low elevation. That latent heat of vaporization cannot be lost by radiation back to the surface unless it condenses. The water vapor can then also warm radiatively by absorbing more infrared heat from the surface, or warm CO2 in the atmosphere. High humidity air being lighter than dry air it rises. Rising above a significant amount of CO2 which is denser than air so stays relatively lower. At cloud height it cools to the point it condenses, releasing its enormous load of latent heat of condensation, and radiates above most CO2. The cold rain falls back to earth cooling the surface. The cloud also reflects incoming solar radiation. Every raindrop represents a net cooling done by this natural heat pipe. Heat had to have radiated to space for it to condense and fall back.
@7071SydcHome
@7071SydcHome 2 місяці тому
@@SimonFrack I'd say that is correct.
@Patrick-kq9fy
@Patrick-kq9fy 20 днів тому
Having been involved in radio technology for most my life, I understood the "wiggling" a different way. I think of a molecule as a kind of antenna tuned to a specific frequency and associated harmonics. So... Basically a molecule like H2O or CO2 is like an antenna that is tuned to certain frequencies that, when excited, resonates (vibrates, wiggles)... or you can think of it like a tuning fork. Just as a tuning fork emits a specific sound regardless of what causes it to vibrate, a CO2 molecule resonates at specific frequencies of the EM spectrum. So... that's my understanding.
@grindupBaker
@grindupBaker 18 днів тому
Sure that's good enough for sure, whatever turns your crank. Greenhouse Effect is that top of troposphere is (much) colder than bottom of troposphere and colder bunches of molecules make less radiation than warmer bunches of molecules, and top of troposphere is closer to space and bottom of troposphere is closer to surface. That's it.
@renatanovato9460
@renatanovato9460 Рік тому
I usually understand things easily when Sabine explains. Not this time, though. I will have to watch it once more.
@florisv559
@florisv559 Рік тому
I'm with you. This is really difficult.
@dsp3ncr1
@dsp3ncr1 Рік тому
Well, unfortunately it's still not right. That's just not really how a greenhouse works. Greenhouses work by preventing conduction/mixing of the warmed air with the cooler air above it.
@marcwinkler
@marcwinkler Рік тому
Let's try... Greenhouse effect works in a building with roof and sides made of glass. Beware of False Analogies.
@mikesmit6663
@mikesmit6663 Рік тому
i normally have to Sabines videos several times to get a thorough understanding. please don’t feel alone
@haukenot3345
@haukenot3345 Рік тому
@@dsp3ncr1 Let me make sure I get this right: Your point is only that the metaphor doesn't exactly fit, not that any part of the actual explanation is wrong, is it?
@paulbloom7544
@paulbloom7544 Рік тому
I'm a PhD Physicist who teaches general education climate science (when I don't have to teach the physics curriculum). This is an outstanding and clear presentation of how the greenhouse effect actually works (which I didn't fully appreciate for the first too many years I taught the class). The way you propose to modify the energy flow diagrams is spot on. Definitely some of your best work. Brava, and thank you for doing this. Heck, gonna show it in my class...
@arm-power
@arm-power Рік тому
I would like to know the worst case scenario: What if we burn all those fossil fuel? From the science point of view there were period of time on Earth when all that fossils plants were alive on planet surface (before there were buried underground and fossilization process started). Lets put aside the process how those plants were buried - that catastrophic event (wipe out and buried Earth surface) is much more dangerous for humanity than climate change itself. - How high air temperature were? - How much would human civilization needed to adopt for that worst case? - And the most important one, how many centuries it would take to get the worst case if we continue in fossil fuel burn (including growth of population) I assume there would be no ice caps and Earth. Rising ocean levels is easy to handle as housing building speed (area per year) is much higher than area taken by ocean per year. Also with that high CO2 concentration whole planet would be incredibly green and food rich.
@tortysoft
@tortysoft Рік тому
@@arm-power It is the massive changes that would be required from human population and governments to accommodate the environmental climate movements that would kill us. We can easily live on a 'warmer' planet Earth - but in different places on Earth. It's getting through the climate wars that will be the problem. We are in one of them now.
@valentinmalinov8424
@valentinmalinov8424 Рік тому
Will be good also to tell your students that that CO2 is not stopping the heat, but is re-emitting the heat in all directions. That means that CO2 also stops the heat coming from the Sun. Also, any warming will increase dramatically the water evaporation of the oceans, and the white cloud cover will block and reflect back most of the incoming sunlight.
@michaelstorm1007
@michaelstorm1007 Рік тому
Can you explain why "the ditch" gets wider with altitude when more CO2 is added.
@boohoo746
@boohoo746 Рік тому
but it is a terrible presentation when it attempts to pass judgment on climate change. the woman appears to be unaware the clouds are made of water vapor and have high albedo. she also seems to be unaware of ocean heat transport, solar-induced destruction of polar ozone, etc.
@DavidPSchmidt
@DavidPSchmidt 9 місяців тому
Thank you for the excellent explanation. I would like to offer what I believe is one small correction. The reduction of static pressure in the atmosphere at increasing height is due to the fact that as altitude increases, the air is supporting the weight of less air mass above. Even without the inverse r-squared variation of gravity, the pressure in the air must decrease with increasing altitude.
@user-vl6tl7cj4c
@user-vl6tl7cj4c 8 місяців тому
Thank you to Sabine for the excellent video and to David for the small correction. The decrease of gravity within the relevant parts of the atmosphere, which has a "thickness" of about 100 km, is also quite small, as these ~ 100 km are not much compared to the radius of earth (slightly more than 6350 km). To summarize in a humorous way: Even a flat earth would have an atmosphere that becomes less dense and colder at higher altitudes. At least as long as we don't think too much about what happens to the atmosphere near the edge of the disc. That being said, the (nearly) spherical shape of the earth is still important for the greenhouse effect.
@guymiklos9245
@guymiklos9245 День тому
The distinction David (and many others below) seems to be making is between direct gravitational "pull" on molecules and cumulative "pull" - the latter emerging as pressure increasing with depth. Both are due to gravity.
@Bob-uh3nx
@Bob-uh3nx 3 місяці тому
I had to really focus but I was very impressed. Thank you for taking the time to pass on🎉 the information Bob L.
@alexanderkohler6439
@alexanderkohler6439 Рік тому
I really liked this episode, however, I think the explanation at 6:45 - 7:15 of why the roundness of earth and the inverse square law for gravitiy were relevant and why the pressure decreased with the height above the earth is totally incorrect. The pressure doesn't decrease due to the decreasing gravitational pull. In fact, the latter almost stays constant in that area. What changes, is the remaining amount of air above you that has a weight and thus exerts pressure on you. The same principle applies in water. You observe a higher water pressure at the ground of a swimming pool than at its surface. Again, that is not due to a higher gravitational pull, but due to a higher amount of water above you.
@fares_of_arabia
@fares_of_arabia Рік тому
Thant also works on flat surfuces, no balls needed thank you.
@starstenaal527
@starstenaal527 Рік тому
And what exactly causes the air above you to get pushed down on you if not gravity?
@fares_of_arabia
@fares_of_arabia Рік тому
@@starstenaal527 and what.....gravity does not work on a flat surfaces, or are you going to give me earth magnetic core bullshit, have you been to the earth core.....no.....so...do don't tell me what is there underneath the so called core, because you don't know either....
@revanwallace
@revanwallace Рік тому
@@starstenaal527Gravity indeed causes air pressure in that gravity gives air weight; but it is NOT the decrease in gravity with altitude that causes the decrease in air pressure with altitude. The reason for that is much simpler: the higher you go in the atmosphere, there will a lesser weight of air above you pushing down.
@starstenaal527
@starstenaal527 Рік тому
​@@revanwallaceAgreed.
@aDifferentJT
@aDifferentJT Рік тому
Air pressure doesn’t decrease with altitude because the gravitational force decreases, in a uniform gravitational field the air pressure would also decrease, and the gravitational force in LEO is pretty similar to that on the surface. It decreases because the mass of air above that point is lower.
@55dionysus
@55dionysus Рік тому
So the gravitational force is uniform across any distance ? The weight of the air mass isn't created by gravity and its distance ? I can picture pressure decreasing as the air gets thinner above it , but I thought that was the effect of gravity and distance .
@wirbelfeld4033
@wirbelfeld4033 Рік тому
She corrects this in the description
@MovieViking
@MovieViking Рік тому
Correct, Sabine corrected this in the description: "Correction to what I say at 7 mins 13: The major reason air pressure decreases is that the gravitational pressure from the air above it decreases. The gravitational force itself also decreases but that's a rather minor contribution. Sorry about that, a rather stupid brain-fart. "
@joejoejoejoejoejoe4391
@joejoejoejoejoejoe4391 10 місяців тому
If that was true, then pressure would increase with the depth of the oceans, - oh, wait, it does!
@peterja6441
@peterja6441 2 місяці тому
nope. the air molecules just have a velocity distribution at a given temperature. the kinetic energy of the molecules is what makes the atmosphere "terminate" at certain altitude - there are just not enough molecules to go any higher. remember classical gas is mostly Boltzmann distributed, means there are exponentially less molecules with higher and higher energy. thats also the reason why the air is getting exponentially thinner if you go to higher altitudes
@AdmiralQuality
@AdmiralQuality 8 місяців тому
It's not decreasing gravity with altitude that reduces air pressure, Sabine, it's that there's less weight of air on top of of the air at any given altitude, the higher you go up. Think of an immense stack of cotton balls, they'll be crushed into solid felt at the bottom but still fluffy at the top. Yes, gravity does decrease the farther from the center of mass of the Earth you get, but the atmosphere is so thin compared to the size of Earth that the amount is negligible. Anyway, same result, air is thicker down low.
@JonPMeyer
@JonPMeyer 6 місяців тому
That was an outstanding explanation! Thank you for not trying to simplify everything to the point at which your explanations become incorrect. I have been trying to understand how to correctly explain the warming effect of certain gases for many years and I have NEVER heard anyone explain the “altitude” issue like you did. Also, I really appreciate the explanation of stratospheric cooling and why that prediction supports the human-caused climate change story. There is quite a bit of good science content on UKposts these days, but your channel is among a very small number of really great ones!
@buddymccloskey2809
@buddymccloskey2809 4 місяці тому
See the follow up in "Who Broke the Greenhouse?" soon. The stratosphere CO2 is even less than the near 0 effect of CO2 below 10,000'.
@grindupBaker
@grindupBaker 4 місяці тому
@@buddymccloskey2809 You typed drivel.
@oliverheaviside2539
@oliverheaviside2539 3 місяці тому
@@grindupBaker Very impressive argument. Dummass.
@Mass-jab-death-2025
@Mass-jab-death-2025 3 місяці тому
I’m more afraid of gravity change. Since the widespread availability of backyard trampolines started in the late 60s the earth’s rotation has slowly been knocked out of kilter. It is now becoming critical, countless billions are being spent of so called ‘climate change” yet this more pressing pending disaster is largely ignored. I can solve this problem once and for all using strategically placed counter weights on springs at strategic gravity hotspots ( namely my backyard) and I can do all this for a cool 2.5 billion dollars. Don’t wait for the world to end with us all either shooting off into space of being crushed into the ground. Send your tax deductible donation to the “Harvest the gullible fools Institute”. We are also hiring the services of Santa Clause and the Easter Bunny to solve Climate Change. Santa is going to fly his slay around during his off season and the Easter Bunny will accompany him sprinkling the clouds with left over chocolate which has been finely powdered. This will stain the clouds brown and block the sun ending the dreaded warming that we are assured will one day cause sea levels to rise somehow. This can be done for the bargain price of 1.25 billion ! So what are you waiting for Send your tax deductible donation to the “Harvest the gullible fools Institute” NOW or they may be no tomorrow !
@lrvogt1257
@lrvogt1257 2 місяці тому
@@oliverheaviside2539 : He's not wrong.
@delveling
@delveling Рік тому
I didn't realize that this subject is so complicated, i almost took a break and went back to watching quantum mechanic videos to clear my mind a little, thank you for the enlightening explanation.
@kayakMike1000
@kayakMike1000 Рік тому
At best, it's really saying is CO2 in the atmosphere is increasing without saying that CO2 is increasing in the atmosphere. There's a slight cooling effect, apparently, because CO2 emits infrared efficiently is sparse atmospheres, I guess... I guess carbon dioxide doesn't act like an ideal black body. And this cooling effect is observed in one model from 1968, so all the models must be correct.
@grindupBaker
@grindupBaker Рік тому
​ @kayakMike1000 "this cooling effect is observed in one model" S.B. "this cooling effect is measured by instruments on satellites since 1964".
@mokiloke
@mokiloke Рік тому
Yeah, me too lol, and i did these subjects at Uni, but my brain still hurts
@MrJdsenior
@MrJdsenior Рік тому
If you think quantum mechanics is simpler than this, I would question your grasp of quantum mechanics, or your relative time spent thinking and learning about each of the two subjects, at least. There IS NO understanding of a lot of quantum mechanics. A lot of it is just a bunch of hand waving. There's a quote Feynman supposedly made that went something like: If you think you understand quantum mechanics, you don't, which is basically what I said, though his is much more concise, and he was a leader the field in some aspects, those crazy diagrams, where I am mostly clueless. I just remember all the "A miracle occurs here" when I was learning about it in an introductory course as the core for an engineering degree, and that hand waving occurred a lot more than once, IIRC. Or was that a joke? If so, good one. :-) I saw quantum well FLIR detectors and the like, but I can tell you for a fact that if I were the only one trying to develop them, they wouldn't exist.
