The Biggest Myth in Speedrunning History

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LunaticJ

LunaticJ

2 місяці тому

TWITCH: / lunaticj
TWITTER: / lunaticjtv
DISCORD: / discord
10 years ago, a mysterious upwarp glitch in Tick Tock Clock during a Super Mario 64 speedrun happened for no apparent reason. Years later, a myth about cosmic rays causing this glitch spread across the Internet, with people believing it to be true despite Mario 64 experts disagreeing. This is how this wild theory spiraled out of control.
Edited by: @OfficialGlitchDoctor
beautiful sky (Xandrey): • beautiful sky
CCM→BBH? (Atogami): • CCM→BBH? 17:15
Dupdome Moving Bar: • weird teleporting thing
• moving bar glitch (ful...
www.twitch.tv/dupdome/clip/En...
Ian_1243 BitFS Downwarp: • 2022 12 08 00 45 41
SM64 - TTC Upwarp $1000 Bounty (pannenkoek2012): • SM64 - TTC Upwarp $100...
The Universe is Hostile to Computers (Veritasium): • The Universe is Hostil...
TTC Upwarp: Ceiling Warp vs Byte Change (pannenkoek2012): • TTC Upwarp: Ceiling Wa...
Ukikipedia TTC Upwarp Timeline: ukikipedia.net/wiki/Tick_Tock...
Ukikipedia Unsolved Glitches List: ukikipedia.net/wiki/List_of_u...
Was it Really an Ionizing Particle, Though? (TeabagSRL): • Was it Really an Ioniz...
#speedrun #mario #supermario64

КОМЕНТАРІ: 5 000
@LunaticJ
@LunaticJ Місяць тому
Please check the description if you want links to videos and the Ukikipedia pages featured in this video. i highly recommend checking those videos if you liked seeing those weird anomalies. EDIT: Here's a link to the SM64 TASing and ABC Discord Server for those interested. Many SM64 experts are active there: discord.gg/ECskvyF Also I want to make it clear that cosmic rays have likely caused bitflips in computers like that one election in Belgium. I'm just saying it probably didn't happen to DOTA_Teabag in this specific scenario.
@quintonconoly
@quintonconoly Місяць тому
Ok
@norwegiansmores811
@norwegiansmores811 Місяць тому
11 years* you round up from 6 months. we're in march now.
@r-yv5uz
@r-yv5uz Місяць тому
I find it hilarious how you call the glitches "anomalies". Keep up the good work man. You've earned it 🏆
@orcastrike7750
@orcastrike7750 Місяць тому
Hey Lunatic! Just want to say that it’s been great watching your channel grow, especially since you’ve had such high production quality right out of the gate. Can’t wait for that 100k!
@notimportant768
@notimportant768 Місяць тому
....was this not a joke outside of literally the person who suggested it?
@scpWyatt
@scpWyatt Місяць тому
A cosmic ray traveled 92mil miles to flip a bit at Google HQ so this video got recommended to me.
@kr1v
@kr1v Місяць тому
Ok, but what if I told you it happened TWICE
@weetjedani4124
@weetjedani4124 Місяць тому
@@kr1v twice you mean 3 times
@waswaswo
@waswaswo Місяць тому
A series of cosmis rays typed this comment
@jackdaniel3135
@jackdaniel3135 Місяць тому
Thats crazy, because that JUST NOW happened to me.
@happymark1668
@happymark1668 Місяць тому
Your here
@DudeTheMighty
@DudeTheMighty Місяць тому
Dies in CCM, gets mad, slaps his N64, then goes to re-enter CCM but ends up in BBH instead. The creepypasta writes itself.
@glidershower
@glidershower Місяць тому
Imagine a kid happening unto that, but in 1996, lolz.
@Sqidzies
@Sqidzies Місяць тому
@@glidershowerI literally wouldn’t go to sleep for like 2 weeks if this happened to me (even though I was born in 07). I had a deathly fear of boos when I was little.
@AkumaAPN
@AkumaAPN Місяць тому
Vindictive N64 sends abusive Japanese player on a wild goose chase!
@AkumaAPN
@AkumaAPN Місяць тому
*wild Ghost chase! ;)
@mattgroening8872
@mattgroening8872 Місяць тому
Revenge of abused Mario
@rookermtg9321
@rookermtg9321 Місяць тому
Until I see definitive proof that outside rays didnt cause a bit flip, I'm sticking my N64 in a microwave at the start of TTC and hoping for good IRL RNG.
@cuminthesink
@cuminthesink Місяць тому
gl bro wish you luck 🙏🏿
@randomguy1826
@randomguy1826 Місяць тому
Gl man wish you the best
@R3SerialDreams
@R3SerialDreams 14 днів тому
But microwaves aren't ionizing radiation 😂
@prismaticat
@prismaticat 10 днів тому
​@@R3SerialDreams 🤓
@Vgamer311
@Vgamer311 8 днів тому
@@R3SerialDreamssimply place some uranium ore on the console then.
@alexanderolson6622
@alexanderolson6622 Місяць тому
There was an election in Belgium in 2003 where a candidate got 4096 extra votes (2^12) due to a cosmic ray bitflip. It was found and corrected, but strange and unlikely things happen given a large enough sample size and period of time.
@Dante02d12
@Dante02d12 Місяць тому
From an outsider to this situation, it sounds like a guy tried to cheat then paid media to paint it as an accident when he got caught, lol.
@alexanderolson6622
@alexanderolson6622 Місяць тому
@@Dante02d12 i can see why you would guess that, but circumstances dictate otherwise. It happened within the machine and was immediately spotted and fixed; she was among the least popular candidates out of 10ish, and as a minor candidate on a local election (iirc it was about 7000 votes for the whole race) had no ability to control the machines.
@Dante02d12
@Dante02d12 Місяць тому
@@alexanderolson6622 Thanks for the added context!
@ghoo2714
@ghoo2714 Місяць тому
computer calculating voting counts doesnt have ecc ram? nice.
@ghoo2714
@ghoo2714 Місяць тому
also all ram has parity bit so it should've given error
@sickcivilian1569
@sickcivilian1569 Місяць тому
It was originally "speed run", until we found a glitch to drop the space, so now its "speedrun"
@zaxtonhong3958
@zaxtonhong3958 Місяць тому
Space skip
@ashross5860
@ashross5860 Місяць тому
Going for that spedrun any % e skip
@FAWNTHEMELON
@FAWNTHEMELON Місяць тому
saved 1 second off the initial run but not a pb
@cubesquared2291
@cubesquared2291 Місяць тому
Verb
@zoravibes
@zoravibes Місяць тому
spdrn ***WORLD RECORD*** 3-7-24 😂
@al77709
@al77709 Місяць тому
As an aside, cosmic ray interactions are in fact very common when working with some equipment! They're a regular nuisance for Raman spectrometry, for example, as they interrupt your spectra by creating 'spikes' at random wavelengths. Speedrunners, please take care while running Mario 64 on your CCD detectors.
@leandru7
@leandru7 Місяць тому
They’re also a big problem for autopilot software on airplanes, since airplanes have less protection from the atmosphere when they’re in the air.
@astropgn
@astropgn Місяць тому
Whoa, I just made a comment talking exactly about raman spectroscopy! The first time I saw that huge spike I got excited! Then after having seen it over and over again it lost some magic.
@hippy_flip
@hippy_flip Місяць тому
Good to know since the lab I work at just got a Raman IR. I'll just blame the cosmos every time a sample fails 😅
@renakunisaki
@renakunisaki Місяць тому
Also, computers _do_ experience random bit flips fairly often (it's why ECC exists); just, most of them are caused by less interesting interference.
@dancinswords
@dancinswords Місяць тому
Sounds like it's Rayman speedrunners who should be concerned
@adrianshrubowich6144
@adrianshrubowich6144 Місяць тому
"The clip of the bit switch and what happened is actually slightly different so it couldnt have happened" he says as the two clips match up perfectly except for the frame interpolation and fails to give anything else than even resembles the clip.
@JamEngulfer
@JamEngulfer Місяць тому
They’re so similar it left me confused as to why he was claiming they were different.
@oboy_64
@oboy_64 Місяць тому
Exactly, either if it was a cosmic ray or not, its hard to believe it was anything other than a bit flip.
@nameless......................
@nameless...................... Місяць тому
nope. IT IS SLIGHTLY LONGER BEFORE DAMAGE IS TAKEN NOT BY MUCH BUT THEY ARENT IDENTICAL
@kevinnone4728
@kevinnone4728 Місяць тому
weve moved on from fucking click bait to lengthy bullshit videos, it seems. The worst part, i dont think buddy is in on his own scheme.:(
@alexmercer6585
@alexmercer6585 Місяць тому
​@kevinnone4728 This is not new. Now the entire internet is filled with pseudo intellectual content creators and audiences alike.
@thepicausno5561
@thepicausno5561 Місяць тому
The footage you showed comparing DOTA's run to a TAS isn't even identical before the upwarp occurred, and the only difference after the bit flip is a slight change in the camera angle. The fact that, in both cases, DOTA and Panen reach the same height and hit the ground at the same time should be clear evidence that a bit WAS flipped. Even if it wasn't cosmic rays, the height that DOTA got in his speedrun was exactly the amount you would get switching the leading byte of height to from C5 to C4.
@jamesongorman8531
@jamesongorman8531 Місяць тому
your opponent getting hit by a solar flare would be one hell of a way to lose a speedrun race
@YumekuiNeru
@YumekuiNeru Місяць тому
I lost the run to CME, dude!
@SeanFerree
@SeanFerree Місяць тому
For real!!
@SteveNeubauer
@SteveNeubauer Місяць тому
Krillin coming in with a solar flare
@Darth_Conans
@Darth_Conans Місяць тому
@SteveNeubauer smh not even giving credit to Tenshinhan.
@dinok4774
@dinok4774 Місяць тому
PANNENKOEK 🥞🥞🥞🥞🥞🥞🥞🥞🥞🥞
@Goobywoobygoo
@Goobywoobygoo Місяць тому
I can’t believe Big Speedrun is trying to gatekeep the common tech of cosmic ray manipulation.
@c0d3warrior
@c0d3warrior 22 дні тому
Shh, keep quiet, I don't want them to find out I've been manipulating my runs for over a decade with that orphaned source I "aquired"... (Just kidding. I don't a have an orphaned source and I don't speedrun either. And if I had one, I'd probably be long dead by now.)
@franz014
@franz014 17 днів тому
Don't. They'll silence us even more than they already are. Keep your thoughts to yourself. There'll be a time where Big Speedrun will fall and cosmic ray manipulation will be a widely used strat.
@ThorDude
@ThorDude 16 днів тому
​@c0d3warrior riiiiiight. Just admit you do speed runs in space to manipulate memory
@Mijzelffan
@Mijzelffan Місяць тому
I never expected to see a person so angry at cosmic rays in my life, the internet is truly boundless
@TweedleDeem
@TweedleDeem 19 днів тому
who's angry?
@Mijzelffan
@Mijzelffan 19 днів тому
@@TweedleDeem LunaticJ, watch the video
@AlphaCarinae
@AlphaCarinae 16 днів тому
@@TweedleDeem The dude sperging out over cosmic rays lol.
@Gigamex2
@Gigamex2 13 днів тому
He's not mad about cosmic rays. He is just correcting misinformation.
@jijijajaanapankaik1247
@jijijajaanapankaik1247 13 днів тому
@@Gigamex2 it's just a joke don't take it seriously
@DavidBadilloMusic
@DavidBadilloMusic Місяць тому
"We don't know" not only means "it's not proven it DID happen", it also means "it's not proven it DID NOT happen". It's simply not yet proven on either side.
@seanvalentinus
@seanvalentinus Місяць тому
Yeah, but it's worth getting Occam's Razor involved there too.
