The Fermi Paradox Has An Incredibly Simple Solution

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Cool Worlds

Cool Worlds

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It’s possibly the most famous question in all of science - where is everyone? Join us today for deep dive into Fermi Paradox. 🌏 Get exclusive NordVPN deal here ➵ NordVPN.com/coolworlds It’s risk free with Nord’s 30 day money-back guarantee!✌
The Fermi Paradox has been a topic of keen debate amongst scientists, astronomers and the rest of us for more than seven decades. We can't resist the urge to speculate about aliens! But what is the paradox even really about? What explanations have been offered? Today, we explore this famous question, and offer a mind-shifting explanation.
Written and presented by Prof David Kipping.
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::References::
► Jones, E. B. 1985, "Where Is Everybody? An Account of Fermi's Question": sgp.fas.org/othergov/doe/lanl...
► Hart, M. H. 1975, "Explanation for the Absence of Extraterrestrials on Earth", QJRAS, 16, 128: ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/197...
► Tipler, F. J. 1980, "Extraterrestrial intelligent beings do not exist", QJRAS, 21, 267: ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/198...
► Wright, J. T., Kanodia, S. & Lubar, G. 2018, "How Much SETI Has Been Done? Finding Needles in the n-Dimensional Cosmic Haystack", AJ, 156, 260: arxiv.org/abs/1809.07252
► Gray, R. H. 2015, "The Fermi Paradox is Neither Fermi's Nor a Paradox", Astrobiology, 15, 195: arxiv.org/abs/1605.09187
► Freitas, R. A. Jr. 1985, "There is no Fermi Paradox", Icarus, 62, 518: ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/198...
► Sandberg, A., Drexler, E., Ord, T. 2018, "Dissolving the Fermi Paradox": arxiv.org/abs/1806.02404
::Music::
Music licensed by SoundStripe.com (SS) [shorturl.at/ptBHI], Artlist.io, via Creative Commons (CC) Attribution License (creativecommons.org/licenses/..., or with permission from the artist.
► Brad Hill - Echoes of Yesterday (0:00) [open.spotify.com/track/4AfA4T...]
► Brad Hill - Circle (5:22) [open.spotify.com/track/5ahoF1...]
► Falls - Life in Binary (9:38)
► Brad Hill - The Great Alchemist (14:08) [open.spotify.com/album/0sfu5x...]
► Brad Hill - There Is But One Good (19:03) [open.spotify.com/track/1vlxAs...]
► Joachim Heinrich - Y (25:01)
::Chapters::
00:00 Introduction
01:22 A Brief History
06:13 Two Fermi Paradoxes
08:16 Sponsorship
09:38 The Eerie Silence
11:56 Direct Fermi Paradox
15:11 Capability?
18:38 Motivation?
20:53 Anthropicism
25:01 Extragalactic SETI
27:17 Outro & credits
#fermiparadox #aliens #seti

КОМЕНТАРІ: 7 600
@brianarbenz1329
@brianarbenz1329 Рік тому
Imagine finding out that Fermi was only commenting on the slow service by the wait staff when he asked, “Where is everybody?”
@ricardojmestre
@ricardojmestre Рік тому
😂
@MACHOO179
@MACHOO179 Рік тому
😅😅
@ljg6979
@ljg6979 Рік тому
The lesser known but more commonly felt, "Dining Services Paradox".
@timsmith2525
@timsmith2525 11 місяців тому
I truly simple-and elegant-solution. Kudos.
@protorhinocerator142
@protorhinocerator142 11 місяців тому
That's OK. Heisenberg still couldn't decide what to order anyway. He was so uncertain he ended trying to turn that into his life principle. True story, probably.
@pak-man7429
@pak-man7429 Рік тому
This reminds me of a joke I heard once. Some aliens are passing Earth and do a quick scan. One says, " This species has satellite base weapons." So the other alien ask, " So they are an intelligent species?" The first alien replies with " No, they have them aimed at each other." It a little dark.
@drmarine1771
@drmarine1771 11 місяців тому
Lol. It's like, why are all our telescopes pointing away from earth looking for intelligent life. Cos there's none here.
@thewholeeventhorizon
@thewholeeventhorizon 11 місяців тому
Yeah. Problem is if there is life out there they very likely got started much like us and were considered unintelligent in the beginning as well. We're not unintelligent we're just still very young and immature.
@Kunsoo1024
@Kunsoo1024 11 місяців тому
@@thewholeeventhorizon But it's also possible that planets exist with such an abundance of raw materials for proteins that it didn't require competition between entities, and yet something else spurred on the evolution that they don't even conceive as to why one organism would prey on another. We might be the stuff of nightmares to them.
@Lurzhanrus
@Lurzhanrus 11 місяців тому
@Kunsoo1024 That would inevitably lead to explosive growth of population till there is not enough resources to support population. So, the only way for life on such a planet to survive without violence - to regulate its population, which is done either by violence, or by law restricting reproduction. All of this applies that this life on other planet has reproduction at all. There just couldn't be a planet with unlimited resources. And limited resources lead to limited population. The only way I can see is some kind of genius species, that develops new technologies faster than resources demand grows. So, they leave the planet before demand for resources becomes unsustainable.
@campbelltown3065
@campbelltown3065 11 місяців тому
😂😂😂😂😂😂
@wilson0213
@wilson0213 Місяць тому
I've always contributed it to the fact that the universe is so unfathomably large that the distance between life forms is just beyond comprehension
@randomdaveUK
@randomdaveUK Місяць тому
and constantly getting further apart
@formalities4983
@formalities4983 Місяць тому
Let's colonize the galaxy first. Then worry about the universe.
@formalities4983
@formalities4983 Місяць тому
At the rate we are going, we could, and probably will, colonize the galaxy sometime within the next million years. That is without faster than light travel. It took us about 4 billion years to become sentient. The oldest star in the galaxy is about 13 billion years old. There are an estimated 100 to 400 billion stars in the galaxy. Quite a few of them had a head start on us. Apparently, NONE of them developed a civilization that spread throughout the galaxy. THAT is the FERMI paradox. It is not about why we haven't found life. It is about why we aren't neck deep in extraterrestrial life. If 1 in every 100 million stars had developed an advanced civilization, there would be about 2,000 of them in our galaxy. Intelligent life may be that rare. It also may be that there is a reason it didn't spread throughout the galaxy. We just don't know.😊
@lorenrealname1326
@lorenrealname1326 Місяць тому
The moon is weird, just saying, I'm some nutbar who says things like, the Fermi Paradox was "mostly solved" by testimonies like Asimov on Astronomy (1974), or that "the Moon may have implications for that one chunk of the Drake Equation." I'm not opposed to Boltzmann Brains forming in the cores of stars but it seems uncommon. Leaving a star system is daring, but leaving galaxies seems to have vastly decreased returns. You only have to go so far to get out of a family dinner. Perhaps aliens are holed up in holographic storage awaiting a chance to fix the next universe at the get-go -- I wouldn't be surprised if this is NOT the case -- but yeah... distance and time-slash-rare circumstances looks like the deal to me.
@vinlondon8904
@vinlondon8904 Місяць тому
People always bring the vastness of the universe for the non findings. We can't even get a signal in our own galaxy. What's the universe got to do with it?
@skye4591
@skye4591 Місяць тому
"when was the last time you tried to converse with an insect" great line
@marflitts
@marflitts 26 днів тому
I swore at a mosquito the other day.
@jonpaul3868
@jonpaul3868 25 днів тому
​@@marflitts genius!
@tomperone9338
@tomperone9338 23 дні тому
Yet people study insects. Some people are fascinated by insects. So while an alien intelligence might not view us as intellectual peers, they might still be intrigued by us all the same.
@johnmartinez632
@johnmartinez632 21 день тому
Bruh. In 268 years from now we will find our first exoplante inhabited by a species that'll be in its caveman days and OUR ENTIRE PLANET WOULD BE UTTERLY FASCINATED BY IT. Get real.
@Ash.Crow.Goddess
@Ash.Crow.Goddess 13 днів тому
While technically not an insect, I did apologize to a spider yesterday.
@LuciFeric137
@LuciFeric137 Рік тому
The universe is likely many orders of magnitude larger than we can see. What we've done so far is like looking for fish in a teaspoon of seawater.
@augustgurtisen
@augustgurtisen Рік тому
Yeah, with binoculars from miles away
@Dianasaurthemelonlord7777
@Dianasaurthemelonlord7777 Рік тому
That is due to the expansion of Spacetime shifting light from unimaginably distant objects into... unintelligible garbage, or to the point it's nearly impossible to detect.
@youngimperialistmkii
@youngimperialistmkii Рік тому
Like being an ant. Standing on a leaf. Perched atop a tidal wave.
@brothermine2292
@brothermine2292 Рік тому
​@@Dianasaurthemelonlord7777 : No, the expansion of spacetime is insignificant within a galaxy.
@MikeKayK
@MikeKayK Рік тому
Perhaps. And? Is there a point you were trying to make?
@MrCovi2955
@MrCovi2955 8 місяців тому
I heard a really interesting solution to the fermi paradox from a biologist. She was citing a recent paper where we found that phosphorus is not as common in the galaxy as we initially thought. In fact we have somewhat of a lottery winner here on earth with drastically high amounts as compared to other star systems. Phosphorus is a key ingredient in the storing and transferal of biological energy all the way down to the level of binding DNA together. She said that the paper she had read stated that phosphorus is one of those heavier elements that are formed in supernovae instead of just from fusion and so it is possible that, despite the age of the universe, there has not been enough time necessary to create enough phosphorus for other life to arise. And just like how we're "lucky" to be on the planet that has essential liquid water, we could simply be "lucky" to be in the corner of the universe, in the corner of the galaxy, which has just high enough concentrations for life to have formed here. If that were the case, then we are the precursors who will likely die out as a species long before enough phosphorus is created to support the types of galactic communities we dream of. It may very well be that eons from now, as the universe begins to evolve space faring civilizations, that our ruins are discovered scattered across the stars, and they translate our records of how alone we feel.
@harryc5595
@harryc5595 8 місяців тому
dude...
@nokta7373
@nokta7373 8 місяців тому
So we are actually the Ancients... I knew I was born too soon.