@kayakMike1000
@kayakMike1000 Рік тому
@@grindupBaker jokes on you duder, the poles have a tremendous amount of hot air in the stratosphere and there's colder than expected air in the tropical troposphere. Could it be that there are cycles?
@Sean-ll5cm
@Sean-ll5cm Рік тому
Everything's always so much more complicated than it seems 😭
@davideyres955
@davideyres955 Рік тому
That’s the thing with chaotic systems. Complicated and very hard to model. This is the problem with the narrative and how they are using it. There are plenty of things we can do to increase the efficiency of the consumption but we are tackling things we want to not the things that will make a real difference. For example aerogel insulation is about twice as good as PIR insulation but we are not subsidising it and ensuring it’s used in construction. It’s postulated that you could heat a house insulated with aerogel with a candle.
@MeppyMan
@MeppyMan Рік тому
@@davideyres955 “the narrative” and “how they are using it”. Sigh.
@MaGaO
@MaGaO Рік тому
@@toungewizzard6994 The video specifically shows why the greenhouse effect doesn't happen because of the Sun: it just provides the energy.
@borttorbbq2556
@borttorbbq2556 Рік тому
Hey you think you understand something in science you probably don't
@georgesheffield1580
@georgesheffield1580 Рік тому
Only for simpletons
@mAx-grassfed
@mAx-grassfed 8 місяців тому
1:35 that is actually not how a green house works. The main effect is not keeping the IR radiation in, but keeping the heated air inside. A greenhouse would work with IR transparent glasses as long as it reduced/prevents convection.
@mAx-grassfed
@mAx-grassfed 8 місяців тому
@@viktorm3840 I don't understand. Are you trying to come back to the so called "Green House effect" of the earth-atmosphere-system which works by entrapping IR-radiation? I fully agree in the theory of that one. I was just commenting on actual green houses. You could set one up on moon If you want. There is no need for an atmosphere outside of the greenhouse for it to work. The important thing is just that the heated air stays where it is, inside the greenhouse.
@dontvoteforanybody3715
@dontvoteforanybody3715 2 місяці тому
'convection' not connection
@mAx-grassfed
@mAx-grassfed 2 місяці тому
@@dontvoteforanybody3715 autocorrect. thanks for noting. I changed it.
@jobicek
@jobicek 9 днів тому
My thoughts exactly. Also, are we certain that glass actually reflects IR that well? I mean, (old-school, self-built) greenhouses would typically use plain, cheap glass, the kind that was used a century ago, to bring cost down, if they use glass at all. Modern lenses are not an example of such a material. They use special optical materials with coatings engineered to have certain properties. And how much energy makes it to the glass as IR? I never really thought about it. As a child, I took it for granted that a greenhouse works by trapping warm air inside. We had one in the garden. You'd think it's the same game as keeping a house warm, except your heat source is solar radiation which you have to let in so you need a lot of glass. Sources of heat loss in the order of importance would be convection, conduction and radiation. Conduction is a problem because glass is thin, double glazing is expensive, but (*) the temperature difference is going to be a lot smaller compared to a heated house. I have never tried to calculated it but I think even in a greenhouse double glazing to reduce conduction would give you better performance than reflecting IR. I can imagine radiation being important at night with the cold night sky and glass roof. * Edited to replace "and" with "but".
@ignaciogc9920
@ignaciogc9920 4 місяці тому
Chapeau!!!! You are the best, in so many levels you are the best,no doubt, is a privilege to have you. Thank you.
@trevorcrowley5748
@trevorcrowley5748 Рік тому
"It Is Difficult to Get a Man to Understand Something When His Salary Depends Upon His Not Understanding It"
@techcafe0
@techcafe0 Рік тому
hear! hear!
@stapleman007
@stapleman007 Рік тому
"It is impossible to change a man's belief when he is being paid to believe."
@einhalbesbrot
@einhalbesbrot 9 місяців тому
​@@stapleman007why would it be impossible? Pay more!
@leeadickes7235
@leeadickes7235 9 місяців тому
Or funding from a university
@tarant315
@tarant315 9 місяців тому
​@@einhalbesbrotdid you hear how much those co2 extractor made on profits last year
@himbeertoni08
@himbeertoni08 Рік тому
Wow, that just blew my mind! I've a phD in physics and still had exactly the same misunderstanding. I think, it's not just the arrows in the diagram, but most sources of information trying to make the complex topic understandable. Kind of similar to the various atomic models out there in schools and the web, which are scientifically all oversimplified, thus wrong when it comes to explaining chemistry (Schrödinger and Dirac are nodding).
@SpectatorAlius
@SpectatorAlius Рік тому
Are you referring to the Bohr Model, or to Lewis diagrams? If the former, its inadequacy is itself often overstated. And here's a factoid about that may change the way you see it: in the QM model for the atom, the points of local maximum probability for finding the electron correspond to the Bohr orbit.
@davidconner-shover51
@davidconner-shover51 Рік тому
Curses Bohr!
@himbeertoni08
@himbeertoni08 Рік тому
I had Bohr's model in mind, but Lewis notation is another great example. Following Bohr's model, the orbital model did improve on what could be explained. Schrodinger's equation was improved by Dirac to include relativistic effects. We ever improve our models, but in the end they are all limited. Such is the greenhouse model for climate change.
@dsp3ncr1
@dsp3ncr1 Рік тому
If you take that -18C prediction for Earth's radiative equilibrium temperature and, (for modeling/prediction purposes), say that that temperature occurs 5km up in the atmosphere and then apply the ideal gas law what would you predict the temperature of the air at sea level to be?
@afterthesmash
@afterthesmash Рік тому
You need to check out Doug McLean's "Common Misconceptions in Aerodynamics" on UKposts from October 2013. He's a retired Boeing Technical Fellow who explains to other Boeing engineers that what they thought they knew about Navier-Stokes is all wet. Around 26:00 he explains that there's a reciprocal cause-and-effect relationship between velocity and pressure. If you manage to wade through the vorticity field due to the Biot-Savart law without hitting pause, you're a much better physicist than I would have even been, had I not taking the other fork in the road into computer science instead.
@VFella
@VFella 9 місяців тому
Danke Sabine!! I'm studying environmental science (second degree and just for love of the subject). You explanation was awesome. I'm surely also checking out the book, even if it's borrowed from the library at the CWI
@Mass-jab-death-2025
@Mass-jab-death-2025 4 місяці тому
Good luck with the brain washing, you have the head for it. No trust is what you can see with your own eyes and the inability to think for yourself. All admirable qualities sought in our educational system. Well done.
@thenitroshop9377
@thenitroshop9377 3 місяці тому
your being taught bullshit and lies
@johnlampe6785
@johnlampe6785 15 днів тому
Thanks for the exposition on this topic Sabine!.Your site is so informative with humour! Good luck, John lampe,sunny Perth,Western Australia.P.S.it really is sunny down here!
@crawkn
@crawkn Рік тому
I'm very pleased to learn that Sabine isn't one of those (typically) insecure scientists who are afraid to ever admit to having misunderstood something. Nobody, no matter how well educated and / or brilliant, has never been confused by anything in this exceedingly complex universe. _Maybe_ underlying it all are some simple rules, as some suggest, but the myriad layers of chaos and emergent properties make it on the whole quite confounding. What should be notable is not that scientists are sometimes wrong, but that they are frequently right.
@zen1647
@zen1647 Рік тому
Yes! Admitting that you don't fully understand something is usually a sign of intelligence, not the opposite.
@DavidHRyall
@DavidHRyall Рік тому
They should actually be wrong more than they are right. A 90% failure rate is healthy.
@seeyoucu
@seeyoucu Рік тому
I appreciate that greatly.
@crawkn
@crawkn Рік тому
@@DavidHRyall of course it's part of the experimental process, but I'm more referring to what they consider their established knowledge base. In this case, the greenhouse effect is a very mature (although still expanding) science with a lot of popular exposure, so I'm sure any scientist worth their salt probably _thinks_ they understand it.
@ghytd766
@ghytd766 Рік тому
Sabine is extremely confident in herself, allowing herself to admit failures. And imo, her confidence is well deserved. She's legit.
@alterego-bg8gs
@alterego-bg8gs Рік тому
I have a PhD in AMO physics and you just blew my mind. Thank you for this video! I feel when it comes to global warming there is a coverage gap between super-simplified explanations and full-blown climate models. I really appreciate your video explaining it layer by layer.
@Lexoka
@Lexoka Рік тому
And that gap leaves a lot of room for CC-denying bullshit to slip through.
@JohnSmith-is1qc
@JohnSmith-is1qc Рік тому
it's not bs when party X claims something is true, when it contradicts known physics... and then appeals to complicated "models" as excuse to produce the insight how the stuff works from physics point of view... ie upper-atmosphere cooling is dead obvious anyone who has looked upon planck's law and checked the empirical results of co2 measurements from 1905 and onwards... theres plenty of older climate stuff online that shows this parody... claiming after the fact you were caught pants down that you knew you have pants down... despite history showing people were adamant pants are up... is bad science itself... denying part might be elsewhere than you think
@mathoph26
@mathoph26 Рік тому
So give us an equation please ! I have also a phd in particles scattering (Mie theory etc)
@user-ti5rb1mx5x
@user-ti5rb1mx5x Рік тому
​@Lexoka no one really denies CC, it's just not an emergency. It's gotten an average of 1 degree warmer since the Industrial Revolution.
@BerndFelsche
@BerndFelsche 11 місяців тому
@@user-ti5rb1mx5x You mean the LIA? ;-)
@PaulHigginbothamSr
@PaulHigginbothamSr 20 днів тому
Thank you Sabine for being a caring person. You help the rest of us have a better understanding of physical things. One thing I wish you would show is T Corona Borealis and whether the thermonuclear surface explosion adds to or subtracts total white dwarf mass. All that infall of material makes one think it is gaining mass but maybe not.
@littlesun2023
@littlesun2023 9 місяців тому
This was so great. Thank you so much. It will help much in daily discussions
@prydin
@prydin Рік тому
Sabine! A good science communicator is one who’s not afraid to say “this is more complicated than you think”. Thank you again for the great content you put out!
@kanguruster
@kanguruster Рік тому
Sabine is also a good enough communicator to say "this is more complicated than even I thought, so I further educated myself."
@jovetj
@jovetj Рік тому
It's always "more complicated than you think"...
@msimon6808
@msimon6808 Рік тому
It has to be very complicated to use water vapor and then make it disappear. Magic. Magic is not science. Water vapor is the #1 Greenhouse gas. It does 3/4s of the heating according to GHG theory. If you can believe the theory. If the theory is correct water vapor alone will destroy the planet. There is on average 50 times as much water vapor in the atmosphere as CO2.
@msimon6808
@msimon6808 Рік тому
@@kanguruster It has to be complicated. To cover this up. Water vapor is the #1 Greenhouse gas. It does 3/4s of the heating according to GHG theory. If you can believe the theory. If the theory is correct water vapor alone will destroy the planet. There is on average 50 times as much water vapor in the atmosphere as CO2.
@Bob-of-Zoid
@Bob-of-Zoid Рік тому
I wish flat earthers would realize that some things are harder than just "It looks flat to me" and then assume all of science must therefore be wrong!
@AlanTheBeast100
@AlanTheBeast100 Рік тому
@07:00 the falling gravity with altitude has negligible effect on the pressure gradient. The pressure gradient is mostly due the weight of the air column - densest at the bottom due to all the weight piled on it from above. About 50% of the atmosphere (by mass) is in the first 5000 metres or so. Earth's gravity potential at 100,000 metres is 0.97g. Has pretty much no effect on the change of air pressure (density) with altitude. As to GH effect: I had the same issue up until this video: ukposts.info/have/v-deo/oIV3g6ume2mSqas.html&ab_channel=SixtySymbols
@pompeymonkey3271
@pompeymonkey3271 Рік тому
I noticed that too. But it did not detract from the overall science :)
@ephemerallyfe
@ephemerallyfe Рік тому
There are also no satellites orbiting Earth in the stratosphere.
@AlanTheBeast100
@AlanTheBeast100 Рік тому
@@ephemerallyfe I did hear something odd there but didn't go back for a re-hear.
@AlanTheBeast100
@AlanTheBeast100 Рік тому
@@pompeymonkey3271 It's so fundamental, that, well, it detracts from "overall science" if not this specific topic.
@paulramsey2000
@paulramsey2000 Рік тому
I came looking for this this comment. I was surprised that she made that mistake. I'm sure she'll hear about it. It's fundamental enough that hopefully she'll provide a correction but I agree that it was overall a great video.
@meekerdb
@meekerdb 7 місяців тому
Good explanation. But, the drop in air pressure with altitude has nothing to do with the 1/R^2 decrease in gravity. The atmosphere is less than 100km thick so the change in gravity is trivial.
