MSE major here, not a lot of people know what we do haha. You're right about the chip fab work, most of my classmates are gonna work at Micron when they graduate and I have a job lined up at a fab making silicon carbide chips. Computational methods for material discovery/design are very limited - one of my class' senior capstone projects is computational and that group has to use many workarounds to get even a supercomputer to compute what they need. Because quantum computing is best used for quantum processes, and the quantum processes of materials is what makes computational methods so difficult, quantum computing is set to revolutionize material discovery. Combine that with AI that basically has a very accurate intuition of what properties a novel material would have, and you're talking about 100x-ing our current level of material discovery. This has downstream effects on basically anything - better batteries, better chips, much more sustainable plastics, basically any problem we're facing today will be easier to solve if we have a 100x material discovery process.

As someone who is about to turn 20 I can’t even imagine what life will be like in 5 years let alone 20

I'm a teacher and i couldn't agree more. I'm already using AI and it gave me superpowers! For example: if one of the children likes football, I use AI to create a text about football - simultaneously working on individualised grammar topics. I couldn't do this for everyone without AI

Gonna save this video for the next 20 years to see how well it ages

It's an honor to meld into the superorganism with you guys

It's the transition period which wont be so rosy. There may be a 10+ year delay between massive job losses from AI efficiency and the government creating new economic policies which help pull these people out of poverty and into thriving meaning-based work.

One thing is certain: The most important changes of the future (even just 20 years away) are already practically unimaginable.

one point of contention, Capitalism is the individual/private ownership of capital, it doesn't just mean that capital exists - so talking about different ownership models is inherently talking about moving away from Capitalism.

I'm thinking a lot about what my daughters of 3 and 5 are going to do after they grow up and graduate. Seeing as I can't prevent them from living their lives, the only thing I wish for them is that they grow up with a healthy self esteem, self worth, and find their meaning.

I think these type of videos are always your best Dave. They make me excited for the future

OMG it is so good and so refreshing to hear someone competently verbalise the current conditions! When I've been telling my friends for the pas two years that we are interconnected cyborgs and they have been looking at me like crazy!!! Thank you.

Great content! Helps me look at things differently and think more long term. Thanks!

Amazing insight! Always look forward to your videos

20 year from now is 2040 not 2044. oh wait oh no

This is insanely optimistic beyond belief. Do you really think these new technologies will be socialised and owned by many rather than the current power players moving in to own them as they develop and simply handing out the plebians a liveable allowance contingent on their good behaviour?

Just stumbled across your channel. Mind blown..! thanks so much ❤

Dude, I love you! We are very similar in our orientation tho you are killing it in terms of execution and being a beacon of light to me as well. Thanks. I hope the highest meaning stands by you always. Muuuuuuuuuuuuuuch love, keep it up

I love this kind of content

I love the digital Superorganism idea! Please delve deeper into that in the future. You deliver amazing content David! :)

I never comment on UKposts channels but yours is easily my favorite. I love the topics, your explanations/views/reasoning, and the frequency with which you post. I bought physical copies of all of your books. Love your systems thinking series. I’m 32, just getting into machine learning with zero prior experience (I own a cannabis company and would love to focus on improving enterprise software in this industry), and really appreciate the videos and books.

Hype for gene editing, no illness, never aging and immortality

WHERES THE SUIT DAVID OUT OF UNIFORM! Great Video :D

very interesting as always.i love you're content. i learn so much.

An exceptional thought experiment and analysis on what the future holds for us in 2044. Your deep dive into the potentials of AGI, Fusion Energy, Biotech, and Quantum Computing not only showcases a well-researched understanding but also a wise foresight into their possible impacts and milestones. It’s clear that a lot of effort went into dissecting how these technologies could shape our world in the next two decades. Your ability to weave these complex subjects into a coherent and engaging narrative is commendable. Great work on providing a balanced view on the optimistic and realistic outcomes of these technologies. Looking forward to more insightful content like this!

Holy smokes this video was so fascinating. Especially the last bit about digital super organism

Minor correction on the fusion record: Highest NIF Q value I could find was 1.54, still a fair way from 2x, but at least 3 projects have hit Q= >1 “For over two decades since 1997, the record for Q was held by JET at Q = 0.67. The record for Qext was held by JT-60, with Qext = 1.25, slightly besting JET's earlier Qext = 1.14. In December 2022, the National Ignition Facility reached Q = 1.54 with a 3.15 MJ output from a 2.05 MJ laser heating, which remains the record as of 2023.”

Brilliant video - loved it!

