Inside Russia's Looming Demographics Crisis

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William Spaniel

William Spaniel

День тому

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By the Kremlin's own assessment, Russia faces a looming demographics crisis. Reverberations from World War II deaths and economic turbulence in the 1990s have left too many pensioners and too few young workers. This demographics problem have caused major protests in Russia before, and the domestic political conversation today still continues in its shadow. Some even speculate it is the root behind the invasion of Ukraine.
This video discusses the origins of the looming crisis, how the Kremlin has tried to mitigate the corresponding problems, and what issues still remain on the horizon.
0:00 Russia's Population Problem
4:16 Demographics and World War II
6:55 Fertility Rate and the Fall of the Soviet Union
9:03 Collapsing Demographics and Russia's Pension Plan
14:02 Demographics and the Invasion of Ukraine
18:15 How the War Will Cause Further Demographics Problems
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КОМЕНТАРІ: 2 300
@Gametheory101
@Gametheory101 Місяць тому
Sign up for a 14-day free trial and enjoy all the amazing features MyHeritage has to offer bit.ly/WilliamSpaniel
@GardenofEdens
@GardenofEdens Місяць тому
putin over shot with this war and you just gave the best analysis why. greatly done .
@TheBlackAndDeckerBootyWrecker
@TheBlackAndDeckerBootyWrecker Місяць тому
*POKING THE BEAR BE ALL LIKE* __👺NATO: "Nice 4$$ To Offer, Kremlin Gremlin..." -∫ \\___😫Russia: "Oi blyat! Nyet!!" _∫∫ _∫∫ \ \ *CLAP CLAP CLAP CLAP*
@spipo1903
@spipo1903 Місяць тому
but but western propaganda cant deny the fact that western population is maintened via migrants from southern sphere
@BuddyLee23
@BuddyLee23 Місяць тому
Triple 5s subs (at the time of this comment). Well done Prof.
@gmf8171
@gmf8171 Місяць тому
The CIA and other western intelligence services have been working very hard since 1992 to influence Russians to have abortions, drink lots of alcohol and take lots of drugs. Putin is the one who stood in their way and made huge successes in turning that around. I've been telling people this for over 15 years, it's very obvious that Putin is not the bad guy in this whole narrative.
@theinacircleoftheancientpu492
@theinacircleoftheancientpu492 Місяць тому
War definitely doesn't help promote healthy demographics.
@Prometheukles
@Prometheukles Місяць тому
Boomers?
@kalinmir
@kalinmir Місяць тому
It does...major conflicts are followed by population booms 30 years war is a prime example with some regions experienced up to 50% decline but the levels were up to pre war in 3 generations
@Senthiuz
@Senthiuz Місяць тому
​​@Prometheukles more 1920's France, génération perdue.
@sumalik8723
@sumalik8723 Місяць тому
😅
@arturobianco848
@arturobianco848 Місяць тому
@@kalinmir Only if they are won and it doesn't help if you loose more people then you get out of the boom.
@MG.Fishing
@MG.Fishing Місяць тому
Yeah. I'm Russian, 26 and happily married. No way I'm having kids here anytime soon if ever at all and that's totally not because we don't want kids entirely. This country has turned to such a sh*thole that the only things I can manage here is earn enough to sustain some sort of a life and keep myself from going completely insane. I don't really have enough mental energy to achieve anything more here.
@TheSteinbitt
@TheSteinbitt Місяць тому
Come to Europe:)
@genusbit4172
@genusbit4172 Місяць тому
Leave for better pastures. There are many
@Robert-iu4bx
@Robert-iu4bx Місяць тому
Come to Central Europe, there are many Russians here. Even though it might sound unfriendly and yes - there is bias towards loud, obnoxious and agressive Russians, there are much more that just learned the language and live their normal live here. In company I work we have both Ukrainians and Russians - and they get along pretty fine - despite of what you might think. Normal people trying to live normal lives.
@patricksweeney5308
@patricksweeney5308 Місяць тому
Russia's fertility rate, at 1.82, whilst well below replacement level, is the highest in Europe and higher than America. Keeping in mind the much higher fertility rates among immigrants of Muslim/African origin, if one were to look only at the fertility rates of the indigenous populations, Russia's rate is considerably higher. Of course, the near collapse of fertility in Russia during the 1990s means that there are relatively fewer women in the child-bearing cohort currently, so the raw number of births is low.
@dawgwiddaglasses
@dawgwiddaglasses Місяць тому
You’re always welcome here in the United States. (:
@Redaft
@Redaft Місяць тому
I am from Russia, and its true. After war begun in 2022 i saw a rapid decline in "wanting to have a baby" among friends and relatives. It wasnt instant, but it gets worse every day.
@centurionoomae1543
@centurionoomae1543 Місяць тому
Sure thing rabbi.
@user-si2dr1pn3p
@user-si2dr1pn3p Місяць тому
I'm from Russia. And I see that there are a lot of people giving birth to children around.
@Redaft
@Redaft Місяць тому
@@user-si2dr1pn3p дураки всегда найдутся, которые ни политикой не интересуются, ни экономикой, пущай рожают. Знаю я таких рсп и детдомовцев
@dmitryletov8138
@dmitryletov8138 Місяць тому
You're delusional, you think anywhere in the West situation is different???
@augustuslunasol10thapostle
@augustuslunasol10thapostle Місяць тому
@@user-si2dr1pn3p it depends really ruski
@Sitzenleben
@Sitzenleben Місяць тому
The problem of alcoholism does not help.
@annnee6818
@annnee6818 Місяць тому
​@f-86zoomer37 the point is that alcoholism in Russia is way more rampant than the - admittedly awful - opiod epidemic. And it might help to put pressure on republicans to pass the border bill rather than hold it hostage for Dump?
@u2beuser714
@u2beuser714 Місяць тому
WHO reports that in terms of alcohol consumption russia isnt higher than those of U.K or Belarus for example so this trope really isnt grounded in reality. And the most consumed alc beverage is beer in russia , ironically.
@bulletflight
@bulletflight Місяць тому
@@f-86zoomer37Good vatnik, but alcoholism is more prevalent than opiods/fentanyl. Good vatnik though, try to avoid getting mobik meat-cubed.
@f-86zoomer37
@f-86zoomer37 Місяць тому
@@bulletflight lol “vatnik.” Get something new
@vitaminc6721
@vitaminc6721 Місяць тому
I thought the commnt might get a lot of likes but ignored it because it was a lie and had come from the bot. Now i wsh i had said something. Here it goes. Stop lying!
@peterroe2993
@peterroe2993 Місяць тому
Maybe starting a pointless war didn't help as much as he thought it would.
@denisdenisov4036
@denisdenisov4036 Місяць тому
Russia population increased by like 5m with new regions lol
@Theveganshift77
@Theveganshift77 Місяць тому
@@denisdenisov4036 mostly older people. the young fled or have been sent to their deaths in the frontlines. Putin is anything but smart.
@dylanvogler2165
@dylanvogler2165 Місяць тому
​@@denisdenisov4036old people yeah. So thanks, Russian state can pay their pensions now 🤡. The young people moved to the rest of Ukraine.
@Sharp931
@Sharp931 Місяць тому
​@denisdenisov4036 The video is about demographics, and something tells me that the annexed Ukrainian population will not fix Russia's issues.
@u2beuser714
@u2beuser714 Місяць тому
​@@denisdenisov4036 5m is made-up number BUT russia can mitigate the disaster by the influx of central asian migrants into russia
@jewittm
@jewittm Місяць тому
“Without an obvious solution” not fighting large land wars and stealing most of the country’s wealth might be a start
@An_Ian
@An_Ian Місяць тому
Obvious to Russian leaders not us...