@grindupBaker
@grindupBaker 6 місяців тому
Yeah she apologizes for the brain fart in the video comments
@axelspens5153
@axelspens5153 9 місяців тому
Accounting for the earth's heat transfer as an energy balance seems like the best point to start to make effective changes. Maybe we can "tweak" the surface temperature by making some local changes to reduce the concentration of resonance gasses in the stratosphere or lower. The stratospheric cooling test at 15:36 for solar effect or resonant gas concentration seems very relevant. I appreciate Sabine's presentation of trends and data to account for observations in the industrial era.
@glennbabic5954
@glennbabic5954 Рік тому
Gravity is BARELY less at the cruising altitude of an airliner, not even as high as the ISS, the air pressure is less because there is less atmosphere pushing down from above you.
@cdl0
@cdl0 Рік тому
About thirty years ago in the early 1990s, I attended a colloquium given by a climate scientist about this subject. At the end of the presentation I asked exactly the question about the broad, saturated absorption bands of water versus the narrow band of carbon dioxide, which, sadly, our guest speaker could not answer, and I have wondered about ever since. So, now we know, and I am still alive.
@grindupBaker
@grindupBaker Рік тому
You can plainly see H2O gas radiating from average ~2 km above surface on any FTIR from space (since 1964 when they started with IRIS-A on Nimbus 1). You see the 10-13 microns that goes up in the land surface "atmospheric window". You see the huge CO2 notch that cuts far higher (far colder, far less radiated) than the King Water Vapour in the lowest ~2 km above surface. This is why non Water Vapour are called the "well-mixed" ones by scientists, because they go very high without condensing & thus losing most of their LWR power (clouds water drops & ice crystals do have LWR effect into them about 10 microns of course but it's far more powerful when the molecules are spread out as a gas because their molecule pals don't crowd them out). University Chicago MODTRAN has a Sahara Desert sample 1968 FTIR & there are others around like examples of these measured FTIR power flux vs wave-length spectra (for western tropical Pacific Ocean, Sahara Desert, Antarctica & southern Iraq) can be seen at ukposts.info/have/v-deo/h5-Ya2OChqqhpnU.html at 18:07 FTIR power flux vs wave-length spectra recorded by the IRIS Infra-Red Interferometer Spectrometer instruments on the Nimbus-1 (1964 - 1964), Nimbus-2 (1966 - 1969), Nimbus-3 (1969 - 1972) satellites show which wave-lengths of LWR heading to space past the satellite. MODTRAN is this: Software Description MODTRAN - MODerate spectral resolution atmospheric TRANSsmittance algorithm and computer model, developed by AFRL/VSBT in collaboration with Spectral Sciences, Inc. MODTRAN4 has been available to the public since Jan 2000. It remains the state-of-the-art atmospheric band model radiation transport model. PATENT: The Air Force Research Lab, Space Vehicles Directorate, in collaboration with Spectral Sciences, Inc., is pleased to continue the release of MODTRAN4 as a fully UNCLASSIFIED atmospheric radiative transfer code and algorithm. MODTRAN4 follows the prior releases of LOWTRAN (now fully obsolete) and the earlier MODTRAN3 series. MODTRAN4 has been awarded a U.S. Patent, # 5,884,226; 16 March 1999. FEE: Access to MODTRAN4 requires that a new Non-Disclosure Agreement (NDA) be signed and a fee paid. Source code, data files and PC-executables are all on CD-Rom and distributed by the ONTAR Corporation for the Air Force Research Laboratories (AFRL). The fee payment instructions will be supplied upon receipt of the signed NDA. Because the moderate fee (~$300) includes user-support, all receiving parties (Universities, Corporations, and Government Agencies) are subject to the assessment. Furthermore, the NDA term "CORPORATION" only denotes an individual research group. If any single CORPORATION has disparate research groups, each using MODTRAN4 in a different capacity, then the fee applies separately to each group. To do otherwise (distribute across research applications) constitutes secondary re-distribution, which must be individually negotiated with the AIR FORCE. DESCRIPTION: The Moderate Resolution Transmittance (MODTRAN) Code calculates atmospheric transmittance and radiance for frequencies from 0 to 50,000 cm-1 at moderate spectral resolution, primarily 2 cm-1 (20 cm-1 in the UV). The original development of MODTRAN was driven by a need for higher spectral resolution and greater accuracy than that provided by the LOWTRAN series of band model algorithms. Except for its molecular band model parameterization, MODTRAN adopts all the LOWTRAN 7 capabilities, including spherical refractive geometry, solar and lunar source functions, and scattering (Rayleigh, Mie, single and multiple), and default profiles (gases, aerosols, clouds, fogs, and rain). CURRENT CAPABILITIES: The current release is MODTRAN4, version 3.1. This version number connotes the additions of some errata and new physics since MODTRAN4 was first patented and released. The major developments in MODTRAN4 are the implementation of a correlated-k algorithm (references below) which facilitates accurate calculation of multiple scattering. This essentially permits MODTRAN4 to act as a 'true Beer-Lambert' radiative transfer code, with attenuation/layer now having a physical meaning. More accurate transmittance and radiance calculations will greatly facilitate the analysis of hyperspectral imaging data. The other major addition to MODTRAN has been to provide sets of Bi-directional Radiance Distribution Functions (BRDFs) that permit the surface scattering to be other than Lambertian. The combination of correlated-K and BRDFs has greatly improved the scattering accuracy, as has the implementation of azimuthal asymmetries.
@douginorlando6260
@douginorlando6260 Рік тому
The lack of understanding by the climate scientist proves it’s not based on science. We do know the WEF power cartel is using the fear of climate change to steal farms from the farmers who worked their land for generations
@hg2.
@hg2. Рік тому
Is co2 glorified humidity?
@dilvishpa5776
@dilvishpa5776 Рік тому
Water vapor is a more significant greenhouse contributor than is CO2. I am with you. I have heard 50 years of gloom and doom scenarios, and none have been realized. Were any of then true,I would be dead three times over. CO2 is a greenhouse gas, but as numerous physicists have comment (Bill Happer and Tyson Freeman among them) it’s contribution is already near its maximum, and will not contribute significantly in the future. The “shoulder” argument Sabine references is bogus. Vibrational molecular energy absorption is quantized, so there are no “soft shoulders”, and a few degrees of temperature increase will widen the CO2 absorption range, but at 273K that effect will be insignificant.
@dilvishpa5776
@dilvishpa5776 Рік тому
@@hg2. No.
@mrbriceno3949
@mrbriceno3949 10 днів тому
Wow very amazing channel I seriously just learned some complex physics and was able to relate from taking statistics and chemistry… my mind is blown. I love how different subjects like science and math come together 🎉
@Redsson56
@Redsson56 7 місяців тому
Good video but you missed on the explanation of decreasing pressure with altitude. If someone put a ton of bricks on you, you would feel a lot of pressure - not because gravity is different but because gravity is pulling the ton of bricks down on you. If you dive 50 feet down in the sea, you will experience a significance increase in pressure because the weight of the water is adding to the atmospheric pressure at the surface. Standing on a beach at sea level you experience the standard air pressure. If you go up 18,000 feet, you experience an atmospheric pressure that is half that at sea level because you are now above half of the atmosphere. The distance from earth’s center to the surface is about 4,000 miles. If you go up another 18,000 ft you add another 3.4 miles. Even squared the difference ratio has changed very little and gravitational pull has decreased only 0.2%.
@helgefan8994
@helgefan8994 Рік тому
At 7:03 Sabine suggests that the force of gravity decreasing with altitude is responsible for air pressure getting lower with altitude, but that is wrong. Over those 100 km air pressure goes from 1 bar to almost 0, whereas the force of gravity is just 3% lower than on the ground. Instead air is less dense up there because there‘s less air above it pushing down on it.
@TerryBollinger
@TerryBollinger Рік тому
That was... intense! I think you covered most of the innards of the full model. One issue I didn't see is the criticality, complexity, and difficult-to-model fractal variability of the water vapor component. Without high water vapor averages, we'd be a giant snowball even with astronomical increases in durable CO2 and fragile-in-oxygen methane.
@SabineHossenfelder
@SabineHossenfelder Рік тому
Yes, that's right. I was about to go on about the relevance of water, but it just got too long. So I ended up just saying actually it's more complicated than that...
@adamsuwaa1433
@adamsuwaa1433 Рік тому
Without story about water and clouds it is still only half-truth 🤔
@rogerlie4176
@rogerlie4176 Рік тому
As Sabine pointed out, a 20 minutes video can only scratch the (warming) surface of an incredibly complex subject.
@jjhhandk3974
@jjhhandk3974 Рік тому
Then don't fuckin say you're going to explain it. 😂
@msytdc1577
@msytdc1577 Рік тому
@@rogerlie4176 I mean you can simply say upfront that "Both water vapor and greenhouse gases result in the green house effect, but this video is going to focus on the gasses-let me know in the comments of you'd like to see another video covering the water vapor aspect." Then with one sentence you covered your bases, let people know there's more to the (complicated) story, and driven some engagement (go go UKposts algo rhythm).
@mauricioventanas
@mauricioventanas 9 місяців тому
Amazing explanation, and yes, I had it a bit wrong too. Just one clarification: the main reason why the density of the atmosphere goes down with altitude is not so much because gravity goes down. Actually, gravity changes very little from the bottom to the top of the atmosphere, because the thickness of the atmosphere is small compared to the distance to the center of the planet. The main reason is more trivial: it's just because it has less gas piled on top. When we're standing on the ground, we have our 1 atm pressure because of the weight of the gas on top. As you go up there is less and less gas on top, so pressure goes down. Following the ideal gas law, at lower pressure lower density. That will hold true even if gravity remains the same.
@CHSCHENK2000
@CHSCHENK2000 6 місяців тому
You are absolutely right. Hard to believe that she makes such a huge mistake. Just ridiculous.
@wfolta1
@wfolta1 10 місяців тому
Excellent video and great explanation about how the arrows build the wrong intuition. Could you please add the hydraulic cycle to this? That is, when the lower atmosphere warms, it causes evaporation which causes more water vapor (greenhouse gas) but also absorbs heat. The vapor rises up to almost the stratosphere (at least in the tropics) and condenses which reflects sunlight well above the surface and also releases the latent heat from the water vapor at the doorstep of the stratosphere. Lots of moving parts there: water vapor as a greenhouse gas, clouds reflecting light, and the transport of heat from the surface of the earth up to nearly the stratosphere where it's released. How does this mixture of insulation, umbrella, and heat-pumping work on balance? For bonus points, do you think Elves, Sprites, and Blue Jets transfer significant amounts of energy as well?
@raywoodward1967
@raywoodward1967 Рік тому
I did my undergraduate honours degree in physics and geophysics. I'm really impressed by how well both the broad principles and the intrinsic complexities of atmospheric physics were explained. I've had numerous requests to explain global warming and whether or not it's all a hoax being pulled by greedy scientists eager to pad their research grants so they can drink champagne and live the high life in their luxurious 5 star ivory tower penthouses or is it real and being played down by billion dollar industrial lobbies keen to ensure that they can continue to make huge profits from the extraction and sale of hydrocarbons. I'll point them to this video from now on (except those who insist the world is flat or that the moon landings were all fake - unfortunately they seem to live in another Universe entirely and it's one I don't really understand).
@schmetterling4477
@schmetterling4477 Рік тому
Why are you lying about your education? ;-)
@johnl5316
@johnl5316 10 місяців тому
see Princeton Prof of Physics, William Happer & MIT Prof of Atmospheric Physics, Richard Lindzen
@MikeBarnesCoachcom
@MikeBarnesCoachcom 10 місяців тому
the moon landings never happened, and father xmas ain't real either.
@anticorncob6
@anticorncob6 8 місяців тому
It's the latter scenario. The former doesn't make sense.
@davidvaccari2321
@davidvaccari2321 Рік тому
Whoops! Sabine, you made a little mistake at 7:05. The atmospheric pressure decreases with altitude almost entirely because as you go up, there is less weight above you to push down. It's not because gravity decreases by r-squared. Yes gravity does decrease, but that is a much smaller contributor to the effect. This doesn't change your overall explanation. Thanks.
@kevpatguiriot
@kevpatguiriot Рік тому
👍
@SpectatorAlius
@SpectatorAlius Рік тому
But remember that the "weight above you to push down" is itself dependent on gravity. Otherwise there would be *no* weight.
@andrewwade1651
@andrewwade1651 Рік тому
@@SpectatorAlius Sure, but over the 50 or so km relevant to the greenhouse effect g doesn't vary much and the pressure very much does. In a hypothetical flat Earth where g doesn't vary with height you would still get the approximately exponential drop-off of atmospheric pressure with height. (Assume this hypothetical Earth is accelerating upwards to provide gravity, and has walls on the edges to keep the atmosphere in.)
@boohoo746
@boohoo746 Рік тому
she needed to make that mistake so she could poke fun at the flat earthers. Ph Ds are the most arrogant (and most frequently wrong) people on the planet.
@DrDeuteron
@DrDeuteron Рік тому
if you believe in traceless strain tensors, the weaker gravity in the longitudinal direction is entirely canceled by the "focusing" (converging radial gravity lines-of-force) in the two transverse directions.