@_earlyworm
@_earlyworm Місяць тому
burden of proof is on the person who claimed it happened, given the incredibly low probability of it happening
@asd-dv7dq
@asd-dv7dq Місяць тому
Are u slow
@doktorhabilitowanystanczyk
@doktorhabilitowanystanczyk Місяць тому
​@gmdnikoyou should do it first pal
@Boss-_
@Boss-_ Місяць тому
​@gmdnikoChill, I think he might be artistic
@DoktorTaiko
@DoktorTaiko Місяць тому
Hi, Cosmic-Radiation-Bit-Flip researcher here (I am not making that up, that is actually my job). So to keep a long story short: computers are weird and trying to model anything happening on hardware exactly is practically impossible. I disagree with the statement that a cosmic bit flip cannot be the cause, simply as it is very hard to prove that it isn't and it is within the realm of (at least theoretical) possibilities. However, there are two other things we should consider that make the cosmic ray theory very unlikely. The first is the very low amount of radiation we observe on earth. A satellite within the Low Earth Orbit will still only get a small number of radiation events in the mission time, for a device on earth the possibility is negligible. On satellites we still need to consider the effects of radiation if hardware is safety critical, we have a very bad setup (high amounts of radiation expected), or we have long missions and aging effects, but that is satellite mission stuff. Secondly, we shouldn't forget how much hardware just doesn't work. Modern computer chips have a huge percentage of the chip that just doesn't work due to manufacturing problems. If you produce a CPU with 12 cores but only 10 work: sell it as a 10 core CPU, that's how it's done. Thus hardware malfunctions are definitely not unlikely and again really really hard to identify, even if you have the hardware in your hands. TLDR: is the cosmic ray theory possible? Yes, it is possible. Is the theory likely: No, it's not likely. Even though it's not impossible, the odds are very low. So we shouldn't say it's impossible, but also not act as if it was definitely the solution.
@LunaticJ
@LunaticJ Місяць тому
Well said. this mirrors my thoughts, but it bothers me that people are thinking i don't believe cosmic rays can affect computers when all I'm saying is it probably didn't happen in this specific instance
@catlance
@catlance Місяць тому
@@LunaticJI do agree with both of these comments I just think maybe next time use your words more carefully if that makes sense this is just feedback and not a way to make you look bad, just saying it's a myth and it's rare is not best things to say when making an statement, next time maybe not put that people opinions as much and make people look dumb, im not sure it was your intentions and I know everyone has different views just this is what I think. Over all even if I disagreed and thought sometimes you was a bit dramatic this still a good video just needed some clarification.
@ultimateman55
@ultimateman55 Місяць тому
@@catlance I agree with you. I feel LunaticJ's tone was too dismissive of the possibility. Stating that other explanations are more likely is more than enough to keep the question open and being dismissive diminishes his credibility, weakening his case rather than strengthening it. Another important point is that even very unlikely things happen all the time. With Mario 64 being streamed all around the world every day, we should fully expect to see all kinds of strange outcomes and glitches from time to time, including random hardware glitches, and yes, maybe even bit flips.
@JayFroste
@JayFroste Місяць тому
⁠ According to what you say in the video (18:25 for one example), you’re not saying it probably isn’t a cosmic ray, you’re saying it’s definitively not a cosmic ray. And some of the evidence you provide for it not being a bit flip is also extremely hypocritical. You take a discord comment of Pannen eyeballing the downwarp distance as “like 900” and proclaim it as irrefutable expert analysis that the distance CANNOT be 1024. Not a minute later, you’re mocking journalists for doing close to the same thing. Honestly, the entire tone of the video feels like you’re mocking your viewers for not knowing the intricacies of the situation and daring to believe a cosmic ray could be the cause. Which it still could, because you provided no hard evidence disproving it. All you did was state that it’s less likely than a hardware malfunction, followed by more talking down to the viewer for ever believing otherwise.
@fiddleronthenet3360
@fiddleronthenet3360 Місяць тому
@@LunaticJIt's the tone. You sound really... smug throughout this video, and it really comes off as if you are dismissing the possibility entirely. You sound like you are mocking the idea. To be clear, I agree with you that it's unlikely but possible, but your tone was super off-putting.
@DOGMA20051
@DOGMA20051 Місяць тому
LJ: "10 years ago..." Me: "Oh so like 2003" LJ "September 21st 2013" Me: Turns to dust
@manuelkfc7916
@manuelkfc7916 Місяць тому
I honestly have no idea why people keep saying that, although i still feel 2013 like yesterday. Technology wise, because i always go for low-specs, so when i try something that isn't, i'm amazed at technology's progress LOL.
@memiix
@memiix Місяць тому
@@manuelkfc7916the other day i got an ebook and im still baffled at how it works
@DarkDashV6
@DarkDashV6 Місяць тому
It gets worse with thinking about how 2009 was 15 Years Ago, and kids born in 2006 are graduating High School this year.
@jamesmcdavid1673
@jamesmcdavid1673 Місяць тому
Same age as Pokémon X and Y.
@Briskeeeen
@Briskeeeen Місяць тому
We get it, we're old. I swear I see this exact comment on every video that has even a singular date. Get over it.
@SWinxyTheCat
@SWinxyTheCat Місяць тому
Veritasium's video describes the event with much uncertainty, because it was never proven or disproven, which is good scientific communication. In his video he said: "This is *possibly* the rarest thing...", "...it *seems like* a newly discovered glitch...", and "The *best explanation* anyone can come up with is that a cosmic ray caused the glitch." That he cited The Gamer is cause for concern, but Veritasium never, as you suggested, used this incident "...as an example of a bit flip *definitely* happening..."
@delcogoblin
@delcogoblin 15 днів тому
it is astounding how this guy (lunaticJ) has gotten so angry over people not agreeing with him, over something that has not been proven either way.
@ASlickNamedPimpback
@ASlickNamedPimpback 10 днів тому
@@delcogoblin name fits i guess
@ouravantgarde
@ouravantgarde 9 днів тому
​@@delcogoblin1. he wasnt angry in the video. 2. not proven either way? really? thats not an argument when youre defending a very unlikely argument instead of listening to the most likely scenario. as another commenter said "did i forget and put a dirty bowl in the cupboard, or did some complete stranger break into my house for no reason and plant a dirty bowl in my cupboard? well, no proof either way!". see how stupid it sounds to say "no proof either way" here? 3. veritasium did this exactly. "the best explanation anyone can come up with." really? science wannabe youtube commenters making an insane theory over the sensible and simpler explanation is "the best explanation anyone can come up with?"
@delcogoblin
@delcogoblin 9 днів тому
@@ouravantgarde so what's your sensible and simpler explanation, Señor D. Ryder?
@AldinRamic
@AldinRamic 8 днів тому
​@@delcogoblinI think that is a hardware malfunction.
@DanielSann
@DanielSann Місяць тому
You said that in the veritasium video he used the glitch as an example of a bit flip definitely happening but this is what he really said "...the best explanation anyone can come up with is that a cosmic ray caused the glitch".
@ouravantgarde
@ouravantgarde 9 днів тому
thats... just as bad and just as wrong? we had better explanations
@lorenzobuero7115
@lorenzobuero7115 9 днів тому
​@@ouravantgarde maybe, but lets be honest, if you are making a scientific video about a common think that is not that rare to happend and you come across a good example that seems legit you wouldn't search in forums and communities for hours just to check if it is true
@ouravantgarde
@ouravantgarde 9 днів тому
@@lorenzobuero7115 it didnt require that. LITERALLY the video the article referenced said outright that they disapprove of it. they didnt do basic fact checking, a science channel like that should be doing basic research, but honestly theyve never been the best
@TheCamps10
@TheCamps10 5 днів тому
@@ouravantgarde No you don't, what you have is a bunch hypotheses with a significantly lower burden of evidence, all which which have failed to be met. Not even by physically tinkering with the hardware involved in the glitch has the memory error theory been proved. The only problem with the cosmic ray theory is that it's non falsifiable since you would have to replicate the exact conditions of the entire universe to test that theory, that doesn't make it a bad theory.
@WiggyWamWam
@WiggyWamWam 3 дні тому
@@ouravantgarde we literally do not have better explanations. If you critically think about this video at all, nothing else he suggested is as likely, and he also continually said that it wasn’t a bit flip, when the bit flip perfectly re-created the timing of the fall, meaning it warped him to the right height. The only other explanation is, a bit was flipped, but we don’t know why. That’s not a full explanation. That’s just describing the phenomenon.
@Rikmach
@Rikmach Місяць тому
Huh, I'd never thought the community had the idea "It conclusively was a cosmic ray", but rather "We can't quite figure out what happened, and a cosmic ray was a possibility, since we can't figure out how else it might have happened yet."
@junohawthorne7658
@junohawthorne7658 Місяць тому
Someone plagiarized a yt video into a short and said it was the only possible explanation and went viral a few weeks ago
@kadupse
@kadupse Місяць тому
Not only was it just a "it could have been one", because a single bit flip causes the same behavior, a cosmic ray was proposed as one of the many plausible explanations. It's as simple as that. This video isn't even necessary.
@PFnove
@PFnove Місяць тому
yeah this wouldn't be the first time something similar happened and was observable i dont remember when exactly but in veritasium's video he talked about the small radioactive particles in intel chip's ceramic caused a single flip of bit 12 in a register which caused one of the candidates for an election to receive 4096 extra votes (noticeable and while it wasn't a cosmic ray the particles emitted from the uranium are the same)
@korumann
@korumann Місяць тому
​@@kadupse yeah, it could have been just a fun video about "what probably happened" but instead was weirdly hostile about the whole thing.
@jensonisntfunny
@jensonisntfunny Місяць тому
@@korumannbecause videos of accusatory tones get pedalled more to viewers
@MillieTheSillie616
@MillieTheSillie616 Місяць тому
that cuphead journalist is never going to live that down.
@supra_sr
@supra_sr Місяць тому
The guy didn't even review the game, and even had positive impressions of it. Yet here we are years later using him as the frontliner example of "bad gaming journalism" because he was bad at a video game once
@therexbellator
@therexbellator Місяць тому
@@supra_sr Also worth noting that he wasn't a "regular" (for lack of a better word) gaming journalist, he mostly covered the industry-side of gaming, not gaming itself.
@LicenciadoLoui
@LicenciadoLoui Місяць тому
​@@supra_sr Gamers don't let skill issue slide, you know the rules and so do I
@PotatoSlices
@PotatoSlices Місяць тому
​@@supra_sr deserved
@abloogywoogywoo
@abloogywoogywoo Місяць тому
Have they finished the tutorial yet?
@Qbe_Root
@Qbe_Root Місяць тому
The BitFS downwarp being around 900 units doesn't automatically rule out a bit flip, because Mario's position is stored as 32-bit floating-point numbers, meaning the highest bit represents the sign, the next 8 represent the exponent, and the remaining 23 give the mantissa, to make up a number of the form (basically) mantissa * 2^exponent. Flipping one of the mantissa bits will add or subtract a power of 2, but flipping one of the exponent bits will *multiply* the previous value by some power of 2, meaning if the Y coordinate started as -900 and the last bit of the exponent was flipped from 0 to 1, it would become -1800, resulting in a 900-unit downwarp. I know the lower sections of BitFS are below Y=0 (because of the A press save on Wii VC) but I don't know if the coordinates perfectly match the clip
@Low-Full
@Low-Full Місяць тому
"ya DONT get it dude! I need this video where I pass off what I say in a condescending tone as a fact, and where nothing substantial can come out of the conclusion to be exactly 20 minutes, I JUST NEED THAT AD REVENUE"
@youraveragerobloxkid
@youraveragerobloxkid Місяць тому
it doesn't have anything substantial because it's an unsolved mystery. newsflash: not everything has a satisfying answer.
@Finn-po4kt
@Finn-po4kt Місяць тому
@@youraveragerobloxkid This whole video boils down to "Hey, you guys remember that unsolved mystery? WELL, erm ACTUALLY, it's still an unsolved mystery". This whole video is unnecessary
@youraveragerobloxkid
@youraveragerobloxkid Місяць тому
@Finn-po4kt This video's purpose is to say how the cosmic ray theory is highly unlikely all things considered
@cileavictoria1229
@cileavictoria1229 Місяць тому
@@youraveragerobloxkid It doesn't though. It just lists out random terms and rarity claims with the source being "because I said so." The claim that cosmic ray bit flips are such a rare occurrence that it is absurd to say it could have caused this wrong warp really shows he has no idea what he is talking about.
@youraveragerobloxkid
@youraveragerobloxkid Місяць тому
@@cileavictoria1229 dude, a cosmic ray has to travel 93 million miles through the earth's atmosphere affecting the specific bit that changes mario's height. It's hella unlikely, especially so if you consider his N64 doesn't work properly.
@__dm__
@__dm__ Місяць тому
I'm an electronics engineer. It's definitely unlikely to be a cosmic ray bitflip, but it could be as simple as environmental radiation or contamination in the packaging of the semiconductor chips, or a variety of other semiconductor device physics stuff. Fun fact: did you know that trace contamination of certain radioactive metals in the solder used to put chips down can cause bitflips?