@empyrean196
@empyrean196 8 місяців тому
Possibly. But I more support the theory which states exactly opposite. We’re relatively young civilization. Other intelligent species are likely far ahead of us. Or the sheer vastness/immensity of outer space is too great for any intelligent species to communicate effectively with another.
@Dionysos640
@Dionysos640 8 місяців тому
There are numerous 'accidental' circumstances that have made the evolution of complex life on Earth possible, the presence of water and key elements are just some of them ... The very organisation of the solar system, with large gaseous outer planets acting as a gravitational barrier that minimises the amount of space debris impacting the earth .... the temperature on Earth goverened by its proximity to the Sun ... the Earth's magnetic core protecting the atmosphere from solar raditaion. When you think of all of the things that needed to be in place for it to be possible for the planet to develop and sustain life over periods of time that allow complex organisms to develop ... well, you begin to think that if life in the Galaxy and the Universe is indeed extremely rare, that should be no great surprise to anyone.
@molrat
@molrat 8 місяців тому
@@Dionysos640 i think about that a lot too. I don't necessarily believe it to be true, but i think most ppl are way too quick in the assumption of "the universe is so vast there HAS to be other life out there". We don't even rly know how the very first life formed, what if it's an unimaginably small chance, and the reason we got so "lucky", is easily explained by the weak anthropic principle?
@tagnetorare5401
@tagnetorare5401 Місяць тому
I appreciate your remark on semantics. It is very important for figuring out "which question we are discussing", otherwise the discussion could get too general and shallow
@Radhaugo108
@Radhaugo108 13 днів тому
100 years ago we were still traveling by boat while only 20% of the population could read and write. This space party is just getting started.
@tazerwazerman
@tazerwazerman 9 днів тому
Thousands of years of war has led to this technology. They need to master this planet first, the Ocean bottoms are vastly unknown and many people still can't read.
@Number6_
@Number6_ 8 днів тому
In 1924 america probably true do to the education system there.
@veganfromvenus
@veganfromvenus 4 дні тому
For sure, magical to become aware of this..
@jcldctt
@jcldctt День тому
If we don't kill ourselves through war or climate change, then I'm looking forward to new discoveries.
@pieterboelen2862
@pieterboelen2862 15 годин тому
Whatever is wrong with travelling by boat?
@KeithMoon1980
@KeithMoon1980 Рік тому
I've probably watched hundreds of videos on the Fermi Paradox, and it's so great to see something actually added to the conversation. Someone with something new to say, instead of just essentially reading out the Wikipedia page. Thank you!
@darksu6947
@darksu6947 Рік тому
You've been dead for quite a while haven't you? How have you managed to keep watching videos in the afterlife?
@MM-cz8zt
@MM-cz8zt Рік тому
Yes. Hear here! Your team does such wonderful work. Your channel is one of my favorite channels. Thank you to the entire Cool Worlds Team such thorough and clear explanations. You are truly bringing science to the people. :)
@KeithMoon1980
@KeithMoon1980 Рік тому
@@darksu6947 There isn't a lot to do here in the afterlife. So I mostly just watch UKposts videos.
@Hannah-nf1vg
@Hannah-nf1vg Рік тому
Yea it didn't bring anything to the table, they're already here and don't even use radio for communication on their own planet why would they be emitting it
@sleadaddy
@sleadaddy Рік тому
Worth looking at Isaac Arthur's videos on the topic. Far beyond just a listing of facts to be found there!
@kayliibensen387
@kayliibensen387 Рік тому
Anyone who takes the time to focus on and present nuance on a subject like this is amazing. Thank you for your amazing dedication and work Dr. Kipping. This channel is what I imagined future science documentaries to be when I was a child, before the dark times destroyed television.
@MrJdsenior
@MrJdsenior Рік тому
I don't know how to break this to you, but television was never NOT crap, in terms of teaching anyone anything. It is for entertainment and making money, and virtually nothing else. If it ever gets to the point where science programs on YT aren't entertaining, they will stop, no question about it. They will also stop, meaning die a painful death, when some other medium becomes available that makes it about as interesting as hearing stories around a campfire, unceasingly, for your entire life.
@ejkr2051
@ejkr2051 11 місяців тому
But you forget Game of Thrones! That's an awesome tv series.
@Tom_Bee_
@Tom_Bee_ 8 місяців тому
​@@MrJdseniorI'd take a decent campfire over the dumpster fire of social media culture any day
@squarerootof2
@squarerootof2 8 місяців тому
@@MrJdsenior Lol, I don't know how to break this to you but if you think television, (or social media), is purely for entertainment or money you probably live in a virtual reality, a fantasy world.
@halfsourlizard9319
@halfsourlizard9319 8 місяців тому
If you feel the need to be needlessly formal, you'd address him as 'Prof. Kipping', which is his more-prestigious / higher-precedence title.
@bhadbhris
@bhadbhris 2 місяці тому
Imagine a hypothetical comment section. You don’t see any comments, so you type “first” and hit send. You don’t reload the page, and therefore watch the whole video thinking that you were the first
@UnderpaidGuardD9
@UnderpaidGuardD9 26 днів тому
Oh that makes sense...
@onionjello
@onionjello 23 дні тому
first!
@ab2tract
@ab2tract 10 днів тому
The milky way is 100,000 light years across, the first signal we intentionally sent into space is only 50 light years away...the speed of light pales in comparison to the size of the universe
@MasonHerrick
@MasonHerrick Рік тому
That this channel has less than 10 million subscribers is arguably more mysterious than the Fermi Paradox.
@psywalker7973
@psywalker7973 Рік тому
Nobody I know can really follow, nor appreciate what is being presented in these videos. They want to watch stuff where no thinking is required.
@brown3394
@brown3394 Рік тому
Same principle applies. Yes, the channel will necessarily reach 10 mil. First it has to hit 5, and 3, and 1. Some of us lucky few had to be part of that first sub-mil in order for it to reach 1, then 5, then 10, and so on.
@MasonHerrick
@MasonHerrick Рік тому
@@brown3394 😁
@jeremiahwollander7364
@jeremiahwollander7364 Рік тому
Amen brother. It'll get there though. There's certain videos that can suck you in regardless of your intelligence level. My partner is nowhere near the level of science nerdiness I'm at... But she still really appreciates the way he can tell a story and how he can make anything mundane be like velvet cheesecake to the ears.
@MMAFightMagazine
@MMAFightMagazine Рік тому
​@@brown3394 Few people understand this. They feel that if a channel is "good," then it should have a similar number of subscribers as other great, well-established channels, "instantaneously."
@chemprofdave
@chemprofdave 11 місяців тому
It’s quite possible that spacefaring civilization is rare because it requires a balance of ambition, discretion, and foresight which is difficult to achieve. Civilizations that have a strong tendency to explore and colonize may also be more prone to internal conflict that disrupts their progress. On the other hand, civilizations that are peaceful, stable, and happy might not care to go exploring. Finally, the resources required would need planning and development over long periods of time, whereas short-horizon use of the same resources would be a constant temptation.
@camilohiche4475
@camilohiche4475 9 місяців тому
And also I bet all the billion alien civilizations out there waste their resources and time on toxic useless social media, tiktoks, twitters, instagrams and whatnot.
@tufflucal4037
@tufflucal4037 9 місяців тому
​@@camilohiche4475PRIMITIVE. PRIMITIVE. PRIMITIVE. Undoubtedly preposterous barbarious PRIMITIVE theory. You will never expand knowledge wise as a race, if you think small. Wake up. You are not told truthfully of actual space or Astronomy generally speaking. The Extraterrestrials that you may have been looking for are everywhere and yes, they know Earth as well, interstellar speaking at least. Peace ✌️
@FarmingUnclear
@FarmingUnclear 9 місяців тому
@@camilohiche4475 pleasure worlds
@Farazormal1
@Farazormal1 9 місяців тому
Also if a planet is any larger than earth than rockets become increasingly infeasible for getting into space. At 50% larger than earth (with the same density) rockets could not get you to earth’s orbit.
@FarmingUnclear
@FarmingUnclear 9 місяців тому
@@Farazormal1 I still haven't left your mom's orbit
@robotaholic
@robotaholic 2 місяці тому
I love your channel, and scientific judgments in various subjects. I love your voice and passion for the subject. Just thank you, Dr. Kipping 🤩👍
@marcotrujiilo592
@marcotrujiilo592 3 місяці тому
I watch these types of videos quite often. It’s usually repetitive and I learn nothing new. This channel though, never fails to teach me something new and leave me mind blown. Great job Sir!!!
@TheFluffyDuck
@TheFluffyDuck 8 місяців тому
Great video! I’m an astrobiologist, published and all. My opinion for what it’s worth is simply distance, time and the inverse square law. We have only had a bubble of radio waves going for 80 years, with the furthest chance for a reply arriving tomorrow being only 40 light years away, in a galaxy a 105,000 light years across. That’s only 0.03% of the galaxies diameter. The chances a technological civilisation is within that is minuscule. Secondly is the inverse square law. The change any of our TV shows would “leak out”, and be detectable even by the largest telescope isn’t realistic. The signal would have attenuated well before a few light years. Of which there is only half a douzen stars at most in that sphere. Once again the chance a civilisation is in one of those few star systems out of hundreds of billions is low. The answer to the paradox is space is really really big, and artificial radio sources are puny.
@markhammond7060
@markhammond7060 4 місяці тому
Alcoholics anonymous is probably a more palpable option..
@dicerson9976
@dicerson9976 4 місяці тому
Yeah, alot of people call it a paradox that we see no signs of other civilizations- yet it seems so obvious that there is no way we'd ever be able to with current technology. Artificial EM waves, even all of those ever produced by humanity, are massively overshadowed by cosmic background radiation at extreme distances. Any given signal only has so much raw energy attached to it, and as it spreads out radially that power is gonna decrease dramatically- inverse square law as you said. Even if a signal of ours ever reached another life bearing planet with a technologically advanced civilization, the odds that they'd be able to detect it are functionally zero unless their tech vastly surpasses ours to a fairly incredible degree. To detect such heavily diluted signals amonst the collective radiation of every star in the visible universe is a herculean feat.
@Axel_Andersen
@Axel_Andersen 4 місяці тому
Exactly my thoughts!
@user-gn8rx2uy1n
@user-gn8rx2uy1n 3 місяці тому
astrobiologist already a thing?