@julianbrelsford
@julianbrelsford Місяць тому
Easy to say for someone who doesn't work in government in Moscow, but is it politically feasible? :-)
@DOSFS
@DOSFS Місяць тому
@@julianbrelsford If Russia made its own problem than solve it or faced its consequence.
@mattmannlvca
@mattmannlvca Місяць тому
@@DOSFSthe “Russian” problem is that Muscovites spread like locusts
@aus3492
@aus3492 Місяць тому
If things had gon to plan for Russia it's population would have increased by 40ish million.
@carltontweedle5724
@carltontweedle5724 Місяць тому
All those young men that will never be a father really helps not.
@Legitpenguins99
@Legitpenguins99 Місяць тому
Eh, 1 man can impregnate a lot of women, theoretically
@A-Clear_View
@A-Clear_View Місяць тому
deos not help but yaa pretty much sorry maybe
@mattmannlvca
@mattmannlvca Місяць тому
Those young men weren’t going to be doing anything anyway
@vesogry
@vesogry Місяць тому
Do you mean Ukrainians?
@Redaft
@Redaft Місяць тому
@@vesogry no, we are talking about russians
@3Dimencia
@3Dimencia Місяць тому
there's been cubans in cuba saying that the russian embassy is telling them they can migrate to russia with a working visa and when they arrive in moscow the get sent strait to the barracks and to the front trenches in ukraine
@jrsharp7714
@jrsharp7714 Місяць тому
This definitely propaganda bro 😂
@A-Clear_View
@A-Clear_View Місяць тому
oooof
@mikefallwell1301
@mikefallwell1301 Місяць тому
Yeah it's called Russian Roulette🎉
@Will-xk4nm
@Will-xk4nm Місяць тому
@@jrsharp7714Russia did the same to some Indians and there is a diplomatic spat between India and Russia over this. Russia is desperate.
@anonmouse15
@anonmouse15 Місяць тому
So, they technically weren't lying.
@dw7647
@dw7647 Місяць тому
Russia could’ve been Norway but with 150 million people and the largest land country with rich resources unfortunately like many other countries with thuggish dictators, Russia has been cursed with leadership like Putin
@mattmannlvca
@mattmannlvca Місяць тому
No it couldn’t its history was set when Moscow defeated Novgorod. Not even Pytor with his city built off the back of serfs could change “Russia”. What Putin and Bolsheviks before him discovered is that the Muscovite rule is based on centralization and without it the whole system would collapse and Muscovites would be sent back to Nihzy l-Novgorod and Volgograd
@SianaGearz
@SianaGearz Місяць тому
There's a number of countries with valuable resources but very few of them are Norway. Arguably just one. They call it the resource curse. Even very sane countries experienced it numerous times at a smaller scale, Netherlands etc. Your largest and most endless resource is people, and it pays to invest in that, since even a limited number of people can have their output grow effectively without bound. However when you find a resource in the ground that you only need to dig up to get rich while involving a small number of people, well it tends to pull all investment away from all other possible areas and towards that, and then things end up turning out worse for the people.
@user-df5ym9dv5g
@user-df5ym9dv5g Місяць тому
Things were so much better in the 90's before Putin, true.
@ButcherOfBeek
@ButcherOfBeek Місяць тому
@@user-df5ym9dv5g Well they were shitty back then. But people have to realise that Russia opening up to the world wasn't the problem. It only showecased all the internal problems Russia had while before everything was kept secret or numbers were disguised to look better. Working on a broken system for decades wasn't a good base to start a whole new functioning system.
@judileeming1589
@judileeming1589 19 днів тому
A lot of those resources are in areas where the permafrost is thawing at twice the rate than in the past. When the invasion of Ukraine began, certain power brokers in Moscow had already lobbied for control of different industries in any newly acquired territory. Russia is just a robber baron.
@unconventionalideas5683
@unconventionalideas5683 Місяць тому
One of the reasons there is this echo of the war is that the collapse of the Soviet Union collapsed right around the time that the echos of the old busts were becoming fainter, creating a new indentation in the population pyramid.
@sspectre8217
@sspectre8217 Місяць тому
Makes sense and doesn’t sound like a coincidence. Of course it was more likely to collapse during one of those echoes of instability and demographic decline
@meteorknight999
@meteorknight999 Місяць тому
Every soviet atate post collapse has demographics crisis even baltics central europe have ledd birthrate now than before
@boxsterman77
@boxsterman77 Місяць тому
How does the collapse of a political entity affect the pyramid? A country shrunk. It didn't cause deaths.
@Elkator955
@Elkator955 Місяць тому
@@boxsterman77A political collapse, and the following economic crisis and kleptocracy leads to skyrocketing poverty. Sky high poverty is bad for health. Low health means more dead and less childbirth. It is not rocket science.
@sspectre8217
@sspectre8217 Місяць тому
@@boxsterman77 it caused people to think that it wasn’t a good time to have children
@davidray6962
@davidray6962 Місяць тому
I keep hearing things about Kaliningrad - how the pre-existing independence movement became stronger lately, how a large portion of Russians opposed to war have moved there. Can you talk about how likely or unlikely the exclave leaving the Russia Federation is?
@RenegadeElite101
@RenegadeElite101 Місяць тому
It won’t. There’s literally no feasible way Russia lets it slide, simply out of strategic necessity. There’s also no way that any nation would want to incorporate that many Russians into its territory so even if it did it would be a city state.
@cadentrevino5746
@cadentrevino5746 Місяць тому
​@@RenegadeElite101I don't think a city state because I think it similar to kosovo or Montenegro
@dylanvogler2165
@dylanvogler2165 Місяць тому
​@RenegadeElite101 Kaliningrad Oblast is not just the city of Kaliningrad my man. So it wouldn't be a city state
@juliane__
@juliane__ Місяць тому
Me too. Do have recent figures on what percentages are pro/neutral/anti war?
@kdiigx
@kdiigx Місяць тому
They could declare independence but Russia will just crackdown on them. Unless it was accepted by Lithuania or Poland there’s no point. Poland or Lithuania won’t accept it due to the headache it would cause.
@josefk332
@josefk332 Місяць тому
Russia: Male retirement age: 65 Male life expectancy: 64
@tilapiadave3234
@tilapiadave3234 Місяць тому
Mega-litres of Vodka consumed ,,, 100
@allangibson8494
@allangibson8494 Місяць тому
64.21 years in 2022…
@stevemawer848
@stevemawer848 Місяць тому
It's always intrigued me why female retirement age is lower than male despite female life expectancy being greater. Not my kind of logic.
@Elongated_Muskrat
@Elongated_Muskrat Місяць тому
Countries have different ways to deal with their specific demographic crisis, Russia's solution seems to be "Blaze of Glory".
@Senthiuz
@Senthiuz Місяць тому
Russia is just hitting all of Bon Jovi's greatest hits: Blaze of Glory Wanted Dead or Alive Bad Medicine Living on a Prayer I'm just waiting for Russians to get Wild in the Streets.
@arturobianco848
@arturobianco848 Місяць тому
Nope russia's way seems to be lets steal all we can from the country and don't solve the problem. War of congquest is just stealing on a large scale. Nothing to do with Glory or a blaze just good old fashion kleptocracy. If they had managed their country wright people would be flocking to Russia to get a piece of the pie.
@printsignalsoma1248
@printsignalsoma1248 Місяць тому
And steal everything from the populace.
@KKTR3
@KKTR3 Місяць тому
It’s better than rubber boats- now , and wind rush then .