@Neehize
@Neehize Місяць тому
Interesting. There's a 1996 scientific paper called "Single event upset at ground level" that states that (quoting Wikipedia): "Electrical or magnetic interference inside a computer system can cause a single bit of dynamic random-access memory (DRAM) to spontaneously flip to the opposite state. It was initially thought that this was mainly due to alpha particles emitted by contaminants in chip packaging material, but research has shown that the majority of one-off soft errors in DRAM chips occur as a result of background radiation, chiefly neutrons from cosmic ray secondaries, which may change the contents of one or more memory cells or interfere with the circuitry used to read or write to them."
@thelelanatorlol3978
@thelelanatorlol3978 Місяць тому
I've talked to astrophysicists about this before and they disagree, cosmic rays (especially neutrinos) are very capable of flipping bits and should actually do it fairly often (over years duh) statistically speaking. You and an astrophysicist should get together to come out with a truly informed opinion.
@thelelanatorlol3978
@thelelanatorlol3978 Місяць тому
Where do you think the classic static noise pattern comes from? Radiation, yea, but a lot of that radiation is in fact cosmic in nature (fun fact, a not insignificant portion of that noise comes from the CMB.)
@thelelanatorlol3978
@thelelanatorlol3978 Місяць тому
And yes, before you go ''ackchually'', yes, i am aware modern electronic devices including chips are built to self correct enough to make that noise negligible, but that design does not cover all energy levels of particles (and even types of particles themselves) that the chip will realistically be exposed to.
@bas_ee
@bas_ee Місяць тому
@@thelelanatorlol3978 About 100 trillion neutrinos pass through your body every second. With 8 billion people and many many many many more electronic devices, a cosmic particle hitting a chip is not rare at all. Just happens continiously.
@OdinJrthesecond
@OdinJrthesecond Місяць тому
>complains about people taking "it could've happened" and making it "it did happen" >takes "it probably didn't happen" and makes it "it didn't happen" >refuses to elaborate >ends video
@lol-de4lo
@lol-de4lo Місяць тому
Let's be real though A cosmic ray traveling 8 light minutes through earths electromagnetic field into some guys house and into a very specific part of a circuit board at the exact perfect time causing mario end up on a higher platform isn't very likely.
@Darkra98
@Darkra98 Місяць тому
@@lol-de4lo That's like saying a dart hitting an exact spot down to the millimeter isn't that likely. But throw a dart in hindsight, and wow, look at that. At exactly 1:13:004s I hit exactly 10.413cm by 5.143cm on the dart board, even though the probability of hitting that exact spot should be impossible!
@Blackpeel
@Blackpeel Місяць тому
His smug tone while fighting misinformation with more misinformation really makes me angry.
@adissentingopinion848
@adissentingopinion848 Місяць тому
​@@lol-de4loYou're missing the point. Your devices get walloped by cosmic EM radiation all the time. Radios have static for a reason. The only reason computers don't glitch all the time is that they do, but programs handle errors like that all the time. And when they do fail, it just crashes. The fact that this glitch was blatantly visible is the only difference.
@nadroji6549
@nadroji6549 Місяць тому
@@Darkra98 I feel like those are very very very very different levels of unlikely/impossible/improbable & aren't comparable in the slightest.
@Kyle1st100
@Kyle1st100 Місяць тому
But we also have to consider this happened ONCE in the entire history of mario 64 speedrunning. Out of the millions of people, only one recorded instance had an instance like this. This means it is still very plausible that out of every speedrunner this one just happened to trigger a bit flip.
@WiggyWamWam
@WiggyWamWam 3 дні тому
It’s definitely a bit flip (the video’s reasoning why it isn’t is basically vapor), but whether it’s a cosmic ray is completely unprovable either way. Because, as you said, it’s only happened once, and because there are millions of hours of speedrun footage recorded, I think it’s totally possible and even makes sense that somewhere in all that, there would be a single instance of a cosmic-ray-caused bit flip.
@LegitChipmmunk1002
@LegitChipmmunk1002 3 дні тому
@@WiggyWamWamI don’t see why the dude cares so much, a bit flip from the stars is dope and just helps the Mario speedrun community get a spotlight. It’s not like it is even proven to be wrong and also seems like the most plausible reason presented
@Kipsyz
@Kipsyz Місяць тому
'It happens if a bit flips, and nothing we know flips bits, but it definitely can't be cosmic rays because I don't like that idea' - this guy.
@Frilleon
@Frilleon 18 днів тому
Exactly lmao
@DlcEnergy
@DlcEnergy 12 днів тому
It doesn't help to misrepresent someone with your own argument. The sad reality here is that people were fed a lie that was more spectacular and special like it absolutely happened and was the most magical event in speedrunning history, because that was the popular theory they all loved to just go with because they didn't have a more satisfying answer. "We don't have an answer, so lets just assume it was something magical." That's literally humanity for ya. They do it with UFO's all the time, jumping right to conclusions with the exciting/newsworthy answer they want it to be. Whereas if we're being sensible we'd go right to it's "probably a bird" / "probably a hardware issue". And if someone were to push a more realistic conclusion, who would listen to them when there's a more popular exciting answer being pushed at the time? (as if it's fact too) This is the video to set the record straight, at a better time when people wont be as blindly stubborn over something they just got convinced of just because it's a more exciting answer. And of course as expected, the few hardcore believers have gotten upset, trying to discredit the uploader and calling him smug for not being as kind to their faith and explaining how misinformation can spread like wildfire. "A lie travels around the globe while the truth is still putting on its shoes."
@eyesistorm
@eyesistorm 11 днів тому
Good job, you completely missed the point. The problem with the situation is that it was that the cosmic ray hypothesis was represented as fact, when it is just a theory. Whether or not you believe that theory is up to personal opinion. He never disproved the theory at all during the video, just that he (and many SM64 experts) personally thought it was too unlikely to be the cause. Everybody has the right to believe whatever they want, as long as that belief isn't hurting anyone or themselves. If you want to believe that it was a cosmic ray, then there's nothing wrong with that. But just like you, LunaticJ is also entitled to his own opinion. And he didn't shame anyone for having their opinions, so neither should you.
@Frilleon
@Frilleon 11 днів тому
@@eyesistorm that’s not his point necessarily
@bigcraudio3066
@bigcraudio3066 2 дні тому
"I'm gonna make this guy a straw man because I don't like any of his arguments and other theories" - literally you
@Kasten3003
@Kasten3003 Місяць тому
Okay yeah, but also the phrase: “Sun assisted speedrun” goes really fucking hard. It’s highly likely that it’s not true, as you’ve already mentioned, but god it sounds cool.
@SayAhh
@SayAhh Місяць тому
Gotta get some of then neutrinos
@LiatKolink
@LiatKolink Місяць тому
Just like aliens*, big foot and whatnot, we may keep making memes about that while ensuring people are informed that they're not real. *Aliens are real; but they're nowhere near Earth and we have yet to find any.
@0Cazador
@0Cazador Місяць тому
Tfw you RNGmanip the SUN.
@tezcanaslan2877
@tezcanaslan2877 Місяць тому
@@0Cazador RNGmanipulating sun so your crops get sunlight for the entire day
@JK-gm6kk
@JK-gm6kk Місяць тому
Vertassium (I think that's the channel spelling, or at least close) has a great video on bit flips
@Disgustedorite
@Disgustedorite Місяць тому
New speedrun strat: bring your console with you onto the ISS and play up there where cosmic rays are way, way, way more common and reap the rewards
@thethree13o
@thethree13o Місяць тому
And then it flips the wrong bit and switches you to the game over screen lol
@thelelanatorlol3978
@thelelanatorlol3978 Місяць тому
@@thethree13o epic gamer strats, bring 10 bajillion copies of a game into space, run them all at once, and keep them running and restarting until eventually you get a world record time
@Zylenxx
@Zylenxx Місяць тому
i just did that and the iss is now falling down , woops
@spookysquirtle
@spookysquirtle Місяць тому
New speedrunning strat: play with a bag of cesium over your N64
@jean-lucdickhard8304
@jean-lucdickhard8304 Місяць тому
ISS orbits below Earth's magnetosphere
@smutnejajo5149
@smutnejajo5149 Місяць тому
Reasons why the cosmic ray flip is a myth: - there's a different upwarp glitch - someone had many bit flips happening - some other person had a slightly similar thing happen that wasn't a bit flip - uhhh some people had faulty consoles that loaded textures wrong - uhhhhh someone slapped their console and the wrong level loaded also I ran my mixer next to my console
@electroflame6188
@electroflame6188 21 день тому
>person's game has a history of weird bugs >weird bug happens in person's game >hurr must be cosmic rays
@smutnejajo5149
@smutnejajo5149 21 день тому
@@electroflame6188 You mean > person's game wouldn't start sometimes > someone tested the game and there were no bugs > but some other people had bugs > clearly, it proves that was a bug
@spicyseliph
@spicyseliph 11 днів тому
well yes, proof by contradiction
@smutnejajo5149
@smutnejajo5149 10 днів тому
@@spicyseliph Not sure u know what that is
@TheCamps10
@TheCamps10 5 днів тому
@@spicyseliph It's not proof by contradiction, none of the cited examples for causes of glitches in sm64 apply to this case.
@awsomebot1
@awsomebot1 Місяць тому
Better title: "This theory isn't confirmed, so I'll make a video about how it definitely isn't true (I won't provide evidence though)"
@BullmooseBeerTalks
@BullmooseBeerTalks Місяць тому
Satellite expert here. Bit flips are something we have to constantly design and shield against due to the extremely hostile nature of Space. However, these satalites are orbiting above the protective shielding our earth and atmosphere provide. On earth, bit flips are significantly rarer. EXCEPT! Our sun goes through an 11 year cycle of rising solar activity (solar flares, sunspots, coronal mass ejections etc.) Eventually culminating in the "solar maximum" before activity begins to decrease again. During the year or so before and after a solar maximum, computer issues caused by the sun are slightly more common. The last solar maximum was in 2014, meaning this run took place during a period of extremely high solar activity. Btw, the next solar maximum is building up and will be here by 2025, and experts are prediciting that it's going to be a rough one.
@thelelanatorlol3978
@thelelanatorlol3978 Місяць тому
Even on earth, cosmic rays can cause hundreds of megabytes worth of RAM data to be scrambled every month. Of course, most modern hardware can comfortably deal with single bit flip events, cosmic ray or otherwise.
@Stabbingparrot
@Stabbingparrot Місяць тому
@@thelelanatorlol3978the problem is, a N64 is not modern. that leaves the theory open
@ro2466
@ro2466 Місяць тому
Satellite GOD here : you don't know what the fuck you are talking about. Please shut the fuck up. Thank You.
@AnarchistEagle
@AnarchistEagle Місяць тому
A coworker from my first job was testing a component that would end up on a satellite running our software. He would often start running tests on the device, then work on something else while those ran, and would later see that some random test failed. But he couldn't figure out why. He tried catching the failure by running the test suite with a debugger attached dozens of times over night, but came back in the morning to all the tests being green. So this was an enormously frustrating thing to deal with. How could the tests fail only when he was in the office? So he tried running the tests in the debugger once again in the morning, and got up to go get a bagel. But the debugger immediately paused on a failed test. It turned out that the slight electromagnetic impulse from his chair whenever he stood up/sat down/shifted his weight was enough to flip bits in the device's cache/RAM and cause a test to fail. With additional EM shielding the failures disappeared. The local environment can be a much better place to look for sources of spontaneous memory corruption than cosmic rays, though cosmic rays can cause rare bit flips on earth's surface.
@edfreak9001
@edfreak9001 Місяць тому
i guess 2025 is the time to get into mario 64 speedrunning
@turkturkelton2357
@turkturkelton2357 Місяць тому
Teacher: "Why didn't you do your homework" Me: "A cosmic ray ate my dog"
@WHITE.-
@WHITE.- Місяць тому
@@TheGameMakeGuy after that the rumbing started
@abloogywoogywoo
@abloogywoogywoo Місяць тому
I spelled dog backwards and he created a reality without homework.
@Mizu2023
@Mizu2023 Місяць тому
​@@abloogywoogywoo Everyone deserves to live in that reality. I don't think I have to do the thing I do in school at home lol
@Matcha_Biscuit
@Matcha_Biscuit Місяць тому
"why were you drunk driving?" "a cosmic ray bitflipped me"
@0cellusDS
@0cellusDS Місяць тому
This was clearly a conspiracy put into place to harm speedrunner Kosmic by making it harder to find his content on the internet.
@EliEngbretson-bq5ot
@EliEngbretson-bq5ot 3 дні тому
Why isn't this comment popular?