@toshiyaar7885
@toshiyaar7885 3 місяці тому
I'm not an astrobiologist, but my thoughts exactly
@MotoHikes
@MotoHikes Рік тому
I freaking love it when you film in the woods. As an environmental science student with a fascination for physics and space, it's the perfect juxtaposition, talking about something so advanced in a setting so very primal. Poetic.
@seionne85
@seionne85 Рік тому
I agree! As someone who grew up in a forest just before the Internet, I appreciate the work you do
@mrsoisauce9017
@mrsoisauce9017 Рік тому
I mean, he’s talking about possible life forms while standing in the natural world. Talking about life while standing in life. Poetic indeed, but for different reasons
@imacmill
@imacmill Рік тому
The original 'green screen'.
@Just.A.T-Rex
@Just.A.T-Rex Рік тому
That’s what my degree is in from Appalachian state university!
@FilmscoreMetaler
@FilmscoreMetaler Рік тому
Dude that's just a background image.
@KemalH
@KemalH 26 днів тому
Thank you for your engaging and informative content! I just found you and am really enjoying your videos. You briefly mentioned the great filter, and I was hoping you'd expand on that theory some more considering the topic. Would you consider making a video about the great filter and perhaps how it relates to this video topic?
@am.655.
@am.655. Місяць тому
Who’s here after 3 body problem?
@mohitsasidharan6002
@mohitsasidharan6002 19 днів тому
Haha, this video popped on my UKposts after watching 3 body problem.😄
@BRODA01
@BRODA01 17 днів тому
What a coincidence 😹
@papabuzz12
@papabuzz12 17 днів тому
That show resurfaced my interest. Lol
@EXMUTRKS
@EXMUTRKS 16 днів тому
Yes I'm here because I'm curious to see what he says the solution to the Fermi Paradox. And I have been looking stuff up related to the 3 Body Problem.
@BarryVP12
@BarryVP12 6 днів тому
I read the book a little while back.
@kylesadirtbag5937
@kylesadirtbag5937 5 місяців тому
This is waaay too interesting to view at 3am and expect to go to sleep… I blame you for my insomnia
@MarinCipollina
@MarinCipollina Місяць тому
Sounds like you need a Sleepcore video
@ItsaRomethingeveryday
@ItsaRomethingeveryday Місяць тому
Sarcasm? 😂
@MarinCipollina
@MarinCipollina Місяць тому
@@ItsaRomethingeveryday Not at all 🙂
@ItsaRomethingeveryday
@ItsaRomethingeveryday Місяць тому
@@MarinCipollina help me to understand
@MarinCipollina
@MarinCipollina Місяць тому
Sleepcore videos feature old retro-futurism like IBM videos, TV company videos, car company videos talking about what they have coming in the future from a 1950s/1960s perspective.. weird, and a bit creepy today, but they'll put you to sleep.. just do a UKposts search.. For instance, in one video, IBM talks about.. putting a computer on an airplane !! (It's a much bigger challenge than simply carrying your MacBook on board..) 😆Great stuff..
@zik2000
@zik2000 Рік тому
I like to think that Fermi returned from Starbucks and no one was in the office so he asked "where is everybody?" And we just took it and ran with it 😅
@CoolWorldsLab
@CoolWorldsLab Рік тому
😂
@st3althyone
@st3althyone Рік тому
Hilarious! 😂😂
@JohnnyWednesday
@JohnnyWednesday Рік тому
Ha! :D
@tucuxir
@tucuxir Рік тому
A simple resolution indeed.
@brothermine2292
@brothermine2292 Рік тому
Everybody was abducted and being probed by aliens.
@sambamiam
@sambamiam 2 місяці тому
Top UKposts channel. The only notification I have ever turned on. Please discuss in depth the Miller-Urey experiment.
@Sabreerbas
@Sabreerbas 2 місяці тому
Not sure how I've only just found your channel. Incredible.
@ZBeansUncut
@ZBeansUncut 8 місяців тому
The problem with the Fermi paradox is that there are too many assumptions to really take it seriously but it’s a great talking point.
@TrueBlueYZ
@TrueBlueYZ 8 місяців тому
Agree, and that includes his version of the 'direct' fermi paradox. It's a naive question, not a paradox.
@nathanmajor6886
@nathanmajor6886 8 місяців тому
@@TrueBlueYZnicely put! the universe is likely far bigger than we are capable of understanding “yet” I personally believe once we reach a certain threshold on earth like no war being the main thing if we cant even get on with ourselves how are we gonna react to alien life…… once we hit this point i think they will make themselves known and allow us to come to them as to not create a panic then we could possibly learn of an inter galactic community….. its just as unlikely as it is likely its interesting to at least think about!
@SeattlePioneer
@SeattlePioneer 8 місяців тому
Yes, something new for intellectuals to do when they are bored with life.
@SophiaAphrodite
@SophiaAphrodite 8 місяців тому
In comparison. We have searched in such a small area of space. It is the equivalent of looking at a glass of water of the ocean looking for a fish. Now if we consider the short period of time we have been detectable. The odds of us being detected is so slim. It equates to zero in the context of a human lifespan.
@SeattlePioneer
@SeattlePioneer 8 місяців тому
Of course that is not true. Carl Sagan set up a testable scientific experiment to search for intelligent, extraterrestrial life. We have conducted that experiment numerous times: Results NEGATIVE. He even wrote a novel about it --- "Contact," in case you haven't read it. In it, he expected alien intelligence to make a point of contacting us rather shortly after radio transmissions reached them. The galaxy crowded with intelligent life Sagan hypothesized has not panned out. YOU simply refuse to accept the results of scientific experiment because it doesn't appeal to what amounts to your religious beliefs. We detected the radio signals of the Big Bang DECADES ago, defining the edge of the known universe. No intelligence other than our own has been detected in that enormous volume. However, if something should turn up ---fine. Call me.
@kevley26
@kevley26 Рік тому
My hunch (for what little it is worth) is that if there are intelligent aliens in our galaxy, there is only a small number of them and that it is not in their nature to expand a lot and build megastructures that we could observe. I think there could only be a small number of them because it would be improbable that none of them have expanded rapidly enough to be observed by us.
@inthefade
@inthefade Рік тому
My hunch is that we just haven’t been looking long and hard enough.
@rodrigomachado5291
@rodrigomachado5291 Рік тому
Your logic is sound, kevley.
@jackesioto
@jackesioto Рік тому
Or maybe our nearest neighboring civilizations may not be advanced enough technologically to go interstellar. They could be in their version of the medieval period, antiquity, great age of sail, etc.
@85Funkadelic
@85Funkadelic Рік тому
Yeah I don't think we should assume that these aliens would build megastructures have faster-than-light travel or even colonize outside their own solar system much less use radio waves that we would be able to detect. It's like looking out your window not seeing any people and saying there are no people.
@o0o-jd-o0o95
@o0o-jd-o0o95 Рік тому
i think that most civilizations end up killing themselves before reaching the ability to leave their solar system ... similar to what is going to happen to us. At the same time I do not believe we are ever going to leave our solar system I don't believe that we can survive without our star and I mean ours specifically. I think that all life that develops within the system of its star can never leave that star without dire consequences. If it wasn't for our star the sun we would not be here and I believe that without our star again we would not survive
@Painter19
@Painter19 Місяць тому
Great sound quality and narration. Excellent production work
@AlmightyDude420
@AlmightyDude420 3 місяці тому
23:05 I'm gonna need some time to process that What an insane, but also completely logical thought.
@mahande88
@mahande88 Місяць тому
I agree, and here's a really dark twist for you. If our galaxy is the only one without AGI's on a mission of galactic conquest, then WE are the ones to let the AGI loose in this galaxy.
@Thunderhorse007
@Thunderhorse007 Місяць тому
@@mahande88 That is an interesting thought. If we develop a way to detect it and discover that lots of other galaxies are overrun by AGI, then the implication would be truly harrowing. To know that the advancement of technology would be our doom...
@thingonathinginathing
@thingonathinginathing Місяць тому
Might explain certain NHI described here on Earth. Tbh
@ParallaxEffect
@ParallaxEffect Місяць тому
Maybe the filter is when those capable enough to see the other AGI colonies then work hard (brutally destroy / outlaw/ self destruct) to prevent themselves becoming one themselves.
@jameswebb8162
@jameswebb8162 Рік тому
Wow, didn’t know there were more than 1 Fermi hypotheses. That you so much for the episodes. I’m not able to go to college due to my cancer (multiple myeloma) and really enjoy continuing my my education!! I am a 10 year warrior and continue fighting till their is a cure!!
@galaxia4709
@galaxia4709 Рік тому
I sincerely hope you get better! Take care!
@CoolWorldsLab
@CoolWorldsLab Рік тому
Keep fighting and hoping you recover
@pit2ryan3
@pit2ryan3 Рік тому
@@CoolWorldsLab - It's not a fight!
@diaryofacrankykid7270
@diaryofacrankykid7270 Рік тому
@@pit2ryan3 as someone who's recovered from one it is exactly a personal fight like no other. You won't know until you've been in those shoes mate.
@keanenfulton4696
@keanenfulton4696 Рік тому
​@@pit2ryan3 Yes it is bud
@olddecimal2736
@olddecimal2736 Рік тому
Considering potential scenarios with an open mind without perpetuating pet assumptions, beliefs, hopes or conclusions sets you apart, Prof. . Many thanks and much respect to your realistic contributions
@Nathan-vt1jz
@Nathan-vt1jz 3 місяці тому
The weak anthropic principle is a good caveat in looking at any probabilistic theory, but I also think it can be overstated or dismissive of attempts to come to an answer. I think the weak anthropic principle is better used to highlight where we lack data than as a silver bullet to probabilistic questions like the Fermi Paradox.
@tommymandel
@tommymandel Місяць тому
Thanks for a beautiful video. I didn't understand all the reasoning, but feel that the distances are so vast, and our issues here so great, that it doesn't really matter, other than to induce in us a sense of humility.
@nw42
@nw42 Рік тому
The Fermi paradox in a nutshell: “Why isn’t there evidence of intelligences with totally different evolutionary paths from our own doing what only _some_ of us would do: attempting to contact us with 20th century technology across almost unfathomable distances? We’ve been searching for them for over .02% of humanity’s history, but we’ve still found nothing!” Don’t get me wrong, the search for extraterrestrial intelligence is fascinating, yet I feel like many of us have grossly underestimated the scope of the challenge.