@moonrock41
@moonrock41 8 місяців тому
If I've understood this correctly the increasing amount of CO2 in the atmosphere is stratifying it into a warmer troposphere and a cooler stratosphere and this makes it more difficult for heat to escape to space. I'm not sure if this significantly alters how we should think about GHG release and its effect upon civilization. The correlation between rising GHG concentration and rising average global temperature has always been, for me, sufficient explanation of the phenomenon. What I didn't know until a few years ago was how slowly CO2 is removed from the atmosphere by natural processes. This is why we will face rising temperatures for many centuries unless a means can be found to pull out vast quantities and then bury them or create something to decrease the amount of sunlight striking the Earth. Does it really matter that the apocalypse may not happen as soon as we imagine? Perhaps, but some of us think it's better to be insured against relatively near-term catastrophic loss. We can't always accurately predict how bad a situation will get, nor can we assume we'll have an accurate timetable for predicting disastrous effects.
@grindupBaker
@grindupBaker 8 місяців тому
No you didn't understand. Sabine's video is pretty poor, more entertainment than education, so it's not your fault.It's actually extremely simple. The troposphere (lowest 80% of Earth's air) is highly vertically turbulent because warm surface air constantly rising, blowing around and falling again somewhere, that's the weather. Where that almost always (not 100% always) doesn't mix with is the tropopause & stratosphere that has horizontal air movement but very little vertical air movement so very little mixing with the troposphere below. Since stratosphere absorbs Sun's UV-B with its ozone it's always been warmest at the top because that's where UV-B arrives first. Since it don't mix vertically much it stays coolest at the bottom and warmest at the top. Troposphere is warmest at the bottom because 2/3rds of sunshine that isn't reflected goes into the ocean (mostly) & land and then comes out again into the air. -------- The "greenhouse effect" is just that cooler things radiate less than warmer things so if you picture the lowest 12 km as 120 air layers each 100 m thick then layer 1 absorbs 90% of what comes up from surface & only 10% gets through. The H2O, CO2, CH4 etcetera in layer 1 also MANUFACTURE radiation just like the surface does and they send some upwards but because it's a TINY BIT colder than surface it radiates upwards a TINY BIT less than the 90% that it absorbed from surface and incorporated into its own heat, so it very slightly reduced the radiation going up to less than that which came up from the surface. So now think of the other 119 layers each 100 m thick and each one absorbing some radiation from the layers below and letting some through and sending up a bit of its own it manufactured, but always less with each layer because it keeps getting colder with height. So by the time it's going up from layer 120 the 396 w/m**2 heading up from surface has been reduced to maybe 230 w/m**2 (I don't know). ------------- The stratosphere is challenging to explain to you though I know well enough. It's clear to you that it can't do the same as I just described because that effect clearly required the temperature to keep going down as height increases and it does the opposite of that in the stratosphere (because of UV-B & ozone) so you might think offhand that the more GHGs there are in the stratosphere the more Earth radiates out to space because each stratosphere layer (like arbitrary 100 m layers) )manufactures more than it absorbed from below, because it keeps getting warmer and warmer manufactures-radiates more, which would cool the stratosphere and all below. But it's more complicated because it depends on whether the gas is "well -mixed". Specifically H2O gas (water vapour) is massively poorly mixed because it converts into water & ice so H2O gas is strong to 2 km up and then declines rapidly to very little. This means that more H2O gas in the stratosphere causes warming because even though stratosphere gets warmer with height it doesn't get as warm as 2 km from surface where H2O gas is mostly radiating from. However, more CO2 or O3 gas in the stratosphere causes cooling because they are well mixed up the troposphere and have a powerful narrow centre wavelength part that has absorbed all radiation from below in those frequencies so it's radiating entirely upwards from the COLDEST place in the air, top of troposphere (bottom of stratosphere). It's getting too wordy so see FTIRs at 30:55 at ukposts.info/have/v-deo/q12SlmORhY6fu2w.html You see the base of the CO2 & O3 notches at their peak absorption wavelengths over the Sahara Desert and over the Mediterranean Sea. It goes flat because it's manufacturing from the coldest place in air, top of troposphere (bottom of stratosphere). But note the little spike in the middle of those, that's the stratospheric cooling effect. Obviously, those spikes mean MORE energy being radiated to space (it's higher power than the lower flat part on either side) and that's energy coming from the stratosphere. Also note over Antarctica how the "greenhouse effect" is backwards for Antarctica in winter. That's because the troposphere lapse rate is backwards (thermal inversions) because there's no sunshine to warm the ground (warm the ice) but warmer air is arriving high above from further north (the Polar Cell, Jet Streams and all that topic) and descending to warm the surface so there's lots of inverted air temperature which causes the "greenhouse effect" to work backwards there with increased "greenhouse gases" causing cooling there in winter. Look at my explanation of the "greenhouse effect" at the start and think about with the air getting WARMER with height and you easily see that would work backwards with the "greenhouse gases" sending MORE to space than the surface below radiated up so the "greenhouse effect" working backwards and causing cooling instead of warming. That is what happens when the surface is colder than 228K and this has all been measured continuously since 1964. ----------- For the average Earth lapse rate and for the 1969 original lapse rate modeling (lousy old computers) of change through the troposphere & stratosphere see at 23:08 at ukposts.info/have/v-deo/kZOae6acammItJc.html
@enderwiggin1113
@enderwiggin1113 8 місяців тому
"If I've understood this correctly" No. The warmer troposphere and the colder stratosphere isn't the cause, but the result of 'making it more difficult for heat to escape' !
@tsb3093
@tsb3093 6 місяців тому
Also worth noting that some of the increased energy that the planet has been retaining in the recent past has been/is being used as latent heat to melt ice caps, glaciers and sea ice. Although hugely significant in terms of consequence, I imagine it’s only a small percentage of the total energy in the system but when all or most of the ice has gone, that energy will be used as sensible heat and the planet will warm even more.
@grindupBaker
@grindupBaker 6 місяців тому
@tsb3093 Yes all these basic items are worth noting because they are subject to minimal uncertainty so gets them out of the way, straightforward. Like you I start with all the Basics (in March-May 2013 for me). So if I take Antarctic sea ice loss same as Arctic Ocean sea ice loss specifically for this "total energy in the system" topic, because it's all ultra-minor anyway just like you said ("I imagine it’s only a small percentage of the total energy") then a good approximation of all ice reduction of Earth (all 5 usual groupings that it gets separated into) last decade rate or some such is 1,200 Gt/year and by trivial calculation that I'm doing without calculator that needs 0.40 Zettajoules/year to melt it. So here it is in a table shown as a portion of your "total energy in the system" which is Earth's energy imbalance (EEI) which is the present global heater I've shown as (a) the global heater for last 12 months (b) the global heater as the present point on the trend line, from ukposts.info/have/v-deo/hImVqqRpp32qsKs.html at 1:06 Here the simple table: w/m**2 Zettajoules per year 1.57 25.1 The global heater for last 12 months 1.45 23.2 The global heater as the present point on the trend line 0.025 0.40 Being used to melt the 1,200 Gt/year of ice (obviously, only the annual ice REDUCTION and not the annual melting and re-forming) So your " I imagine it’s only a small percentage of the total energy in the system" is 0.40 / 23.2 = 1.7% of the global heater, yes it's a small percentage.
@davidcroft7381
@davidcroft7381 6 місяців тому
@@grindupBaker Is there a way to estimate how much heat is absorbed by evaporation?
@grindupBaker
@grindupBaker 6 місяців тому
​@@davidcroft7381 The latent heat of evaporation is well known but I'm not sure that's your question. It's entirely unclear what your question is but whatever it is, if a person could figure that out then the answer is likely rather simple and accurately known. For example just for illustration it's known that about 13 trillion tonnes of H2O gas are typically in the atmosphere and it has all been changed to water and ice and rained out and replaced over about 9 days so one of the thousands of simple things I did in 2013 was simply calculate that latent heat of evaporation 13 * 10**15 kg * 4,200 joules / degrees * 600 degrees equivalent latent heat = 3.28 * 10**22 joules (32.8 Zettajoules) every 9 days of energy transported from the tropical ocean surface into the air and wafted around Earth on the breezes. That is 3.28 * 10**22 / (9 days * 24 hours * 3600 seconds) = 4.22 * 10**16 Watts (42.2 Petawatts) which is 83 w/m**2 for Earth (equalling for example ~1/3rd of absorbed solar radiation). I then noted back in 2013 that the Earth's energy budget diagrams had latent heat at 78 & 80 w/m**2 (they vary a bit) so my shit-simple quickie calculation I just did was 4%-6% bigger than correct, a good quick approximation. Is that the sort of question you were asking or were you asking something COMPLETELY DIFFERENT ?
@2adamast
@2adamast Рік тому
7:00 The gravitational force is as good as constant between 0 and 100 km altitude (6400 to 6500 km for the inverse square calculation), so the inverse square law doesn't matter unless you have a fight with flat earthers.
@photonjones5908
@photonjones5908 Рік тому
There is a point somehwere along the learning curve, where one realizes how little one actually understands. Yet that is the gateway from ignorance toward a true grasp of a subject. We have all been somewhat misled by simplistic models, sadly most never reach the point where they recognize that they were misled. Anyway your video has also helped me to remedy my own misunderstanding that I had become aware of, and which brought me here for a proper explanation of the machanism of thermal forcing in AGW. Thank you Sabine.
@irgendwieanders2121
@irgendwieanders2121 Рік тому
Actually trying to recreate some research helps (or at least helped me). Reading the paper (or actually the 2 papers we started from) I thought it was easy, half a year later, having dug through 3 layers of references I knew it was easy, but not like I at first thought it was ;-)
@Kenneth-ts7bp
@Kenneth-ts7bp Рік тому
You still don't understand.
@jakecostanza802
@jakecostanza802 Рік тому
A or B? A: we don’t fully understand climate change, let’s ignore it. B: we don’t fully understand climate change, let’s be cautious.
@BenBurkeSydney
@BenBurkeSydney Рік тому
@@jakecostanza802 B would be my answer...
@voidisyinyangvoidisyinyang885
@voidisyinyangvoidisyinyang885 Рік тому
@@irgendwieanders2121 I emailed this vid to Professor Raymond Pierrehumbert and he replied that Sabine had asked him questions just to clarify his research. She's done an excellent job to make his research more easily understood!! So I find this very exciting.
@andreyswiesciak-maddox7242
@andreyswiesciak-maddox7242 9 місяців тому
The first time I've heard something to help me understand those atmospheric effects. Wow!
@richardwarren449
@richardwarren449 10 місяців тому
Sounded, as always, that Sabine really understands this topic, but I’m unable to process such a rapid fire delivery; will need to rewatch at least once.
@grindupBaker
@grindupBaker 10 місяців тому
I think it's only a modest charge for refills.
@glenwaverley23
@glenwaverley23 7 місяців тому
What you do is click on the little gear wheel bpttom right of UKposts playing and select speed - make it 75 per cent. I do this anyway.
@Elloziano
@Elloziano Рік тому
Very necessary video, my favorite channel never fails to deliver!
@sillysad3198
@sillysad3198 Рік тому
absolutely necessary! to not being fired, and trown out of youtube.
@armouredghoul8279
@armouredghoul8279 Рік тому
R E C Y C L I N G is a sc4m
@armouredghoul8279
@armouredghoul8279 Рік тому
C0mpanies didn't want to stop using plastic so they blamed us for not "R E C Y C L I N G"
@armouredghoul8279
@armouredghoul8279 Рік тому
Use glass bottles instead and wash them.
@monicabello3527
@monicabello3527 Рік тому
@@armouredghoul8279simply drink tap water😜
@aliensuperweapon
@aliensuperweapon Рік тому
I am amazed. This is the video that the world needs because this misunderstanding is probably more widespread than we could ever be aware of. Your alternative arrows illustration really puts it all together what you explained in detail during the video, it makes so much sense and adds a lot of good argumentation also for our own understanding. Than you so much for that! Some million more people have to see this.
@ifbfmto9338
@ifbfmto9338 Рік тому
I’m going to be completely honest……. I’m all for science education, and this video is pretty good, but I’m not sure if the general public needs to know, or is capable of understanding in any way, the subtle nuances and complexities of (exactly how) greenhouse gases cause warming It is more than sufficient for the public to know the basic point, that higher greenhouse gas concentrations leads to warming, and that therefore we will need to attempt to control greenhouse gas emissions as part of any effective climate strategy
@derkyarik_7298
@derkyarik_7298 Рік тому
​@@ifbfmto9338 I must recognise, your comment, give me to an dilemma: 1º True is needed, if not, mankind is only a farm in the hands of some 'special people'. And I , on science since 1980, point for true, for honesty, the roots of any, any, science. 2º Social science, tell us that most part of mankind,,,,,,,, to tell it on polite view, do not have science and true as its most high value,,,,,,,,,,, I hope you understand me. So, yes, probably you have reason, but if we do this way, all mankind should, always, be cheated, swindled and robbed, yesterday, with 'the big-bad sadam hussein and his big and numerous massive destruction weapons', on 2011, with 'the big H1N1 mortality for all planet',,,,,,,,, about COVID,,,, you have your minds, they are the best judge,,,,,,,,,,, since 2005, 'the bad green-house' is going to give Mediterranean sea to Madrid, to Paris, and New-York (And Gozila) destroyed (It is nice to see all disaster on this city, ¿There are no other in the universe?),,,,,,,,, and so, on,,,,, forever. But on the other side, I know (I am 62 years old, more knows the evil for age, than for being the evil) how mankind, ,,,,,,,, is. So, yes, I can no solve this dilemma. For me, I have my choice, work, study, hard, for the true, hard,,,,, But for most, the true, is ,,,,,,,,,, other thing. Ifbfmto,,,,,,,,,,,,,, your words are not vane,,,,,,,, history is this way, now, and in Roma.