@JohnSelth
@JohnSelth Місяць тому
I’m not sure you disproved the null in this video. Working around spacecraft, we have modeled these events on hardware, and while it is significantly harder the closer to earth you are for such an anomaly to occur, we have documented cases every year of this happening.
@camhabibi2217
@camhabibi2217 Місяць тому
13:21 Guys, he tried to run a blender next to the console and nothing happened. I'm convinced. No more tests needed.
@zaxtonhong3958
@zaxtonhong3958 Місяць тому
I really don’t understand why that is in the video. Does the editor think that a food processor/blender has significant electromagnetic radiation? Does bro get his food processor from aliens?
@humanbeanbroth88
@humanbeanbroth88 Місяць тому
@@zaxtonhong3958its to try and cause a power surge some high power blenders are known to cause them, not saying it was a good test of course
@zaxtonhong3958
@zaxtonhong3958 Місяць тому
New M64 category: 70 stars w/ powersurge
@camhabibi2217
@camhabibi2217 Місяць тому
@@zaxtonhong3958 Blender%
@jeremyany
@jeremyany Місяць тому
I NEED MORE VOLTS thousands millions billions trillions
@bob8mybobbob
@bob8mybobbob Місяць тому
Definitely a case of “technically possible” getting warped into “100% confirmed”. But look, either I’m an idiot who accidentally put a dirty bowl back in the cupboard, or someone broke in and put a dirty bowl in the cupboard. Both are possible, guess we’ll never know.
@gloweye
@gloweye Місяць тому
Probably not even technically possible. Cosmic rays are pretty common, and I've never heard of a confirmed bit flip as result.
@ayuballena8217
@ayuballena8217 Місяць тому
someone broke in 100%
@emerson-biggons7078
@emerson-biggons7078 Місяць тому
​@@gloweye Bit flips from cosmic rays are very common. They just don't usually result in much as modern computers have ways for correcting the flip. Especially if you go above sea level, aviation and space get it the worst and it used to be a constant problem.
@chucklebutt4470
@chucklebutt4470 Місяць тому
Copied this from a blog post by some guy (john d cook). This incident is well documented: . . . . Radiolab did an episode on the case of a cosmic bit flip changing the vote tally in a Belgian election in 2003. The error was caught because one candidate got more votes than was logically possible. A recount showed that the person in question got 4096 more votes in the first count than the second count. The difference of exactly 212 votes was a clue that there had been a bit flip. All the other counts remained unchanged when they reran the tally. It’s interesting that the cosmic ray-induced error was discovered presumably because the software quality was high. All software is subject to cosmic bit flipping, but most of it is so buggy that you couldn’t rule out other sources of error. Cosmic bit flipping is becoming more common because processors have become smaller and more energy efficient: the less energy it takes for a program to set a bit intentionally, the less energy it takes for radiation to set a bit accidentally.
@dudedude6664
@dudedude6664 Місяць тому
@@gloweyeWell that's just a matter of you not hearing about them
@plyr2
@plyr2 Місяць тому
I work in biopharma with highly sensitive equipment. We get cosmic rays happening regularly causing outliers in our data. We have to account for it with our software. On a normal PC size machine this stuff happens once or twice a day sometimes while we are running tests. Tests only capture data for a minute or so. So really we are only capturing data for about 2 hours at most in a workday. And in that time we often see them. Sometimes it'll be a few days without observing one. If just one bit needs to be hit to cause this, then it's just as likely as any other bit being hit. I'd say it's plausible.
@tobias_levi
@tobias_levi Місяць тому
Highly improbable does not mean "impossible". You didn't really definitively rule it out. And like you said, it's still unsolved.
@ody1212
@ody1212 7 днів тому
he... he knows. you said it yourself that he said it himself (several times, even)
@StormyBuckets
@StormyBuckets Місяць тому
this happens in science journalism all the time. A journal is released where the author of the paper states that the study MIGHT show [xyz] to be true, and then people go around saying that [xyz] is DEFINITELY true and is PROVEN BY SCIENCE.
@Sillimant_
@Sillimant_ Місяць тому
Science is dead, it used to be about finding the truth, now it's "take my word for it and TRUST THE SCIENCE or you're an evil conspiracy theorist"
@Spartan322
@Spartan322 Місяць тому
"the science"
@tenchu951
@tenchu951 Місяць тому
That’s why science journalism articles are no credible sources for dissertations and papers and why scientists read the studies itself.
@theapexsurvivor9538
@theapexsurvivor9538 Місяць тому
Doesn't help that terrible science education has left the vast majority of the population believing that science "proves" that things are "fact", rather than just being the process by which we eliminate impossibilities through repeated observation and analysis.
@spencernaugle
@spencernaugle Місяць тому
Here's my life hack, look for the words "peer reviewed". Peer-reviewed = the science version of "pics or it didn't happen"
@jordanjohnson714
@jordanjohnson714 Місяць тому
With all due respect, I have issues with this video from a perspective of an EE in aerospace. Regarding Veritasum's video, you said: "There's a short minute-and-a-half segment about the TTC upwarp using The Gamer's article and pannenkoek12's proof of concept video as an example of a bit flip *definitely* happening thanks to a cosmic ray." What Derek of Veritasium actually said was "The best explanation anyone could come up with is that a cosmic ray caused the glitch." I don't think that's very fair to him. SEEs happen all the time, and we even get some here on Earth ("terrestrial SEE") where we are shielded by the atmosphere. I get the impression you hear "cosmic ray" and immediately think "that sounds too esoteric, that couldn't have happened, it feels so unlikely." Out of all recorded Mario 64 footage on the internet, it doesn't actually seem that unlikely a random bit would flip in at least *one* of these videos due to a "cosmic ray" in a way that could be helpful in a speedrun. It only needs to happen once. I completely agree that this problem isn't solved yet. I agree there are other, potentially more likely causes (one of my theories is EMI compounded by a poor connection with the cartridge edge connector - the two aren't necessarily unrelated). But you haven't shown me anything that rules out an SEE. And no, bad journalism about the hypothesis doesn't make the hypothesis unreasonable. Edit: Mario's position isn't stored in the cartridge, just in memory, so a cartridge tilt would have had to cause this upwarp in a less direct way.
@chrisgaming9567
@chrisgaming9567 Місяць тому
Exactly. Nothing in this video refutes the Cosmic Ray hypothesis or even shows why it's unlikely. They didn't even find a way to replicate the glitch with hardware malfunctions the way they said it happened!
@Hithere-uz6wd
@Hithere-uz6wd Місяць тому
Yeah because you cant refute it as its possible... If you actually watched the video you would know that it is THEORETICALLY possible BUT not even close to the most probable theory
@Smogshaik
@Smogshaik Місяць тому
Thank you, there were a lot of leaps of judgment and faulty logic in this video, not to mention the self-contradictions. What a weird UKpostsr, will steer well clear of him.
@xxxxSylphxxxx
@xxxxSylphxxxx Місяць тому
Ironically, Veritasium's (perhaps the biggest spreader of the theory going by viewcounts) wording was a lot more open to the possibility of the cosmic ray theory being wrong, and the fact that it's still a mystery, than this video is! When discussing the cosmic ray theory, saying 'it's just not true' is just as silly as saying it's definitely a cosmic ray; especially when you immediately follow it with "we just don't know".
@byeguyssry
@byeguyssry Місяць тому
​@Hithere-uz6wd What is being said is that cosmic rays is the most probably explanation, not that it is a likely explanation
@DIABETOR
@DIABETOR 20 днів тому
Counterpoint: If the actual cause of the upwarp hasn’t been definitively proven, then you can’t say with certainty that the cosmic ray hypothesis is untrue. I choose to believe…
@Cosmalano
@Cosmalano 13 днів тому
It’s maybe a counter argument but as you said, rooted in nothing but belief. There’s nothing scientific about saying “it could be this, so you should entertain it”. You go with the explanation that’s most likely, and remain open minded enough to change your mind if you see that something else is more likely.
@TheCamps10
@TheCamps10 5 днів тому
@@Cosmalano Nope, wrong! Every other hypothesis has resisted demonstration despite having a much lower test-ability treshold, it's literally anti-scientific to refuse entertaining a perfectly plausible explanation on grounds of odds when none of the other more mundane ones can be proven despite having the exact offending hardware that experienced the glitch in the first place.
@Cosmalano
@Cosmalano 5 днів тому
@@TheCamps10 that is not “anti-scientific,” let alone literally so. Science doesn’t depend on “proving” an idea right, it depends on proving them wrong. Cargo cult science seeks to probe things right. In science you always seek to disprove a hypothesis. The bit flip hypothesis did not produce the same effect when tested, which ruled it out. If you want to entirely rule out the faulty hardware explanation, then you need to demonstrate that it doesn’t work. If you’re not after ruling things out, then we’re back to my original point, whatever is most likely is the one you should go with, until it’s proven wrong. That’s the only way science works. Nothing in science has ever nor can ever be “proven right”. Even if the bit flip produced the same effect, this wouldn’t mean that a cosmic ray caused it, nor that this is indeed what happened. Just like how saying the Earth is flat works as a hypothesis when you see a couple of effects, but doesn’t hold up when you consider even more, where as the globe Earth model captures everything you could throw at it.
@JasonHeidecker
@JasonHeidecker 20 днів тому
I work in the same office at NASA JPL as the radiation effects expert in Veritasium's video. If you have a GB of RAM, then you might be getting a bit flip once per day on earth on average caused by cosmic rays. Google estimated the DIMMs in their study were getting 10 per day. So there are billions of bit flips every day on earth induced by cosmic rays. A single event can cause one bit to flip or many. Radiation induced upset in memories is very well understood; there are particle accelerators all around the world used for testing electronics that run 24/7/365. If N64 had 4 MB of RAM, then a bit flip every 200-300 days would be expected (1/250th compared to 1 GB). So games who only play a couple hours per week may never see bit flips in their lives. But gamers playing 8 hours per day... they may not all see them on their 4 MB systems, but many (10-30%?) definitely saw them on N64 if they played a few hours per week for a few years. As someone whose job is to understand electronic interconnect reliability, solder joints, intrinsic memory cell reliability, and radiation effects; by far the most likely explanation is radiation induced upset rather than any of the other possibilities mentioned. Anything to do with interconnects or solder joints or anything at a package level (cart slap) would cause catastrophic malfunction; not a single bit flip. Intermittency on one or more signals between the cartridge and system does not cause a single bit flip. That leads to major memory corruption. The only other credible root cause in my opinion is a weak bit; one that is marginal and beginning to fail. This is common in memories. All electronics have a limited lifetime and will eventually fail; process marginalities in memories create a distribution of bit cell lifetimes with some failing before others. However, in that case, you would likely see further degradation over subsequent months and years of use. Not sure if that was the case for that user. If the glitch was isolated to a single run, it was most likely cosmic ray (not EM interference; that also does not flip specific bits...) This is not conjecture; it is 25 years of daily first-hand experience dealing with electronic component reliability issues including the ones mentioned in the video. (the explanation at 14:00 about powers of 2 is total nonsense; what about a bit flip that changes mario's position 512 to a position where there is no floor and he falls the rest of the way to 900? i'm not saying that's precisely the case, but it's not remotely as simple as described in that section of the video.)
@ikaikaikaika2419
@ikaikaikaika2419 Місяць тому
Thought this was gonna prove the bitflip theory wrong but it just goes over all the likely theories and in the end the bitflip is the only one that has had any sort of evidence that could be reproduced, and you even bring up the dupdome instance which only reinforces the idea of a bitflip caused by a cosmic ray. In dupdome's scenario it is far more likely that a hardware error was in effect, as there were multiple bitflips occurring in predictable ways, but in the dota_teabag scenario we've taken apart the N64 and cartridge itself and in your own words "nothing notable popped up." Faulty hardware can be ruled out completely due to those tests. As for cartridge tilts and slaps, nothing in the dota_teabag clip indicates any sort of sudden harm to the console like in the atogami clip. In every other example shown of faulty cartridge connections, the interference is far greater than the upwarp and anomalies occur for far longer, animations and textures glitching out for several seconds at a time that isn't in line with the sudden, one frame change we see in the dota_teabag clip. Every alternate scenario you've presented has other caveats and such that make them differ too greatly from the dota_teabag clip. Faulty hardware has been disproven by further testing. Faulty connections cause wildly different scenarios from the one we are trying to recreate. The bitflip is the ONLY scenario that has shown a correlation to what actually happened in the clip. It is the only scenario that actually hits the mark, and no matter how unlikely a SEU is, the results suggest that it's still more likely than anything you've shown. Hell, the idea that cosmic rays are "unlikely" is even questioned in your vid. You say yourself that bitflips usually don't effect a computer in "a visually observable manner." This implies that they happen more often than we have observed, thus making our own perception of how likely they are to happen to be inaccurate. Which, of course, they do. Hardware and software usually just has ways to handle errors that the end user doesn't perceive, like simply crashing. I'm not gonna argue that poor journalism leads to myths, but if YOU are, then you should be doing your due diligence. You said that Veritasium used the clips as an example of a bitflip "DEFINITELY happening thanks to a cosmic ray." This is objectively incorrect and can be proven wrong by simply watching his video. His actual words were "the best explanation anyone could come up with is that a cosmic ray caused the glitch," which is a perfectly reasonable take that still leaves room for doubt. If you're gonna criticize him for poor journalistic integrity, criticize him for getting pannen's name wrong, don't shove words in his mouth. The fact that you're willing to put such blatant misinformation in your video calls in to question your own integrity. tldr, bitflip is still the most likely scenario as nothing else has come close to replicating it. Cosmic rays affecting hardware is more common than we think. You should stop making up quotes to make others look bad.