@EarthForces
@EarthForces Місяць тому
​@davidp3802 it is way worse tbh. Besides you only need a backbone to stop the dinghies and it does not involve war crimes and accelerating your demographic decline.
@AnimeSunglasses
@AnimeSunglasses Місяць тому
Last time I was this early, "Russia Stronk" was still a meme!
@dx-ek4vr
@dx-ek4vr Місяць тому
Gotta love the Lazerpig loop
@user-xp5id1kh4r
@user-xp5id1kh4r Місяць тому
wIDE pUTIN
@Sir_Godz
@Sir_Godz Місяць тому
russia is just experiencing their demographic fasting journey of charmic healing
@FYMASMD
@FYMASMD Місяць тому
No one cares if you are early.🙄
@Oblivisci........
@Oblivisci........ 2 дні тому
​@@FYMASMDI do.
@jacob_90s
@jacob_90s Місяць тому
This does somewhat explain why Russia doesn't care about conscripting older people.
@ZhovtoBlakytniy
@ZhovtoBlakytniy Місяць тому
And prisoners, and specific ethnicities. They are "cleaning house", their own house of burdens to the kremlin.
@jontaedouglas7244
@jontaedouglas7244 Місяць тому
Bc those old stalinists are just fine sending their sons and grandsons to fight a war on a dictators war bc they had to. The ones that survived that is….
@ancogaming
@ancogaming Місяць тому
Yeah, legend has it that from next year on, the elderly who still remain in the country are allowed to cross red traffic lights on foot. And from the year after that, they have to by law.
@angeurbain6129
@angeurbain6129 Місяць тому
You have to look at the average age of the ukrainian military serving in the front....
@haldir108
@haldir108 Місяць тому
Please don't put text near the edges of the video. It can't be read while the video is paused, because some dumbo at YTHQ decided that the controls for the video should overlap the video itself. Thank you for the insights.
@user-xp5id1kh4r
@user-xp5id1kh4r Місяць тому
Thank you for verbalizing this in text. Its been one of my pet peeves about UKposts for years... I hate it!
@dannydetonator
@dannydetonator Місяць тому
I haven't used YT app for years (only browsers), and that way controls are transparent and disappears in a few seconds after using them or you just touch the empty field for them to disappear. Or you mean the timestamps overlapping captions, which does the same?
@derekludwig3945
@derekludwig3945 Місяць тому
Another reason to avoid this is that some devices have an overscan problem when connected to a TV, which may or may not be able to be corrected depending on the exact device and TV combination in question. When the image is overscanned, its edges lie beyond the physical dimensions of the screen, thus completely chopping off anywhere from a few pixels to a few dozen pixels along each edge. So, having a decent spatial "buffer" around the critical content of the image ensures that anything lost to overscan, UI overlap, or any similar interference won't cause a problem for some viewers.
@Curt_Sampson
@Curt_Sampson Місяць тому
@@dannydetonator You're saying the controls disappear _when the video is paused?_ This is not the case in my browser (Google Chrome); once you pause the video the controls (and title, in full-screen mode) are permanently on the screen until shortly after you resume playback.
@furinick
@furinick Місяць тому
It may also sound a bit rich but some people own curved phone screens so the edges may get lost
@alexpotts6520
@alexpotts6520 Місяць тому
0:27 nice to see that at least the World Health Organisation respects your commentary
@foxtrotunit1269
@foxtrotunit1269 Місяць тому
Haha 😂
@andrewp3494
@andrewp3494 Місяць тому
Opening with the quote from the Kremlin was genius
@rhendersbee685
@rhendersbee685 Місяць тому
Japan and South Korea in 2023 set new record lows for births, effectively 0.7 births per woman, with urban China not far behind.
@Llortnerof
@Llortnerof Місяць тому
Wouldn't even be surprised if urban China was actually ahead. A lot of young Chinese simply cannot afford children and the One Child policy has extremely detrimental long-term effects. But getting accurate numbers about anything that is bad for the Party is difficult.
@u2beuser714
@u2beuser714 Місяць тому
​@@Llortnerof However there is one misconception that is the male/female ration and the "male surplus" myth , yes i call it a myth because as it turns out china overcounted its population by 100 million and peter zaihan himself admitted that 1/3 of them were males thus the "male surplus" argument is completely debunked.
@slopedarmor
@slopedarmor Місяць тому
Fertilitybrate in japan is 1.367 , not 0.7
@rhendersbee685
@rhendersbee685 Місяць тому
@slopedarmor correction, thanks. Japan 758,631 births in 2023, 8th straight year of decline, giving rate of 1.26 Compared s korea births of 230,000 for a rate of 0.72
@ronsweeney5898
@ronsweeney5898 Місяць тому
Facinating! Many thanks for compounding my anxiety and confusion. At eighty two I find these presentations so informative. One of the few expert Americans who speaks slow enough for the less quick witted to take it all in. I look forward to the next one.
@willbarnstead3194
@willbarnstead3194 Місяць тому
It’s not just that bad demographics, military casualties and immigration equals less workers equals less economic output. Due to sanctions, prioritization of military production and damage to infrastructure, each worker is less productive. The state is producing less and less to support pensioners. Unfortunately this is probably a manageable problem for Russia, at least for another few years.
@u2beuser714
@u2beuser714 Місяць тому
Immigration equals more workers actually or did i read you wrong? Its literally stated in the video that russia has an influx of migrants
@mariatheresavonhabsburg
@mariatheresavonhabsburg Місяць тому
​@@u2beuser714 I believe he's talking about immigration to be specific, Russians leaving Russia since the beginning of the war.
@mitchyoung93
@mitchyoung93 Місяць тому
@@mariatheresavonhabsburg Huge numbers have returned. The ones who have remained abroad are 'Russians' that the Federation is better off without.
@paulgibbon5991
@paulgibbon5991 Місяць тому
@@mitchyoung93 "We didn't need that anyway!"
@nicholasarends41
@nicholasarends41 Місяць тому
Wow you make some really good videos! This was excellent and very informative!
@arturobianco848
@arturobianco848 Місяць тому
He doesn't make that many but they are always interesting to watch.
@zockertwins
@zockertwins Місяць тому
10:45 the adjective is "pyramidal"
@mightywurlitzer
@mightywurlitzer Місяць тому
neuroscientist detected 👆
@zockertwins
@zockertwins Місяць тому
@@mightywurlitzer Nah, chemist actually. There's a lot of chemical structures with pyramidal geometry.
@cptrelentless80085
@cptrelentless80085 Місяць тому
Pyramoidal
@Name-vu1kn
@Name-vu1kn Місяць тому
I had pyramidal once, the doctor gave me some cream. Cleared right up!
@kalinmir
@kalinmir Місяць тому
Pyrrhic actually
@jwmmitch
@jwmmitch Місяць тому
I really appreciate your depth of research and insight. I really enjoy the informative and the way you deliver it :D
@thequeenofswords7230
@thequeenofswords7230 Місяць тому
19:05 Definitely the tone of your writing; your tone of voice is so precisely measured as to keep time on the geological scale.
@SonShines1
@SonShines1 Місяць тому
The first vid I’ve ever watched where u could read the captions before they took it down. Well done
@henrikpersson3579
@henrikpersson3579 Місяць тому
Hi William. A very good analysis, thank you for summing up the problems on demographics which must be one of Russia's biggest headaches as you mention. One thing I thought could be emphazised though is not just the lack of people, but also the effect of rapid aging combined with flight of younger people and impressment into the war. The size of the actual available workforce from year to year must be dwindling at an alarming rate (exaggerated even further when excluding the defense industrial base as well) Thank you for your good work, I enjoy your videos. Regards from Denmark
@user-fe5lr9zt3y
@user-fe5lr9zt3y Місяць тому
Lot of westerners are moving to Russia if you did not know that?