@captain_context9991
@captain_context9991 11 місяців тому
Pretty much, yeah. There IS no Fermi paradox. We dont need one to explain why life is rare and far apart in the universe. And life that walks around and has its own space program, almost INFINITELY rare. See... No Fermi paradox needed.
@captainscum5726
@captainscum5726 11 місяців тому
the Universe is so vast in space/time and Life so short in comparison that the scale of the task should be obvious to everyone, it seems to me.
@garyfoster9478
@garyfoster9478 11 місяців тому
The Fermi para , does make me laugh. 2 things it doesn't take into account the fact that there probably going to be extra dimensional . Which means conventional space travel doesn't even come into it. Aslo there's a very good chance / probably a certainty that first contact with at least one race has already been made in private. This will never ever be disclosed. The reason for this is people riot when there's no toilet role on the shelves of lidl. Imagine what would happen if this sudden revelation was to occur. It would be catastrophic
@Kingeptacon
@Kingeptacon 11 місяців тому
“Why isn’t there evidence?” This is a shit ton of evidence. We’re spoiled with evidence.
@captain_context9991
@captain_context9991 11 місяців тому
@@Kingeptacon Spoiled with evidence of what?
@MrAaronvee
@MrAaronvee 11 місяців тому
Fermi always liked to pose questions, such as 'how many piano-tuners does San Francisco need', and get an answer on the basis of simple assumptions. When he applied his usual reasoning to alien visitation, the answer simply turned out to be zero. It may have been thought to be a paradox at the time because it seemed to run counter to Drake's equation.
@eriknelson2559
@eriknelson2559 8 місяців тому
"where are they all" = "The Bugger Formic Invid Zentraedi Robotech Masters are overdue"
@oldionus
@oldionus 8 місяців тому
Drake's equation was forumalated years later and makes WILD and completely unsupported assumptions to arrive at a large number, when making more reasonable, conservative assumptions will generally yield the number zero, or one, since we are here. (Galaxy; if you consider the whole universe it's a bit different, but uncorroborable). I suspect Fermi himself would've taken Drake, set some of the parameters to "effectively zero," and arrived at the conclusion that WE are a fluke.
@Alexander_Kale
@Alexander_Kale 8 місяців тому
If I recall correctly, Fermi didn't see it as a paradox. He just concluded that interstellar travel was likely too hard. SO even if there WERE other intelligent species out there, they would remain cooped up within their respective solar systems. It just becasme a paradox later, as people began to conclude that maybe space travel isn't actually impossible.
@eriknelson2559
@eriknelson2559 8 місяців тому
all large-scale science, from Geology (Planetology) to Cosmology, has always advanced from the principle of Uniformity (Uniformitarianism) = "what's here is there is everywhere & when" confirmed batting average to date = 1.000 slugging percentage = 4.000 strikeout percentage = 0.000 never (yet) failed always (yet) proved true
@squarerootof2
@squarerootof2 8 місяців тому
@@oldionus We are a fluke, the solar system is a fluke and the whole universe is a fluke. We should be called the fluke species on the fluke universe fine-tuned for fluking flukes.
@Kaush.
@Kaush. Місяць тому
We are living on a leaf of a shrub in a very large dark forest.
@how2b407
@how2b407 Місяць тому
I think of it this way. We are a species living on an inch in Alaska's Wrangell St. Elias National Park & Preserve (a national park that has about 13.2 million acres). Or a centimeter in yellowstone national park. Whatever the analogy the fact of the matter is if we do see signs of live we will have to go through stages - 1. Confirmation - how do we even confirm that a planet contains life if its located in a different solar system? The closest star to ours (Proxima Centuari) is 4.2 light years away. Thats about 80 thousand years. 2. Contact - how the hell do we communicate with them? What if their system of communication is different? I guarantee a 99% chance they dont speak any language that are on earth. 3. How do we get their - we currently do not have the technology to get there. Although this might change in the next few decades. No matter how you look at it we need major advances in technology (in computers, communication, travel, and space) to even make inter stellar travel possible, much less find other life forms.
@zebcode
@zebcode Рік тому
I've been watching this channel for some time now. The content is always interesting. The presenter is awesome. I love the style of presentation, not stupidified , no spoon feeding. This has become one of my favourite vlogs and I really appreciate the thought provoking content. Please keep doing what you're doing.
@happychappy492
@happychappy492 Рік тому
You look like you are ready to rob a bank with that mask on
@ejkr2051
@ejkr2051 11 місяців тому
He probably already did,hence the picture. 😉
@benmckinley1940
@benmckinley1940 11 місяців тому
Cool Worlds and Melody Sheep are my two favourite space themed channels.
@Atheist7
@Atheist7 11 місяців тому
@@happychappy492 I agree...... Or, Hallowe'en every day over there.
@Mustachioed_Mollusk
@Mustachioed_Mollusk Рік тому
Imagine how ground breaking it would be to speak with insects! All life is worth investigating much in the same way subatomic particles are worth observing. Possibly Love this stuff. ❤
@DreamskyDance
@DreamskyDance Рік тому
Considering your name, i have to mention that the finishing statement in this video reminded me of scp-7999 tale. I watched it few weeks ago on the "the exploring series" youtube channel. It's about kind of a solving of Fermi paradox, but a beautiful tale. Read or watch/listen to it... you'll probably like it
@I.C.Weiner
@I.C.Weiner Рік тому
I talk to the bees l the time. They are so dull. All they want to talk about is gathering nectar.
@pit2ryan3
@pit2ryan3 Рік тому
@@I.C.Weiner - They don't gather nectar, they gather pollen... And don't steal their honey...
@keanenfulton4696
@keanenfulton4696 Рік тому
​@@pit2ryan3 I love honey, make me stop.
@PhoenixNL72-DEGA-
@PhoenixNL72-DEGA- Рік тому
@@pit2ryan3 Uhm, no they gather nectar from flowers, mixed with basically their saliva this turns into honey. Pollen are a trick used by the plants, and are bascially stowaways in the hairs and legs of the bees which the bee accidentally deposits on a subsequent visit to another flower of the same genus. AKA Bees do not consume pollen, nor do they visit flowers to gather them intentionally.
@dhow414
@dhow414 4 місяці тому
My belief is that the biggest issue with finding signals from alien civilizations comes down to a simple issue of energy. The amount of energy required to communicate at great distances drops by a huge amount if the signal is controlled in such a way that the vast majority of the signal sent arrives directly on the intended receiver. In other words if 100% of the energy used to transmit a signal arrives at the receiver then 0% of the signal escapes to be detected by a young civilization. We have been more and more often controlling our signals and will likely reach a very efficient way of communicating within 1-200 years. If that is the case then it is likely that most civilizations generate large amounts of signals that could be detected for only short periods of time before becoming silent as their communications become too efficient to be easily detected. This would greatly reduce the possibility that we will ever hear a signal that was not directed at our world for the purpose of our hearing them.
@cinemaipswich4636
@cinemaipswich4636 Місяць тому
We are on the verge of A.I. long before inter solar flight. It is reasonable that alien A.I.'s will arrive before any alien star ship. The alien A.I. may arrive "by transmission" rather than on a physical ship.
@gregorysagegreene
@gregorysagegreene Місяць тому
For Gawd's sake, don't toon in to that band!
@wildoskistudios9217
@wildoskistudios9217 Рік тому
I love the conclusion to this video. wrapped up perfectly... Plus the fact you took the laptop and mixer outside for a more natural setting. 5 stars :D
@jackesioto
@jackesioto Рік тому
Agreed
@LOOY756
@LOOY756 9 місяців тому
We tend to assume aliens would develop on similar lines to us, animals that evolved to become smarter, then built machines to enhance themselves, but it's entirely possible they'd just be so weird we wouldn't recognize them as life initially.
@shadowling77777
@shadowling77777 8 місяців тому
Cybertron silicon based transformer life xd
@mightisright
@mightisright 8 місяців тому
Temporal explanation: Why didn't humans interact with dinosaurs? Their lifetimes never overlapped. That's just on this planet. Aliens not only have to span the universe to get here, they would have to arrive at the right time for us to see and hear them. Allegedly they have already done this, but the people who say this are dismissed. So what do you want if you have no ears the hear, eyes to the see or brains to think?
@Alexander_Kale
@Alexander_Kale 8 місяців тому
I mean, sure, if it behaves like inert rocks, we might overlook it. But as soon as it starts building stuff, or in more general terms, "doing" stuff, you would be hard pressed not to recognize it. For crying out lout, one of the necessary properties a mortal entity needs to have is self replication. That would be pretty hard to miss under any circumstance I can think of.
@LOOY756
@LOOY756 8 місяців тому
​@@Alexander_Kale That you can think of, with your brain made of meat.
@GreenBlueWalkthrough
@GreenBlueWalkthrough 8 місяців тому
To be fair they kinda had to if we assume they come from this universe and developed like us.
@romans323ful
@romans323ful Місяць тому
This is so interesting, I really regret not getting a healthier more deep curiosity in all the sciences and especially astronomy / mathematics theories long before spending 59 years on this earth.
@skorpion7132
@skorpion7132 2 місяці тому
The most simplest way I can see/say this is like: Imagine the universe of Stargate SG1/Atlantis or even SGU, then take away all the stargates: ... and voila. We just do not know and there are far too many different possibilities as to why.
@BoatmakerBot
@BoatmakerBot Рік тому
I believe it was called as a Paradox because the initial assumptions and coefficients give rise to millions of civilizations as solutions, just in our Milky Way Galaxy, yet we have the 'eerie silence' as you reminded us earlier in this video.
@nevisstkitts8264
@nevisstkitts8264 11 місяців тому
There is no silence. We just don't know how to listen.
@davemccombs
@davemccombs 11 місяців тому
@@nevisstkitts8264 Ohhhh, edgy
@adamnguyen4517
@adamnguyen4517 11 місяців тому
⁠@@nevisstkitts8264 There can still be silence. Noise is an active action, and if they decided to just stop we’d hear nothing.
@olivercharles2930
@olivercharles2930 11 місяців тому
@@davemccombs ...I don't think that was edgy in the slightest.
@RuckFussia
@RuckFussia 11 місяців тому
@@davemccombs How's that edgy?