@user-vl6tl7cj4c
@user-vl6tl7cj4c 8 місяців тому
Thank you Sabine for this excellent video! Back when I studied physics, I also took some courses on astronomy and learned that a quantity called optical depth or optical thickness is very useful when discussing stellar atmospheres. There was a rule of thumb that the radiation we see comes from an optical depth of about 1, which provided relatively easy explanations for a surprising amount of the features of stellar spectra. This rule of thumb is also useful in earth's atmosphereprovides quantitative estimates for the altitudes at which radiation is emitted. One detail about the glass houses in which we grow food - to the best of my knowledge, the main reason why they get hot is that the air inside is trapped. In experiments where the glass was replaced with infrared-transparent windows, the temperatures inside the "greenhouse" rose to almost the same levels.
@Mass-jab-death-2025
@Mass-jab-death-2025 3 місяці тому
I’m more afraid of gravity change. Since the widespread availability of backyard trampolines started in the late 60s the earth’s rotation has slowly been knocked out of kilter. It is now becoming critical, countless billions are being spent of so called ‘climate change” yet this more pressing pending disaster is largely ignored. I can solve this problem once and for all using strategically placed counter weights on springs at strategic gravity hotspots ( namely my backyard) and I can do all this for a cool 2.5 billion dollars. Don’t wait for the world to end with us all either shooting off into space of being crushed into the ground. Send your tax deductible donation to the “Harvest the gullible fools Institute”. We are also hiring the services of Santa Clause and the Easter Bunny to solve Climate Change. Santa is going to fly his slay around during his off season and the Easter Bunny will accompany him sprinkling the clouds with left over chocolate which has been finely powdered. This will stain the clouds brown and block the sun ending the dreaded warming that we are assured will one day cause sea levels to rise somehow. This can be done for the bargain price of 1.25 billion ! So what are you waiting for Send your tax deductible donation to the “Harvest the gullible fools Institute” NOW or they may be no tomorrow !
@guenthermichaels5303
@guenthermichaels5303 7 місяців тому
Stratospheric Cooling. That is the net proof that I didn't know before.
@grindupBaker
@grindupBaker 7 місяців тому
Absolutely and I've been pointing that out for 8 years, but it's hard to argue against the so-called "greenhouse effect" in Earth's troposphere anyway when it's (Earth's radiation to space) been actually measured continuously by satellite instrument since 1964 (IRIS-A on Nimbus 1) and is clearly seen in the sample FTIRS over the Internet the last couple of decades including GooglesTubes videos such as: === at 16:35 at ukposts.info/have/v-deo/rmKfnKmqh41omH0.html and 20:31 (3 FTIR samples measured in 1970 for Sahara Desert, Mediterranean Sea & Antarctica) === at 18:08 at ukposts.info/have/v-deo/h5-Ya2OChqqhpnU.html (4 FTIR samples for western tropical Pacific Ocean, Sahara Desert, Antarctica & southern Iraq) === at 30:55 at ukposts.info/have/v-deo/q12SlmORhY6fu2w.html (3 FTIR samples measured in 1970 for Sahara Desert, Mediterranean Sea & Antarctica again) === at 20:09 at ukposts.info/have/v-deo/qpeBYaKunWilw2w.html (3 FTIR samples measured in 1970 for Sahara Desert, Mediterranean Sea & Antarctica again) and for this one at 22:09 to 22:34 hear Professor William van Wijngaarden of York University Toronto who did the study with William Happer explain clearly why the "greenhouse effect" in Earth's troposphere works backwards and COOLS THE SURFACE of Antarctica in winter (but only Antarctica and only in winter) for the same reason "greenhouse effect" cools the stratosphere. === at 2:37 at ukposts.info/have/v-deo/hn6Yga97iY2I03U.html for 63,000 locations around Earth (grid pixels) measured presumably hundreds or thousands of times at each place from space (averaged) both the radiation both the radiation power emitted to space, after being filtered through the "greenhouse effect" and also the surface temperature below that radiation, so it's a fairly accurate measure of how much warming, or COOLING, effect there is at all locations around Earth due to "greenhouse effect", which COOLS when surface is below -45 degrees, as shown, and warms when surface is above -45 degrees, with the warming effect getting stronger as the surface gets warmer. Interesting science stuff. IMPORTANT: This green hash-plot is only for when there were NO CLOUDS IN THE SKY so that it gets the effects or the IR-active gases only and doesn't get interfered with by clouds, which have their own often extremely-powerful version of the "greenhouse effect" (they keep winter nights much warmer than with a clear sky, often dramatically so).
@PeterAGW
@PeterAGW Рік тому
Really glad to see a video that explains this. But there's an error (which doesn't really affect the fundamental point) where you say air pressure decreases with height primarily because gravity weakens - gravity varies very little over the thickness of the atmosphere - pressure decreases with height mainly because each layer of the atmosphere is holding up all of the atmosphere above it, so pressure must be highest at the surface and then it decreases to zero out to space, roughly exponentially with height. The next video can explain why temperature really decreases with height up to the stratosphere- it's not just due to pressure decreasing - fun physics with radiative-convective equilibrium etc. ;-)
@kevpatguiriot
@kevpatguiriot Рік тому
👍
@andrewgregg5873
@andrewgregg5873 Рік тому
Amazing video. My father and I are both STEM masters, he is (or at least was, we haven't discussed the topic in a while and he has changed views over time before) a climate change denier. He always dropped the point about how the radiation is fully absorbed early on, the first time you say rhetorically "so it's all a hoax?", which is very easily verifiable and bunks the first model you go over and stumped me for a long time. Trying to find clear scientific info on the topic took a lot of research and eventually I found a paper on radiative forcing (referenced by the Copenhagen papers that I read in their entirety) which I believe is the 2nd point where you get to the rhetorical "so isn't it all a hoax then?". I found the same issues as you. It's so hard to find good science info to actually understand amidst all the political content. I don't think the majority of climate supporters even understand the first explanation. For them it's a political issue and the science is "Just trust the experts". I have always seen holes in the flawed explanations you call out and have kind of been agnostic as to whether the cause is CO2 or not, to me the correlation was unproven and I was supporting climate measures out of more of a pascal's wager: better to take measures and be wrong than to not take measures and be wrong. The correlation is certainly there. It never sat well with me though, and every time I ever brought up doubts, I always get appeals to authority ("trust me the experts know way more than you just trust them") or ad hominem attacks ("how can you not care about the Earth???") when I just wanted to learn. Over the last 12 years I have asked many stem people in real life, made an r/askscience thread asking for clarification on how radiative forcing actually translates to warming, and never gotten a satisfactory answer (but a ton of attacks for daring to question what people are politically invested in for sure). In my experience, the percentage of people who can give the greenhouse explanation is maybe 50%, the number who know about radiative forcing is
@stuartd9741
@stuartd9741 Рік тому
ukposts.info/have/v-deo/aJRmaaSnZ2eSsYk.html
@kirklaird8345
@kirklaird8345 Рік тому
One thing you should keep in mind before you go on the attack. No one who knows science discredits or ignores the fact that CO2 is a greenhouse gas. The real questions of importance are these: 1) Will the warming be significant? Sabine's presentation explains why we should expect some warming from CO2, all other things being equal, but she doesn't provide an estimate of the amount of the effect. 2) Will the warming be good or bad? There is plenty of evidence that additional CO2 and warming result in a greening of the planet and higher crop yields,. 3) Are there other factors such as cloud formation physics that are involved that we do not understand enough to draw realistic conclusions about anthropogenic CO2 and 4) Can we trust the global alarmists? They've been shouting "The sky is falling and the seas are rising rapidly and accelerating" for the last 30 years. (E.g. the Maldives were supposed to have been submerged by 2018 according to a prediction by Noel Brown, head of the UN's Environmental Office in New York in 1988.) Yet according to tide gauge data from around the world, the average sea level rise along the coasts has been about 1.8mm/yr for more than 100 years. If there has been any acceleration it is trivial. JR Houston (2021) found an acceleration of .0128mm/yr/yr - which is indeed trivial.
@doctordapp
@doctordapp Рік тому
I have studied it a lot as well like you, but without any masters degree. And I don't dispute that our added CO2 does change it a bit. But I am called denier, like your father for the questions I am asking. My questions are plain and simple.. - how much does it actually change the temperature on the earth? No calculations are shown ever! - will that be a problem? I don't see any problem in the temperature rising a fraction, as well if you would purely calculate the radiative forcing, my calculations would end up around 0,7°C for a Co2 doubling. I would like to hear your opinion on this as someone with a masters degree...
@wuokawuoka
@wuokawuoka Рік тому
@@doctordapp Well, in my region, vintners are happy to cultivate kinds of grape that need more sun and warmth than ever before (that is a couple of hundreds of years, just to be clear) producing better wine. Nice, isn't it? Not really, in the Alps, skiing in winter can only take place in higher altitude, with lower altitude facilities already going out of business. Glaciers in the Alps shrink, rainfall patterns change to the truly erratic but insufficient side, groundwater levels sink, twisters are a thing now and bugs only found far south a decade ago are the new normal. All in all, there is so much more energy in the atmosphere, ground dries up and now common species of trees are already in decline. Mankind set free CO2 that has been sequestered over millions of years in a span of a mere 100 years. We already see the effects. There is no known precedent of CO2 levels rising this sharply in earths history (levels, yes. But speed of change, no). There is no known natural mechanism to catch that much CO2 in such a short period of time we need to keep our civilization (and economy) going the same way as today.
@doctordapp
@doctordapp Рік тому
@@wuokawuoka glaciers in the alps shrink and grow. If you look at newspapers from the 1930's you see exactly the same conclusions. After that the glaciers where growing again until the late 70s. So I am still not convinced that all this temperature rise is caused by us. The last market on the thames was in 1814.how was it better then? They can declare the current rise with Co2, but the can't explain the rise in the 30s with the same story. So the story doesn't compile to logic here....
@RhaniYago
@RhaniYago 6 місяців тому
Really great video again. And thanks a lot for giving us an argument against the often told argument that the sun is responsible for global warming. I will write a note saying "stratospheric cooling" and pin it to the wall to remember. And watch the video again tomorrow to be sure I understood everything alright.
@trlavalley9909
@trlavalley9909 10 місяців тому
Your explanations are always of some use, your quite invaluable. : ) BB.
@mathewkolakwsk
@mathewkolakwsk Рік тому
Thank you for continuing to tackle very complicated topics! You put your explanations into context very well. Specifically, your explanation here is helpful and assumes we aren’t all too ignorant or stupid, or bad faith actors. Thanks again!
@Kenneth-ts7bp
@Kenneth-ts7bp Рік тому
But you don't understand the physics, nor do any climate alarmists.
@mathewkolakwsk
@mathewkolakwsk Рік тому
@@Kenneth-ts7bp So-called climate alarmists (or climatologists, in part) have been saying the same thing for decades - and the data supports what they’ve been saying. Glaciers are receding, the average temperature on the surface of the planet is going up… and the mechanisms for why this is happening is understood (well enough). What do you know that everyone else doesn’t?
@Kenneth-ts7bp
@Kenneth-ts7bp Рік тому
@Mathew Kolakowski I understand physics. That's the difference. Anyone who claims CO2 can overheat the planet is clueless and doesn't understand physics. Isn't it ironic that CO2 just keeps increasing agricultural output and not overheating the planet. Why do you think they call Greenland Greenland?
@Kenneth-ts7bp
@Kenneth-ts7bp Рік тому
@Mathew Kolakowski It's pretty obvious Sabine doesn't understand greenhouse gases and she's just parroting what someone told her. She made the claim CO2 blocks all outgoing infrared; that is just patently false. It blocks very little and doesn't radiate heat to Earth. If CO2 radiated all its heat, which is very little, it wouldn't rise in the atmosphere. Without greenhouse gases, the Earth would be hotter and colder. Why do you think CO2 rises out of the oceans? What is it doing when it does that?
@libearl828
@libearl828 Рік тому
The co2 from jets in the stratosphere is capturing infrared warming the air
@liam3284
@liam3284 Рік тому
Thanks, a side interest in atmospheric science, taught me that most heat flow at the surface is caused by convective and latent processes. There is still a window by which infra-red radiation escapes, which is clear to see on frosty nights, as the surface cools quickly by radiation. There is also "back radiation" from the atmosphere above, known as downward longwave radiation (DLR) which can exceed 300watts/M^2. That is where some of the oppressive heat on hot, still nights originates from.