Very interesting presentation David. It’s a great time to be alive.

Next 20 years won’t change as much as you think. In 2004 is was different from a gadget standpoint and social media, but most people lived pretty similar to now. I could be completely wrong depending on what AI does. Also electric cars will be the majority of cars on the road. Self driving would have improved significantly.

Your title missing Teleportation, Tractor Beams and Anti-matter Warp Drives ! 😂

Great video man! Exciting and inspiring😎

profund, well thought, well researched. Superb.

I really enjoy your videos as a middle school English teacher without any background in science or technology. I'm ready for some big changes in our education system. Smaller class sizes and personalized instruction are at the top of my wishlist.

This was four years ago so it might have changed, but I went to some presentations by MSE's working at ITER (out of interest, not even close to my field) and it seems really clear that, in contrast to what you said, net gain is not really the main challenge. Everyone is confident ITER will make net gain, the biggest barrier to commercial fusion is that the materials necessary for sustained controlled fusion reactions do not currently exist. The walls of the TOKOMAK literally vaporize due to the heat even with the magnetic containment.

This was one of the best videos I whatched this year. Truly inspiring!

Great video, important information. Thanks

My newest favorite channel in this age of AI doomers. I'm such a sci-fi nerd and as a child i was a bit sad that i might not see the far-far future - I really have to struggle not sperging on people about AI. The future is going to be wild

Are you still sticking with September this year for AGI Dave? You seem to have let it slip to 2026.

great video! thanks for posting

I’m thoroughly enjoying this channel, so thank you. It’s good that you pitched your other channels, because my interest is piqued regarding what else is processed by your mind.

People keep saying "the price of things will go down with the advent of ai, and robotics." Yet the exact opposite is the actual case. Who actually thinks that if a company figures out a way to save 1.00 on making a product, ANY of that extra savings is going to make it to to consumer? It NEVER does.

What I find funny with regards to the definition of AGI and the capabilities of ChatGPT is that people say "Yeah, but ChatGPT doesn't always get it right first try." And I'm like "Did you ever do any task in your life?"😂 Completing a big complex task is usually an iterative process

Love the visuals and insight!

Excellent, AGAIN! Thanks!

SOCIALISM: is perfect if it's not controlled by Humans. And only under hyper Abundance, and no scarcity of any kind. The ASI Government should first distribute all utilities for free as a 'Vote for Us' Strategy.

I like the statement "AI is principles driven, not profit driven", thumbs up for the video!

Another great episode, thanks.

Damn! Best video yet! ❤

I can't imagine this new world you speak of. For the last thousands of years for humans, life has been strife. I can't fathom the rich and powerful allowing advancement that helps everyone.

These green spaces that you’re talking about moving into are not “empty” they are full of life. Humans can’t keep treating the whole biosphere like a series of empty lots to be built on. We aren’t the only life forms on the planet. And longevity research will only compound our encroachment on wild spaces as population rises. These are challenges i would love for you to address in a future video as I think you have great insight. Great video per usual 🙏👌

Your videos give me hope!

Great video, well done. Gave me a look at the whole thing

With respect, having watched all of your videos, it seems that your basic assumption is that a post labor economy will become a ASI Communist utopia. The downside of this that you never touch on is the high likelihood of an Oligarchy. Those with obscene amounts of money currently have an outsized influence on our society. They aren't just going to give up all their money and the privilege that it affords. So, with unlimited lifespan the most likely outcome is that they'll acquire more resources and influence, while the rest of society is on universal basic income. Also, with no jobs there will be no opportunity for upward mobility. The rich will continue to control all the levers of the economy and will be disincentivized to allow others to compete, and with ASI running everything there'll be little to no opportunity for disruption. You also make the assumption that everyone will have access to all these technologies, and they won't be priced out or restricted from having them due to legislation or some version of a caste system. For example, if you're already wealthy enough then lifespan extension is something that you would have access to, but for the plebs it's either restricted or not in your UBI budget. The result is that it's less likely that we'll get Star Trek, and more likely that we'll get Elysium.

I left AI research at Stanford last year. Of course predictions are not worth much but here is the background for mine: 1) There are many large projects in play to completely decode RNA/DNA and how to design any conceivable living and non-living thing with it. 2) Stanford believes they will achieve AGI in their labs this decade. 3) University biology labs across the world have the ability to synthesize any RNA/DNA sequence today. Students have access to this. 4) Once AI completely understands RNA/DNA and our immune systems, it is inevitable that someone will design a super virus looks innocuous until it is too late. 5) Absolutely nothing can be done to stop this from happening. The only defense will be that other AI will be trying to stay ahead of the viruses that emerge. 6) We will exist in a constant race to defend ourselves from insane people who want to cause harm. We will likely have to physically isolate clusters of society to protect the human race.