@BlackGryph0n
@BlackGryph0n Рік тому
An elegant solution! Still, I wonder if it's possible that life (or even humanity) IS the product of roaming AGI... However, even if life and AGI are not one and the same, isn't it possible to have both life and self-replicating colonization technologies in the same galaxy? It's not required that all AGI should render planets uninhabitable. Maybe those who created the AGI programmed it to intentionally avoid life-bearing planets or even designed it in such a way that it would be disabled or destroyed when encountering the building blocks of life as we know it (complex proteins, solvents, water, oxygen, etc). I feel like, barring all technological constraints, if humanity were to design self-replicating machinery for galactic colonization, we would be very intentional about not harming other forms of life... (Many may disagree with this, but I've always felt like the pessimistic expectation surrounding humanity's propensity for compassion and altruism is the very thing that indicates the presence and importance of altruism to our species. I'm not saying selfish and destructive people don't exist, but collectively we seem to view them as a detriment to our survival rather than an asset, much like our immune system responds to a virus or cancer cells. If humanity were all inherently selfish, cautionary tales wouldn't exist and the "villains" in movies like Avatar would be the heroes. As a species, we train ourselves to recognize "good" and "evil" and most of us desire to be "good"). Perhaps selflessness is a product unique to our evolution, but I feel like it stands to reason that most intelligent species must develop some form of altruism in order to cooperate and survive without first destroying themselves. Maybe that is the great filter? If so, maybe it's a good thing that prevents predominantly selfish and destructive species from gaining the power and technology necessary to colonize an entire galaxy.
@ignorancebeater650
@ignorancebeater650 Рік тому
No, it's not an elegant solution. It's a very unlikely hypothesis, even, and I'll explain above why.
@-danR
@-danR Рік тому
@@ignorancebeater650 If it were an elegant solution it would be transparently explicable, and I couldn't think of a worse way for the presenter to have explained it. All its elegance is distilled into a superlative visual and aural ambiance, divorced from the art of explication. Sound pedagogy doesn't _have_ to be beautiful, but beauty doesn't make it sound.
@MrBrew4321
@MrBrew4321 Рік тому
To answer your questions about why agi would logically take over a galaxy and render it in inhabitable. Consider just one doomsday machine they could develop. The nano tech von Neumann swarm. There likely would be thousands of good agi powered android races, but one malevolent race with the wrong idea and it's all over. That's just the nature of intergalactic war.
@Quintessentguy
@Quintessentguy Рік тому
There is plenty of evidence, although covered up by governmental powers, that we've been visited by aliens. I'm close to Area 51 right now. I learned in graduate school as a philosophy student a crucial question that is so often overlooked in inquiry. "What is at stake?" There are a multitude of possible answers. You have to be smart and unbiased to see them. If people knew that aliens were present, well, watch "Contact" again. We're still a very weak species, overall. I hate to admit AI will correct many things because fear and prejudice are not present there.
@GonzoTehGreat
@GonzoTehGreat Рік тому
This "explanation" (for the apparent Fermi Conditional Paradox) relies on the questionable assumption that such an AGI, (or equivalent, advanced space faring intelligence) would still be interested in planetary colonizarion, but there's no reason why this should be the case...
@curerose0630
@curerose0630 Місяць тому
23:17 hey this is extremely similar to what I thought this morning while sitting in maths class. It’s that using calculus or whatever, we can calculate the probability of something happening, and that probability may be 99.9%, but after that something actually happens, the probability is 100%. So the probability of galactic colonization might be 99.9%, but the fact that it hasn’t happened here means that we fall in the 0.1% category, and that 0.1% is actually 100% to us
@jeremiahwollander7364
@jeremiahwollander7364 Рік тому
I am so glad I found this channel. You are a master at conveying deep thoughts in a succinct, approachable, and at times poetic manner. I also love how rewatchable a lot of your videos are. Your 'Watching The End Of The World' video is so beautiful, and I've even fallen asleep to it multiple times.... It's like an adult bedtime story that is so relaxing. It's your voice cadence and the fact that I can just hear the love you put in to these videos. Keep on being an amazing, brilliant, and loving human.❤
@James-fe7wd
@James-fe7wd Рік тому
Amazing channel, must be said!
@prototropo
@prototropo Рік тому
Well put, Jeremiah. I love that video, too, along with all the videos in which Dr. Kipping has narrated the interwoven histories of the Milky Way, our solar system, Earth, life, complex intelligence and the cosmos. The principles and possibilities that are elucidated along the way are just boggling. And riveting!
@warrenreid6109
@warrenreid6109 Рік тому
In short thanks for dumbing this down for us laymen.
@uncleanunicorn4571
@uncleanunicorn4571 Рік тому
Cool world guy should do a collaboration with Isaac Arthur.
@prototropo
@prototropo Рік тому
@@uncleanunicorn4571 I agree! I think Dr. Kipping once referenced Arthur quite admiringly. For me they are the quasars of plausible speculation -- propelled by boyish enthusiasm and anchored by scholarly rigor. In fact they sort of function as gyroscopes for some incredibly intelligent but sometimes zany communities, maintaining equipoise in our collective imagination.
@dreadblock7592
@dreadblock7592 8 місяців тому
Reminds me of Liu Cixin's book series The Three Body Problem, his explanation being that survival and natural selection still take place in space with Aliens doing their best to hide while other Aliens hunt for other civilizations.
@rinzlr3554
@rinzlr3554 3 місяці тому
I’m glad I didn’t have to scroll this far to find this. The Dark Forest theory is nothing but terrifying
@stunxna
@stunxna 2 місяці тому
@@rinzlr3554terrifying if real bc of how noisy we have been but it is quite something to ponder on
@rinzlr3554
@rinzlr3554 2 місяці тому
@@stunxna as of now with our technological capabilities, I’m not too worried. We transmit a lot through radio waves and they tend to degrade quickly. Unless an advanced alien civilization had some kind of ability to detect something so small then they already know we exist or they don’t care, or both. It’s going to be a far different story when we (if) become an interstellar civilization that can transmit across light years.
@joejoe7562
@joejoe7562 2 місяці тому
The Dark Forest idea is interesting but I don't believe ultimately, realistic. Intelligence wants to connect with other intelligences.
@dreadblock7592
@dreadblock7592 2 місяці тому
@@joejoe7562 hard to agree, most humans attacked and enslave or went to war over resources, land, religion, etc regardless of if the enemies had si.ilar lvls of intelligence. Ive never seen the FIRST interaction being an attempt at understanding. If anything, the idea of a species connecting with another species is unrealistic, the cultural difference and appearance would make it difficult to connect.
@High_Key
@High_Key 4 дні тому
I’ve been deep in the ancient civilizations rabbit hole for the past couple of years now and based on extinction level phenomena that could occur on earth, I’d argue that this happens on many planets in many galaxies. Pair that with the sheer distance between celestial bodies, and to me this is the answer. Civilizations that are smart enough to *eventually* develop the technology for interstellar travel, just may never get the opportunity to.
@phillipprak9683
@phillipprak9683 7 днів тому
Imagine being an alien and wondering the exact same things that we are and just not having technology to reach us or communicate with us. The topic around aliens always revolves around the idea that there’s so much more technologically advanced than we are when in theory, they could be doing and wondering, the exact same things we are “where is everybody?”
@neanda
@neanda Рік тому
I hope that your videos are used in high schools etc., they're so much more insightful than the teachers who feel forced to teach. There's a big difference between those who love to teach and those who have to. It's the education system that's wrong, and I'm so glad we have people like your good self making videos. Communicating science must be an extremely hard job, like switching between knowing a fk ton to making it a gram. Nuff respect brother
@veramae4098
@veramae4098 Рік тому
Ummm, it would help schools if kids were polite.
@falconquest2068
@falconquest2068 Рік тому
@@veramae4098 Ummm, it would helps kids if parents taught and practiced values like politeness.
@watcherofvideoswasteroftim5788
@watcherofvideoswasteroftim5788 Рік тому
I feel like the first 6 minutes was a great reason to call the question "Where is everybody?" poetic because it educes a lot of great questions that all hold answers that help us understand our own position in the universe and how much we have yet to learn about biology, society, technology and our selves.
@procrastinator9
@procrastinator9 Рік тому
Funny. I was going to comment that the viewer should skip the first 6 minutes to bypass the semantic word salad before he even started addressing the point of the video.
@XL-5117
@XL-5117 11 місяців тому
It’s interesting that Where is Everybody is the first episode of The Twilight Zone!
@Shwammi
@Shwammi 11 місяців тому
okay, now after @procrastinators and your comments... I now must watch this. :)
@TomTom-du5qv
@TomTom-du5qv 11 місяців тому
Perhaps they all left the visible universe as soon as they had the technology because they understand that "sticking around" results in inevitable death.
@Alphadestrious
@Alphadestrious 11 місяців тому
Distances are too vast. Life exists elsewhere but the physical limits of speed of light cannot be over come
@Yonneax
@Yonneax 3 місяці тому
Your voice is amazing. I love listening while doing yoga. Very soothing. ❤❤❤
@user-lb8bg6kj9m
@user-lb8bg6kj9m Місяць тому
Don't rip your pants 👖
@christopherbettridge5983
@christopherbettridge5983 Місяць тому
I'm really enjoying yer way of explaining yourself man, seriously. People talking about extraterrestrial superluminally "minded" organisms? Whatever. But your last video (last to me only, of course) about the ridiculous indifference to whether or not this is a simulation (my emphasis, as I genuinely get frustrated by such things taking up not only people's curiosity but their whole lives when there is SO MUCH to be curious about) really struck me. So I have to point out, and I ramble when I'm sleep deprived sorry, that the "aliens" ain't stealin' the DSNY litter receptacles. They're RETURNING them. Hence- "Where is everybody?" Nice mike, by the way
@jamesrussell7760
@jamesrussell7760 Рік тому
Very thought provoking, Dr Kipping. Reminds me of the SF novel of a self-replicating robot 'culture', originally intended to explore and report back their findings, but whose computer programming (their machine DNA) went awry, leaving only the "self-replicating" part intact, the result being they became an interstellar plague, destroying the life they were sent to find.