@grindupBaker
@grindupBaker 2 місяці тому
The "Greenhouse Effect" can be explained simply to just about anybody by losing the gas fixation, like this: - Earth's troposphere gets cooler with altitude (average 78 degrees colder at top than surface) because most sunshine reaches the surface. - Colder things radiate less than warmer things. The top 0.01 mm of any water surface and the top far less than 0.01 mm of land and objects radiate upwards, but there's also some water, ice, dust, salt, ash and other solids in the troposphere and they absorb some radiation emitted up from the very same stuff below at the surface. These water, ice, dust, salt, ash and other solids in the troposphere also radiate upwards (of course) just like the exact same things did below them, but they emit LESS upwards because they're colder because they're higher than the surface. So now less radiation gets to space and that's the "Greenhouse Effect" in Earth's troposphere (for example, it makes cloudy winter nights cool slower than clear winter nights). There's also some gases that can do that like H2O, CO2, CH4, O3, N2O, CFCs and they're called "infrared-active" or "greenhouse" (not nitrogen, oxygen or argon though). The more solids or liquids or infrared-active gases there are in the troposphere then provided they can mix well to the top the more it'll reduce Earth's cooling to space and try to make Earth warmer. -------- However, the water, ice, dust, salt, ash and other solids in the troposphere also reflect some sunshine and it's a bigger effect than their "Greenhouse Effect" so overall the more solids or liquids there are in the troposphere the cooler Earth gets. The infrared-active gases like H2O, CO2, CH4, O3, N2O, CFCs don't reflect any sunshine so overall the more "greenhouse gases (GHGs)" there are in the troposphere the warmer Earth gets.
@MrPrime2357
@MrPrime2357 7 місяців тому
nice explanations. the first time I actually questioned my believes and somewhat understood more about the processes involved was during the introduction part of the entropy video of veritasium - there the balance of incoming and outgoing radiation was briefly mentioned. Btw it´s Kelvin not °K, it´s an absolute value not a relative temperature scale;)
@Alekosssvr
@Alekosssvr Рік тому
What is swept under the rug is 1. the role of water vapor and 2. the lack of any physical and computational models for the carbon cycle. Unless we can figure out these two items we cannot have a complete radiance model or carbon balance model.
@BurnettMary
@BurnettMary Рік тому
What are you talking about? Radiative transfer models account for water vapour and all other atmospheric gasses in the same way.
@brianb4898
@brianb4898 10 місяців тому
​@@BurnettMaryNot from what I've seen. I specifically looked for a study that covered how low level clouds are a cooler and high level clouds are a warmer, how the cloud coverage varies over time and the relative angle to the sun, how water vapor is a global warmer, how droughts and hurricanes impact the warming, etc ... basically a holistic coverage of water vapor ... and nothing. Models are good, but they are not perfect. I very much remember being lectured to over and over and over again, about how the polar ice caps would be gone in 10 years ... that was around 30 years ago now, so obviously not correct. Also, science requires independent verification, but there is insufficient shared data to replicate the climate models.
@canis_majoris
@canis_majoris 10 місяців тому
⁠@@brianb4898your anecdote about the polar ice caps is a little peculiar. the IPCC report from 1990 makes no mention that the ice caps “will be gone” in 10 years and in fact states that sea level rise will be mostly from thermal expansion and glaciers melting over the following century. So I dunno who you were debating but it wasn’t climate scientists.
@gmcenroe
@gmcenroe 10 місяців тому
Clearly the models are inaccurate because they have not been validated by experimental data. Also, CO2 has been much higher than 400ppm with no irreversible damage to the planet. Climate modelers have acknowledged the inaccuracy of their models that ignore water vapor and changes in sun activity. There are also inaccuracies in temperature measurements which have biased the data to higher overall average temperature of the planet. There are too many variables to make accurate predictions but it is always easy to spread fear by misapplying data interpretations.
@vaxx-1161
@vaxx-1161 10 місяців тому
Why do you need a computational model of the carbon cycle when we have an actual physical mapping of it? Look up the Keeling curve which empirically measures CO2 levels since 1958 and you will notice that it's jaw-tooth shaped - this perfectly captures the carbon cycle caused by seasons. But you will also notice that the long-term trajectory of this up and down jaw-tooth pattern is that ppm CO2 is indeed increasing every year. This is pretty well known stuff.
@Maganyos
@Maganyos Рік тому
To err is human, to admit it is humility, to share it is wisdom. Thank you Sabine - this only increases my respect for you.
@grindupBaker
@grindupBaker Рік тому
I'm sorry about that huge dent in the rear fender of your car. That'll just buff right out you know. Splash some paint on.
@VideosYTJuan
@VideosYTJuan Рік тому
But Sabina, are we going to die if Countries don't stop producing CO2? Do we really need to stop using fossil fuels?
@seltonk5136
@seltonk5136 Рік тому
Busty babe
@mrpixelvideo
@mrpixelvideo 8 місяців тому
When I learned that by raising the temperature of the earth's atmosphere by 1 degree C, the concentration of Water vapor goes up by about 7%, I found this fact astounding as so much of the weather is controlled by water vapor.
@mrpixelvideo
@mrpixelvideo 8 місяців тому
At nearly 1.5 degees, it's almost 10% more than the 1950s, and that also means the atmosphere is thinner...takes airplanes longer to takeoff, ask any pilot. 10% change in weather is an enormous effect.
@enderwiggin1113
@enderwiggin1113 8 місяців тому
One more who does not get the point that the catastrophe is something which is *going to happen* if we don't act now. And that a 10% difference *all over the world* is something entirely different than a 10% difference between two places on Earth.
@mrpixelvideo
@mrpixelvideo 8 місяців тому
At the current rate of adding CO2 to the atmosphere, the pH of the ocean will be less than 8.0 by spring of 2053.....we will lose the entire food chain by then an all fish will be extinct much sooner.... ..any doubters should look at the data.
@eagle666beast
@eagle666beast 8 місяців тому
Wonderful! Sabine, your explanation makes more sense than any others. "Stratospheric cooling" is the relief valve that releases infrared heat to outer space. Heat radiation does not need air nor any physical matter for heat transfer by conduction or convection. Radiation (infrared, or heat energy) can dissipate in vacuum space more efficiently which can occur at night. I don't think we can model the greenhouse after the earth's atmosphere. The green house that we are familiar with has air outside of the glass roof. The earth has no glass roof & there is vacuum outside that can allow infrared radiation freely to dissipate.
@enderwiggin1113
@enderwiggin1113 8 місяців тому
A glasshouse is an analogy - and, as always with analogies, there are things in common (heating of the surface by the sun; a mechanism which reduces cooling) and things which are different (how this mechanism works).
@oystercatcher943
@oystercatcher943 Рік тому
This was amazing but I need to watch it again to fully get it - if I can. Though I'm pretty sure pressure and density doesn't reduce with altitude because gravity is less higher up, its because there is less gas pushing down from above the further up you go
@samuellowekey9271
@samuellowekey9271 Рік тому
Yes, actually a combination of the two(I know that you understand that). I think that the effect of the reduction in gravity with altitude on atmospheric pressure is tiny compared to the effects of the reduction in gas pushing down on the atmosphere below with altitude.
@EeezyNoow
@EeezyNoow Рік тому
@@samuellowekey9271 Gravity has a part to play in the diurnal atmospheric temperature. During the day the increased temperature raises the centre of mass of the entire atmospheric column by around 100m - raising its potential energy. During the night, as the temperature reduces, the centre of mass descends back by that 100m thereby compressing the air and raising its temperature by compression/gravity alone. This is the diurnal squeezing effect which is substantial. But do any of the climate models take it into account?
@MrMichaelFire
@MrMichaelFire Рік тому
Of course, just like gravity is essentially the same in the space station as on earth.... I don't need to elaborate.
@karolinahagegard
@karolinahagegard Рік тому
Try and dive 4m down in water. The pressure increase is already immense!... Is it because the gravity is stronger, down there? 😏 Of course not. It's because of the weight of the water above you. Same with air, only it weighs less so you need bigger differences in altitude to feel the difference in pressure. I'm pretty sure the Earth's atmosphere is close enough to the Earth for the gravity to be about equal throughout it. If Earth is the size of a football, the atmosphere is 1 mm thick, something like that.
@karolinahagegard
@karolinahagegard Рік тому
@@EeezyNoow , in nighttime, the center of mass of the atmosphere sinks back 100m, thus compressing the air, thus INCREASING ITS TEMPERATURE?!... No no no, the air reduces in volume by night BECAUSE the temperature is lower. Therefore, this "compression" does not increase its temperature again! The temperature of a gas only increases if compressed by an outer force, raising its pressure. Not if it just relaxes into a smaller volume because it gets cooler, and at a constant pressure, like in the case of nighttime. It's the ideal gas law: PV = nRT When T sinks PV must decrease. In this case, it's V that decreases, and P stays the same. (Atmospheric pressure is the same in daytime and nighttime, on average.)
@imaweerascal
@imaweerascal Рік тому
Of all the evidence for manmade climate change, the phenomena of stratospheric cooling is the most definitive. There is simply no other explanation than an enhanced greenhouse effect. I always want to demand that climate change 'sceptics' provide an explanation for that one, rather than going on about global temperature or sea levels or whatnot.
@dksaevs
@dksaevs 4 місяці тому
Sabine, thank you for this explanation of the greenhouse effect.
@robertmolldius8643
@robertmolldius8643 9 місяців тому
Thanks Sabine! 🇸🇪 I put this as a basis for further studies. I have long promised myself to familiarize myself with what it is that basically constitutes our global warming. It's complex to get a gripp on, but with the prevailing weather in Sweden, the holiday is best enjoyed during a scientific exploration. 🙂👍🇸🇪🇸🇪🇸🇪
@digit8282
@digit8282 7 місяців тому
Top Facts on Climate Controversy, Fully Explained - See for Yourself! ://ukposts.info/have/v-deo/r56bo7Clq46fu2g.html&ab_channel=IvorCummins
@douglasmackenzie3566
@douglasmackenzie3566 Рік тому
Sabine, Emissions altitude is a mathematical construct quite similar to calculating the the average depth of snow in North America. So is actually an after-the-fact calculation based on previous assumptions. A lot of IR gets from the ground all the way to outer space through the atmospheric window from about 8 to 14 microns wavelengths. This actually covers the peak emissions temperature of the entire surface to cold cloud tops in differing amounts depending on wavelength and cloud cover…You are capable of checking how much yourself. If you apply Planck’s law to say 5 degrees instead of the 1 degree we often look at, you realize there will be a heat imbalance driving the assumed temperature colder again by the “Planck feedback” as the warm surface radiates more to outer space than it “receives”. Yes bands broaden, but not enough. You have to invoke more clear sky, thus lower planetary albedo to get enough sunlight watts to surface….but higher temperature is likely to cause more clouds, thus higher planetary albedo,as the higher resultant water vapor convects upward. So this indicates that “global warming” is limited by Planck’s law. Pierrehumbert Fig. 4.44 plus a Stephan Boltzmann calc of IR are instructive in this calculation. BTW, use of Modtran is much preferable to the emissions altitude approach. Wishing you luck as you continue.
@tomboyd7109
@tomboyd7109 Рік тому
Thank you. I now understand the phenomena more thoroughly. I will have to play it a couple more times to be comfortable with my understanding. I just noticed that several other commenters said similar things. This means that your presentation is just about the level that I need. Thank you again.
@annaclarafenyo8185
@annaclarafenyo8185 Рік тому
Do not watch this video, it is wrong from start to finish. The mechanism of greenhouse gas heating is very simple--- extra CO2 scatters infrared light, leading to a longer path-length to escape. The mechanism is photon-by-photon, the mean-free-path to scattering is reduced with extra CO2, and so there is NO INTERFERENCE between wavelengths, there are NO COMPLICATIONS, and you can calculate the extra heating simply on the back on an envelope (if you are a physicist) without any problem. Sabine is not a climate scientist, and it shows.
@mariox729
@mariox729 7 місяців тому
Daar Sabine, I think you should drop the part where you say that atmospheric pressure drops because gravity drops with altitude. In fact, because R=6372 km, it drops negligibly throughout te atmosphere and more imporatntly even if gravity is constant, the pressure would drop practically the same because of Boltzmann distribution.
@tataluga
@tataluga 5 місяців тому
Just adding that density decreases with altitude (less air, less weight, less pressure)
@SW-qr8qe
@SW-qr8qe 9 місяців тому
Thanks Sabine, I am a big fan of your videos. Thanks for educating me.
@RichardDonin
@RichardDonin Рік тому
I’m very impressed with all your skills and talents - physicist, lecturer, writer, science communicator (like Carl Sagan), and to top it off, a savvy marketeer. Congratulations!
@gregmellott5715
@gregmellott5715 Рік тому
KIS helps Sane thinking.
@robr177
@robr177 Рік тому
You forgot Singer/Songwriter: ukposts.info/the/PtRwW9i43BXbCRQa7BJaiA.html
@tango_uniform
@tango_uniform Рік тому
@@RWin-fp5jn Much of what you say is correct. However, the earth is greener in 2019 than 20 years earlier. Check MODIS data at NASA. Increased CO2 is due to more plant matter, not less. None of the supposedly learned "scientists" can explain the causes of every other warming and cooling period in history that occurred before humans walked the planet. But THIS one... THIS one is definitely anthropomorphic. Because it's convenient from a hysterical perspective. During the last glacial maximum, temperatures were only a couple of degrees lower than now. Before the sheeple are convinced that the logical thing to do is cool the planet, we might ask the people who now live where the last glaciers were. I live where the Columbia River lobe of the Cordilleran ice sheet was. OK, I just took a poll of my household. We all vote not to cool the planet.
@Thomas..Anderson
@Thomas..Anderson Рік тому
She also sings. Check her other channel.