@RilGames.
@RilGames. Місяць тому
This should be at the very top of the comment section
@chicken_person
@chicken_person Місяць тому
Perfect description of what's wrong with the video IMO. Essentially saying 'the cosmic ray bit flip theory "simply isn't true" (his words)' while providing evidence that a bit flip is the most plausible theory for that exact glitch is wild to me. Trying to call out bad journalism through _this_ video of all things is just peak irony.
@Lunam_D._Roger
@Lunam_D._Roger Місяць тому
Adding another comment here to try to push this comment to the top. People tend to open comment reply sections with more replies, and upon reading the replies are psychologically more likely to actually read the long original comment, and thus more likely to like said comment, pushing it further to the top, where more people can see it as it rightfully belongs to be.
@SerabiiBot
@SerabiiBot Місяць тому
Doing my bit to push this comment up.
@Maximflame611
@Maximflame611 Місяць тому
This
@AH-uz3fx
@AH-uz3fx Місяць тому
What you didn't mention is that most of the articles and some of the memes say the warp "saved time" or would have saved time, but it doesn't even do that. He was going for the red coins and it only moved him away from them and would have forced him to move back down to where the platforms were
@LunaticJ
@LunaticJ Місяць тому
Yeah he went for "Get A Hand" as a backup. If he got that star already, it certainly would've lost more time
@beangorl7005
@beangorl7005 Місяць тому
Yeah the whole reason there was a bounty in the first place was for future use in A Press challenges or speedrun categories. The glitch is still in the first phase of speedrun metamorphosis but articles are treating it like a crazy time skip for a wr pace or something.
@RoyInverse
@RoyInverse Місяць тому
@@beangorl7005if we had a cosmic ray gun that could change bits on demand it could be used for a WR run.
@davidcotham1939
@davidcotham1939 Місяць тому
But it could help if there was some way to replicate it elsewhere in the game, I imagine
@gunslingerspartan
@gunslingerspartan 10 днів тому
hey, weighing in with this is a programmer and systems administrator, bit flips happen constantly, be it from heat, radiation or cosmic rays and are usually caught by inbuilt error correction, the n64 used 4mb of RDRAM running at 400mhz on a 9 bit bus, early versions of this RAM standard had no error checking but the standard used a pretty big transistor which would require more energy comparative to the phone in your pocket or your laptop's modern hardware, so a flipped bit is more likely than you may think, complicating things is that the Mario height variable is stored in hexadecimal, and Mario was still moving vertically, so depending on where in the process and part of the system the flip happened could radically change the outcome, as it would make nonlinear changes to the value because of the conversion from hex, changing this bit at the right time seems to me like the most likely cause of the error. weather its ionising radiation from space or because the passively cooled memory was overheating or a solar flare is completely academic and unknowable, but IS more likely to be the case because of the energy requirement to flip a bit in that kind of memory module and it is a compelling story, and one I will continue to tell to comfort people when they can't open their word documents due to data corruption tl;dr we live in a world where ECC memory has made us forget that this isn't even unlikely anymore, it just goes unnoticed because Richard Hamming is an underappreciated genius
@gunslingerspartan
@gunslingerspartan 10 днів тому
also wtf are you talking about when you call those clips too different, they match perfectly, except one is running on native hardware with shitty 90s frame generation
@arciks11
@arciks11 5 днів тому
@@gunslingerspartan I think his point is that they don't overlay 1 to 1 over each other, but the outcome shown is completely identical. A rather silly gripe to claim "Not identical"
@PFnove
@PFnove Місяць тому
"some other kind of memory error" a bit flip from a charged particle (could be coming from the universe, could be coming from a nearby piece of uranium) is the most common memory error
@greggoat6570
@greggoat6570 19 днів тому
That doesn’t mean it was a goddam solar ray, you dolt.
@andrewv3502
@andrewv3502 Місяць тому
the part about Veritasium "using the article and video as an example of a bit flip definitely happening" in his video all he says is that no one has been able to replicate it and a bit flip from cosmic rays is the "best explanation anyone can come up with". does not seem like he was claiming it definitely happened to me.
@macethorns1168
@macethorns1168 Місяць тому
But this guy ran a blender by his N64 so he clearly knows what he's talking about.
@richboy455
@richboy455 Місяць тому
If there is any channel I trust to do the proper research it is Veritasium. One of the most prolific scientific channels on the platform that routinely has experts in their field on to discuss their work.
@curlybrace4984
@curlybrace4984 Місяць тому
While watching this video, I couldn’t help but grow annoyed by Lunatic constantly attacking the theory. He didn’t even provide a theory of his own. The idea at the time is that cosmic rays were the explanation that just made the most sense. And it’s true; it did make the most sense at the time. Aside from the cartridge or console just being faulty. And even coming out of the video, it isn’t exactly firmly debunked, either. Unlikely, but was it definitely not a cosmic ray? We don’t know.
@terminalpreppie8439
@terminalpreppie8439 Місяць тому
​@@richboy455hate to break it to you, but every other video Veritasium makes is an explicit sponsorship where the science is secondary to promoting the product. Not to say that this makes these videos completely inaccurate or anything, but you should be critical of the media you consume and shouldn't put blind trust in anything on UKposts, especially in the pop science sphere
@Ninjaeule97
@Ninjaeule97 Місяць тому
​@@richboy455unless he is being sponsored to do the video. The one about dandruff, the one about self driving and the one done with Mercedes are utterly corporate propaganda nothing more.
@Kosmicd12
@Kosmicd12 Місяць тому
The electrical surge segment reminded me of a clip from Runnerguy2489. The framerate in his game chugs briefly at the exact same moment that lightning struck outside his house.
@Jademalo
@Jademalo Місяць тому
EDIT - Never mind, just saw the clip and it's a stream lag rather than a game lag. Oooh that's interesting - iirc the N64's CPU runs with a 1.5x multiplier on the base clock frequency. If Pin 112 is 3.3v, then it runs at 1.5x, however if it's grounded then it runs at 1x. I wonder if the strike somehow dropped the voltage enough on pin 112 that the CPU dropped to it's 1x base frequency, which resulted in the framerate chugging.
@kargaroc386
@kargaroc386 Місяць тому
"Was that lightning?" I think it was called.
@Jademalo
@Jademalo Місяць тому
@@kargaroc386Just saw the clip, looks like it's a stream lag rather than a game lag unfortunately :( You can see the webcam freeze too, and immediately after the unfreeze you can also see a slight flash in the door frame.
@renakunisaki
@renakunisaki Місяць тому
@@Jademalo the N64 does have a rare bug in its clock generator(?). Maybe once every several thousand times you turn it on, it runs at half speed. The audio is all slowed down and spoopy and the video is a weird static (TV not properly syncing to a very-off-time signal). There are a couple clips of it on Twitch. While that evidently didn't happen here, I wonder if it ever could happen while the game is running? It wouldn't be helpful at all, though.
@anthonymudge9768
@anthonymudge9768 Місяць тому
@@Jademalo Heh, if it's Stream lag maybe the lighting still caused it, maybe via packet loss from interference somewhere
@bernardoborges5038
@bernardoborges5038 Місяць тому
Im a researcher in radiation effects in electronics. A bit flip, although very unlikely on Earth's surface is absolutely possible and has been observed in labs and simulations multiple times. The problem with bit flips caused from cosmic rays is that they are highly unpredictable and hard to confirm after the fact.
@The_hot_blue_fire_guy
@The_hot_blue_fire_guy Місяць тому
the only thing this video proves is that there are many POTENTIAL causes for the up-warp, but because nobody knows exactly what happened it could still be a cosmic ray event. just because it's unlikely doesn't mean it is impossible. so saying that it's a totally impossible myth isn't very accurate. It is unlikely but that does not mean impossible.
@josemedrano2645
@josemedrano2645 Місяць тому
Don't get me wrong, you've absolutely convinced me that hardware issues are the far more likely culprit here, but I feel like you MASSIVELY underestimate just how common cosmic rays are. They're not some out-there weird physics concept, you've had several pass by you in just the time you've read this alone. Single flip events are a good chunk of the reason error correction codes are as robust as they are.
@wyattcensored9361
@wyattcensored9361 Місяць тому
That's also why cosmic rays couldn't be the culprit. They pass every console everywhere.
@loafodisease614
@loafodisease614 Місяць тому
@@wyattcensored9361many bits to flip, redundancies and fabrication techniques in modern technology to prevent single event upsets from affecting normal use, eec memory
@benedani9580
@benedani9580 Місяць тому
@@wyattcensored9361 most of those rays aren't strong enough to cause a bit flip, but some of them are. That's why servers use ECC memory
@thelegend8570
@thelegend8570 Місяць тому
Yep, if your PC has enough RAM there are actually scripts you can run to detect them based on bit flips. According to IBM, for each gigabyte of RAM your PC has, you will experience one cosmic ray induced bit flip per week. Though, this was in the 1990s and technology has changed since then, so the numbers might be a bit different now.
@devlinbentley8193
@devlinbentley8193 Місяць тому
​@@thelegend8570 Data corruption on hard drives is super common as well. Modern file systems do lots of integrity checks but even so people who are in the habit of doing extra validity checks on their data often find that errors have crept in!
@ltloxa1159
@ltloxa1159 Місяць тому
I think this video adequatly covers ways other than cosmic rays this could have happened, however, it does not adequatly disprove the general idea of a bitflip to a degree that justifies the language used.
@paytonhearn2502
@paytonhearn2502 Місяць тому
Came here looking for this comment. If it's not solved, you can't say it WASN'T a cosmic ray just like you can't say it was.
@Aleksandr011
@Aleksandr011 Місяць тому
@@paytonhearn2502 How else would he get to bring up his tired "ethics in gaming journalism" points?
@garrettw5143
@garrettw5143 Місяць тому
It's not even relevant here too
@foximacentauri7891
@foximacentauri7891 Місяць тому
@@paytonhearn2502 that’s exactly how science works. If there is a likely solution backed by evidence(the faulty console) and someone comes up with another solution which is orders of magnitudes less likely, the science community doesn’t go „we can’t determine which one it is because both are possible“. They go „There is a very small change it _did_ happen like that, but the general consensus is that it happened like this“. If it wasn’t that way we’d have to consider that gravity might not exist because there is a possibility that all things just fall downwards through random quantum tunneling.
@z3dar
@z3dar Місяць тому
@@foximacentauri7891 What evidence? And how do you define which solution is more or less likely? If I was paying attention, the video said that upwarps have not been proven to happen because of faulty consoles. If that's the case, it's not obvious to say that faulty console is more likely source just because it can create other types of glitches. At least the bitflip has some kind of experimental evidence to back it up since the TAS recreation was close enough to not rule it out(i.e it was *really* close to what we saw). So we have one hypothesis about cosmic rays that can and was tested and it resulted in good but inconclusive evidence, and another hypothesis which has no evidence and is untestable and is basically just "faulty console can result in any kind of glitch, so it's probably that even though we don't know how". Either one could be the reason, but neither is "orders of magnitude less likely." because we lack data to make such claims
@RubySapior
@RubySapior 18 днів тому
Dram engineer here. My job is literally to debug these type of silicon bugs. There isnt really enough info to determine what is failing in the memory chip. Could be capacitors losing charge due to lack of refresh cycles, unintentionally causing a row hammer attack, bad voltage reads on sense amps... Most likely, software issue as a bit flip in these cases could happen to any of the million bits in the array. Its weird how the bit flips would only happen to player coordinate.....