@DrumToTheBassWoop
@DrumToTheBassWoop Рік тому
Whats the name of the novel? 🤔
@asdrake1327
@asdrake1327 Рік тому
@@DrumToTheBassWoop Good old Gray Goo
@DrumToTheBassWoop
@DrumToTheBassWoop Рік тому
@@asdrake1327 pardon ? 🤨
@asdrake1327
@asdrake1327 Рік тому
@@DrumToTheBassWoop Gray Goo is a book about the extinction of all life on earth via endlessly replicating nanotechnology that resembles a gray goo
@DrumToTheBassWoop
@DrumToTheBassWoop Рік тому
@@asdrake1327 oww, okay i'll give that a read.
@hermesbrookover285
@hermesbrookover285 Рік тому
This is hands down the best analysis of the Fermi paradox that I have ever seen. Well done Cool Worlds.
@mickieg1994
@mickieg1994 25 днів тому
The Idea of hearing a clear transmission that accounts to a hello would be quite terrifying, given the idea that it was from so long ago that they dont exist anymore, we will only ever hear/see an alien civilization millions of years after they have long since gone extinct. Knowing that any attempt of our own would have the same result.
@JohnCiaccio
@JohnCiaccio 2 місяці тому
At the end of Neromancer by William Gibson there was a conversion between a human and an unleashed AI. Where the AI says that they where out their all the time trying to talk to us and it took an A.I with unrestrained power to recognize it. Gibson even touched on this back in the 80’s.
@joshuapatrick682
@joshuapatrick682 8 місяців тому
Simple answer: we are causally disconnected from our closest stellar neighbors with few exceptions. There is no traveling from one system to another without distorting gravity and therefore space time.
@BillyWitchDoctorDotCom
@BillyWitchDoctorDotCom Місяць тому
Or just hoof it at sub-light speed. Planets (and stars for that matter) don't last forever, you either have to leave or die at some point.
@LoicRolasLRD
@LoicRolasLRD 8 місяців тому
I believe there's a crucial aspect of the solution that has been rarely explored. Let's assume the existence of other life forms in the universe, and let's also assume that these beings share our motivation to seek out other life forms. In this context, a vital question arises: "Are we currently detectable by life forms possessing technology equivalent to ours?" Approximately 150 years ago, we initiated the transmission of radio signals, with a more focused effort toward being detectable beginning around 60 years ago. As things stand with equivalent technological capabilities than ours, humans can be detected within a radius of 150 light years. This, however, only accounts for a ridiculous tiny portion of the size of our galaxy. Consequently, even though we are certain of our existence, we remain imperceptible to 99.99% of the rest of the galaxy with our current level of technology. So any other life form out there will probably also think that humans do not exist.
@omarbahrour
@omarbahrour 8 днів тому
Great vid, I like the way you present material
@beardmonster8051
@beardmonster8051 29 днів тому
Just a quick note: AGI doesn't in itself imply autonomy and agency. It's perfectly possible to imagine machines who even surpass human general intelligence, without any ability to act without direct instructions and who don't have any motives at all beyond what we explicitly tell them to do. And it definitely doesn't imply sentience.
@ericbarr734
@ericbarr734 11 місяців тому
That was an incredible sign off. I love putting the entire discussion into the frame of our own limited time and what power we have to achieve our goals in that limited time. Thank you for that. Your videos are meaningful from a science education perspective but also from a personal motivation and well being perspective.
@masonb9788
@masonb9788 10 місяців тому
Our time is a tiny sliver. The odds of any other slivers matching up with ours and also having the ability to communicate or travel? I just don’t see it.
@tufflucal4037
@tufflucal4037 9 місяців тому
​@@masonb9788PRIMITIVE. PRIMITIVE. PRIMITIVE. Undoubtedly preposterous barbarious PRIMITIVE theory. You will never expand knowledge wise as a race, if you think small. Wake up. You are not told truthfully of actual space or Astronomy generally speaking. The Extraterrestrials that you may have been looking for are everywhere and yes, they know Earth as well, interstellar speaking at least. Peace ✌️
@IDisagreeWithYouAlot
@IDisagreeWithYouAlot 5 місяців тому
Man this is truly a great channel. Please don’t stop doing what you’re doing. For the sake of humanity.
@krzysztofkowalski2816
@krzysztofkowalski2816 Місяць тому
you owe the 2000 for rent we charge, you cant just our price is out of this world.
@RingoAnselmo
@RingoAnselmo Місяць тому
Pffff slow down bro he is just a small meaningless youtuber
@NunyaBidness-ck5wb
@NunyaBidness-ck5wb 9 днів тому
Great video, but I disagree with the finite time assumption at the end. While as individuals it is true we are limited by the time we have, there is no definitive proof that collectively we are thusly limited.
@noapologizes2018
@noapologizes2018 10 місяців тому
The Fermi Paradox gives aliens too much credit, especially the ability to transmit responses to our electronic inquiries. And even more presumptuous is assuming aliens have interstellar traveling capabilities. Maybe there is some sort of life on some far off planet millions of AUs from earth, but they have the same problem man has. He's stuck at home without a ride.
@Tom_Quixote
@Tom_Quixote 8 місяців тому
Yep. This is the ACTUAL simple solution to this so-called "paradox". This channel calls it a conditional paradox... I'd say Occam's Razor suggests aliens are simply not able to travel or communicate across the vast distances.
@Tigerh8r
@Tigerh8r 8 місяців тому
OR - that they already did and are long gone. The chances of a race on an even remotely the same level of technology as us and them or their "signals" crossing paths with us out here on the unfashionable western spiral arm of the galaxy within the 50 years we've been searching is insanely small. Could be plenty way below us, or way above us. Their signals might not be here yet, or maybe they've been here and gone. The galaxy is almost 14 billion years old.
@austinhertell5634
@austinhertell5634 8 місяців тому
Exactly. Seems pretty simple. I think there are aliens, but we’re just too damn far away
@legendofrobbo
@legendofrobbo 8 місяців тому
except not really large scale human civilization has existed for only 6000 years or so in the last 200 years of that we have gone from horse and carriage and everything being hand made to automation, computers and crude spaceflight that is an absuredly tiny period of time on the galactic scale, barely a blink unless we are the first or among the first sentient life to emerge then any other alien civilization would have had practically unlimited time to develop before us granted it could be that FTL travel is impossible and despite all their advanced technology they still have to wait decades or centuries for a ship to fly to the next star, so they exist but simply haven't had time to reach us yet (or they know of us but don't deem it worthwhile to fly all the way over here and contact us)
@teaser6089
@teaser6089 8 місяців тому
​@@legendofrobboactually humans were able to develop so fast due to the large coal reserves. These coal reserves were only able to develop so large, because bacteria were unable to eat trees for hundreds of millions of years, bacteria evolved this ability randomly. If on an alien planet bacteria would develop this ability much faster, or large trees didnt develop as fast or at all and instead large ferns would exist for much longer than on earth could reduce the coal reserves of that planet drastically! This would in tern effect the speed of development of that alien civilization, they might need to spend much longer developing machines that dont use coal, without the fast revolution of steam power that was our industrial revolution. Maybe their planet doesn't have a medium-large continent in the same spot as earth has Europe, which due to physics has the perfect climate for large population centers to develop on the most fertile soil and instead has a much slower population growth and therefore less pressure to develop new technology. Maybe they Arent as warlike and therefore didnt have the same pressures to develop many of the fields of technology that have their routes in fighting war that humanity has, many of the tech we use each day has their routes in tech developed for war after all. Maybe their planet has 1-5% more water than earth and therefore has much smaller landmasses spread further out, also causing a slower growth. The other way around is also possible, but the argument that we were able to get where we are in X amount of time is no proof that other would be able to do the same. Just look at the differences on earth itself, even if we ignore colonization and go back to a time where Europe barely influenced Africa directly, we see that Europe developed MUCH faster(and still does) than other regions of the world, if these differences exist on planetary scale, it is very reasonable to assume this is the case for Interstellar scale as well. There is no doubt that there are more advanced and just as advanced civilizations out there, but just because they exist, doesn't mean they want to visit us. I mean how many people from Europe want to go visit Africa and take a look how tribes live their life, the number is small and well going to Africa is a small distance, now imagine traveling thousands of light years to go look at some monkeys and their small problems. I'd bet that apart from some of their scientists finding it useful to observe us, they dont need to actually visit us to do that. We are a species that record so much of our daily lives with video and audio recordings, writing it down in blogs and we all put it publicly on the internet. The only thing an alien species has to do to observe us, is put a low observable probe somewhere in the Galaxy and connect to our internet, if they are advanced enough to travel here, it's reasonable to assume they can produce a probe that is not observeable by our current technology and connect to our internet without being detected, by doing this they can observe our species through our own eyes, the billions upon billions of gigabythes of data we all produce and put on databases would be more than enough to observe us and they could always put a probe closer to take pictures and videos from space to get even more information. If you look at our development and with current telwscopes(both space and ground), the upcoming and well theorized telescope concepts, we could very well be within 100 years of being able to have sub meter sized resolution from Earth when observing Mars or Venus. Now a days if James Webb was in the moons orbit it could see an object that was 50 meters big, obviously James Webb wasnt designed for this, so we could probably already do better if money wasnt the problem. Therefore my 5 cents is that aliens dont need to even come visit us, when they have better tech then us, cause they could do it from afar and our own experience as a civilization and our development cant just be copy pasted to an alien world, cause the environment will always differ for them.
@RLReagan
@RLReagan 8 місяців тому
This guy speaks so well. He’s easy on the eye too. I don’t know his name but I like his presentations.
@evilblack2416
@evilblack2416 22 дні тому
>"A ten thousand year space flight would not be a problem for an AGI" The power consumption and heat output of GPUs running Stable Diffusion would like to have a word with you.
@swimdeep189
@swimdeep189 Місяць тому
When you've seen one there is no Paradox. You all carry on.I know the truth and i am grateful and blessed to be aware of the Truth before i pass.
@steelswarm2721
@steelswarm2721 Місяць тому
I believe you. Can you describe what you've seen?