@protorhinocerator142
@protorhinocerator142 Місяць тому
It's even worse than that. PZ does the deep dive on their workforce and infrastructure. They're screwed. They lost too many men back in the Battle of Stalingrad in WW2. Those men who died never went home to start families. That means their children were never born. Every 25-30 years there's an echo in the demographics. There's a ditch where people should be. The children who were never born also never had children. That's just how it is. In the USA the baby boomers had children. For the rest of the world, this hardly happened at all. Russian baby boomers didn't have lots of children like we did. That makes another ditch. This generation of Russians was just barely hanging on before the war. They were just barely keeping infrastructure working. Back in the 80's in an attempt to hold on to what they had, the Soviet Union cut educational spending so they could spend more on the military. They wanted to hold the Eastern Bloc countries. This didn't work. The Russians simply couldn't afford it anymore and pulled out of Eastern Europe. As soon as they did, the Berlin Wall was dismantled and the people of those countries overthrew the Commie oppressors in their own land. They collaborated with the Soviets. They were traitors. Back to education, this means Russia stopped training new engineers and other professionals needed to maintain the infrastructure. These people are now 35 years older. They are either retiring or dying off at an alarming rate. Remember, Russia has a shorter average life span. Russia doesn't have the workforce to fix what Ukraine keeps bombing. And now Putin keeps pulling men out of their day jobs to die on the front lines in Ukraine. He's gutting the workforce to prop up a pre-doomed invasion. Human life clearly means nothing to Putin. He's an old-school Soviet throwback. People are just numbers to him. Much like Germany in WW2, Russia has already wasted most of its young able-bodied men. They were the first to die. By they end of WW2 the German army was composed of kids under 15 and men over 50. This is not an effective fighting force. It's a demography that has been hollowed out. The next nail in the coffin comes when Russian women realize Ivan is never coming home. He's dead and maybe buried in a communal grave somewhere in Ukraine. Russian women are famous for leaving the country and finding prospects elsewhere. We know the concept of the Russian Mail-Order Bride. That's a real thing. Men would order a wife and some Russian woman shows up looking to get married. This is also the origin of the superstition where it's bad luck to see the bride before the wedding. Sometimes the guy saw her and said no. It is mathematically possible for one Russian man to impregnate 20 Russian women and have 20 children. Mathematically. But why would Russian women agree to this if there was any other option? It's not mathematically for one Russian woman to be impregnated by 20 Russian men and have 20 children. Biology doesn't work that way. As soon as enough young Russian women leave, it's no longer mathematically possible for Russia to have a next generation worthy of the name. When Russian women leave, it places a hard cap on the potential number of children for the next generation. It's just not going to happen. It can't. The smart ones will leave and find husbands elsewhere, anywhere. Even Ukraine would be better. If they stay in Russia it will turn into The Handmaid's Tale. I assume. I never watched the show, it looks silly. But this would be a reality if they stay. There would be one Russian man trying to impregnate 20 Russian women. These women would live in abject poverty, doing little more than raising children, with no expectation of money or food. How could that even work? So yeah, the smart ones will leave as fast as possible before the government orders enforced pregnancy for all women. Much like the men in China who can't mathematically find wives (surplus of men instead of women) the Russian women will see that it's mathematically impossible to find husbands. That is unless they want to join a harem. Not a fun harem like in the movies where they're all married to a prince with unlimited money. This would be a trailer park harem where the guy is a bum and he boozes up every night. What woman in her right mind would want any part of that. And forget it if the woman is a lesbian. All lesbians are now outlawed for the greater good. You WILL get pregnant and raise children for the glory of Mother Russia. Here's your shifty looking unemployed husband. Good luck.
@MrScandinavio
@MrScandinavio Місяць тому
@@user-fe5lr9zt3y Do you have proof of that? Or are you referring to the few loud instagram/tiktok/youtube families trying to live out their fundamentalist Christian wet dreams?
@SgtBeltfed
@SgtBeltfed Місяць тому
@@user-fe5lr9zt3y Not anymore, Russia's invasion of Ukraine and sanctions took care of that.
@u2beuser714
@u2beuser714 Місяць тому
You forgot or maybe omitted the part where russia has an jnflux of immigrants from central asia TILL THIS DAY
@gchampi2
@gchampi2 Місяць тому
A point you appear to have overlooked. The 3:1 ratio traditionally used between WIA and KIA may well be inaccurate when looking at Russian losses. There has been a lot of evidence that field medicine has been largely absent from the Russian forces, alongside a poor standard of medicine provided to those lucky enough to be evacuated to a Hospital. With this in mind, the true WIA:KIA ratio may well be much closer to 1:1, which would affect demographic figures much more than you suggest. Add to that the large number of working age males who left the country to avoid being called in to service, which may be as high as 1.75million (with a further 500k+ family members also leaving), and Russia's demographic problems may be somewhat worse than suggested...
@user-xt1yj5pt9y
@user-xt1yj5pt9y Місяць тому
Bruh, if we take all people who take a part in military operation it's something around 500-800k for 2 years. Many of those wasn't actually young. Even if your numbers right, it wouldn't affect russian demographic in any significant way.
@SgtBeltfed
@SgtBeltfed Місяць тому
There's a lot of reasons the ratio between WIA and KIA will be off in the Ukraine war, as each war is an unique beast in it's own right. A lot of modern body armor on both sides, so a lot of wounded simply won't happen. Especially from shrapnel. Some KIA will now be WIA. It's very artillery heavy, and there's lots of powerful precision weapons. Direct hits from artillery, ATGM's or anything similar pretty much ignores armor, and is 100% fatal.
@Lilitha11
@Lilitha11 Місяць тому
@@user-xt1yj5pt9y Yeah but you forget the already have a demographic problem. Losing all these people certainly isn't going to help them fix the problem.
@worldoftancraft
@worldoftancraft Місяць тому
The standards of hospital medicine? The local doktor yold me there are reports it's 5 times less of casualties during hospital stage of healing. While at the field, despite all the innovations and more advanced training, it stays the same. Comparison point is Afganistan.
@user-xt1yj5pt9y
@user-xt1yj5pt9y Місяць тому
@@Lilitha11 , actually, thanks to sanctions now many young people who would migrate to Europe can't do that, because Europe closed itself for russian people.
@judithcampbell1705
@judithcampbell1705 Місяць тому
Thank you 💛 William I appreciate your excellent report. My brother used to search our family history. Your views are perfect sir.
@MartinTetik
@MartinTetik Місяць тому
The situation is much worse when you look at geographical split of natality. The regions with 2+ children are always non russian.
@robwhiteley6625
@robwhiteley6625 16 днів тому
Most population growth in Russia occurs in Dagestan and Chechnya. The Muscovy and St. Petersburg regions have rates of ~1.3 children / woman, they are waaaay under replacement rate in the "Real Russian" areas.
@joela.4058
@joela.4058 Місяць тому
A thorough dive into something I’ve read a lot about but you added some good ideas/details I wouldn’t have thought of
@torehaaland6921
@torehaaland6921 Місяць тому
You seem to forget that as of the present situation, the two million young people that left Russia, are a population loss just as much as those killed in the war. It is a loss that in part can be retrieved if Russia becomes a better place to live. But for now, it can safely bee counted as a loss. Said in another way: Rusdia has lost between 2 and 2,5 million people in this war. Also, the video mention a current reproduction rate of 1,4. This rate will certainly go down in the comming years as Russia becomes a more difficult place to live in. That is not an irreversible thing, but it will have at least dome visible effect down the line. Also: prison population doesn't reproduce.