Great video!! Subbed!

I really enjoy listening to you

Well thought out. I hope you're bang on. :)

Excellent presentation sir.

Really good!!

Hi David; love the insights. You seem so well read and clear minded. Could you please share your top 5 books?

First time watching, loved it, and subscribed 👌👌👌

Appreciate the optimism. Fight for a good future.

This is an excellent video, David

Really enjoyed this. Fingers crossed 🤞

This is a very good talk and I actually think that it is the first look I've seen beyond the event horizon of AI and environmental responsibility. This might be a breath of fresh air to the sci-fi literary genre too Thanks for posting your work.

Yeah, that's content I've missed from summer. When I worked in the garden 🏡 and listen about future ❤

Thanks man, really cool video!

great video!

Your optimistic view seriously gives me hope

Awesome. I fully agree with your future perspective and on AGI and ASI being free from selfishness. I very much look forward to them.

That little "tower house" with the solar panels on the roof looks like a makeshift shack but I still want to live there. Very well done. It would be pretty nice if I could afford to purchase a plot of land in an Ecovillage and build an exact replica of that house. I could just work in the Community garden.🙂

Your intelligence and optimism is an absolute breath of fresh air. Thank you and please keep making such thoughtful and thought provoking content.

That was an awesome recommendation, great and thoughts provoking video. Ill admit i'm a pessimist person in general but i'm excited for the future

Thanks David, really enjoyed this. I often talk about your work to others and recommend they watch some of your videos. Quickly wanted to point out a glitch between 27:09 - 27:25 which caused me to lose part of what you were saying - tiny thing but just thought it worth letting you know!

Thanks for sharing your thoughts David, very exciting future ahead 😊

Great video! I subbed to hear more. You made alot of great points and i agreed with alot of what you said. It just seems way to optimistic at times.

I ran a poll with my high school STEM peers and most said they are not worried about AI changing their career plans. They seem secure but time will tell!

I’m very excited by the potential for peace that comes with limitlessly abundant energy. What a blessing that would be

Solid content

Thanks David🖖☮️

Man, I love this guy!

I very much appreciate this video. I’ve been feeling lost. Wondering how I would find my place in the 4th revolution and best prepare to take advantage. You’ve given me a direction to focus my attention and effort. Thank you

Thank you David, for engaging with us to traverse into the near future...

Thanks!

Great video.

Cool video 👍🏿

Dave, I think the book you were trying to recall was The Lights in the Tunnel, by Martin Ford. Excellent book.

It's really cool to see the development of A.I. play out in the quality of your image deck. Comparing some of these images to ones you were getting just months ago is really eye-opening.

When I see videos like this one, I can’t help but get so incredibly excited about the possibilities of what’s to come. It gives me so much hope and joy that maybe everything really will work out in this Utopic way. I recently turned 21 and space exploration has always been something I’ve really wanted to be a part of. Sometimes I feel I was born a little too early and perhaps I won’t get the opportunity to traverse the stars. Videos like this give me hope that maybe just maybe I’ll be able to go out and see what this universe has to offer one day. Thankyou for giving me hope.

Great video using an educated approach relative to current science and predictions. No hype, no scare tactics. Just a nicely painted picture of what our future could potentially look like very soon. Thanks!

David, You’ve got it! 45 years of thinking, reading and reflecting -since I first saw the Apple II, TRS80 & Commodore Pet at CES Chicago 1978-on where Digital Integration will take us-and what it really means- I have arrived exactly at some of the same conclusions , whose Totality you so beautifully summarize in your amazingly informed/informative unique presentation. Thank You!

Love the optimism - so yes, it has VALUE!! We need to large scale orient toward the silver linings in all of this - Thx!

These ideas are quite exciting. I'm open to see the changes.

Your optimism in this current era is exactly what I need to hear. Here’s to shrinking everyone’s heads to a similar size for the progression of mankind.

Cool video, exciting times

Great content...can't beat a bit of speculation...

Enjoy vids David, you're our guide.

Boy o boy, your optimism is through the roof. 😆🙈

very interesting thought experiment

HOW are you so productive. Another great video, excellent ideas. But I o think all of this will be in the short term 2-5 years. One a quantum's ASI arrives, no one really has an idea of what will happen subsequently