@noylj1
@noylj1 Рік тому
Have you considered that we might be on one the first solar systems with heavy metals required for technology? It would at least four stages of Nova to spread enough heavy metals to get enough on a planet
@arthas640
@arthas640 11 місяців тому
I've actually thought about that a lot. Humanity is kind of lucky since we got tons of coal, oil, and gas which provides insane amounts of energy, not to mention some good easily domesticated work animals. Just looking at different cultures we can see the effects of those things. Pack animals are thought to be a major reason why Old World civilizations became so much more advanced then New World ones. A horse or ox can do the work of a handful of men and they can eat foods we cant (grass) basically making them a free source of labor. That meant many tasks could be done by animals freeing up more time for humans to ponder, plan, and think which meant faster technological advancement. Things like water wheels and windmills grew from similar machines done by animals but at greater efficiency. It's thought that the widespread use of that kind of tech was why Europe advanced faster in the middle ages and early modern period. Without the earlier machines built for animals like the ox mill we'd likely have taken longer to develop the windmill. Widespread use of charcoal and later coal is what created the industrial revolution. Without both coal and lots of metal it wouldnt have been possible and the amount of work even a simple coal/steam powered machine can do compared to manpower is INSANE. I've heard the earliest practical steam engines could do the work of an entire work crew or village. Once we started using oil and gas that got even more insanely efficient. For a frame of reference a pre-modern laborer could burn 3000-8000 calories in a day (which includes nearly 2000 just to carry out bodily tasks and survive) but a single gallon of gas contains around 32,000 calories and a single GRAM of uranium is around 200 million calories. Without a metal rich planet, fossil fuel deposits, or other key resources it would take far, FAR longer for any civilization to develop. Not only would it take them far longer to develop to the point of using solar, hydro (assuming earth levels of water), or wind but they'd also have less efficiency compared to fossil fuels which would mean getting to space would take them forever to achieve and only then would they be able to get access to the levels of minerals we have on earth.
@Brickerbrack
@Brickerbrack 11 місяців тому
I've made a similar argument myself. I don't know about needing _four_ stages of novas, but from my (limited) understanding, I'd say at least _two,_ and considering our solar system formed when the universe was about, what, 9.3 billion years old?, that sounds tentatively like _just_ enough time for two generations of stellar life cycles, _maybe._ And never mind the _metals_ for technology; the key thing is _intelligence,_ and _that_ requires time and evolution, and a fairly specific set of circumstances; namely, an environment that's volatile enough to force life in it to adapt in order to survive, but not _so_ volatile that it snuffs everything out before it can start. Our planet managing to maintain 4 billion years of relative, but not _complete,_ stability, has to be a pretty rare thing, I'd surmise.
@teugene5850
@teugene5850 Рік тому
Professor Kipping - you continue to make me excited for learning and asking the big questions! Thank you!
@robertmatthews4244
@robertmatthews4244 4 місяці тому
Well said. Nice presentation.🙏
@rsvp87
@rsvp87 14 днів тому
Another possibility besides the anthropic principle could be that the universe is one massive apparatus to create... us. We hear about how fortuitous the universal constants are, how we've won this universal lottery to exist the way we do, and that got me thinking: if you wanted to generate a match for the winning lotto number on a given day, using a random number generator, you'd have to generate about 300 million numbers. To do it in one go, you'd need a pretty beefy computer, but you'd end up with a massive list of duds and only one match. So what would it take to generate something massively more complex than that? If your goal were to generate humans, specifically, and you had to do it with the same system they would eventually live in, imagine how huge that output would have to be to ensure that the odds could be overcome, how many duds and dead rocks would have to be generated to ensure one of them had the winning combination for complex, intelligent, free-willed conscious beings. We assume there must be other intelligent life because of the size of the universe, but maybe that's the exact size you need to generate just one. This is a theistic thought experiment of course, but I do always find it a bit funny that we twist ourselves in knots because of how fully convinced we are that we're not special. I just like to wonder, what if we are? What would that mean for why we're here and what we're meant to do?
@davidanderson4091
@davidanderson4091 Рік тому
Looking for alien transmissions for just sixty years is tantamount to opening your eyes for a second, and upon seeing no other person, concluding that you are the only person in the world.
@jonathanvelazquez4876
@jonathanvelazquez4876 9 місяців тому
In a universe so vast, and not long ago, humans believing we were at the center of the universe, makes me realize that those who are still believing we are alone are once again as wrong as our ancestors were.
@cabnbeeschurgr6440
@cabnbeeschurgr6440 13 днів тому
The idea of looking at stars to see possible eclipses indicating dyson spheres is both really cool and really terrifying. Do we really wanna throw radio transmissions at something that has the capability to build objects on a solar scale?
@GGBlaster
@GGBlaster 3 місяці тому
Another explanation I’ve heard is that we might actually be developmentally ahead of other potential extraterrestrial civilizations. Remember that there are several “checkpoints” we passed to get to where we are today: a planet capable of supporting life, the advent of life, several evolved traits crucial to later checkpoints, the human intelligence, and many inventions, discoveries and organizational systems. While the exact journey might look different for another intelligent alien species, they likely would’ve needed to have passed through similar checkpoints. When we talk about the potential for extraterrestrial life, we often assume that there are civilizations vastly beyond our knowledge, technology and power. But with how little we know, it may be just as possible that any and all alien life out there has yet to reach our progress as a species and civilization. We simply don’t know whether there is any life out there, let alone where that life is in its evolution, intelligence and innovation. And we won’t know for sure until we either find life, or have looked everywhere and haven’t found it.
@GG-bw5qd
@GG-bw5qd 8 місяців тому
I assume the answer is some combination of life being less common than we've assumed, life being younger than we've assumed, and space being so big that it's really hard to look for anything.
@ianmccourry9337
@ianmccourry9337 Рік тому
I think it is worth pointing out that considering AGI is *also* a conditional paradox, similar to the ones talked about before. We might not actually be able to create AGI for whatever reason, which would open the galaxy up to not being colonized with chemical rockets with AI, but by potentially other means, if at all. It is also worth noting that iirc our star is a 3rd generation star, and during star generations before this one would not of had the heavy metals necessary for life or technology.
@RAFMnBgaming
@RAFMnBgaming 11 місяців тому
I don't think it's necessarily a paradox. After all we have GI already so even if we never create AGI, you can probably substitute GI in there with enough time and tenacity.
@hansjorgkunde3772
@hansjorgkunde3772 4 дні тому
Just FYI the Milky Way is already colliding with Andromeda galaxy. So even if the distances might be way too large on the first glance, colliding Galaxies is a very common occurrence. That given there are plenty concepts of interstellar travel, even if we lack currently the creation and handling of Antimatter in large quantities necessary to do this. We are about to get the Sun to Earth. Confined into a considerable small box, capable to produce nearly limitless energies. For what exactly do someone need a Dyson Sphere ?
@TopherDune
@TopherDune 29 днів тому
What if life is just super rare and exists on Earth by extreme chance, the cosmos is super huge, and space travel takes a very, very long time, even at the fastest speeds possible? A more fascinating question is "How are we going to react to first contact?" Game theory has some interesting ideas about this. What role does life play in Universe? Is it a catalyst for the continued unfolding and evolution of our reality or just a random cosmic mechanics resulting in the greening of the stars with sentient beings at the apex?
@1edgeman76
@1edgeman76 Рік тому
Dr. Kipping, I will always graciously follow any journey of thought, understanding, and realization you ever want to lead. You and the Cool Worlds Lab are amazing and one of THE BEST resources on UKposts. Thank you and your colleagues for everything you do.
@CoolWorldsLab
@CoolWorldsLab Рік тому
Thanks! Yes we want to genuinely advance the conversation and our understanding.
@mattparker9726
@mattparker9726 Рік тому
@@CoolWorldsLab then look at the past to see the future.
@m.pearce3273
@m.pearce3273 Рік тому
I totally concur with you that Fermi's Paradox does us no service. Our limited knowledge of what life exists in the Nearby Galaxy is one good place to start
@CoolWorldsLab
@CoolWorldsLab Рік тому
Extragalactic SETI for the win. We have billions of samples to look at!
@harriehausenman8623
@harriehausenman8623 Рік тому
@@CoolWorldsLab I was searching for the animations of galactic expansion but I could only find one on Mr. Carroll-Nellenbacks channel and it was different than the ones shown in this video. Any idea where to find these animations?
@nadiakent4082
@nadiakent4082 Місяць тому
The biggest paradox to me is that Fermi (and many other scientists of his time) expected to know this knowledge without ever studying it or seeking information on it. For people who only achieved their knowledge through academics and scholarship, why would they this knowledge to be self evident, easily accessible or innate. If someone casually told you that, if atoms really existed everywhere, why can’t I see them? You would think that this was a bizarre observation. For Fermi and the people around at that time not to see this is truly paradoxical. While the current scholarship on alien life is debatable today, at the time it was referred to, and many years after that, aliens was never even considered a worthy of pursuit for knowledge. If it wasn’t so well documented, I would never believe such a giant of intellect, could say something so inane. To be fair, if my memory serves me right, the Fermi statement could have been a casual comment and an attempt at being ironic. Given the well known comedic abilities of scientists, benefit of the doubt, is a possibility in Fermi’s case. However it is clear this statement is being used as insightful by many people who are considered smart and gifted. I just think the idea as expressed, is ironic at best and idiotic as worst. That it continues to be talked about in a serious way is bewildering to me.
@thingonathinginathing
@thingonathinginathing 2 місяці тому
Turns out Enrico Fermi was read-in to the UAP Phenomenon. So, he did know about non-human Intelligences. Therefore, it's "Fermi's Disinfo"
@scottgardner4487
@scottgardner4487 25 днів тому
This is awesome, why do scientist totally ignore the current UAP phenomenon? They are seen under the water all the time.
@thingonathinginathing
@thingonathinginathing 25 днів тому
@scottgardner4487 Astrophysics Dr Kevin Knuth suggests maybe some Popularizers of Science have invested interests in ignoring and disregarding this topic, which has been stigmatized for so long.
@orazha
@orazha Рік тому
I am so glad that I came across your video. I'm currently reading Michio Kaku's Parallel Worlds. It's an excellent book that helps understand what's currently going on in science today. I enjoy thinking about all the possibilities such as we may be similar to bateria on a hanging fruit with all of it's variations. Or that we may be like the bacteria completely unaware of the "living" beings who are all around us but with no obvious awareness of us. We may even be riding on one of these beings. I look forward to listening to more of your videos. You do a great job of presenting.
@DriveLaken
@DriveLaken Рік тому
I like to take that same line of thinking and compare us to the people of North Korea. We look at them and think, “poor things are so ignorant about what’s really going on…” What if we’re all that ignorant about a much bigger reality that we are just clueless about. The people of North Korea are no different than us, in the West. So, if it can happen to them, why not us?