@Mat2095
@Mat2095 Місяць тому
Is Mario's position something that is transfered between console and cartridge at that time? I would assume it is loaded at the start of the level from the cartridge, but then it stays in RAM. That makes a faulty/tilted/slapped cartridge seem unlikely to have caused that behaviour for me.
@superblaubeere27
@superblaubeere27 Місяць тому
To be fair: Invalid Instructions might be read from the cardridge which could technically cause such a thing
@blockmath_2048
@blockmath_2048 Місяць тому
14:00 Mario's position is stored as a floating-point number, which is stored vastly differently than an integer. A bit flip in the mantissa would change the value by a power of two, but a bit flip in the exponent would multiply or divide the value by a power of two. If the Y-position were, say, 1800, a bit flip in the lowest bit of the mantissa could change the value to 900, a difference of 900.
@Neehize
@Neehize Місяць тому
Nice catch, that seems reasonable!
@superblaubeere27
@superblaubeere27 Місяць тому
No, stop! You are scaring him with first semester computer-science knowledge!
@emerson-biggons7078
@emerson-biggons7078 Місяць тому
Im not sayung it's cosmic rays but i just wanted to point out that cosmic ray bit flips are insanely common (unless you use ECC memory, they still happen but they get corrected 99% of the time). Like they happen to computers at an hourly rate, and if you gain elevation above sea level they massively increase in frequency. Aviation and Space deal with them by having so many redundancies and protections that the bit flips dont matter much. But a Nintendo 64 has no such protection, its bits will be flipped. Its not a matter of if they will happen but when. But this rarely (as in on an individual basis, on a provincial/state level they have caused issues all the time we just account for them nowadays) results in much issues let alone a bit flip like we saw. That said, this isnt a fact of the situation; cosmic ray bit flips may have had nothing to do with it. But the fact that the height change from one bit flip was nearly identical it feels safe assuming its a bit flip of some kind. But i wont say it as a fact since there is no such thing as 100%.
@lashedvenom
@lashedvenom Місяць тому
6:20 honestly as a person who loves science the cosmic bit flip theory sounds perfectly plausible. Doesn’t matter if it visually looked jolting if all that was needed was a single binary digit to be flipped. Do yk how many times scientists called discoveries outlandish and discarded legitimate results? Happens a lot more then you’d think and putting it aside due to chance isn’t very scientific.
@lashedvenom
@lashedvenom Місяць тому
Lmao so many other people are in the same boat
@macethorns1168
@macethorns1168 Місяць тому
LOL Veritasium is very very thorough with their research. Mentioning that article doesn't mean they reached their conclusion from that article.
@theterribleclaw4285
@theterribleclaw4285 Місяць тому
I'll tell you what happened every copy of Mario 64 is personalized and this footage proves it.
@anttim8788
@anttim8788 Місяць тому
Every copy of your mom's onlyfans JOI video is personalized
@sciburger8000
@sciburger8000 Місяць тому
Question, we know ur joking but, I wonder how the “personalised” part would work, I bet if a game were to see all of your search history and then track down your personality using digital footprints it could possible change the the game to fit you? It sounds cool, could be done perhaps, I’ve seen that video about a guy who made a game that sees your search history so I don’t think it’s that far fetched
@anttim8788
@anttim8788 Місяць тому
@@sciburger8000 your mom onlyfans joi video is personalized
@RealPlasmat1c
@RealPlasmat1c Місяць тому
@@sciburger8000 LLL_Mantis? The one that imitates psychomatis' ability to read the memory card in a playstation but with the browser history. Would be pretty cool if a game could use that instead of telling you that you are in to random fetishes lol
@kurikuraconkuritas
@kurikuraconkuritas Місяць тому
I thought this was a solid proof it is not cosmic rays. I'm disapointed, it could still be cosmic rays, it is not ruled out
@MyScorpion42
@MyScorpion42 Місяць тому
hahahaha he had to change the thumbnail
@adrianshrubowich6144
@adrianshrubowich6144 Місяць тому
Exactly what I was thinking, he makes it sound like it's been for sure disproven but people still don't know what caused it. Went back and watched the Veritasium video and he does a great job at saying it's just a very likely scenario not a proven fact. The guy in this video act's like cosmic rays flipping bits is some outlandish thing but yet if he actually watched the Veritasium video he's criticizing he'd know it actually happens way more often than one would think, normally just not in such a visual way. I definitely agree that a lot of video game journalist do a very poor job at getting the facts right and it sucks, but calling this the biggest myth in speedrunning history when it's still a very plausible theory is just disingenuous.
@EddieNoon
@EddieNoon Місяць тому
The chances are very low, but it can't really be fully ruled out. It would be amazingly lucky for it to happen at that exact moment, but not impossible.
@blueberrimuffin6682
@blueberrimuffin6682 Місяць тому
What about the fact that by RECREATING the bit flip it didn't match? That's pretty solid evidence.
@EddieNoon
@EddieNoon Місяць тому
@@blueberrimuffin6682 Iirc, it was pretty damn close, no? And couldn't that be up to user error? Even for someone so experienced, I feel like it would be hard to replicate it perfectly. Unless there's some more tech I don't understand- I'll admit I'm not very in to this space.
@best591
@best591 28 днів тому
Funfact: Bitflips occur way more often (caused by various reasons) than you think and most of the time have absolutely 0 effect on whatever you're doing. But there is a reason for ECC Memory in the professional world, where 1 second of downtime is the equivalent to your yearly salary (or more)
@COsArchive
@COsArchive Місяць тому
20 minutes of just “STOP HAVING FUN”
@thomasgebert6119
@thomasgebert6119 Місяць тому
I have no idea why the SM64 glitch happened (the cache thing makes sense to me), but I don't know who told you that cosmic rays flipping memory bits is "rare". High performance servers, the main reason you pay extra money for error correcting RAM is in no small part because cosmic ray bit flips aren't terribly uncommon, particular if you have a lot of RAM. I'm not saying they happen all the time, but they absolutely do happen, and if you have data that you want to protect you need to actually consider it. Data centers use error correcting RAM specifically for this . Now, obviously, the N64 *does not* have a ton of RAM, but considering how many millions of hours have been spent playing SM64 it feels like a cosmic ray bit flip at some point is inevitable, considering that the N64 doesn't have error correcting memory (I'm not even sure it had been invented yet!).
@GammaFn.
@GammaFn. Місяць тому
It hadn't been invented yet because bitflips weren't as common. Memory nowadays is built on a much smaller process node, where less current is needed to flip a bit. More efficient, also more susceptible to bitflips from cosmic rays or quantum tunneling. Even non-ECC memory has some error correction nowadays.
@silentspring222
@silentspring222 Місяць тому
This is wrong, parity in memory is as old as memory. IBM had commercially available ECC RAM in the 50s
@zzodysseuszz
@zzodysseuszz Місяць тому
I really don’t think you know what rare means if you think saying “they don’t happen all the time but they DO happen” somehow contradicts the claim that it’s rare. You’re basically saying “it’s not rare but essentially it’s rare”
@thomasgebert6119
@thomasgebert6119 Місяць тому
@@zzodysseuszz no, I am agreeing it is rare. I am claiming that given enough hours of playtime an unlikely event becomes basically inevitable. The video had the tone of “it’s rare so it didn’t happen”, and I am arguing that even if they are rare, there have been untold millions of hours playing Mario 64, on systems that don’t have error correcting memory, so it wouldn’t be *weird* if it did happen eventually. Law of large numbers and whatnot.
@thepicausno5561
@thepicausno5561 Місяць тому
@@zzodysseuszz The claim in the video is that it's practically impossible for a cosmic ray to flip the bits in an N64, despite the fact that it's a very well-known phenomena that happens plenty of times on other kinds of computers.
@PrairieWindSun
@PrairieWindSun Місяць тому
The repeated disregard for cosmic rays as a possible reason is unscientific, given how much they happen all the time. I suggest going to a lab that shows it in action, its actually quite fun, but on the more serious side, space agencies definitely have to account for it in their computers, where coding errors are accounted for and auto-repaired to insure failure is minimized as much as possible. The rarity that the rays specifically hitting computer bits is fine, given it's not just likely, its statistically guaranteed when enough people play it, especially for many hours, days, years.
@kopskey1
@kopskey1 Місяць тому
Hell, the existence of ECC RAM alone debunks half this guy's video
@TheGlitched64
@TheGlitched64 Місяць тому
Why do we do any science or testing when we can just run a blender next to a Nintendo and poke it with a stick asking it to do something like this.
@Redman8086
@Redman8086 13 днів тому
I'm not very far into this video but just wanted to mention that cosmic rays flipping bits in RAM is not an "out there" concept. Server-grade RAM is literally designed to combat this for data integrity.
@seinfan9
@seinfan9 13 днів тому
Cosmic rays being the cause of this is probably what is being questioned. To your point though, there is also something called "functional safety" in ISO and IEC standards. There are dictations to the way code must be written that assumes a bit could randomly be toggled. An example is that there cannot be any "hanging" or dormant code in which it has the potential of being executed even though it would never execute in any expected scenario. Even if that piece of code is commented out, it cannot be present at all if it doesn't belong there.
@fernandooliva4790
@fernandooliva4790 Місяць тому
I literally stopped watching the video to see how more than 90% of the comments against argued in a polite and plausible way, I have rarely seen this, epic
@noodlegirl8180
@noodlegirl8180 Місяць тому
nah fr everyones pretty chill with disagreeing with the video and the like
@martymcfly88mph35
@martymcfly88mph35 Місяць тому
I dislike it
@azzor4134
@azzor4134 Місяць тому
They may be respectful but some are delusional, (unintentionally) making it easier to argue against it by twisting his words (strawman).
@skirkley268
@skirkley268 Місяць тому
Fringe nerd shit like this will sometimes bring out the worst... but occasionally the intertwining of two different technical fields that rarely interact (speed running and TAS experts meet survivability and electrical engineering professionals in a friendly debate on the the existence of funny mustache man breaking the laws of game physics because of a stray ionic particle exacting ultimate justice.
@lFunGuyl
@lFunGuyl 7 днів тому
I'll gladly change that😅 I'm annoyed because this whole video is speculation arguing against other speculation😅
@Rokk_
@Rokk_ Місяць тому
I will weigh in and say that it's extremely unlikely for a faulty cartridge read/cartridge tilt to cause an up-warp. There's a reason those glitches in games are often limited to animations, models and sounds/music freaking out. Cartridge tilting tends to not affect things that are always loaded in memory, such as the game's code and its associated memory. It would be very unlikely for that to be the cause of an upward warp. That's an effect you would only see if you used a ROM corruptor for amusement. I wouldn't dismiss the bit flip theory entirely, for that reason. The only other viable option at that point is some sort of undiscovered bug/quirk in the game's physics. I'm not saying the bit flip is necessarily caused by a cosmic ray, but it's exceedingly plausible that a bit was flipped to make that happen.
@Mizu2023
@Mizu2023 Місяць тому
DOTA_Teabag made a YT video(a YT short for some reason?) showing the game crashing with Mario doing the classic corrupted animation with corrupted music. So it seems like hardware issues is(or are?) the culprit.
@Profkol0rado
@Profkol0rado Місяць тому
9:57
@jakob_ch
@jakob_ch Місяць тому
Yeah I don't see how tilting the cartridge would affect the mario position variables stored on the N64 ram. I mean I guess hypothetically it could read a faulty instruction of the cartridge that would do that, but that's VERY unlikely.
@Spaztron64
@Spaztron64 Місяць тому
@@jakob_ch Except it doesn't. Logic on N64 cannot be executed directly from ROM, it must be loaded into RAM first, and if you don't set up certain memory segments correctly, only the first megabyte of RAM can ever be used for executable code. Additional logic is never loaded in the middle of a level, only during transitions.
@himalayo
@himalayo Місяць тому
The actual impossible hypothesis is that it was a cartridge tilt. Mario's height is stored in RAM, not ROM, and is only modified by code that was already loaded at that point.