@centurionoomae1543
@centurionoomae1543 Місяць тому
Yes 2 million 'chosen people' have returned to Israel. Anything new you wish to share, rabbi?
@torehaaland6921
@torehaaland6921 Місяць тому
@@centurionoomae1543 what nonsense are you talking about.
@centurionoomae1543
@centurionoomae1543 Місяць тому
@@torehaaland6921 Nice pilpul rabbi.
@ernesthill4017
@ernesthill4017 Місяць тому
Here's a crazy idea: restore hope to the Russian people by returning all the wealth you and your cronies have stolen, rooting out corruption in the military, and using that money to pay them fairly, pull out of Ukraine, and step down as dictator. No? I didn't think so 😕
@just_a_turtle_chad
@just_a_turtle_chad Місяць тому
Imagine what Russia could have been if it had concentrated on being a peaceful neighbor. It could have prospered in Europe.
@andrewrogers3067
@andrewrogers3067 Місяць тому
Their last attempt at that was in the Russian Revolution, and they messed it up
@kompatybilijny9348
@kompatybilijny9348 Місяць тому
Prosperity is bad for authoritatian government
@u2beuser714
@u2beuser714 Місяць тому
​​@@kompatybilijny9348 Not really it is in fact strengthening authoritarian governments for example singapore or even china where the government gains a sort of legitimacy by raising living standards
@heroes8844
@heroes8844 Місяць тому
@@u2beuser714 uhh....that prosperity come at the cost of its own people. You have to travel to china to see how most people live. Most are not sastified but rather put up with the regime and hardship.
@u2beuser714
@u2beuser714 Місяць тому
​@@heroes8844 Im pretty sure you havent visited china while there are rural areas ofc all you have to do is look at india and you know what im talking about
@felipearbustopotd
@felipearbustopotd Місяць тому
A distinction should be made that ( 4:16 Demographics and World War II ) NOT all of the 27 million ''Soviets'' that died where Russians. Many of the satellite states that where under Kremlin control had little if NO choice, but to fight on behalf of who was oppressing them. Thankfully many are now under the NATO umbrella. Probably a good reason why Ukraine, Moldova to name just two want into NATO and the EU.
@dannydetonator
@dannydetonator Місяць тому
True, i forgot the exact number, but over 10M of Red armie's KIA didn't come from Russian FSSR and even more were not "ethnic russians" (if that's a real thing). The most soldiers drafted in WW2 proportionally by ethnicity from USSR were apparently Ukrainians.
@dannydetonator
@dannydetonator Місяць тому
P.S. Although correct now and majority wanted to approach or go for EU membership in Ukraine, prior to 2014 around 70% were against joining NATO. Now no sane citizen from territorial Europe outside Russia objects to NATO membership. 😲
@dannydetonator
@dannydetonator Місяць тому
P.P.S. Correction: ~13M of Red Army WW2 victims were not Russian. And Ukrainians proportionally was the second most affected after Belorussians. Excuse the P.S. comments, i have no option to edit mine. At least it helps the algorithm.
@felipearbustopotd
@felipearbustopotd Місяць тому
Cheers for the reply@@dannydetonator
@u2beuser714
@u2beuser714 Місяць тому
To paint USSR constituents to mere "poor poor oppressed" is disingenous many of USSR republics were happy to be part of the "union treaty" the treaty which gave them choice to either be independent or part of ussr the referendum before the collapse and ukraine, ironically, chose to stay within the USSR and only changed AFTER when the august coup happened. So no, ukraine wasnt really "OPPRESSED" they were happy to be part of that very same oppression themselfs
@stevenjohnston7809
@stevenjohnston7809 Місяць тому
Thanks for the video update
@Greg_Andrews
@Greg_Andrews Місяць тому
Excellent content man!
@advancetotabletop5328
@advancetotabletop5328 Місяць тому
Thanks for the historical look at the population pyramid. We‘re well aware that there will be an impact from Russian losses in the war in Ukraine, but may not of previous history. And those who do not learn from history will be doomed to repeat it.
@cameronlewis1218
@cameronlewis1218 Місяць тому
Mr. Spaniel, this video is a tour de force. By far the most interesting and clearest thinking piece I have seen on the pointless Russian war…
@asan1050
@asan1050 Місяць тому
William Spaniel, Thanks for posting this video.
@DC-ux1dt
@DC-ux1dt Місяць тому
Thank you Ukraine for helping this problem along. Help them harder.
@Blasharga
@Blasharga Місяць тому
William, if you could read/access any secret / hidden / classified piece of information from history, what would it be?
@cinemaipswich4636
@cinemaipswich4636 Місяць тому
Australia moved the aged pension from 65 to 67 for both males and females. It was progressively increased by 6 months every 2 years. Also even though some can afford to retire early, some are choosing to keep working past their retirement.
@CollectiveWest1
@CollectiveWest1 Місяць тому
Good video. I knew of this issue but you added useful info and perspective. However, it is simplistic to regard demographics as a full explanation for decisions of war and peace.
@martinkarlsson986
@martinkarlsson986 Місяць тому
Imagine William Spaniel and Perun married. Best relationship ever. EDIT: I can see when they argue who's doing the dishes: Perun: 1hr13m long PowerPoint about the economics of dish soap and why that makes it Williams turn to wash the dishes tonight. William Spaniel: Makes a 20min long argument with Lines on Maps that they could just get a housekeeper. After the argument William tries to sell Perun his books. And they lived happily ever after!
@andrejsurdevics6476
@andrejsurdevics6476 Місяць тому
No kids though.
@uku4171
@uku4171 Місяць тому
Please never use a keyboard again
@jenniferclark9842
@jenniferclark9842 Місяць тому
I can actually picture this happening.
@markotrieste
@markotrieste Місяць тому
William, watch out, Peter Zeihan has hijacked your channel! 😂
@thievingpanda
@thievingpanda Місяць тому
Peter Zeihan is a 🤡
@chrishooge3442
@chrishooge3442 Місяць тому
@@thievingpandabased on what?
@zibbitybibbitybop
@zibbitybibbitybop Місяць тому
​@@thievingpandaAh yes, the most reputable source of criticism: anonymous randos on the internet.
@u2beuser714
@u2beuser714 Місяць тому
​​@@chrishooge3442 Based on his "x will collapse" lo and behold he predicted that germany will literally COLLAPSE yeah. You know the Yakko sing along country meme? Thats him but instead of countries he keeps saying "collapse collapse collapse"
@chrishooge3442
@chrishooge3442 Місяць тому
@@u2beuser714 Most of Europe is on a demographic cliff. Do you disagree?
@russellhammond4373
@russellhammond4373 Місяць тому
Like your research and conclusions.
@EducatedGuessGutFeeling
@EducatedGuessGutFeeling Місяць тому
Thx very informative
@ItsJoKeZ
@ItsJoKeZ Місяць тому
It always needs to be said that the soviets did not lose that many people due to balls of steel, but brains of rock. they didn't need to lose the most people by a large margin, their tactics made them.
@kieranelliott5607
@kieranelliott5607 Місяць тому
I love the opening. You had me fooled for a moment, CIA man!
@teute256_6
@teute256_6 Місяць тому
It's funny watching him make all sorts of predictions and most of them fail to materialise 😅. The Russian Ukraine war is causing a meltdown in western propagandists.
@TheRedemptionRain
@TheRedemptionRain Місяць тому
@@teute256_6Cope and Seethe 🤡🤖
@paulhargreaves1497
@paulhargreaves1497 Місяць тому
​@@teute256_6So Muscovite population stats are fake?