@ejkr2051
@ejkr2051 11 місяців тому
I'd like to think,therefore am sure that I'm no bacteria. But you go ahead and be a bacteria if that makes you feel better.
@UNATCOHanka
@UNATCOHanka Рік тому
Fermi, looking at an empty mess hall: "Where is everybody?" Everybody: "omg what could he have meant by this!!!"
@CoolWorldsLab
@CoolWorldsLab Рік тому
I think Fermi would think the whole thing was ridiculous
@RobinMcAulayPhotography
@RobinMcAulayPhotography 27 днів тому
Such a great and elegant dialogue.. Well done ❤️
@JS-bn1tz
@JS-bn1tz 2 місяці тому
I have a far more contextual and useful thought to contemplate: rather than ask "do alien civilizations exist?" or "why hasn't any alien civilization visited us?" it's perhaps easier to ask: "What happens if Earth gets completely, irrevocably, destroyed by us humans?" The keys to answer lies within us today, with the knowledge we already have. If we assume that everything - everything - is destroyed and no life of any form exists (such as when a large alien object hits earth), when and how would life re-emerge? Would life emerge at all? Would it emerge in the form we have seen around us today? Or would it take a completely different trajectory, one we cannot yet imagine or contemplate? Would that newly emergent life be more intelligent than us? Would it evolve faster than we have seen life evolve? And how long would that process take? I find these questions more attractive to contemplate.
@Ansonidak
@Ansonidak 11 місяців тому
I liked his analogy of examining a container of seawater and concluding that there were no fish in the sea. I came up with a similar analogy: Looking out the window of a suburban home, seeing no cats, and concluding there were no cats in the area.
@ianbattles7290
@ianbattles7290 10 місяців тому
We would have no way of detecting an intelligent civilization that was the technological equivalent of 2000 BC. There could be literally thousands of intelligence civilizations that are thousands of years away from developing radio technology.
@EpicLib
@EpicLib 10 місяців тому
@@ianbattles7290 whoa, this was a refreshing idea about detecting others... There could be truly millions of planets full with low-tech civilizations.
@Moraprecisionreloader
@Moraprecisionreloader 10 місяців тому
There's no such thing as a ( grey) alien Don't be a fool.
@johannjohann6523
@johannjohann6523 10 місяців тому
I wish that were true. Poor creatures, there's way too many of them. My first question to God will be: "Why did you allow cats to reproduce so much? Ya know many of them are going to end up with short miserable lives." sorry, but I think all life is precious. an ant, or an alien.
@simonm3951
@simonm3951 9 місяців тому
@@EpicLib @ianbattles7290 Not really. It took us a couple hundred years from industrialization to develop rocket tech to explore space. Let's assume it takes a few million years for human level intelligence to evolve. The enormous number of planets in our galaxy alone should have had more than enough time for the said intelligence to evolve and develop the curiosity for exploration. Considering that the milky way is almost the same age as the universe and as the video suggests all it takes is 300 million years for current rocket technology to completely colonize the entire galaxy, we should see the evidence of extra-terrestrial intelligence all over the place. According to me, there is definitely something going on regarding why we don't see any other sign of life. My personal belief is that things will be revealed very soon as to the existence of non-human, extra-terrestrial intelligence.
@Dusticles8291
@Dusticles8291 Рік тому
Always look forward to seeing the new videos! Great educational and objective content! This channel is the sole reason I found my interest in astrophysics. Thank you for all of your hard work, research, and dedication! I will definitely be donating in the near future.
@BillyWitchDoctorDotCom
@BillyWitchDoctorDotCom Місяць тому
We've been broadcasting radio signals for about 100 years. If anybody were to have picked up those signals and come here, then they'd have to be a maximum of 50 light-years away (assuming they can travel at the speed of light). The square cube law dictates that the strength of a broadcast signal dissipates exponentially the further it travels. For extremely long distance communication it is far more efficient to direct a laser at your target than it is to cast a signal everywhere. As a consequence of this, the greater the distance of the communication the harder it is to eavesdrop. Any signal you might detect is likely to be tens of thousands of years old by the time it reaches you in any case.
@graemeharris9779
@graemeharris9779 5 днів тому
So if our first signal from 100 years ago just got received by intelligent life, then if an immediate reply was sent, then the reply would come in 100 years from now.
@jonizornes5286
@jonizornes5286 26 днів тому
I keep watching these podcasts and it seems that more and more of these minds are coming to this same current conclusion, that as a technological civilization, we are either alone in our Galaxy or are effectively alone. That is what I think, too. Apparently Dr Fermi considered that as well, as the possible reason for the question. Carl Sagan: "Our planet is a lonely speck in the great enveloping cosmic dark. In our obscurity, in all this vastness, there is no hint that help will come from elsewhere to save us from ourselves."
@Kriegter
@Kriegter 2 місяці тому
One solution is that we're simply the first of our kind to reach this level of intelligence. Conversely, the average span of existence of intelligent civilisations are likely extremely short lived from the perspective of the universe, in that no two civilizations would exist at the same time because they would go extinct before it ever happens.
@tankeater
@tankeater Місяць тому
You think we're the first of our kinds, when our star has only existed for half of the galaxies life time??? Ooooo, the delusion of human granger.
@Kriegter
@Kriegter Місяць тому
@@tankeater no. It is simple material analysis of just how YOUNG the universe is.
@tankeater
@tankeater Місяць тому
@@Kriegter young? Please, elaborate how roughly 15 billion years, is young. What's the average age of a universe? Is our universe average? How many rotations will the Sun make it around the galaxy? Have we done more or less than 20 rotations around our galaxy? Since you seem to know so much... Or, should I say, assume... These questions should be easy for you to educate my inferior mind.
@Kriegter
@Kriegter Місяць тому
@@tankeater 15 billion years does not take into account the acceleration of the universe expansion. Accurate value tends to 13.8 million. That is a massive difference. Now to the definition of young. Your perception comes from the fact that you are human. As biological life forms we cannot possibly comprehend time on an astronomical level.
@tankeater
@tankeater Місяць тому
@@Kriegter that is a hypothesis, why we give or take 2 billion years 👍. Yes we can, you get 2 numbers, and compare them. Like 13.8 billion as opposed to how long an average galaxy lives. What is that number, and are we considered an average galaxy??? Still the same question I had. Yet, you're rambling on, pointing out the obvious fact that billions of years is an inconceivable time. Did you think that was a gotcha moment or something??? Because, I still have the same question that you haven't answered, Slick.
@JohnJackson-mn4ts
@JohnJackson-mn4ts 5 місяців тому
“Two possibilities exist: either we are alone in the Universe or we are not. Both are equally terrifying.” ― Arthur C. Clarke
@Vishnu_Karthik
@Vishnu_Karthik 4 місяці тому
What an edgelord, i think the idea that we're not alone makes me happy.
@stevenscott2136
@stevenscott2136 4 місяці тому
Wrong. If we're alone, we can't be invaded by aliens. Thus, alone is clearly less scary.
@Alexander_Kale
@Alexander_Kale 2 місяці тому
Empty universe means free real estate and no competitors. I fail to see how that is terrifying.
@nitinanku
@nitinanku 17 днів тому
@@Alexander_KaleI think the idea of us being truly alone in this unfathomably massive universe is pretty scary. We are alone in braving out into space, alone in all of our scientific discoveries, and everything that surrounds us, like planets or entire galaxies are just empty. The fact life just couldn’t start anywhere else but here feels eerie
@Alexander_Kale
@Alexander_Kale 16 днів тому
@@nitinanku Except we are not alone. Every single one of us shares this planet with seven billion people. a hundred and fifty countries, thousands of cultures. As we venture out into the cosmos, this will only ever increase. In a thousand years, there will be colonies all over the solar system. new people and tribes will emerge, new languages, new cultures, probably new religions. New art will be made, new music will be written. The more time passes, the more of us there will be, the more beautiful the whole endeavour of civilization will grow. The planet is already larger than my brain can comprehend. THat will not stop me from living a good life. And i will certainly not feel alone or threatened by how large everything is.
@markbush9997
@markbush9997 5 місяців тому
I think its a good thing to remember we don’t know what we don’t know. By that I mean we can’t know what barriers may exist that could prevent travel from one galaxy to another because we haven’t tried to do that ourselves. I would also say that it’s highly possible that life on other worlds may not be more advanced than we are, or at least not by enough to allow them to reach us.
@videocrowsnest5251
@videocrowsnest5251 4 місяці тому
Considering how our own little solar system has around it outlines a spinning disk of very, very hot plasma, I wouldn't be surprised if galaxies also had their own "firewalls." Not to mention if there are any extra unknown conditions outside potential protection of sorts provided by being within a galaxy.
@PutinsMommyNeverHuggedHim
@PutinsMommyNeverHuggedHim 2 місяці тому
or maybe the aliens already visited in secret. possibilities are endless
@Mma12367
@Mma12367 Місяць тому
This thing goes along with everything like why even their is existence and why the hell their are laws governing it like not how but why
@thingonathinginathing
@thingonathinginathing Місяць тому
A lot of people in congress know that the national security state is lying to us all about UFOs, that they're real, here, and thousands of years old. Lol
@user-iv2iu2wf4w
@user-iv2iu2wf4w Місяць тому
If FTL is impossible, as it may be, then thats a good enough reason for a species to stay in their own solar system or, possibly, the nearest few. Even if they could detect our transmissions they may not have even recieved them yet, space is pretty big. If they have gotten our transmissions it could be decades until we hear back
@kitersrefuge7353
@kitersrefuge7353 28 днів тому
Directly under our noses is a vast body of evidence, spanning physical + testimonial, that point to the fact that we have been visited numerous times, and probably over millennia. There is credible game theory thinking that posits that keeping silent as an advanced civilization is an optimal strategy for survival + the fact that the distances involved, negate the 60 yrs or so of us "listening" make the endeavour a) possibly futile b) too immature expectation-wise. Having said all that, the content is excellent and a create clarifier of the Fermi Paradox (conditional at that!), so my thanks!
@evanmccue736
@evanmccue736 4 місяці тому
Our radio waves have barely left a small fraction of our own galaxy. Even if something heard an old broadcast a couple hundred light-years away, it would take 200 years for a response.
@jakem.8608
@jakem.8608 9 місяців тому
Thank you Yugopnik! I appreciate your videos and educational content, it really puts things into perspective. We gotta stand together!
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