@vsaucerinokripperino7223
@vsaucerinokripperino7223 Місяць тому
It seems clear that the cause was a bit flip, the replication looks close to perfect. No better theory at the moment. The chances it wasn't a bit flip and happened to manipulate the height almost perfectly to the point where it was a bit flip, is rather dubious. The cause of the bit flip is more debatable, and yes, probably not cosmic rays, but can't be proven that it wasn't. However it has a decently likely probability, and thats because the other theories don't really hold up too well, here is why: - Malfunctioning memory cache - Possible, but would have seen other glitches through more play which I assume DOTA_Teabag continued to use and stream with, additionally original console was bought and tested, with no notable issues. - Electromagnetic interference mentioned by editor - THIS COULD BE THE COSMIC RAYS!!! EMI is defined as interference to an electrical circuit by an external cause, sure it could have been something else, but it is any external source! Unless he lived next to a radio tower, or happened to buy some dodgy fridge. - Power surges aren't a cause of EMI, it simply doesn't work like that. Devices emit EMI, they don't emit more if something surges, instead devices break and turn off, Some devices could emit more with more power, but you're talking industrial level devices, which is why I mentioned radio tower, above, or a constant source like a poorly built fridge. The conditions fit the cosmic ray theory is the issue. No obvious broken devices nearby, no pattern of repeated issues (unlike Dupdome), console was inspected and without issue in general, assume that someone asked him if he lives near a power station or radio tower, so what's left.
@moonrunes1546
@moonrunes1546 Місяць тому
“Bad game journalism” implies that there is good game journalism. Basically an oxymoron.
@PressA2Die
@PressA2Die Місяць тому
Luigi: Oh hey! You are back early Mario: Clock's haunted... Luigi: What? *Mario loads a gun and climbs back into the clock* Mario: Clock's haunted...
@2006man
@2006man Місяць тому
That's what the Mario 64 shotgun mod is for. XD
@andreasjoannai6441
@andreasjoannai6441 Місяць тому
Is this supposed to be a B3313 reference?
@PressA2Die
@PressA2Die Місяць тому
@@andreasjoannai6441moon's haunted
@valseedian
@valseedian Місяць тому
6:00 it's not nearly as rare as you think. just, most systems are memory managed and almost 0 bits of your memory are system critical so you don't ever notice. I've actually tested this with older ssds and have a few examples of where a single bit of a bios rom chip got flipped and disabled a whole computer. lucky for dual bios and flash back.
@angrymurloc7626
@angrymurloc7626 Місяць тому
this is the biggest fault with the video imo. the experts that are cited are always speedrunners or tas engineers, never a person who is actually an expert on gaming hardware or storage or physics. if a bit flip seems plausible, then why not leave the video at "this is still unsolved" instead of "cosmic rays are impossible to have caused this"
@grunkleg.3110
@grunkleg.3110 Місяць тому
​@@angrymurloc7626Thing is, based on the other TTC anomalies experienced by a different person, cosmic rays being the cause gets less and less likely, bordering on being impossible
@Llnstead
@Llnstead Місяць тому
@@grunkleg.3110 Dupdome had faulty hardware which is why he not only had multiple bitflips occurring one after another, but they were all reproducible by himself in the same play session. Dota_teabag on the other hand could never reproduce this and neither could the person who bought and inspected his hardware. So that actually increases the odds that this was a bitflip caused by something non-reproducible, which means it could have been a cosmic ray. It could have electromagnetic too. No one knows, but to say "it simply isn't true" like this video creator said seems really short sighted even if you are annoyed at misinfo being spread. I also don't like how he says "pannenkoek's tas doesn't line up completely, meaning the bitflip theory might be wrong" but the tas didn't even line up correctly when Mario was on the ground, he was several frames off the entire time.
@LuciusC
@LuciusC Місяць тому
@@angrymurloc7626 He stated it was possible multiple times throughout the video, he was just rejecting the games journo myth that it was conclusively proven by a guy who's name they couldn't even get right since they're all too busy chasing clicks to worry about making sure they're not just repeating the same falsehoods.
@valseedian
@valseedian Місяць тому
I didn't really mention that when I was pulling bios off of boards to check them against clean bois install, I regularly found dozens of flips per year running. most of them were inconsequential but I'd be willing to bet the 20yr old problem of hardware just not working one day is somehow related. a large portion of your bios is just channel controllers for hardware.
@infernia4336
@infernia4336 Місяць тому
18:38 the idea that a sun fart affected a speedrun is still funny, sorry fun police 🤓🤓
@pokke93
@pokke93 12 днів тому
Bit flips caused by gamma rays happen much more often than you would think. The term "cosmic ray" used in English is offputting and makes it sound outlandishly unlikely. "Background radiation" is more accurate as it originates from space, earth, radioactive decay or any other thing producing exotic particles. Try turning on a geiger counter at home and see for yourself. Just because something sounds unbelievable to you doesn't mean it didn't happen.
@asparagusoffice
@asparagusoffice Місяць тому
ok so why is the ionizing particle theory a myth though I was expecting some level of evidence to be weighed against it, but instead it's just touted as ridiculous, seemingly on principle?
@slynt_
@slynt_ Місяць тому
I think the myth is that it was ever proven to have happened. It's still a possible explanation, but there's no hard evidence that (1) the glitch happened because of a bit flip or (2) that said bit flip was caused by an ionising particle. However, I personally think that the bit flip, since it is the only reproducible method to quite accurately achieve the same result, is the best existing theory. However, I know a decent amount about computer science, but next to nothing about particle physics, so I have no idea how likely it is that a bit flip would be caused by a cosmic ray.
@byeguyssry
@byeguyssry Місяць тому
​@slynt_ The funny thing is that no one really knows how likely it is. Single Event Upsets are likely underreported, and even when they happen, you're never gonna be able to get evidence that it was via cosmic rays. Additionally, nowadays, there is typically redundancy to ensure Single Event Upsets do not affect anything, so we might not know when they do happen
@slynt_
@slynt_ Місяць тому
@@byeguyssry It would be interesting to see scientific research into the probability of Single Event Upsets and to what extent different variables affect that probability. Maybe there is research on that, but probably not since it's a pretty niche thing to be interested in and like you say, it isn't really a practical problem because of redundancies we've developed.
@thelelanatorlol3978
@thelelanatorlol3978 Місяць тому
@@slynt_ If you do know a decent amount about computer science, you should know that modern electronics are specifically designed to error correct for cosmic rays flipping bits in things like memory. AFAIK the nintendo 64 does not have any of this error correction, if a bit is flipped than the console just rolls with it.
@thelelanatorlol3978
@thelelanatorlol3978 Місяць тому
Of course, the vast majority of bitflips will not cause any visible effects at all so you'll be unlikely to see it happening.
@Zowayix93
@Zowayix93 Місяць тому
So it was definitely, absolutely, without a shadow of a doubt, 100% a cosmic-ray-induced bit flip. Got it.
@loafodisease614
@loafodisease614 Місяць тому
yeah honestly him being so aggressively against even the slightest possibility that a journalist might be right once that he denies the possibility altogether without even disproving it makes me just want to believe it more.
@justanotheryoutubechannel
@justanotheryoutubechannel Місяць тому
@@loafodisease614I know the feeling, but I think it’s very unlikely to be a cosmic Ray. LunaticJ really doesn’t do a good job of arguing his point, but the odds of one cosmic Ray striking an N64 and causing this particular glitch is already a very very low chance, and how that we’ve seen multiple TTC bit-flips, it seems incredibly unlikely to blame them all on cosmic rays. And if we find there’s an alternative cause for some of the bit-flips, it’s much more likely that it’s a similar cause for the original TTC upwarp. Technically it is possible that some of the bit-flips were caused by cosmic Rays still, but it becomes a lot more unlikely. I think the real takeaway from this is not to trust badly research journalist articles that contradict their sources, and not to latch onto one theory that doesn’t really have any evidence. But it’s also just as bad to ignore unlikely theories in favour of explanations that can be disproven, or don’t satisfactorily answer the question, like a bad cartridge read.
@loafodisease614
@loafodisease614 Місяць тому
@@justanotheryoutubechannelwell i was making the implication that the result of the video is harmful, since his wild assertions are the exact same misinformation he claims to be challenging in the beginning of the video. The point is his certainty in said assertions is fueled by spite for gaming journalist sensationalism, not any actual observable proof that there is no possibility.
@chillmadude
@chillmadude Місяць тому
wtf, did literally any of us watch the same video?
@Mordecai02
@Mordecai02 Місяць тому
​@@chillmadude There's an obvious joke I could make here, but... just use your imagination
@GT2OOO
@GT2OOO Місяць тому
4:55 - Obviously the videos don't match perfectly. It's a movement/input recreation, obviously it's a little bit different here and there. It's different since before the glitch happens, it will also be slightly different while and after the glitch happens. Unless you have the TAS for the original button presses, I don't think you could ever recreate it 1:1. It still is EXTREMELY CLOSE to the original video. So the bit change still looks like the most probable cause of this.
@BenjaminSWolf
@BenjaminSWolf Місяць тому
It's not discussed in the video, but memory corruption is usually a more prevalent cause of errors than cosmic ray bitflips. Typically you'd have a wrong address stored in memory (e.g. memory already freed reallocated to another variable) and then one part of code would modify the memory at that address, causing strange behavior observed by the actual owner of the memory location. So it could easily have been a second-order effect by hardware corrupting a pointer that then subtracted one in the wrong place. Partially in the case where a lot of errors happened in a short timeframe.
@gibbeldon
@gibbeldon Місяць тому
1. A bitflip seems to be the most plausible explanation to the upwarp considering how well it matches the movement of mario. 2. There was no better explanation given in the video. Just speculation about faulty hardware with no technical details as to how they could have caused a bitflip. Also all the examples mentioned about funny things happening in Mario 64, that cannot be explained by a bitflip are completely pointless. We all have experienced one glitch or another even casually. We know gaming systems aren't perfectly designed. 3. As for the reason the bit flipped: I don't know. Since there were similar discoveries on Tick Tock Clock, maybe the answer lies within this level. However I want to point out, that cosmic radiation is not as far fetched a theory as it is made to believe here. Especially if you assume this being the only instance in recorded Mario 64 history where the only good explanation was a bitflip. Since it could happen at any moment in time, even if it is highly unlikely, after collectively pouring enough hours in, someone somewhere in the world would experience a bitflip with visual effect sooner or later. There could be happening many we wouldn't notice until finally one did. Simply put: how likely is it to never ever happen to anyone recording Mario 64? Should we be dismissive when it eventually does?
@TheKingOfApples100
@TheKingOfApples100 Місяць тому
does comic rays explain why bit errors only recorded in tick tock clock so far 4 fucking times instead of the other like 23 other stages and openworld that are likely played much more. Sounds to me like it's not fucking cosmic rays flipping bits it's just tick tock clock.
@papascronch
@papascronch Місяць тому
​​​@@TheKingOfApples100 bro I've seen you comment this exact comment on like four people's replies. Are you okay? Like don't get me wrong I kind of agree with you to a degree but that is a really aggressive copy paste on such an unimportant topic.
@chadsomemalowsome
@chadsomemalowsome Місяць тому
​@@TheKingOfApples100signs of mental disability:
@TheKingOfApples100
@TheKingOfApples100 Місяць тому
@@papascronch so people responding to see it if you don't reply to the person's comment they have no reason to click on the video again this way they see it if they have notifications
@MarcinJXXXX
@MarcinJXXXX Місяць тому
@@TheKingOfApples100the comment you've responded to doesn't mention cosmic rays, just that it could have been a bit flip, which could happen due to reasons other than cosmic rays
@Llnstead
@Llnstead Місяць тому
I'm 14 minutes in and all the testing and evidence seems to make it more plausible that it was a bitflip caused by some invisible unknown (whether it be electromagnetic or cosmic ray related who knows), so I don't know why this video seems to think it's so insanely impossible. We've inspected the hardware, we've determined that cart slaps/tilts don't cause upwarps, we know dota teabag didn't hit his console when this happened and there wasn't an earthquake that could have shaken it either, the bitflip is the closest thing we can get to the upwarp, and dupdome's malfunctioning cart has many bitflips occurring and reproducible effects while Dota and the guy who tested his cart/console have never once been able to reproduce the upwarp. So that all just leads me to believe it was a 1 in a billion chance bitflip.
@asparagusoffice
@asparagusoffice Місяць тому
I was expecting some kind of counter theory to be here, like the idea that the glitch was found to be reproducible through hardware faults, or that a bit flip is too unlikely thanks to other factors in its execution, like precise timing. instead it's just a lot of hand waving one speculation as totally unhinged, while also hand waving another speculation as ironclad. like where's the evidence lol
@John_Gillman
@John_Gillman Місяць тому
3:47 i love how one comment said: "get dream on this, he has a lot of cosmic radiation in his house"
@Loboplex
@Loboplex 27 днів тому
Spends entire video showing how cosmic radiation is still the best explanation, then gets mad at journalists for reporting it correctly.