@timhallas4275
@timhallas4275 Рік тому
One of the key factors in Earth's absorption of solar radiation is cloud cover. This is another of those "balancing acts" that the climate does. More heat evaporates more sea water, which increases cloud cover, which in turn reflects more sunlight back into space, which cools the Earth. Clouds both absorb infrared radiation, and reflect solar radiation. I've looked at clouds from both sides now, from up and down, and still somehow I really don't know clouds at all.
@johnl5316
@johnl5316 10 місяців тому
see Princeton Prof of Physics, William Happer & MIT Prof of Atmospheric Physics, Richard Lindzen
@johnl5316
@johnl5316 10 місяців тому
see the research of Nir Shaviv on solar energy, clouds, and temperature
@jacob.tudragens
@jacob.tudragens 9 місяців тому
I see what you did there!🎶
@timhallas4275
@timhallas4275 9 місяців тому
@@jacob.tudragens yep.
@clifford7
@clifford7 10 місяців тому
Sabine. I learn a lot of your clear explanation. I stay on board. Great.
@FullCircleTravis
@FullCircleTravis 8 місяців тому
Regardless what the science shows, the whole situation boils down to philosophy of intervention. What are we willing to give up to stop emitting, and what are we willing to do to those who refuse to accept the decision? When you start stripping people of power until they have none, they will not fear any consequences, which is something to be feared.
@ayushsharma8804
@ayushsharma8804 8 місяців тому
Psychopaths who can't empathize with others don't deserve any empathy. In the end no one actually disbelieves in climate change, there are honest people and there are lying parasites who take advantage of other's empathy. Both know that no one is going to change their mind.
@burrahobbithalf
@burrahobbithalf Рік тому
I wouldn't relate the inverse square law to pressure. The change in gravitational force over the small extent of the atmosphere is a nearly negligible effect: the pressure and density would still drop almost the same way if the earth was flat. Better not to confuse the issue with the inverse square law.
@PhysicsLaure
@PhysicsLaure Рік тому
Powerful analogies are great to give people a sense of physical concepts, but they can also lead us to false reasoning. 😑 Loving your content, I also had the same confusion as you before studying it. :)
@hugegamer5988
@hugegamer5988 Рік тому
You can lead a horse to water, but you can’t make it calculate quaternions to simplify special relativity calculations.
@benmcelwain5301
@benmcelwain5301 Рік тому
Agreed. Hawking radiation with virtual particles handed me the wrong stick for a while.
@0x0michael
@0x0michael Рік тому
Neil deGrasse Tyson needs to hear this
@TimeTheory2099
@TimeTheory2099 Рік тому
So what was her conclusion? Reducing carbon gas is a waste of money? It's obvious the planet is warming, satellite photos prove that. Wouldn't reducing CO gas slow the effect?
@Mavrik9000
@Mavrik9000 Рік тому
@@TimeTheory2099 Global warming is still a serious problem. The atmospheric mechanism that causes it is a bit more complicated than the standard analogies explain. And most educational illustrations are incorrect as they are overly simplified.
@invaderzimm1083
@invaderzimm1083 9 місяців тому
Thank you for explaining complex concepts in easy to understand segments en helping a simple man stay on the right course
@grindupBaker
@grindupBaker 9 місяців тому
All well & good but what about the simple ladies you'all. I was stunned watching it to note how ironically Sabine had excluded the simple ladies. Gerry Glass ceiling ?
@Thomas-gk42
@Thomas-gk42 9 місяців тому
​@@grindupBakerthat's right, as she said in another report: "If you want to be a girl, join the physics club."😊
@bertpenney3526
@bertpenney3526 9 місяців тому
Thank you for the video. I think I will have to watch it a second time to make sure I get all of the information correct :-) In the mean time, I do have 2 questions: 1) I have read that scientists studying ice cores in (I believe ) Antarctica have found that the CO2 level in the atmosphere a few million years ago rose to 4500ppm (yes, 2 zeros). Since we are all still here, that means that the earth and its inhabitants managed to survive that level of CO2. So, how dangerous is the rise in CO2 to the earth? 2) I watched a video some time ago in which a physicist explained the effect that atmospheric CO2 can have on the earth's climate. At first, I was a bit skeptical because this guy was a physicist and not a climate scientist but one of the first things he did was to address that concern. He explained that, while he was not a climate scientist, as a physicist, he specialized in lasers - CO2 lasers to be specific. So, while he had no particular expertise in climate and how it may or may not be changing, he was an expert in CO2 and how it behaved. To make a long story short, he explained that the effect that CO2 has on something like infrared radiation is not linear like most people believe, but logithmic in the form of logx(y) where x
@enderwiggin1113
@enderwiggin1113 8 місяців тому
"I have read that scientists studying ice cores in (I believe ) Antarctica have found that the CO2 level in the atmosphere a few million years ago rose to 4500ppm" That's simply wrong. It's been at least 400 mio years ago that the levels were that high. And ice cores go only back 1 million year! " Since we are all still here, that means that the earth and its inhabitants managed to survive that level of CO2. " Ever heard about 'adaption'....? And that this takes time? "because this guy was a physicist and not a climate scientist " Many climate scientists are physicists. It all depends on their publication record - does it show they have indeed worked on the topic? "To make a long story short, he explained that the effect that CO2 has on something like infrared radiation is not linear like most people believe, but logithmic" That's right. This has been known for over 125 years and is included in each and every calculation.
@christopheraikman3446
@christopheraikman3446 Рік тому
This video discusses temperature structure of the atmosphere as if it is controlled solely by radiative energy transfer. But convection (and conduction) are also heat-transfer mechanisms. If the infrared opacity of the atmosphere increases (because of increased CO2), stronger convection will occur (when the temperature gradient exceeds the adiabatic lapse rate). Surely this is happening, as evidenced by changes in atmospheric circulation.
@anthonymathias1
@anthonymathias1 Рік тому
Very True. Every body talks about radiation only. Convection is also radiation. It leads to transfer of heat from higher temperatures to lower and there is air circulation trying to equilibrium. Nobody talks about the Kinetic theory of gas laws. Strange.
@psychlopes1976
@psychlopes1976 Рік тому
Love your videos, Ms. Sabine. Keep up the good work. And yes , this was, for me, super useful.
@grindupBaker
@grindupBaker 8 днів тому
Earth surface emissivity averages far above 0.9 because Earth's surface is water (0.990 though I read 0.96 earlier but apparently that's too low, perhaps fresh water). I checked land from the tables around 10 years ago but it's around 0.95 average. So 72%*0.99 + 28%*0.95 = 0.98 Earth average surface emissivity. Buettner and Kern (1965) estimated the sea surface emissivity to be 0.993 from an experiment using an emissivity box, but they disregarded the temperature difference across the cool skin. Saunders (1967b, 1968) observed the plane sea surface irradiance from an airplane and determined the reflectance. By determining the reflectance as the ratio of the differences in energy between the clear and the cloudy sky at different places, he calculated the emissivity to be 0.986. The process of separating the reflection from the surface irradiance, however, is not precise. Mikhaylov and Zolotarev (1970) calculated the emissivity from the optical constant of the water and found the average in the infrared region was 0.9875. The observation of Davies et al. (1971) was performed on Lake Ontario with a wave height less than 25 cm. They measured the surface emission isolated from sky radiation by an aluminum cone, and estimated the emissivity to be 0.972. The aluminum was assumed to act as a mirror in infrared region. In fact,aluminum does not work as a perfect mirror. Masuda et al. (1988) computed the surface emissivity as a function of the zenith angle of observed radiation and wind speed. They computed the emissivity from the reflectance of a model sea surface consisting of many facets, and changed their slopes according to Gaussian distribution with respect to surface wind. The computed emissivity in 11 μm was 0.992 under no wind. Table has 0.988 to 0.991 leaves 0.98 determined emissivity was 0.98 ± 0.01 for three types of leaves. Determining the Leaf Emissivity of Three Crops by Infrared Thermometry Chiachung Chen Robert Hadfield Green Grass 0.975 - 0.986 Sand 0.9 Soil 0.90 - 0.95 Snow 0.96 - 0.98 ------------------------- So at a land surface temperature of 288K there would be 0.95 * 5.67 * 2.88**4 = 371 w/m**2 LWR radiation escaping up into the air out of that much-larger radiation manufactured in the top couple of microns (I suppose) of land solids. Other example, at an ocean surface temperature of 300K there would be 0.99 * 5.67 * 81 = 455 w/m**2 LWR radiation escaping up into the air from average 10 microns depth out of that 100x as much radiation manufactured in the top 1.0 mm of water. So the radiation up from ocean is 77% of all the radiation up from surface and that amount is about 10/3,860,000,000 = 0.00000026% of the LWR radiation manufactured in the ocean. Not much LWR escapes the ocean, and not much LWR & SWR, ultra-violet, X-ray, Gamma etc. escapes the Earth to its core, most (practically all of it) is absorbed. ----------- Of course, if you mean Earth's "bulk emissivity" (what scientists call the amount of the so-called "greenhouse effect") then it's 0.610 +/- 0.002 (and of course it reduces as more GHGs go into the troposphere). So for the energy leaving the surface as LWR (only) at ~199,800 terawatts there's energy at ~199,800 * 0.610 = ~121,900 terawatts heading off to space. So for "@roblouw1344" emissivity question the entirely-unrelated meaning to "surface emissivity" (values tabled above) is Earth's "bulk emissivity" which is now 0.610 +/- 0.002
@paulcoleman5199
@paulcoleman5199 9 місяців тому
Thanks for a great explanation, this fills in many gaps I had in putting the data understanding n my head..
@asafh04
@asafh04 Рік тому
one comment: the atmosphere does not get thinner because the gravitational force of the earth becomes weaker, but due to lower pressure as you go up. This lower pressure is simply because you have less air weighing down on you, and not that this air is under a weaker gravitational force.
@lieninger
@lieninger Рік тому
This was good. Thanks for deciding to present what you found on this subject, I think you're correct in that such a presentation that gives an explanation at this level of detail is important for a general understanding of the process.
@annaclarafenyo8185
@annaclarafenyo8185 Рік тому
This video is entirely composed of lies.
@n8mail76
@n8mail76 4 місяці тому
I have been trying to find this answer for years. thank you for your explanation.
@theseustoo
@theseustoo 8 місяців тому
Sabine, I'd love to see you actually debate some of the climatologists who, although they do not deny that the climate is changing, actually point out that the human contribution to it is actually miniscule, and, when comparing it to natural contributions, like that of volcanic eruptions for example, is largely irrelevant. Certainly not enough to terrify us into spending untold billions of $$$$$ on. They also say that the climate change fear-mongering is also over-hyped, but that's because it's really a scam and energy companies are actually making billions of $$$$$ out of it... Some of them even go so far as to say that not only is the Earth actually cooling due to us entering a new ice-age, but that we are actually undergoing an actual dearth of carbon-dioxide, which could possibly delay the onset of the new ice-age if we were to produce it in sufficient quantities... I'd really love to see such a debate because I really don't know what to think about it... but I DO feel scammed by the energy companies, who keep charging more and more for electrickery and gas, using climate change as their excuse, which has actually minimized any benefit I may otherwise have gained from the solar panels and battery that I've already spent thousands of $$$$$ on. You see... I'd LIKE to 'do the right thing'... but sometimes it's really, really hard to know what the really right thing is. So many scam-artists around these days! So I do hope you'll consider it as a possibility for some future videos from you! Thanks! 😊
@theseustoo
@theseustoo 8 місяців тому
@@viktorm3840 Miniscule is a better description... it's actually around 0.3%. Even if we actually do achieve 'zero carbon emissions', which would, of course, merely be zero HUMAN-caused carbon emissions (which is a virtually impossible target anyway for a LOT of reasons!) it wouldn't make any difference at all to any supposed 'climate change'. The climate will change as it was going to anyway. And the effort to achieve it will probably ruin the economies of any and all countries which are daft enough to make the attempt.
@enderwiggin1113
@enderwiggin1113 8 місяців тому
"some of the climatologists who, although they do not deny that the climate is changing, actually point out that the human contribution to it is actually miniscule" There are next to no climatologists who say this.
@enderwiggin1113
@enderwiggin1113 8 місяців тому
"and, when comparing it to natural contributions, like that of volcanic eruptions for example, is largely irrelevant." 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣 Eruptions influence climate for a few years *at most* !! Human influence is about several centuries!
@enderwiggin1113
@enderwiggin1113 8 місяців тому
"and energy companies are actually making billions of $$$$$ out of it" Are you delusional?!??!?!?? There's much, much, much more money in *denying* the problem! Fossil fuels and big industry are very well known to finance denying.
@enderwiggin1113
@enderwiggin1113 8 місяців тому
"Some of them even go so far as to say that not only is the Earth actually cooling due to us entering a new ice-age," 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
@Bertie.athenaeum
@Bertie.athenaeum Рік тому
Thank you Professor Sabine. It was high time that such a video was released.
@annaclarafenyo8185
@annaclarafenyo8185 Рік тому
Why? Everything in this video is incorrect. Sabine is not an expert in climate science, and this video is a form of soft global warming denial, by incompetently rebutting global warming denier claims.
@josephseale254
@josephseale254 Рік тому
Thank you, Sabine! I am 77, I became acutely aware of climate change in 1968, and it has been a lifelong concern. I've done physics in support of engineering projects throughout my career, including modeling of thermal and thermodynamic systems -- and I never properly understood what Sabine has just presented. This is very helpful!