@stream2watch
@stream2watch Місяць тому
Bet you could not argue that thesis if your life depended on it @@teute256_6
@shep6774
@shep6774 Місяць тому
Your work is incredibly appreciated. 💛💙
@drbulbul
@drbulbul Місяць тому
Such an interesting perspective on the war.
@Riddim4
@Riddim4 Місяць тому
He’s worried about a population drop and continues a gratuitous war that only makes things worse. Dumb all over - and under too.
@le_deer
@le_deer 13 днів тому
Because the only thing he was worried of is the drop of his popularity. So he wanted another "short victorious war"
@markb8468
@markb8468 Місяць тому
Fascinating analysis...
@user-fe5lr9zt3y
@user-fe5lr9zt3y Місяць тому
Lot of westerners are moving to Russia if you did not know that?
@Usual_User
@Usual_User Місяць тому
​@@user-fe5lr9zt3y The more you copy paste that the more obvious it that you are a bot, did you know that?
@user-fe5lr9zt3y
@user-fe5lr9zt3y Місяць тому
@@Usual_User what do i copy paste,poor uninformed and ignorant soul! West is losing proxy war in Ukraine,54 western nazi countries against Russia alone.
@markb8468
@markb8468 Місяць тому
@@user-fe5lr9zt3y really? Could you show us some reliable data on that?
@markb8468
@markb8468 Місяць тому
@user-fe5lr9zt3y You should be careful posting things that go against what your supreme leader has said. Avoid upper floors Botski?
@luminyam6145
@luminyam6145 Місяць тому
Excellent video, thank you.
@richardrosecky1574
@richardrosecky1574 Місяць тому
Another interesting commentary. I thank the author!
@vladyk2607
@vladyk2607 Місяць тому
Thank you for the good work!
@DogMania
@DogMania Місяць тому
Excellent video! Keep up the great work!
@beritsvensson5647
@beritsvensson5647 Місяць тому
Interesting and looking good for the future👍
@Conservator.
@Conservator. Місяць тому
0:42 excellent twist! 👌
@thievingpanda
@thievingpanda Місяць тому
I like the longer video. Good work 👍
@LEV1ATHYN
@LEV1ATHYN Місяць тому
Pyramidical is the correct adjective professor 🔺
@Khal_Rheg0
@Khal_Rheg0 Місяць тому
Thank you!
@TheBluetwo26
@TheBluetwo26 Місяць тому
You bamboozled me in the last part. I was expecting a book plug.
@jmantime
@jmantime Місяць тому
Actually almost all eastern European countries are currently in Demographics Crisis, alot the young people from there are either migrating west to western Europe and US/ Canada or migrating east to China, South Korea and other nations. Western Europe and Asian nations like South Korea and Japan are suffering a demographics Crisis aswell.
@cfisher11
@cfisher11 Місяць тому
Yes, it is a world wide problem. No different in the U.S
@SianaGearz
@SianaGearz Місяць тому
@@cfisher11 Nah, it's not a worldwide problem. US has traditionally supported its wonky demographics via immigration of highly educated or otherwise capable 20-40-year-olds from all across the globe, and lots of other successful countries continue to do that. South Korea and Japan can solve their issue by opening up the floodgates to Southeastasians or Indians or someone else. There's plenty of young people in the world. And none of you lot have such horrible waves in the demographics profile.
@alexanderwu
@alexanderwu Місяць тому
"No country bore the burden to the extent that the Soviet union did" China: are you sure about that
@dylanvogler2165
@dylanvogler2165 Місяць тому
The USSR lost the largest amount of people. 27 million. Russia lost the most , 14 million, in the absolute sense of the SSR's whilst Belarus has the largest percentage of its population lost of any country in the war, losing 1/4th of its population.
@kalinmir
@kalinmir Місяць тому
That was more of a paralel war
@foilhat1138
@foilhat1138 Місяць тому
@@dylanvogler2165 We dont know how many Chinese were lost to the CCP but the higher estimates are up around 100 million.
@dylanvogler2165
@dylanvogler2165 Місяць тому
@@foilhat1138 to the CCP, so you mean the civil war? As China in WW2 was the Chinese United Front between the Chinese government (ROC) and the communists. So would be weird calling the Chinese casualties all "CCP" casualties.
@morstyrannis1951
@morstyrannis1951 Місяць тому
@@dylanvogler2165Don't forget Stalin's genocides - conservatively 7M people.
@mooner187
@mooner187 Місяць тому
Lines on maps are back on the menu!
@ozhoo
@ozhoo Місяць тому
Fortunately Putin has put some 2.1 million doses of his man batter on ice for just such a situation. 🕺🏼
@OdyTypeR
@OdyTypeR Місяць тому
Not last
@Gametheory101
@Gametheory101 Місяць тому
The opposite of that, in fact!
@polygonalfortress
@polygonalfortress Місяць тому
crazy
@albertorighi2029
@albertorighi2029 Місяць тому
Very well explained
@trueriver1950
@trueriver1950 Місяць тому
It seems intuitively weird that prosperity and economic collapse can not lead to under fertility. And that sense of weirdness does not go away even when i understand your explanation for both parts of that.
@daviddpenny
@daviddpenny Місяць тому
Do you understand the loss of life from World War 2(27 million Russians died)? Do not understand the effects it had on the Russian birth rate after losing that many men who could Father the next generation and the next generation after that?
@ilyakasnacheev
@ilyakasnacheev Місяць тому
What are some countries which do not have a looming demographics crisis?
@patches4170
@patches4170 Місяць тому
Netherlands, Switzerland. Though still decreases
@ilyakasnacheev
@ilyakasnacheev Місяць тому
@@patches4170 These two countries are basically the economic jewels of Europe. Have you seen how large Russia is? It can't all be a jewel.
@luka02.511
@luka02.511 Місяць тому
​@@patches4170this is wrong. Both of these countries have fertility below 2.1 and their population is only increasing because of immigrants.
@user-fe5lr9zt3y
@user-fe5lr9zt3y Місяць тому
@@patches4170 "Dime a dozen"bullshit chanel,made for gullible,ignorant and brain dead?
@knobjob2839
@knobjob2839 Місяць тому
Demographic collapse is the case across the globe mostly.
@SquidMonke4
@SquidMonke4 Місяць тому
Ya it had been going on in Russia for half a century and it just started for the rest of the developed world
@abdiganiaden
@abdiganiaden Місяць тому
It’s not black and white, there’s levels of severity
@user-fe5lr9zt3y
@user-fe5lr9zt3y Місяць тому
@@SquidMonke4 "Dime a dozen"bullshit chanel,made for gullible,ignorant and brain dead?
@76boromir
@76boromir Місяць тому
In most of Africa, middle East, south east Asia and few of South American's states the demographics aren't collapsing. But the trends there shows the curve of birth rates is more or less slowly but nonetheless decreasing in many parts of this regions also.
@knobjob2839
@knobjob2839 Місяць тому
It hasn't "just started" in the rest of the world. It's been collapsing since the 80's and 90's.
@jamesmoore381
@jamesmoore381 Місяць тому
I love the reference to will Kent haha
@LegaliseFinland
@LegaliseFinland Місяць тому
I appreciate you dawg 🐕
@user-fe5lr9zt3y
@user-fe5lr9zt3y Місяць тому
his dung?
@quedtion_marks_kirby_modding
@quedtion_marks_kirby_modding Місяць тому
I say that the Russian demographic crisis should really count everything between ww1 and the end of ww2 (so the world wars, the civil war and Stalin's masacres).