@EvolvingFetus
@EvolvingFetus Місяць тому
Dies in CCM, gets mad, slaps his N64, then goes to re-enter CCM but ends up in BBH instead. He gets what he asked for; a different level.
@superbeta1716
@superbeta1716 Місяць тому
"Fuck this level man *hits console* Here ya go bud, a better level
@Mordecai02
@Mordecai02 Місяць тому
Every-
@jordanledoux197
@jordanledoux197 Місяць тому
I really, really wish you hadn't gone out and tried to say that SEU's caused by cosmic rays are an "out there" theory. It's in fact a very well studied, understood, and engineered against phenomenon. Whether or not THIS specific event was one of these is another matter, as they are much more rare down at the earth's surface, but you didn't need to go out and say something that you either didn't understand, or that you intended to mislead your audience with.
@thelelanatorlol3978
@thelelanatorlol3978 Місяць тому
For real though, so many people in the comments think cosmic rays are something magical. do they ever wonder where the classic static pattern from, say, misaligned antennas on old TV's come from? It doesn't just exist or is programmed into the TV's, it's the antenna picking up random noise from the environment and a not insignificant amount of that noise comes from... cosmic rays.
@jacksonfortune4570
@jacksonfortune4570 Місяць тому
@@thelelanatorlol3978 indeed. even a measurable amount of that static is the Cosmic Microwave Background radiation.
@hypstersaurus6828
@hypstersaurus6828 Місяць тому
yeah except that... bit flips caused by cosmic rays at ground level are extremely rare. The less atmosphere there is, the more likely that a photon will interact with a bit. it has happened for planes and for space hardware, but it's still a pretty "out there theory" that this is specifically the reason it happened and not just a hardware malfunction. yes the phenomena is well understood, and that's exactly why it's still valid to question the likelihood of this being the cause of the glitch.
@jordanledoux197
@jordanledoux197 Місяць тому
@@hypstersaurus6828 My issue is not with the argument that it caused this specific glitch. Even if it's caused by a SEU, it's more likely to be things like LOCAL radiation sources or hardware defects etc. My issue is that the entire tone/idea behind this video seems to be trying to debunk the idea that they happen AT ALL which is a ludicrously ignorant position to take. And judging by the comments here, exactly what made me angry has happened: the careless, lazy, ignorant, and/or stupid way this video was written has misinformed many people about the subject, and they have walked away thinking that SEU's caused by cosmic rays are akin to big foot. The video did that because it's easier to make the argument that way, which is lazy and annoying.
@Lunam_D._Roger
@Lunam_D._Roger Місяць тому
​@@jordanledoux197Yeah, it's extremely ironic for a video that claims from the onset to be an attempt at fighting misinformation.
@puredruid
@puredruid Місяць тому
8:53 - Lmao, that cart slap was personal. He hurt the N64's feelings and it decided to warp him to the spooky level as retaliation.
@29brix62
@29brix62 Місяць тому
Given that his cartridge caused a lot of other reoccurring strange events it’s safe to say that the upwarp was not caused by a cosmic ray. However since pannenkoeks video proved that a single bit flip could cause such an upwarp it kinda proves that cosmic rays could cause glitches like this one. Maybe future SM64 speedrun strats revolve around playing the game on top of mount everest to expose the console to more radiation and just hope to bit flip into the credits.
@coreblaster6809
@coreblaster6809 Місяць тому
Yeah cosmic rays flipping bits like this is not statistically likely, especially when other explanations are available, but just because it is not a proven fact, and just because it originally came from a place of literally just guessing and presenting it as fact, doesn't mean it's an impossibility
@Controllerhead
@Controllerhead Місяць тому
Ok, SRL speedboomer here, the cosmic ray theory was around way before the 2020 clickbait article, i remember hearing about it when it happened in 2013. Furthermore, it was a common rumor back in the 80s and 90s back when computer hardware wasn't nearly as robust as it is today. The rumor goes (yes a rumor) that people would purchase RAM upgrades for their PCs, and when this RAM turned out to be faulty, people would angrily call the manufacturing companies of said RAM looking for answers. Instead of admitting that they sold faulty RAM to the customer, they would blame crazy things like cosmic rays for flipping bits. So yes, this Cosmic Ray Meme has been in computing for at least 40 years lol.
@TemmiePlays
@TemmiePlays Місяць тому
bc of solar flares during the time period which absolutely fried a bunch of computers and lead to an article about something people couldn't verify on their own
@lestermoe
@lestermoe Місяць тому
Wow
@justsomejojo
@justsomejojo Місяць тому
This was a fascinating watch. I've had a handful of weird one-time things (mostly random wrongwarps in gameboy games) happen over the years, but I never even thought of them as more than weird quirks in old games. That said, I think myths like that are fun. Gives speedrunning another dimension to view them from.
@daviddavidson7851
@daviddavidson7851 14 днів тому
Its actually not that uncommon for bit flips to happen in computer science. It's actually something hackers and server administrators deal with pretty regularly and it can be used to exploit certain cryptographically encrypted software.
@RentedRedux
@RentedRedux Місяць тому
Honestly it's really disappointing that you've included disinformation of your own in your criticism of disinformation about this. You have, and present, excellent evidence that the upwarp has far more likely explanations, but you also include complete garbage. Bafflingly, at 10:21 you somehow claim there's no confirmation that any bits were flipped at all, as if Mario's position didn't change or his position isn't a bit value, as if the game runs on magic instead of bit operations. Literally within your own video, at 12:37, alongside compelling examples of same-game same-stage same-type positional glitches repeatedly occurring, you show a comment discussing how cartridge tilt causing this type of glitch is "bunk". This is shortly after you spent about 4 minutes claiming cartridge tilt could be the cause. You appear to lump every type glitch together as if they're all the same thing, bizarrely treating cartridge-read errors as if they're the same as positional data being corrupted in real-time.
@drednaught608
@drednaught608 Місяць тому
The bit being that value is the same thing as Mario being in that position, so for the video to say the bit didn't flip is to say that Mario is not at the top floor when we see him there. The console can flip bits too, but the implication of his statement would suggest that the bits don't change and the game runs without memory management.
@wheedler
@wheedler Місяць тому
@@drednaught608 I thought the implication was that bit flips sometimes happen outside of the game's programming, not that no bits flip ever.
@JRexRegis
@JRexRegis 22 дні тому
This! A cartridge read error would occur as the level is loaded into the console's memory upon level start, not randomly during the level. Mario's position isn't determined based on cartridge data, because that would be insane. What happens is that the console copies the level data from the cartridge into its internal memory, which is then used to compute Mario's position in the game world, which is then used to control everything from the renderer to enemy AI algorithms and other such mechanics.
@Incidius
@Incidius Місяць тому
I came to this video expecting to be shown why the cosmic ray theory is false but now I believe it much more strongly lol
@AldinRamic
@AldinRamic 8 днів тому
May I ask why?
@420quickscoper5
@420quickscoper5 8 днів тому
@@AldinRamic cos its cool
@AldinRamic
@AldinRamic 8 днів тому
@@420quickscoper5 ok
@kuhluhOG
@kuhluhOG Місяць тому
6:22 Outlandish maybe, but it happened once in a very obvious way in a British voting machine. It was obvious as in "that least likely candidate has more votes than the entire area has people and if we flip that one bit of its count we get to something we would expect".
@DarkKen87
@DarkKen87 Місяць тому
Cosmic rays are a well established part of video game history. Maybe their effects are less prevalent due to the shear volume of bits contained in newer games, but older gamers are familiar with them. I recall an Atari racing game that was quite susceptible to these rays.
@videogamingfreak13
@videogamingfreak13 Місяць тому
The best part about the TheGamer article is that the upwarp didn't even save him time, it did the exact opposite.
@bexiexz
@bexiexz Місяць тому
the complete opposite
@DarkPortall
@DarkPortall Місяць тому
This video really frustrates me. It keeps saying that cosmic rays are bad and implausible because of [some reason] (probably because it's fancy physics), so some mysterious other error has to be causing it. while i myself think that it's more likely that it's just faulty hardware flipping a bit for some electricity reason (N64s are old), it's just not rigorous or well explained at all. there's not even a single number on how rare cosmic rays altering bits on earth is, how often N64s fail, etc., there's nothing. it's just a cycle of "here's something kinda similar that happened that dosen't look like a bit flip" into "experts think it's dumb" repeat.
@xeddiustripp6398
@xeddiustripp6398 10 днів тому
I absolutely believe that it could be a bitflip, especially if he lives at a higher altitude. There is a reason planes have redundant computer systems with error correcting memory, because bit flips actually have happened and nearly caused the death of passengers on a plane. I've experienced two Single Event Upsets in my entire life on two devices. It's absolutely possible. However it doesn't even have to be a "Cosmic ray" dude could have radon in his house and not even know it.
@8CanadianBacon9
@8CanadianBacon9 Місяць тому
Great video! I appreciate you tracking how the info spread as well. Thanks for doing good research.
@Neehize
@Neehize Місяць тому
The bit flip from C5 to C4 actually looks quite convincing. The footage not matching 100% could be caused by a mismatch of input or velocity (only mario's position would have been tampered). However there can be several causes for a bit flip. I like the general spirit of the video, reminding everyone that we have never been able to tell for sure that it was a bit flip and that it was caused by a cosmic ray. However I think it goes a bit too far in the opposite direction as well. Cosmic rays are very real, even on Earth. In fact, that's one of the reasons why we use Error Correction memory sticks (ECC) on servers.
@superbeta1716
@superbeta1716 Місяць тому
The way he talks about cosmic rays is like that of a person that doesn't belive the earth is round and that there are other planets in space, he is just neglecting the existence of something very real and pretty "common", I feel like he just reads "cosmic rays" and thinks it's some weird sci fi shit
@chrisgaming9567
@chrisgaming9567 Місяць тому
@@superbeta1716 It kind of reminds me of this low-quality youtube channel about an ichthyologist (fish biologist) whose entire pitch is basically "if there's something cool that lives in the water, it doesn't exist"
@TheKhopesh
@TheKhopesh Місяць тому
The marginal difference between the C5 to C4 bitflip and the speedrun event in question could easily just be caused by the faulty cartridge. So say a cosmic ray DID hit this man's unique, janky, half-tilted game... the C5 bit flips to C4, and we see slightly different results because of slew of other possible unique oddities/issues going on within that decades-old faulty hardware. Whether or not the bit was flipped by a CR or some other event is fairly irrelevant, but at the end of the day Cosmic Rays are the only easily-accounted for phenomenon. You KNOW the earth is constantly being bombarded by cosmic rays, so you KNOW they were present and while unlikely to strike at that exact moment, they very well could have been the culprit despite the statistical odds. Meanwhile, everything else is purely speculation. DID his faulty N64 have a fault that would cause the event without some outside interference like CRs? We don't know. Was it simply have been some electrostatic discharge from nearby construction? We have no evidence for that specific scenario. Was it a simple power spike or electrical anomaly in the home or device? Again, we have ZERO conclusive evidence to suggest that was a factor. But do we have absolute proof that cosmic rays were being blasted at that area of the Earth at that time? Yes. Because the same is true for literally every square millimeter of Earth's surface at all times! So while it's not likely, we DO have solid evidence that it's a DISTINCT possibility. And as such, it can't be ruled out.
@Neehize
@Neehize Місяць тому
@@TheKhopesh Another interesting piece of information related to this is a 1996 scientific paper called "Single event upset at ground level" that states that (quoted from Wikipedia): "Electrical or magnetic interference inside a computer system can cause a single bit of dynamic random-access memory (DRAM) to spontaneously flip to the opposite state. It was initially thought that this was mainly due to alpha particles emitted by contaminants in chip packaging material, but research has shown that the majority of one-off soft errors in DRAM chips occur as a result of background radiation, chiefly neutrons from cosmic ray secondaries, which may change the contents of one or more memory cells or interfere with the circuitry used to read or write to them."
@Argumentium
@Argumentium Місяць тому
In fact, pannenkoek himself brings up three reasons why the footage may not perfectly match up, which are stream lag, n64 lag, and choppy footage.
@KernalGohd
@KernalGohd Місяць тому
Now that I am informed, I will now intentionally meme about incorrect information.
@amtree6333
@amtree6333 Місяць тому
Ikr? I love this meme, the thought of cosmic radiation affecting sm64 is so silly and wacky, kinda ruins the fun to be like, "um, actually..." ☝️🤓 Just enjoy the fun, no one give a shit if it's factual
@Epinardscaramel
@Epinardscaramel 29 днів тому
Great video, I need that additional context 😀 The clip recreating a bitflip does look almost identical (to me at least) to the original event
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