@janboreczek3045
@janboreczek3045 8 місяців тому
Yeah, this "Principles of planetary climates" by Pierrehumbert is a really great book, I do love it. The relevant processes and the physics is described really well
@stanislavpospisil7967
@stanislavpospisil7967 5 місяців тому
It is pure nonsense.
@jimmoses6617
@jimmoses6617 8 місяців тому
Question: CO2 levels were lower during the past four interglacial periods of the past 500,000 years than today. They were around 280 ppm. Today, we have gone from about there to around 420 ppm in the past 80 years or so. As far as we can tell, temperatures during those previous interglacial periods were a bit higher than today. What caused those higher temperatures? Obviously, it was not CO2 levels. Thank you.
@enderwiggin1113
@enderwiggin1113 8 місяців тому
It's simply that changes take time: if we would maintain our high CO2 levels for thousands of years, we *will* have changes as large as those. You can read up on this here: 'Explainer: How scientists estimate ‘climate sensitivity’'' (TCR, ECS and ESS)
@stephenclarke9660
@stephenclarke9660 Рік тому
Brilliant explanation, turns out I had misunderstood it as well. Many thanks for making this.
@AdamRidley11
@AdamRidley11 Рік тому
The predominant warming effect in a greenhouse is from stopping convection not from reflecting radiation. This is further proved by replacing your glass panels with polycarbonate (almost transparent to infrared). Because polycarbonate has lower thermal conductivity than glass you will actually get a warmer greenhouse despite virtually no infrared reflection at the panels. Another major factor in blocking convection is that you build up the relative humidity which in turn helps absorb the infrared emitted from the surfaces inside.
@dsp3ncr1
@dsp3ncr1 Рік тому
ukposts.info/have/v-deo/pnp9aW2Je3yl258.html
@Deb-of2vq
@Deb-of2vq 9 місяців тому
I also misunderstood the greenhouse effect. Thanks for this explanation!
@aurelspecker6740
@aurelspecker6740 9 місяців тому
You could also make the outgoing arrow bounce around in the atmosphere. And more greenhouse gases means more bounces, which in turn means higher temperature to get the same heat out. Or basically: Earth has more insulation. Beginning on the ground level.
@grindupBaker
@grindupBaker 9 місяців тому
No, that isn't the "greenhouse effect" and that wouldn't work. The "greenhouse effect" is shit simple but is explained incorrectly almost everywhere on the internet. This video didn't explain "greenhouse effect" incorrectly but there was so much unnecessary babble in it (part of Sabine's Business Model) that you totally failed to grasp it (and I don't blame you). Oh well. Press on.
@aurelspecker6740
@aurelspecker6740 9 місяців тому
@@grindupBaker I think you don't know how insulation works in reality. That is the problem. There is a difference, that in insulation, it is also about reducing the contact heat transfer in Z-axis (away from the source). The atmosphere does not really have to deal with this, because gas is a great insulator against contact heat transfer. In effect it is the same. It is a diffusion process of heat deffusing from a heat source to a colder place (house - outside/ earth - space). And the process is also similar. Heat gets transfered from one molecule to the next one. Only difference is, that in insulation, this heat transfer is mostly done in contact. While in the greenhouse effect, it is mostly done by radiation. (Radiation is also important in houses, but puting a dense radiation blocker in is a very easy thing. E.g. silicates (glass) is a great IR blocker) To slow this diffusion you can simply add additional barriers. In the atmosphere, this means more greenhouse gases. In insulation, you add another layer of insulation.
@grindupBaker
@grindupBaker 9 місяців тому
@@aurelspecker6740 Your comment starting this thread isn't the "greenhouse effect" and that wouldn't work. The "greenhouse effect" is shit simple but is explained incorrectly almost everywhere on the internet. This video didn't explain "greenhouse effect" incorrectly but there was so much unnecessary babble in it (part of Sabine's Business Model) that you totally failed to grasp it (and I don't blame you). There's no audience for science comments here so I think I'll not bother
@tayzonday
@tayzonday Рік тому
Wow! So we’d be an ice planet with no greenhouse effect.
@markotrieste
@markotrieste Рік тому
There is a hypothesis that Earth actually went through a "snowball planet" period.
@MagruderSpoots
@MagruderSpoots Рік тому
Then you'd have to sing about chocolate snow.
@msytdc1577
@msytdc1577 Рік тому
@@MagruderSpoots chocolate glaciers kilometers thick, MmmMMmMMm 🥹
@Patatmetmayo
@Patatmetmayo Рік тому
The Earth has been through much colder and much warmer periods. It's crazy to think for example that in 10000 years from now our seasons will be reversed, it will be Summer where it is now Winter, and Winter where it's currently Summer. The hypothesis that CO2 has such a big influence on global temperature is really not as scientifically solid as we are being led to believe.
@enadegheeghaghe6369
@enadegheeghaghe6369 Рік тому
@@Patatmetmayo the part you missed is that we did not have 8 billion people on the planet during those much warmer or colder times in the past.
@gefginn3699
@gefginn3699 Рік тому
Great post Sabine. I'm glad you have the patience to gather all this information and package it nicely here. You are a trooper. So many variables would make me feel overwhelmed. 🤩
@nicholasdenman6642
@nicholasdenman6642 8 місяців тому
Thankyou for explaining things so clearly. One question I would like help on understanding is about temperature in the atmosphere. Temperature is the average kinetic energy of all the gas molecules in a system. So surely any increase in temperature is dependent on the oxygen, nitrogen and argon non radiating molecules increase in kinetic energy.An increase in temperature would raise air pressure thus making the transfer to space of radiation higher in the atmosphere. Wouldn’t more radiating molecules higher in the atmosphere mean more radiation being able to be radiated out to space?
@enderwiggin1113
@enderwiggin1113 8 місяців тому
"Temperature is the average kinetic energy of all the gas molecules in a system" Not the same, but the two are linked. "An increase in temperature would raise air pressure" No. A change in volume is also possible. p*V = n * R * T "Wouldn’t more radiating molecules higher in the atmosphere mean more radiation being able to be radiated out to space?" You obviously missed to understand the point of the PhD-version. Emission from higher in the atmosphere is *always* less efficient than from the surface directly. More molecules higher above would move the emission height even higher, making the emission even less efficiently!
@grindupBaker
@grindupBaker 8 місяців тому
"dependent on the oxygen, nitrogen and argon non radiating molecules". Yes, a vibrating IR-active molecule transfers the energy on collision with N2, O2, whatever, increasing heat, 2.7 billion per second. "Wouldn’t more radiating molecules higher in the atmosphere mean more radiation being able to be radiated out to space?". Only in the stratosphere, not in the troposphere (lowest 80% of all air molecules so the largest effect). It's the balance between the amount of LWR from below absorbed by the IR-active molecules, which does not depend on the temperature of the air parcel, and the LWR manufactured & emitted upwards by the IR-active molecules, which does depend on the temperature of the air parcel. Since it gets cooler with altitude, the net result is less LWR emitted upwards. I'm finding this particular question passing strange the last 10 years since this aspect has been MEASURED FROM SPACE CONTINUOUSLY SINCE 1964 (IRIS-A on Nimbus 1) and since sample plots have been all over the internet for at least 15 years. Nonetheless, I'm taking you as a person interested and not one of the Vast Army of drive-by Trolls you can read in the hundreds of Fake Question & Drivel comments below. The so-called "greenhouse effect" (GHE) in Earth's troposphere does work backwards and cause cooling like you incorrectly supposed only when surface temperature is below 228K (-45 degrees) and the GHE gets increasingly more powerful, causing more warming, as surface temperature increases per the plot with millions of measurements from space all over Earth (a vast range of surface temperatures measured, a green hash) at one of my links below. From my correct reasoning of the physics above I did 8 years ago I always knew that it would show less GHE, even backwards GHE, in bitter-cold winter polar regions, knew for a couple years or more before I came across the measurement proof on the internet. See below for MEASUREMENT FROM SPACE clearly showing H2O gas, CO2 (huge notch) & O3 (little notch) warming the surface for Sahara, Pacific Ocean, Mediterranean Sea, Iraq but COOLING the surface of Antarctica in winter (because, obviously, the troposphere gets warmer with altitude just like the stratosphere). See clearly the centre CO2 & O3 maximum power centre spikes in the stratosphere causing cooling just like you said, but only the tiny stratosphere spike effect shown, so it's totally overwhelmed by troposphere warming effect. The 5 or so groups of physicists producing varying (by about 20%) results all do a 120--layer calculation (or some such) for the top of troposphere and a separate layered calculation for the stratosphere and the GHE is a more powerful effect at the top of troposphere because the stratosphere gases reduce it (actually, I need to check that because stratosphere is cooling for well-mixed gases by warming for H2O gas, but it's too advanced for a comment in this venue consisting of >99.9% liars & idiots, I might never bother). ---------- Measured from space since 1964 samples and the green hash plot of the varying (GREATLY VARYING) "greenhouse effect" (GHE) all over Earth (note the backwards GHE over Antarctica in winter because no sunshine so the heat is descending instead of ascending): ukposts.info/have/v-deo/hn6Yga97iY2I03U.html at 3:50 ukposts.info/have/v-deo/h5-Ya2OChqqhpnU.html at 18:07 (4 FTIR samples for western tropical Pacific Ocean, Sahara Desert, Antarctica & southern Iraq) ukposts.info/have/v-deo/q12SlmORhY6fu2w.html at 30:55 (3 FTIR samples measured in 1970 for Sahara Desert, Mediterranean Sea & Antarctica) ukposts.info/have/v-deo/qpeBYaKunWilw2w.html at 17:09 and 20:18 (3 FTIR samples measured in 1970 for Sahara Desert, Mediterranean Sea & Antarctica) ----------------- climatemodelsuchicagoedumodtranmodtrandochtml It has one comparison with Sahara Desert measurement to prove it's accuracy. The measured since 1964 are IRIS on Nimbus series. At 1969 it's: Nimbus 3 IRIS instrument satellite 1969 Nimbus 3, the third in a series of second-generation meteorological research-and-development satellites, was designed to serve as a stabilized, earth-oriented platform for the testing of advanced meteorological sensor systems and the collecting of meteorological data. The polar-orbiting spacecraft consisted of three major elements: (1) a sensory ring, (2) solar paddles, and (3) the control system housing. The solar paddles and the control system housing were connected to the sensory ring by a truss structure, giving the satellite the appearance of an ocean buoy. Mission/Portal Page: nssdcgsfcnasagovnmcmasterCatalogdo ? sc=1969-037A Launch Vehicle: Thor-Agena Instruments: HRIR (High-Resolution Infrared Radiometer) IDCS (Image Dissector Camera System), IRIS (Infrared Interferometer Spectrometer), IRLS (Interrogation, Recording and Location System), MRIR (Medium-Resolution Infrared Radiometer) MUSE (Monitor of Ultraviolet Solar Energy) RTG (Radioisotope Thermoelectric Generator) SIRS (Satellite Infrared Spectrometer) ............ etc etc etc
@klaudimi008
@klaudimi008 3 місяці тому
The flow of energy from the sun to the earth is constant. The heat, generated on the earth's surface, is prevented from escaping into space by greenhouse gases. This is comparable to the thermal insulation of a residential building. Thus, increasing the atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration contributes to increased thermal insulation. While the insulation materials in residential buildings have thermal resistance as a specific value, no scientist has yet been able to label the atmospheric gas with different greenhouse gas contents with a specific value. Climate skeptics would have much more confidence in science if a thermal insulating property for carbon dioxide, which depends on its atmospheric concentration, could be made public.
@grindupBaker
@grindupBaker 3 місяці тому
"The flow of energy from the sun to the earth is constant". Not constant, it varies on an essentially regular basis in 2 unrelated ways (1) The Sun is 2.5 million kms away from the centre of Earth's circular orbit (2) Sun's output varies sort-of sinusoidally on an approximate 11-year cycle (it varies a bit rather randomly). The rest is silly babbling, ignorant crap, in an analogy form because Earth's radiation spectrum to space has been measured continuously since 1964 (IRIS-A on Nimbus-1) such as at ukposts.info/have/v-deo/qpeBYaKunWilw2w.html
@edwardgatey8301
@edwardgatey8301 Рік тому
Great explanation. I had heard the term ‘radiative forcing’ used in this context. I think I’ve got a better grip on the idea now. Didn’t realize the stratosphere was cooling which forces infrared emission to higher altitude.
@itsgottobesaid4269
@itsgottobesaid4269 Рік тому
Does heat go from a cold body to a warm body? Which is cooler,the ocean(earth's surface) or the atmosphere?
@edwardgatey8301
@edwardgatey8301 Рік тому
@@itsgottobesaid4269 Review the “CO2 ditch”.
@vap0rtranz
@vap0rtranz Рік тому
Some climate scientists lectures have hinted at how Stratospheric Cooling works but Sabine's new diagram/model makes the point much clearer. Thank you!
@dusandragovic09srb
@dusandragovic09srb Рік тому
There was only one "SCIENTIST" God of Thunder ukposts.info/the/hFXHYedYnjFo2ZbLwhiraA.html
@AGDinCA
@AGDinCA 7 місяців тому
Thanks for keeping it real, Sabine! ☺️
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