@richardtabor8686
@richardtabor8686 Місяць тому
Ty! I knew this was a thing. Dooming their own future. Ty so much for the sober analysis and content, dear AI. xoxoxo
@dannydetonator
@dannydetonator Місяць тому
Nobody knows the future, there are just models. And who is AI?
@FredDan188
@FredDan188 Місяць тому
Great content
@infamousdon82
@infamousdon82 Місяць тому
This video has me thinking that the "Special Military Operations" is also about the Pension problem next to "Security" and Urainke Gas & oil discovery
@Llortnerof
@Llortnerof Місяць тому
Well, so far all it has done is make it worse.
@user-qh6hc7kr8t
@user-qh6hc7kr8t Місяць тому
William is an excellent Spaniel, he knows how to make logical conclusions. My spaniel only knows how to shit on the carpet and fetch a stick. Good boy Wiliam, good boy...
@user-qh6hc7kr8t
@user-qh6hc7kr8t Місяць тому
And yes, I apologize for my rudeness, but such indicators for the first 4 hours with 500k subscribers are cheating, a lot of bots came and liked it. Scam
@gardenjoy5223
@gardenjoy5223 Місяць тому
@@user-qh6hc7kr8t Down boy, down. You're a bad dog yourself.
@buddypage11
@buddypage11 Місяць тому
Russia is the largest landmass in the world, but its population, about 144 million, is less than half of the USA, and one-tenth that of China or Russia, each at 1.4 billion. Yet, Russian leaders still want more land. It is completely insane.
@u2beuser714
@u2beuser714 Місяць тому
Just because a country is huge that doesnt mean that all the places are habitable and that the climate is suitable. Australia for example is literally a continent its huge yet it has mere 25 million inhabitants it has the population of new delhi, a city in india
@TogetherForever-mg1mh
@TogetherForever-mg1mh Місяць тому
Ukraine is not any land. It was a gift in exchange for their loyalty. Older R|ussians remember it as a part of Ruusia and have pics of it as a part of the RF. The memomries are there so are the haerts.
@user-xt1yj5pt9y
@user-xt1yj5pt9y Місяць тому
This conflict wasn't started for land. It's about influence.
@markgresch9944
@markgresch9944 Місяць тому
​@@u2beuser714 This is true, a large chunk of Canada (specifically Northern Ontario) is basically just rock, water and trees. Apart from some mining and forestry, there just isn't a lot there to develop, especially with no good agricultural land.
@Chaldon-hl6yk
@Chaldon-hl6yk Місяць тому
cause 70% is permafrost
@hitmusicworldwide
@hitmusicworldwide Місяць тому
You kind of touched on a domain in the topic that I'm interested in but didn't go far enough as far as I'm concerned. My undergraduate major was anthropology and I'm currently at Weatherhead EAI. Are these demographic declines solely or mostly based on the mono ethnic Russian part of the federation? What's going on in the surrounding Turkic republics that make up most of the country? From what I have seen, Turkey is intensely interested in maintaining its linguistic, cultural, and blood relationship with the origins of its language and culture. Yes internationalism was a slogan championed during the Soviet Union, but I have not seen those sentiments carried over into Russia as much as diversity and inclusion has been developed in the ever-evolving ever-growing definition of what it is to be an American in the United States. Indeed the crowd that is against DEI in the United States is the same crowd that has fallen in love with Russia and Hungary for its to,"wink wink" "ethnic purity" as a vanguard of "Western civilization" even though Russia sees itself under Putin as opposed to Europe?. Wait, could these far right wing dog whistle racist weirdos be part of some Psy op being used to undermine immigration of non desirables" as a solution to the demographic declines in the Russian part of the Russian Federation?
@Igor-ug1uo
@Igor-ug1uo Місяць тому
Fun fact. The Great Patriotic War is not a literal translation. It's called the Great Fatherland War. Великая Отечественная Война, where Отечество is Fatherland. The problem is that in English, the word Fatherland can't be turned into an adjective, unlike the work Patriot.
@jonaszswietomierz8017
@jonaszswietomierz8017 Місяць тому
Patriotic actually derives from the root word 'patria', which is Latin for 'fatherland'. The reason for that is that 'patria' is composed of 'pater' (which means "father") and '-ia' (which is used in a similar way to "-ство" in Slavic languages). So no, it is in fact a literal translation already. You're thinking of the word 'patriot' because English is a weird language and only partially imported its derived words from French, without including 'patrie' among them.
@Jopey_Meow
@Jopey_Meow Місяць тому
Hell yuh lines on maps
@robertmax88
@robertmax88 Місяць тому
bro, I always thought....Tsar Romanov looks exactly like Medvedev. they must be realated. Medvedev even behaves like little prince 😂 ps. Medvedev is shaved but imagine Romanov shaved....they are twins
@Katrin-fh1om
@Katrin-fh1om Місяць тому
Får jag svar katrin o jonas😂😂😂😂❤❤❤😅😅😅😊😊
@robertmax88
@robertmax88 Місяць тому
@@Katrin-fh1om which Katrin or Jonas you mean? ☺️
@Katrin-fh1om
@Katrin-fh1om Місяць тому
Fick katrin och jonas svar ❤❤❤❤❤😂😂😂😂😮😮😅😊😊😊😊😊😊😊😊😊😊😊😊😊
@Katrin-fh1om
@Katrin-fh1om Місяць тому
Fick katrin och jonas svar. 🍀🍀♥️♥️🍀🍀💬😍
@Katrin-fh1om
@Katrin-fh1om Місяць тому
Å Fick katrin och jonas svar❤❤❤❤😂😂😂😂😮😮😮😮😅😊😊😊😊😊😊😊😊😊😊😊😊
@gregsutton2400
@gregsutton2400 Місяць тому
Good info
@trikyy7238
@trikyy7238 Місяць тому
I consider this an absolute win.
@lp9280
@lp9280 Місяць тому
I am not disagreeing with anything here, I just wanted to point out that some of the worst hit nations in WW2 are Lithuania, Latvia, Poland and Ukraine... also Belarus, but Belarus is more complicated. Now sure, when saying it I mean per capita deaths and Lithuania had highest percentage of pre-war population killed... it is usually incorrectly calculated, because pre-war Poland had invaded Lithuanian city... and thus Lithuanians are counted into Polish population whereas they should have been counted as Lithuanians... point is, when that is accounted for Lithuania becomes most "hit country" and Poland becomes second most "hit". Yes soviets lost 20 million people in the war, but large part of those 20 million were no russians, they were Belarussians, Ukrainians, Poles, Lithuanians and so on. Secondly, that high cost came to be because of meat wave tactics, disregard for human life, repressions of their own soldiers etc. So 20 million death toll it is less about the "sacrifice made" or being "hit hard" and more about soviet tactic. They were happy to send people to their death, now they are complaining about demographics. And we see repeat of that in Ukraine nowadays - nothing has changed. I guess what I am trying to say, there is different perspectives of that, not just that "soviets sacrificed more for human kind", in fact we probably be better of if they lost. Nazis would have lost anyway when nukes came to stage, but we would have avoided Korea, Vietnam, Afghanistan twice, Iraq and probably 120 million people dying in communist mao china.
@user-xt1yj5pt9y
@user-xt1yj5pt9y Місяць тому
Should I help you remember that Germany was first country who started discovering ballistic missiles? By the end of war they had many good weapon ideas, but no means to mass produce them. So, if war wasn't that hot for them, they probably would nuke you first. Also, winning Germany and loosing Japan isn't a same thing. They would continue to fight, especially in this scenario, when they would control something around 1/2 Earth surface.
@lp9280
@lp9280 Місяць тому
@@user-xt1yj5pt9y May be true, but not following up with operation "unthinkable" was biggest mistake in history of human race. As mentioned - all the wars since WW2 was because soviets were not destroyed and were allowed to stay in Europe they occupied and even spread further.
@skullsaintdead
@skullsaintdead Місяць тому
Indeed, this is why we should be cautious about getting too overzealous with stopping migration - if you're countries birth rate is below 2.1children/woman, then you'd need (and want) those migrants - especially the skilled ones (doctors, pharmacists, accountants etc). So, the migrants crossing the borders may be too much for the system to handle (and they may not be in skills-shortages areas, plus obviously, controlled migration is more ideal) but it's worth noting the role migration plays in sustaining our way of life and our democracies.
@ChucksSEADnDEAD
@ChucksSEADnDEAD Місяць тому
The paradox is that it's those who are struggling economically and think they have nothing to lose who will risk it all using their life savings to pay off traffickers and do dangerous sea crossings. Doctors and engineers may earn enough to dissuade them from desperate measures, and if they do want to migrate there's visas to expedite the hiring of foreigners who have high skills in demand.
@lostbutfreesoul
@lostbutfreesoul Місяць тому
Yeah but you are dealing with individuals whom believe in replacement theory. They would rather force breeding programs then migration.... Sad fact is I am not being hyperbolic there, you can talk to these individuals easily as they are very vocal about their pet theory. Lot of high end names believe in it too, like Musk, so it has a strong popular following under every stone. When you get down to how we are going to solve this shrinking population problem the answer is always the same. Create more of the 'correct' people. Even if government has to intervene to do ensure it. Bonus thing to keep in mind: Working migrants, like myself by the way, can not collect from programs they support. As much as this is horrible to exploit, within the situation being described here it is the very feature government should be looking for. A group of people who will pay into programs they can not collect from are the intermediary step to removing those programs entirely. For, long as the population is shrinking, those programs will have to go.
@paperandmedals8316
@paperandmedals8316 Місяць тому
There are some wrecked European countries that may disagree with you. Migrants, a positive asset. Migrants that will not assimilate, will breed the natives out and take over the country. The UK, France and Sweden are great examples. All three will be Islamic republics by 2100.
@jgw9990
@jgw9990 Місяць тому
Using immigration to solve birth rates, is like ripping wood from your house walls to keep the fireplace burning. In the short term it works, in the long time you have destroyed your home. The countries which rely on massive Islamic immigration are already coming to regret this.
@N.i.c.k.H
@N.i.c.k.H Місяць тому
If you import mainly skilled migrants you'll end up with natives being second class citizens in their own country - a recipe for disaster. I used to be a software engineer. I wouldn't recommend it as a career now because the salaries have been ruined by foreigners bought in on temorary work visas for 1/3 of the cost. If you are a young person starting out you have to guess which career the government is not going to ruin next.
@Virtuous_Rogue
@Virtuous_Rogue Місяць тому
PYR-AM-id-al is the technical term for pyramid shape used in chemistry.
@0Pain0Gain
@0Pain0Gain Місяць тому
was wondering about the red and yellow lines 14 minutes in
@janwitts2688
@janwitts2688 Місяць тому
The indigenous 1st nation yada yada British rate is more like 0.something per woman... the 'colonisers' have a higher birthrate thus pulling the number up
@Xenandor
@Xenandor Місяць тому
Exactly like in Russia
@charlesburgoyne-probyn6044
@charlesburgoyne-probyn6044 Місяць тому
Not supposed to say that 🐘
@janwitts2688
@janwitts2688 Місяць тому
@charlesburgoyne-proby The era of woke is broke... Now we use their own weapons against them... We are the indigenous 1st nation people's of the island of Britain... The others are colonialists looking to appropriate our customs and lands.... Deploy the UN..
@centurionoomae1543
@centurionoomae1543 Місяць тому
OY VEY SHUT IT DOWN SHUT IT DOWN!
@ricardoroldan3777
@ricardoroldan3777 Місяць тому
There are more than 100 million english descent people outside of England if they returned the island wouldnt even be able to support sach a population. The same could be said of Spain, Italy, Germany and Portugal.
@mbe102
@mbe102 Місяць тому
Those meatwaves certainly aren't going to help lol
@IAmTheAce5
@IAmTheAce5 Місяць тому
I’ve been referring back to hosers The Death of Russia video for a good long while now.
@paulwilliams3646
@paulwilliams3646 Місяць тому
I work in the shipyard at barrow, exploder and excuciator are known .and all the safety issues with hdp are part of the why we do things this way education of the yard.
@moseszero3281
@moseszero3281 Місяць тому
The problem with social security is decades of corporate tax cuts. If we rolled back the corporate free ride we would have plenty to pay for SS.
@harryrabbit2870
@harryrabbit2870 10 днів тому
Thank you for this. I was actually wondering about this the other day, not Russia specifically but world-wide. Human populations are more sensitive to stress than we are willing to admit. Factors like war, economics, human concentrations, resource depletions and surpluses are all factors but our "leadership" just isn't bright enough or free enough from their ambitions to address it. I would love to be able to take a peak at Earth 200 years from now to see where all this leads.
@HT-ww3zg
@HT-ww3zg Місяць тому
My Russian wife gets a pension of 10000 rubles per month - about 108 dollars. Thank God she lives with me in the USA.
@morstyrannis1951
@morstyrannis1951 Місяць тому
According to Tucker Carlson she'd live like a Queen, or Tsarina, had she stayed.
@UncleRoma0
@UncleRoma0 Місяць тому
That's below min pension so that's a lie. The reason why ppl might believe it is bz they don't travel. You should watch Travelling with Russell or come visit not that you would do any of that bz why else lie if one doesn't have an agenda...
@Chaldon-hl6yk
@Chaldon-hl6yk Місяць тому
12k is minimal pension - update your instructions book
@u2beuser714
@u2beuser714 Місяць тому
​@@morstyrannis1951 Ironically OP , the person your respond to fell for the same nonsense as tucker he failed to see purchasing power parity i.e 108 dollars is a lot in russia and its very small in the U.S thus making it seem as if living by 108 dollar in russia is very low
@ilyachap
@ilyachap Місяць тому
@@Chaldon-hl6ykтакую хуйню высрал, будто что-то крутое сказал. Даже если минималка 12к, то с какого перепугу это что-то меняет?
@christopherrowley7506
@christopherrowley7506 Місяць тому
People have been decrying the problems of lower birthrates for decades. Japan has been experiencing this for decades. And it turns out the results aren't dramatic catastrophes. Some deflation, some economic hardships, but at the end of the day Japan is getting on just fine.
@dylanvogler2165
@dylanvogler2165 Місяць тому
Yeah but Japan and Russia are not really the same.
@christopherrowley7506
@christopherrowley7506 Місяць тому
@@dylanvogler2165they aren't. But I doubt it will cause anything catastrophic. They'll adapt, have to cinch in the belt a little bit, but it won't be society collapsing or regime changing.
@dylanvogler2165
@dylanvogler2165 Місяць тому
@@christopherrowley7506 probably not. But I doubt it will be good for Russia's dreams of empire and superpower status. The funny thing about Russians is that they are quiet, and will do as they are told, until suddenly they don't and then things can change very fast. We have seen this both in 1917 and 1991
@jasonbartnik9044
@jasonbartnik9044 Місяць тому
Dunno about that... you seen their Nationa Debt to GDP ratio?
@christopherrowley7506
@christopherrowley7506 Місяць тому
@@jasonbartnik9044How does it compare to the US's? I also wonder how much of Russia's income is off the books. Does their 'shadow fleet' contribute to GDP for example?
@Fika_Break
@Fika_Break Місяць тому
I’ve seen a similar video for almost every major country.
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